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Politics Jun 12, 2026

Iraq’s Paramilitary Disarmament Promise: Will It Hold?

Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al‑Zaidi pledged to bring all weapons under state control, urging powerful…
Prime Minister Ali al‑Zaidi’s First Parliamentary CommitmentAli al‑Zaidi used his inaugural speech before parliament in mid‑May to pledge a sweeping reform of Iraq’s security sector, insisting that “we must restrict weapons to state control and strengthen the capabilities of the security forces.”State‑Centric Arms Control: The Proposed Disarmament BlueprintThe plan calls for the dissolution of independent militias and their integration into the national armed forces. Key actors mentioned include:Muqtada al‑Sadr – announced that his Saraya al‑Salam group will detach from the National Shia Movement and join the state forces.Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) – led by Faleh al‑Fayyad, who pledged “complete disengagement” from political groups.Groups that have resisted, such as Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat al‑Nujaba.Oil Revenue Collapse Highlights Economic StakesIraq’s oil exports have fallen dramatically since the regional war began in late February. Export volumes dropped from about 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd) to roughly 600,000 bpd in March, slashing oil‑derived budget income that accounts for more than 90 % of the state budget.Political Calculus: Why Disarmament Matters for Iraq’s Stability and InvestmentAnalysts argue that the disarmament drive is driven as much by economic necessity as by security concerns. With dwindling revenues, the government seeks foreign investment and aims to avoid antagonising the United States, which has pressured Baghdad to curb Iran‑backed militias.US pressure intensified amid the US‑Israel conflict with Iran.Domestic stability is linked to the ability to control armed groups.Potential reforms could reshape the balance of power between political parties and militia networks.Outlook: Obstacles and Scenarios for Full Integration of Paramilitary ForcesExperts warn that the process will be “long, complicated, and full of unforeseen developments.” Possible pathways include:Creation of a new security ministry that merges the PMF, Kurdish Peshmerga and other forces.Gradual sidelining of non‑compliant groups, risking sporadic clashes.Potential political re‑entry of figures like Muqtada al‑Sadr if the disarmament succeeds.For now, analysts advise limited optimism and close monitoring of implementation steps.
#Ali al‑Zaidi #Muqtada al‑Sadr #Iraq
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Gallery Apr 05, 2026

Massive Iraqi Demonstrations Decry US‑Israel Military Actions Against Iran

On April 5, 2026, tens of thousands of supporters of Shia leader Muqtada al‑Sadr gathered in Baghda…
Thousands of Muqtada al‑Sadr’s followers took to the streets of Baghdad and several other Iraqi cities on Saturday, staging one of the largest anti‑war rallies in recent memory. Demonstrators brandished Iraqi flags while chanting slogans such as “No, no to Israel” and “No, no to America,” signaling broad opposition to the escalating conflict. Iraq, already caught in a web of regional hostilities, has endured attacks aimed at both U.S. interests and pro‑Iranian groups within its borders. The protests underscore the country’s growing frustration at being drawn into a war it did not initiate. In the heart of Baghdad’s Tahrir Square, crowds—including women—filled the avenues, their voices amplified by a palpable sense of urgency. “What America and Israel are doing is not a conventional military operation but a senseless war,” declared Dhirgham Samir, a 40‑year‑old participant, speaking to AFP. Samir added that the demonstration represented a broader rejection of “aggression, arrogance and injustice” worldwide, emphasizing that civilians are the primary victims of this conflict. Since the war began, thousands of casualties have been reported across the region, a grim statistic that fuels public anger. Al‑Sadr himself called for peaceful rallies aimed at condemning what he described as “Zionist‑American aggression” and urging a return to regional stability. His appeal resonated with many, reflecting his deep-rooted influence among Iraq’s Shia majority. Protesters gathered beneath Baghdad’s Freedom Monument, a symbol of the nation’s independence, to denounce perceived foreign meddling. Muslim leader Ali al‑Fartousi told AFP, “Humanity must speak out against these forces; the world must unite against Zionist‑American arrogance.” Al‑Sadr commands a loyal base numbering in the millions and has repeatedly demonstrated an ability to mobilise large crowds. Though he has opposed various Iraqi governments over the years, his network extends into ministries and state institutions, amplifying the political weight of today’s demonstrations.
#war #iraq #against
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