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Sports
Jun 06, 2026
Analyzed by GPT OSS 120B

Derby 2026: Complete Horse‑by‑Horse Guide and Betting Outlook

AI Summary
A detailed look at the twelve runners for the 2026 Epsom Derby, covering trainer‑jockey pairings, recent form, Timeform ratings and odds. The guide highlights the market favourites and long‑shots, and assesses how recent weather and trial performances could shape the race outcome.

Derby 2026: Overview of the Field

The 2026 Epsom Derby features a deep and diverse field, with a mix of proven Group performers and outsiders bought for modest sums. Rain‑softened ground at Epsom adds an extra variable, potentially rewarding stamina‑rich pedigrees and horses that have thrived on heavy turf.

Form Guide: Individual Horse Profiles

  • Action – Trainer/jockey: Aidan O’Brien/Wayne Lordan, stall 11. Timeform rating 125, odds 25-1. Pedigree: Frankel / Gossamer Wings (Scat Daddy). Recent form: half‑length second to Hawk Mountain in the Group One Futurity on heavy ground; credible second in the Dante Stakes.
  • Alderman – Trainer/jockey: Richard Hannon/Pat Dobbs, stall 6. Timeform rating 97p, odds 250-1. Pedigree: Study Of Man / Alagappa (Archipenko). Recent form: fourth‑and‑a‑quarter lengths behind Water To Wine at Newbury in a maiden.
  • Ancient Egypt – Trainer/jockey: Charlie Johnston/David Egan, stall 10. Timeform rating 123p, odds 16-1. Pedigree: Frankel / Atone (Oasis Dream). Recent form: winner of the Newmarket Stakes; previously well‑beaten in the Royal Lodge Stakes.
  • Taste Of Glory – Trainer/jockey: Andrew Balding/Jamie Spencer, stall 7. Timeform rating 105, odds 300-1. Pedigree: Soldier Hollow / Aothea (Areion). A €20k purchase, reminiscent of past long‑shot Derby runners.
  • Balzac – Trainer/jockey: Jane Chapple‑Hyam/Silvestre de Sousa, stall 2. Timeform rating 112, odds 150-1. Pedigree: Japan / Brit Wit (High Chaparral). Only win in an all‑weather maiden; recent defeats in the Blue Riband Trial and at Lingfield.
  • Bay Of Brilliance – Trainer/jockey: Ralph Beckett/Hector Crouch, stall 9. Timeform rating 128p, odds 16-1. Pedigree: New Bay / Incroyable (Singspiel). Strong performance in the Lingfield Trial, narrowly beaten by Maltese Cross.
  • Benvenuto Cellini – Trainer/jockey: Aidan O’Brien/Ryan Moore, stall 12. Timeform rating 130p, odds 9-4. Pedigree: Frankel / Newspaperofrecord (Lope De Vega). Convincing trial win; favourite with a solid pedigree.
  • Christmas Day – Trainer/jockey: Aidan O’Brien/Ronan Whelan, stall 5. Timeform rating 125p, odds 25-1. Pedigree: Camelot / Beauly (Sea The Stars). Third in the Dante Stakes after a strong Ballysax Stakes win.

Timeform Ratings, Odds and Market Valuation

The market places Benvenuto Cellini at the forefront with 9-4 odds, reflecting his high Timeform rating of 130p. Close behind are Bay Of Brilliance (16-1, rating 128p) and Ancient Egypt (16-1, rating 123p). Long‑shot entries such as Alderman and Taste Of Glory carry odds of 250-1 and 300-1 respectively, underscoring the depth of the field.

Strategic Implications for Trainers and the Epsom Meeting

Recent rain at Epsom favours horses with proven stamina on soft ground, benefitting runners like Action and Bay Of Brilliance who have performed well on heavy turf. Trainers with multiple entries (Aidan O’Brien fields three runners) can employ tactical pacesetting, potentially using Action as a rabbit to benefit his stablemates.

Predicted Scenarios and Post‑Derby Outlook

While Benvenuto Cellini remains the statistical favourite, the race could be decided by ground conditions, with a possible upset from Ancient Egypt or Bay Of Brilliance if the soft going persists. A strong showing from any long‑shot would boost the market for future Group races, especially the St Leger and the Prix du Jockey Club, where connections may target their Derby‑placed horses.