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BP has announced that it expects to post 'exceptional' earnings from its oil trading desk, capitalizing on the turbulent energy markets caused by the ongoing conflict between the US and Israel against Iran. The company's refining margins have strengthened, contributing to the optimistic forecast.The surge in oil prices is primarily attributed to the effective closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz shipping route by Iran, a critical passage for global oil supplies. This development has led to Brent crude prices rising sharply from about $61 a barrel in January to a peak of $119.50 several weeks ago. As of Tuesday, Brent crude was trading at $98.28 a barrel, still significantly higher than its January levels.The conflict has not only impacted oil prices but also affected global oil demand forecasts. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its forecast, now predicting a decline in oil demand by 80,000 barrels a day this year, a stark contrast to its previous forecast of a 640,000 barrel increase. This would mark the first annual decline in oil demand since the 2020 Covid pandemic.In terms of production, BP expects its overall oil and gas production to remain broadly flat in the first quarter. However, the company has seen an improvement in refining margins, which rose to $16.9 a barrel in the first quarter from $15.2 a barrel in the previous quarter. This increase is expected to boost earnings from refined products by $100m to $200m.BP's update comes as its UK rival Shell also reported significantly higher oil trading profits for the quarter. Analysts have been revising their profit forecasts upward, with Citi raising its estimate for BP's adjusted net income to $2.6bn for the January to March quarter.New BP CEO Meg O'Neill, who took over this month, faces shareholders at the annual meeting on 23 April, where she is expected to discuss the company's strategy under her leadership, particularly its focus on oil and gas projects to enhance profitability.

The chief executive of South East Water, David Hinton, has taken a significant step by forgoing his bonus for the 2025-2026 year. This decision comes in response to 'unacceptable outages' that affected thousands of customers in Kent and Sussex, leaving them without access to tap water.Hinton appeared before the environment, food and rural affairs select committee, where he acknowledged the serious impact of the outages on customers. He stated that he would only receive his £400,000 salary, foregoing an additional 'performance payment'. This move is seen as an act of penitence for the company's failures.The outages occurred in Tunbridge Wells in November and December, and again in January across Kent and Sussex. These incidents left customers unable to shower, bathe, or flush their toilets, causing widespread inconvenience. In one town, half of the customers were stockpiling bottled water in anticipation of future incidents.Hinton apologized to customers, stating: 'We recognise the serious impact this has had on our customers and know that we fell short of what is expected of us.' He also admitted that he had not communicated quickly enough during the outages, saying: 'I got it wrong and that's very much a lesson that we've learned into the playbook of how we handle future events.'The Drinking Water Inspectorate (DWI) reported that the outages were foreseeable, and Hinton agreed with this assessment. The company's executives faced criticism from MPs, with the Conservative MP Charlie Dewhirst expressing frustration over the lack of accountability.Despite the criticism, the board of South East Water has given its backing to Hinton and the executive team, with chair Chris Train stating that they are the 'right solution for delivering what is best for South East Water customers'. However, confidence in the company's ability to provide reliable water services has plummeted, with a survey suggesting that 54% of affected customers are now stockpiling bottled water, and nearly a fifth are exclusively drinking bottled water.

“You can be the thickest bloke and still think you know more about football than a woman,” declares Jo, a Newcastle supporter, in the opening section of the Away From Home: The Untold Stories of Women Football Fans exhibition. The line sets the tone for a showcase that confronts the stereotype that only men can truly understand the game.Curated by Professor Stacey Pope, a leading sociologist of women’s football, and Durham University’s David Wright, the exhibition occupies the Beacon of Light pop‑up beside Sunderland’s Stadium of Light. It chronicles the presence of women on the terraces of the North‑East since the 1950s, using archival footage, hand‑sewn silk scarves and newly commissioned soundscapes to recreate match‑day rituals.The display is anchored by 22 recorded interviews with Newcastle and Sunderland fans, complemented by a broader research base of 200 interviews conducted over two decades. Pope notes that while the last thirty years have seen a “feminisation of sports fandom,” true gender parity remains elusive.Recent data underscore the exhibition’s relevance. In a survey of 2,000 male fans, three‑quarters expressed overt or covert misogynistic attitudes toward women in football. Moreover, the anti‑racism charity Kick It Out reported that sexist incidents at matches have doubled from the start of the season to the end of February compared with the previous campaign.Beyond statistics, the exhibition explores structural barriers: stadium designs that prioritize male comfort, safety concerns on public transport, and societal expectations that push women out of the stands after marriage or motherhood. As Pope explains, “football is sexist, what do you expect?” – a reality the exhibit seeks to expose and challenge.Visitors can experience mixed‑media installations that blend personal anecdotes with broader themes of loss, renewal, and the collective euphoria of a match. One soundscape, for example, transforms complaints of cold, mud, and hunger into the roar of a crowd as the game begins, illustrating how football has resonated with women for generations.The exhibition runs until the end of the season and is also available online for a wider audience.

Israeli ambassador to Germany Ron Prosor publicly rebuked far‑right finance minister Bezalel Smotrich for a recent tirade aimed at Chancellor Friedrich Merz, stating that the remarks “erode the memory of the Holocaust.”Smotrich invoked Nazi‑era language, claiming Merz should bow and apologize repeatedly, and likened the Hamas attackers of October 7, 2023 to all Palestinians, prompting widespread condemnation.The controversy follows Merz’s outspoken criticism of Israel’s settlement expansion in the occupied West Bank and his call for a halt to Israeli military exports that could be used in Gaza, underscoring a deepening diplomatic rift.Prosor stressed that political debate with Germany is legitimate but affirmed that Merz remains “a great friend of Israel” and that Germany continues to be Israel’s “number one friend” despite occasional disagreements.Berlin frames Israel’s security as a cornerstone of its post‑Holocaust foreign policy, yet recent months have seen Israeli officials bristling at even cautious German criticism, especially regarding settlement projects and the prospect of a de facto annexation of the West Bank.Senior analyst Mairav Zonszein of the International Crisis Group warned that Israel’s repeated attacks on German statements defending Palestinian rights risk alienating its strongest European ally, urging Berlin to reassess its support for policies that conflict with its own human‑rights standards.

Nissan announced a sweeping overhaul that places AI‑defined vehicles at the core of its revival strategy. Chief executive Ivan Espinosa said the automaker will eventually embed autonomous‑driving technology in 90% of its cars, positioning the brand for a future where self‑driving functions become standard. As part of the same initiative, Nissan will reduce its lineup from 56 to 45 models, redirecting capital toward higher‑margin offerings. The move follows a painful restructuring that has already seen seven factory closures and the loss of 20,000 jobs since Espinosa took the helm last year. Speaking at Nissan’s Yokohama headquarters, Espinosa warned that “structural challenges have compounded over time,” noting that the company’s portfolio has aged faster than the market and that fixed costs remain high despite declining scale. The Japanese automaker also unveiled its new battery‑electric Juke, a crossover SUV that will be built at the Sunderland plant in northern England. This model is a keystone of Nissan’s broader electrification push in Europe. While accelerating its EV agenda, Nissan reaffirmed a commitment to hybrid technology, unveiling a new hybrid Rogue (known as the X‑Trail in some markets) aimed at the US, where recent policy shifts have reduced incentives for fully electric cars. To fuel growth, Nissan set ambitious sales targets: an additional 550,000 units in Japan by 2030 and one million units each in the United States and China. The rapid rollout of autonomous capabilities is expected to boost demand for the technology, benefitting partners such as Wayve, the British AI startup that signed its first deal with Nissan a year ago. Bernstein analyst Masahiro Akita called the plan “reasonable” but cautioned that “ongoing macro uncertainty makes it unclear whether Nissan can sustain top‑line growth and achieve a genuine turnaround.”

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a stark warning that a further escalation in the Iran war could lead to a global recession, spiralling inflation, and a sharp backlash in financial markets. The Washington-based fund cited the economic damage from the Middle East conflict as steadily rising, prompting it to cut its growth forecasts for 2026.In its half-yearly update, the IMF predicted that the UK would suffer the sharpest growth downgrade and joint highest inflation rate in the G7 this year. Even if the fallout from soaring energy costs can be contained by the middle of 2026, the fund warned of a close call for a global recession under a worst-case 'severe scenario'.This severe scenario, involving a drawn-out war and persistently higher energy prices, would see the world face a global recession for only the fifth time since 1980. Oil prices jumped back above $100 (£74) a barrel on Monday amid choppy trading in global markets. The IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, noted that despite a temporary ceasefire, some damage is already done, and downside risks remain elevated.The IMF set out three possible scenarios for the war in its World Economic Outlook (WEO), including a central 'reference forecast' based on the assumption that disruption to the world economy from the war fades by mid-2026. This forecast predicts global growth would fall from 3.4% last year to 3.1% in 2026, a downgrade of 0.1 percentage points.Under the adverse scenario, with the global oil price remaining at $100 this year before falling back to $75 in 2027, growth would fall to 2.5% this year, and inflation would rise to 5.4%. In the severe scenario, with a lengthier, intensive war keeping the oil price above $110 into 2027, global growth would collapse to about 2%, a threshold widely seen as equivalent to a worldwide recession.The IMF urged countries to stage a coordinated response to the economic fallout from the war and called on central banks to remain vigilant. It also advised governments to focus on temporary and targeted measures to support businesses and households.

The US naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Gulf has taken effect, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict between the US-Israeli coalition and Iran. The blockade, which began on Monday at 5:30 pm Iranian time, applies to any ships entering or departing Iranian ports or coastal areas.US Central Command (Centcom) did not make a formal announcement, but the move is seen as a test of economic endurance for both nations. The blockade aims to restrict Iran's oil exports and imports, potentially costing the country approximately $276 million a day in lost exports and disrupting $159 million a day in imports, according to Miad Maleki, a former US treasury official.Iran has warned that the blockade will lead to higher petrol prices, which could impact ordinary Americans. The country's parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, taunted the US, saying Americans would soon be nostalgic for $4-$5 gas. The current average petrol price in the US is $4.13 a gallon, up from $2.98 before the conflict began.The conflict has also drawn in other nations, with France planning to organize a conference to create a multinational mission to restore navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. However, Germany, Spain, Italy, Poland, and Greece have ruled out sending naval forces to support the blockade. The UK has also stated that it does not support the blockade and will not be drawn into the war.The situation remains volatile, with Iran threatening to retaliate if its ports are threatened, and the US warning that any Iranian attack boats approaching the US flotilla will be "immediately eliminated". The conflict has also sparked a war of words between US President Donald Trump and Pope Leo XIV, with the pope condemning the use of religious language to justify the war in Iran.

The Philippines has made a grave accusation against China, claiming that Chinese boats were found with cyanide near the disputed Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea. Laboratory tests confirmed the presence of the toxic substance in bottles seized by the Philippine navy last year. Security officials warned that the cyanide could have severe consequences for marine life and potentially weaken the reef that supports a warship Manila grounded on the atoll to reinforce its maritime claim. The use of cyanide is seen as a form of sabotage aimed at killing local fish populations and depriving navy personnel of a vital food source. Cornelio Valencia, spokesperson for the National Security Council, emphasized that the cyanide could damage the reef and compromise the stability of the warship. In response, China's Foreign Ministry dismissed the Philippines' assertions as a 'stunt,' accusing Manila of illegally harassing Chinese fishing boats and staging the incident. The incident is part of a broader maritime dispute between China and the Philippines, with China claiming nearly all of the South China Sea, including areas claimed by other nations. The dispute has led to several confrontations, including a violent incident on June 17, 2024, where a Filipino sailor lost a finger. The Philippines also accused Chinese coastguard ships of firing water cannons at Filipino fishermen in December 2025, injuring three people and damaging two fishing vessels. Despite these tensions, China and the Philippines held high-level talks last month to explore preliminary steps towards oil and gas cooperation and confidence-building measures at sea. However, the Philippine Foreign Ministry noted that the scope of coastguard cooperation would be limited and did not include joint patrols. The South China Sea is a critical waterway, with over $3 trillion in annual ship-borne commerce traveling through it. A 2016 ruling by an international arbitral tribunal found China's sweeping claims had no basis under international law, a decision China rejects.

Manchester City's recent comprehensive win over Chelsea has brought them within six points of Premier League leaders Arsenal, reigniting the title race. A viral social media meme featuring a City fan mocking Arsenal's struggles has captured the attention of football fans worldwide.The fan in question was seen mimicking a celebratory sip from an empty plastic bottle adorned with an Arsenal logo, leaving City's supporters in laughter and making viewers wonder if Arsenal have 'bottled it' once more. This comes after Arsenal's dramatic stumble over the past few weeks, including a loss to 11th-placed Bournemouth in the Premier League.Arsenal's quadruple hopes have taken a hit, with the team suffering three consecutive losses in local competitions. Manager Mikel Arteta acknowledged that his players are hurting but need to 'take it on the chin' and 'embrace the challenge' ahead. The team's fate is now as much in Manchester City's hands as it is in their own.Meanwhile, Manchester City's manager, Pep Guardiola, remains alert to the threat posed by Arsenal despite their recent blip. Guardiola emphasized the need for respect towards Arsenal, stating that beating them twice in a few weeks will be extremely difficult. City are favourites to lift the FA Cup and could still bag their 11th league trophy, with some experts predicting a domestic treble for the Sky Blues.