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The Lead Documentary photographer Polly Braden has embarked on a year-long project to capture the lives of young people in coastal communities across England and Wales. Her work, part of The Guardian's 'Against the Tide' series, sheds light on the challenges faced by these communities, including poverty, poor housing, and limited opportunities. Capturing the Lives of Young People in Coastal Communities Braden's project was inspired by a landmark report on the poor health of people living on the English coast. As a single mother of teenagers, she became interested in the lives of young people growing up under austerity, during a pandemic, and in a cost-of-living crisis. Her photographs aim to tell a story about the 'island nation' and shine a spotlight on 16- to 25-year-olds who are often overlooked. The Data Analysis Young people in many of England's coastal towns are disproportionately likely to face: poverty poor housing lower educational attainment limited employment opportunities compared to their peers in equivalent inland areas. The Impact Analysis Braden's work highlights the resilience and beauty of young people in these communities. Her photographs, such as one of Libby from Whitehaven, depict a mix of bleakness and beauty. A touring exhibition of her work is set to open at Arnolfini gallery in Bristol in June and move to Colchester's Firstsite gallery in October. The Prediction The 'Against the Tide' project aims to put the voices of young people at the forefront of reporting on coastal communities. By sharing their stories, the project hopes to examine what kind of changes are needed to build better futures for these young people.

The Looming Threat of a 'Super' El Niño A powerful, or “super” El Niño – marked by 2C (3.6F) or greater increase in sea surface temperatures – is now highly probable for this year, lasting into 2027. Weakened trade winds allow warm surface waters to spread across the central and eastern Pacific. This disrupts ocean circulation and alters weather patterns worldwide. Exacerbating Global Economic Inequality El Niño is intensifying an already unequal global economy. Food insecurity is not simply a climatic problem, but rooted in dependency and global market integration, while climate shocks expose how supply chains push risk on to the world’s poorest populations. 10 Potential Worst-Case Scenarios What follows are 10 potential worst-case scenarios – impacts that will not be evenly felt but disproportionately borne by poorer farmers and workers. Drought Drought hits rain-fed agricultural regions particularly hard. In parts of sub-Saharan Africa grain yields often fall during and following El Niño’s, increasing import dependence and raising food prices. Shock to global food supply chains Globally, there is a heightened risk of a shock to global food supply chains. Four crops – wheat, rice, maize and soybeans – provide more than 60% of the world’s calorie intake. Wildfire risk El Niño can heighten wildfire risk in some regions. In South America, it often reduces wet‑season rainfall, leaving vegetation drier and more fire‑prone; severe fires in Brazil in 2016 and 2024 burned millions of hectares. Excess rainfall Parts of the southern United States and South America, the Horn of Africa and central Asia often experience excess rainfall during El Niño, leading to flooding. Increased coal consumption Greater heat can increase already high levels of coal consumption in parts of the world. El Niño brings above-average temperatures and intensifies prolonged heatwaves in south Asia by weakening monsoon rains, which increases demand for air conditioning. Coal-based power systems in Asia supply about 70% of electricity in India and approximately 55% in China. Grid failure risk Drought also affects hydropower generation, increasing risk of grid failures. Colombia, for example, relies upon hydropower for about 65% of its energy generation. Declining fish stocks El Niño stops cool water upwelling in parts of the Pacific, limiting nutrient availability for phytoplankton and leaving small fish such as anchovies and sardines without enough food. Heightened geopolitical tensions over critical agricultural inputs More extreme weather could exacerbate geopolitical tensions. Rising temperatures reduce crop fertility and farmers often respond by applying more fertilizers. Higher rates of heat illness All these dynamics affect societies unequally. Workers exposed to heat stress face heightened health risks, particularly in physically demanding jobs such as agriculture and construction. Civil conflict Reduced crop yields and weakened economies often intensify social tensions. The likelihood of civil conflict in affected tropical countries can double during El Niño years. The Way Forward There is also extensive knowledge on building resilient agricultural systems that can generate food security while contributing to ecosystem restoration. But again, breaking out of an export-orientated, chemically intensive agricultural system will take large-scale political transformations.

The Return to Physical Power: IATA in RioThe annual IATA AGM has returned to a physical setting in Rio de Janeiro, marking a significant shift from the virtual-only years of the pandemic. This choice of location underscores the industry's belief in a robust recovery, despite the backdrop of the US-Israel-Iran conflict in the Hormuz Strait. While geopolitical tensions threaten supply chains, airlines are defying dire warnings of a 'summer of chaos' for European holidaymakers, demonstrating a remarkable resilience in the face of potential disruption.The Economics of Flight: Fuel and FinancialsFuel Price Surge: Jet fuel prices have climbed to over $140 a barrel, a stark increase from the $80 per barrel seen at the last summit in Delhi.Cost Impact: Fuel now accounts for just over a quarter of global airlines' operating costs. Every dollar increase per barrel adds approximately $3 billion to annual fuel bills.Capacity Adjustments: To manage uncertainty, about 6% of available seats have been removed from global schedules recently.M&A; Activity: The financial strain is evident in the market; EasyJet's share price has tumbled, attracting a potential takeover bid from US private equity firm Castlelake.Leadership Shifts and Strategic ResponsesThe summit is also a stage for significant leadership transitions and strategic realignments. Willie Walsh, the IATA Director General, is departing to lead India's budget carrier Indigo, having previously criticized governments for failing to support Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) mandates. Meanwhile, Gulf carriers like Emirates are notably quiet, having faced operational grounding during the recent Middle East conflict. The EU Transport Commissioner has sought to allay fears, confirming no immediate jet fuel shortage in Europe and highlighting new supply sources in the US and West Africa.The Road Ahead: Volatility and ConsolidationLooking forward, the aviation industry faces a dual challenge: managing prolonged fuel price volatility and navigating a landscape of potential consolidation. With flight volumes growing faster than efficiency gains, the carbon footprint remains a persistent issue despite the focus on SAF. Analysts predict that airlines will continue to struggle with hedging strategies in a volatile market, potentially leading to further mergers and acquisitions among budget carriers struggling to maintain margins.

The Documentary's Tone Let's get one thing straight immediately: no documentary about Brexit should be this much of a hoot. The dread many felt when the referendum result came in – a fear that reactionary populism was on the rise and Britain was entering an era of managed decline – has only bloomed like mould in the intervening decade. Interviews with Key Figures The two-parter rakes over the ashes of the referendum and unearths an endless parade of sparky anecdotes in the process. Brexit-flavoured juice is served from the off, with Vote Leave bosses “didn’t really want to win”, says Nigel Farage. Boris Johnson's position had “nothing to do with the EU,” says George Osborne. “It was Game of Thrones.” The Impact of the Documentary Despite prioritising bon mots and tales of vicious infighting, there’s still time for plenty of compelling insight into Westminster machinations. Osborne, Cameron, Brown and Corbyn all attempt to justify their fatally divergent perspectives on how to influence the electorate. The Verdict Does this programme’s fixation on gossipy drama trivialise Brexit? Absolutely. Will you watch a more rollickingly fun documentary about politics this year? Absolutely not.

The Star-Studded Opening Ceremony The 2026 World Cup officially began with a spectacular opening ceremony at the iconic Azteca Stadium in Mexico City. The event featured a star-studded lineup of performers, including popstars Shakira, Burna Boy, and a host of other talented artists. The Ceremony Details The ceremony celebrated Aztec culture and featured a vibrant display of colorful costumes, music, and dance. Mexican singer-songwriter Lila Downs welcomed the world in Spanish and English, setting the tone for the festivities. Shakira performed the World Cup anthem 'Dai Dai' alongside Nigerian star Burna Boy. Venezuelan singer Danny Ocean sang 'Partidazo' alongside performers dressed in traditional Mexican dress. Mexican popstar Belinda and Los Angeles Azules had a cultural mashup in their song 'Por Ella' as part of the World Cup album. The Impact of the Ceremony The ceremony was a fitting tribute to the rich cultural heritage of Mexico and set the stage for the weeks-long tournament. The event was attended by fans from all over the world, with many donning jerseys and costumes in support of their favorite teams. Chaos at Fan Zones Meanwhile, chaos erupted at fan zones across Mexico City, with access to the main venue hampered by metal barriers and protests by teachers demanding pay rises. Despite the challenges, fans remained enthusiastic and eager to cheer on their teams. The Future of the Tournament With the opening ceremony now behind us, the focus shifts to the tournament itself. The 2026 World Cup promises to be an exciting and unpredictable ride, with 48 teams competing for the coveted title. As the competition heats up, fans around the world will be eagerly following the action.

The Iran national football team has been forced to abandon its planned training base in Tucson, Arizona and set up a makeshift camp in Tijuana, Mexico, where open‑top trucks armed with machine guns patrol the perimeter. The move follows the U.S. and Israel’s recent attacks on Iran and has turned the World Cup preparation into a high‑security operation that blends sport with geopolitics.Security Measures and Logistical Hurdles at the Tijuana BaseClub Tijuana staff were notified only two weeks before the switch and have been working 18‑hour days to ready a single natural‑grass pitch for one of Asia’s top teams. Security protocols are extreme: credentials are checked multiple times, and armed patrols in helmets and masks circle the Estadio Caliente every few hours.Open‑top trucks equipped with machine guns patrol the surrounding roads.Only one pitch with natural grass is available for training.Access to the facility is strictly controlled; media and fans are limited.The team stays at a nearby hotel while a 15‑person support staff travels to Los Angeles for the FIFA‑mandated press conference.Numbers Highlighting the Scale of the RelocationKey figures illustrate how abrupt and resource‑intensive the move has been.400 miles – the distance between the original Tucson site and the new Tijuana location.18‑hour workdays for Club Tijuana staff to prepare the training field.15 support staff members will travel to Los Angeles for the press conference.3‑0 win over Club Tijuana’s Under‑21 side in a friendly match.Political Reverberations and Fan Reactions in Mexico and the DiasporaMexican fans have largely welcomed the Iranians, gathering outside the hotel, chanting, and requesting autographs, while expressing criticism of U.S. policy. Iranian expatriates in the United States are divided: some condemn the team for representing a regime they oppose, while others simply want the squad to succeed on the pitch.Fans in Tijuana displayed a banner reading “Iranian cheetahs, welcome to Tijuana” in Farsi.Local supporters voiced statements such as “I’m ashamed of what the United States is doing.”Iranian diaspora groups in Los Angeles anticipate a tense atmosphere for the upcoming group‑stage matches.Outlook: How the Security Situation May Shape Iran’s World Cup CampaignWith limited media access and a heavily guarded environment, the team’s ability to focus on football may be compromised. The federation has indicated that the kit man could even run the press conference, underscoring the constrained operational freedom. If the security posture remains tight, Iran’s on‑field performance could be affected by off‑field stress, but the squad’s recent 3‑0 friendly win suggests resilience.

The Power of Puppets in Trauma Recovery In the midst of ongoing conflict, Gaza's women and children are finding solace in an unlikely source: puppets. This innovative approach to trauma recovery is being used to help those affected by the war to cope with their emotions and begin the healing process. Puppet Therapy: A Growing Trend Puppet therapy is a growing trend in trauma recovery, with many organizations and individuals using this approach to help those affected by conflict and crisis. By using puppets as a medium for expression, women and children in Gaza are able to process their emotions and work through their experiences in a safe and supportive environment. A Beacon of Hope in Gaza The use of puppets in Gaza is not only providing emotional support to women and children but also serving as a beacon of hope in a region ravaged by conflict. As the situation in Gaza continues to unfold, this innovative approach to trauma recovery is a reminder that even in the darkest of times, there is always a way forward. The Future of Trauma Support As the use of puppets in trauma recovery continues to grow, it is likely that this approach will become an increasingly important part of the global response to conflict and crisis. For women and children in Gaza, puppets are more than just a toy - they are a symbol of hope and resilience in the face of adversity.

The Return of Instability in Northern IrelandUK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland Hilary Benn has officially labeled the recent surge in unrest in Belfast as 'racist thuggery,' marking a stark departure from the sectarian violence of the past and signaling a dangerous new era of racialized street warfare.The Belfast Riots and the 'Racist Thuggery' LabelThe violence erupted following a brutal stabbing in Belfast, carried out by a Somalian national granted asylum. This incident served as a catalyst for far-right mobs to clash with police, specifically targeting hotels housing asylum seekers. Benn condemned the disorder, noting a reduction in intensity on Wednesday night but emphasizing the clear racial motivation behind the attacks.16 arrests were made on Wednesday night.Police report significant coordination via social media.The victim, Stephen Ogilvie, remains in critical condition.Echoes of the Troubles and the Fragility of PeaceThe resurgence of violence has reignited fears regarding the stability of the Good Friday Agreement of 1998. While the conflict previously pitted Catholic nationalists against Protestant loyalists, the current unrest is driven by anti-immigration sentiment, complicating the political landscape. The involvement of coordinated online activity suggests a modernization of how unrest is organized, bypassing traditional community structures.Predicting the Path ForwardWith the case of the attacker adjourned to July 8 and potential prosecutions looming for social media incitement, the coming weeks will be critical. The UK government faces immense pressure to address the root causes of the unrest while maintaining order, as the line between protest and organized criminal activity blurs.

The Lead SpaceX has officially confirmed that it has raised $75 billion from the sale of its shares to its underwriters, who are set to begin marketing the company on the Nasdaq stock exchange. IPO Pricing Details SpaceX priced its 555.6 million shares at $135 each, making it officially the largest IPO in history, eclipsing the $24.9 billion raised by Saudi Aramco during its 2019 public markets debut. The Data Analysis Shares: 555.6 million Price per share: $135 Total funds raised: $75 billion Potential additional shares: 83.3 million Potential additional funds: $11 billion The Impact Analysis This IPO makes Elon Musk the world’s first trillionaire. The listing will also deliver significant windfalls to major shareholders, including Antonio Gracias, Luke Nosek, and Gwynne Shotwell. The Prediction Market participants expect a classic 20% IPO pop on the first day of trading, with Hyperliquid pricing the shares at $167. However, there are big open questions about how SpaceX will be able to justify its eye-popping valuation in the longer term.