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The Lead-Up to Ethiopia's Elections Ethiopia will head to the polls on June 1 for its first nationwide elections since the formal end of the Tigray war, a devastating two-year conflict from 2020 to 2022 that concluded with a peace agreement between the Ethiopian federal government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Ethiopia at a Glance Ethiopia is a landlocked country in the Horn of Africa, covering an area of 1,104,300sq km (426,400sq miles) and bordered by Eritrea, Sudan, South Sudan, Kenya, Somalia and Djibouti. The country has sustained notable economic growth over the past two decades, with the IMF projecting a 9.2 percent expansion in 2026, the highest on the continent. Yet persistent challenges remain, including high inflation (11.7 percent as of April 2026), foreign exchange shortages, and the costly burden of post-war reconstruction. Ethiopia's Ethnic Groups The East African country is one of the most ethnically diverse countries in the world, with more than 80 distinct groups. The Oromo are the largest, making up about 35 percent of the population, concentrated largely in the south and central regions. The Amhara are the second-largest, about 24 percent, and have historically been the politically dominant group. Other significant groups include the Somali (7 percent), in the east; the Tigrayan (6 percent), concentrated in the northern Tigray region; and the Sidama (4 percent), in the southern highlands. Armed Violence Across the Country Ethiopia has been in near-continuous conflict since 2020, across several fronts: Tigray (2020-22): Ethiopian forces (ENDF) and their allies, including Eritrean forces, fought the Tigray defence forces (TDF). Oromia (2019-present): Conflict between Oromia regional forces, the ENDF, and the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) has killed thousands of civilians. Amhara (2023-present): Amhara militias fought alongside federal troops in the Tigray war, but that alliance collapsed when the federal government reached a peace deal with the TPLF. According to Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED), an independent conflict monitor, between January 1, 2022 and May 15, 2026, more than 7,400 attacks have been recorded across the country.

Ethiopia's Contested Election LandscapeAddis Ababa, Ethiopia – Ethiopia will hold general elections on June 1, 2026, with Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's governing Prosperity Party (PP) widely expected to secure a decisive victory. A fragmented opposition and violence in parts of the country could keep millions from voting, raising questions about the legitimacy of the electoral process.In the capital, Addis Ababa, the ruling party has closed major roads, including Meskel Square in the city centre, to stage large rallies for supporters, while opposition parties say they have been barred from holding comparable gatherings.Election Dynamics and Government Campaign StrategyThe electoral board claims more than 50 million people have registered to vote out of a population of at least 130 million, though critics dispute these figures, pointing to large parts of the country affected by conflicts in regions including Amhara and Oromia, as well as lingering instability following the Tigray conflict.Several of the country's most populous regions, including Amhara, Oromia, Gambella and Tigray, remain unstable after a civil war that ended in 2022, killing an estimated 600,000 people and displacing millions.Regional Conflicts and Electoral Legitimacy"The polls are primarily a symbolic exercise intended to confer legitimacy on the incumbent," Kjetil Tronvoll, professor at Oslo New University College and an expert on Ethiopia, told Al Jazeera. "Multiparty elections in Ethiopia have never been a genuine contest with the real possibility of changing government, neither under the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) nor under the PP.""With the exclusion of Tigray, the challenge is far bigger than it appears on the surface," Tronvoll said, adding that it reflects Ethiopia's political and territorial crisis. "It is a consequence of the federal government's lack of territorial control and the erosion of federal authority over political institutions in the region."Suppression of Opposition and Media ControlMany opposition voices have been pushed out of formal political space, with armed movements active across Amhara, Oromia and other regions. Tigray has been excluded entirely from the election, as the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), a banned but influential political actor in the region, consolidates its authority.Opposition leader Mistresilasie Tamerat, 23, who heads the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Party (EPRP), says she has been repeatedly denied permits and venues to organize rallies, an issue also highlighted by the Ethiopian Human Rights Commission (EHRC), a government-established human rights body.Press Freedom Under SiegeMuch of Ethiopia's media and journalists have been warned against critical coverage of the upcoming election, while the media regulatory authority has come under scrutiny for its actions against the press, including the reported deportation of journalists and restrictions affecting outlets such as The Economist and The Africa Report.Ethiopia now ranks 145th out of 180 countries in Reporters Without Borders' 2025 Press Freedom Index, alongside Eritrea, North Korea and Iran near the bottom of the ranking. Addis Standard, a leading critical online publication, has had its licence withdrawn, while The Reporter newspaper, the country's largest-circulation paper, has been warned to align its reporting with government narratives.Diminished Public Engagement and Future OutlookDays before the vote, the mood in Addis Ababa is subdued. There are few campaign signs beyond those of the governing party and little visible political activity, reflecting a mood shaped by double-digit inflation and an influx of displaced people fleeing insecurity elsewhere in the country.Even music perceived as critical of the government, including songs by popular artist Teddy Afro, is increasingly absent from public spaces and radio broadcasts, residents say. For many Ethiopians, the election represents a continuation of the status quo rather than a genuine opportunity for political change, with the government's control over institutions and public space ensuring its anticipated victory.

EU Announces New Sanctions Targeting Extremist Israeli SettlersThe European Union announced on Thursday, 28 May 2026 that it is sanctioning four entities and three individuals it deems “extremist Israeli settlers” for “serious” human‑rights violations against Palestinians in the occupied West Bank.Specific Entities and Individuals Added to the Sanctions ListThe newly listed parties include:Nachala Settlement Movement and its director Daniella Weiss, accused of encouraging forced displacement of Palestinians.Israeli NGO Regavim and its director Meir Deutsch, cited for lobbying the demolition of Palestinian property and an EU‑funded primary school.NGO Hashomer Yosh and its president Avichai Suissa, linked to at least 28 violent outposts and settlements and the recruitment of armed volunteers.The Amana cooperative of the Gush Emunim settler movement, said to have played a key role in initiating, financing, and facilitating at least 30 violent outposts and settlements.Sanctions Scale: Cumulative Figures and Recent AdditionsWith these additions, the EU now sanctions 136 persons and 41 entities under its Global Human Rights Sanctions Regime, which was created in 2020. The regime covers acts such as genocide, crimes against humanity, and other serious violations.The latest round brings the total of newly sanctioned settlers to four entities and three individuals, following an earlier package announced earlier in May that also targeted Israeli settlers and Hamas leaders.Implications for the West Bank Conflict and EU Foreign PolicyThe sanctions mark a long‑awaited shift after a previous veto by Hungary’s illiberal government was lifted following the appointment of Prime Minister Peter Magyar. By targeting settler groups, the EU signals a stronger stance on settlement‑related violence, which has escalated since the start of Israel’s war in Gaza.Israel has condemned the measures, asserting a right to settle in the West Bank despite international‑law violations. The West Bank has seen the highest settlement expansion since 2017, and more than 1,000 Palestinians have been killed there according to UN figures.What May Follow: Potential Shifts in Regional DynamicsAnalysts expect the EU’s action could pressure the Israeli government to curb settler violence and reconsider expansion policies, especially as international scrutiny intensifies. Future EU steps may include further sanctions or diplomatic initiatives aimed at protecting Palestinian rights and stabilising the region.

Deadly Airstrike in Northern Gaza City Claims Ten LivesAn Israeli air raid on a residential building in northern Gaza City on Wednesday night killed at least 10 people, among them four children, and left more than 20 injured. The attack unfolded despite a nominal cease‑fire that has been in place since October.Casualty and Injury Toll from the StrikeDeaths: 10 (including 4 children)Injured: 20+Location: Residential building, northern Gaza CityAl Jazeera reporter Hind Khoudary noted that children were playing nearby when the strike hit, and parents hesitated to leave their homes or tents for fear of further attacks.Ceasefire Breaches and Humanitarian Aid ShortfallTotal cease‑fire violations reported by Gaza’s Government Media Office: 3,005 over 227 daysAid trucks allowed into Gaza: 49,973 out of the agreed 135,600 (≈36% compliance)The figures underscore a widening gap between the cease‑fire terms and on‑the‑ground realities, with Israel accused of repeatedly breaching the agreement.Broader Implications for Gaza’s Humanitarian CrisisThe latest strike follows the funeral of Mohammad Odeh, head of Hamas’s armed wing, whose death a day earlier intensified tensions. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu described Odeh as Hamas’s head of intelligence during the Oct. 7 attacks and highlighted Israel’s ongoing campaign against senior Hamas leaders.Relatives of Odeh, including Abu al‑Abd Odeh, warned that “the war has not stopped,” reflecting the dire conditions reported by residents.Potential Trajectory of the ConflictWith both sides accusing each other of violating the cease‑fire, the risk of a return to full‑scale war is growing. Continued restrictions on aid and the high number of violations suggest that humanitarian conditions will deteriorate unless a substantive de‑escalation occurs.

The Market Surge The United States stock market has been hovering near record highs and oil prices have plunged amid new hope that a ceasefire deal between the US and Iran is close. The rally came on Wednesday as negotiations continued between Washington and Tehran, with markets betting that a deal would reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz, easing oil and gas supply concerns and soothing the deep uncertainty afflicting the global economy. Oil Prices Decline Oil prices declined sharply after Iran’s state broadcaster said it had obtained a preliminary document outlining a framework for a potential deal. The price of US crude fell 5.5 percent to settle at $88.68, while Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, decreased to $92 after prices traded above $100 last week. The Impact on Stock Market The S&P; 500 rose 0.1 percent and added to its all-time high set the day before. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 243 points, or 0.5 percent, with an hour remaining in trading, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.1 percent higher. Sticking Points in the Negotiations It remains unclear whether the two parties have come to an understanding on the major sticking points, including the fate of about 440 kilogrammes (970lbs) of highly enriched uranium; Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, which the US has long insisted it wants to see dismantled in its entirety; Tehran’s ballistic missiles and its support for armed groups in the region.

The LeadOnline child safety campaigners, including bestselling author Jonathan Haidt, have formally requested that the Trump administration investigate Roblox, the popular gaming and chat platform used by 150 million people daily. The groups accuse Roblox of unfair trade practices that prioritize profit over children's safety and healthy development.The Complaint Against Roblox's DesignThe coalition, which includes Haidt's Anxious Generation Movement, Fairplay, and the National Center on Sexual Exploitation, filed a detailed dossier with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) criticizing Roblox's business model and platform features. They specifically allege that the platform's "engagement-maximizing design features" and voice/text chat capabilities repeatedly expose children to sexual content and harmful adults, leading to exploitation and abuse.The complaint also targets Roblox's virtual currency, Robux, claiming it monetizes children's "lack of impulse control." The groups argue that Roblox's age-inappropriate chat settings—allowing nine-year-olds to interact with 15-year-olds and 13-year-olds with 17-year-olds—create significant safety risks.Roblox's Growth and Business ModelRoblox, based in San Mateo, California, has experienced substantial growth, with revenue jumping 36% to $4.9 billion last year. This growth is primarily driven by sales of Robux, the platform's virtual currency used to purchase digital items. While the company notes that only 1.4% of users were payers in the first quarter of 2026, game creators collectively earned $1.5 billion from the platform.The platform hosts 7 million user-created games, with Brookhaven being the most popular. Despite claims of implementing safety measures like facial age estimation and a "Sentinel" system for detecting child endangerment, campaigners argue these measures are insufficient.Industry-Wide Backlash Against Tech PlatformsThis complaint represents part of a growing consumer and political backlash against online platforms that have gained massive popularity while raising concerns about child safety. The movement follows a California jury ruling that Meta and YouTube designed addictive products that harmed young people, and ongoing efforts in Washington for stronger online child protection legislation.Andrew Ferguson, the chair of the FTC, has been vocal about child safety online, having previously hosted a seminar titled "The attention economy: how big tech firms exploit children and hurt families." This context suggests the complaint may gain traction within the current regulatory environment.Roblox's Response and Future OutlookRoblox has disputed the campaigners' claims, asserting that its platform is "designed to provide a positive, healthy and enjoyable experience" and that they build for "fun and connection, not short-term engagement." The company highlights safety measures including default restrictions on direct chat for players under nine and voice-chat features limited to age-verified users aged 13 or older.As the FTC considers this complaint, the outcome could set a significant precedent for how gaming platforms design their features and interact with younger users. With over 30 million children reportedly under 13 using Roblox daily, the potential regulatory intervention could force substantial changes to the platform's business model and safety protocols, potentially affecting the broader online gaming industry.

The Papal Warning on AI's Ethical Crisis Pope Leo XIV has denounced the "culture of power" driving the rapid rise of artificial intelligence while warning that the technology must be subject to the "most rigorous" ethical constraints as it infiltrates everything from work to war. In his first major encyclical of his papacy, titled Magnifica Humanitas (Magnificent Humanity), the Pope presented the document himself during an event at the Vatican, marking a significant papal intervention in the global AI debate. The Encyclical's Core Ethical Framework The encyclical represents one of the highest forms of teaching from a pope to the Catholic church's 1.4 billion members, outlining his priorities while highlighting what he considers society's major issues. Pope Leo, who has previously identified AI as the biggest threat to humanity today, called for the "disarming" of AI, stating that some autonomous weapons systems are "practically beyond any human reach" to control. "Disarming AI means freeing it from the mentality of 'armed' competition," the Pope wrote. "To disarm does not mean rejecting technology, but preventing it from dominating humanity," adding that the technology should be "human-friendly", accessible to all and opened to discussion and debate. AI's Role in Modern Warfare In a significant warning about military applications, Leo referred to "a troubling revival of war as an instrument of international politics" and said AI was helping to facilitate the "normalization of war." He emphasized that "the development and use of AI in warfare must be subject to the most rigorous ethical constraints, to guarantee respect for human dignity and the sanctity of life and to avoid a race to develop such arms." The Concentration of Digital Power In a passage that appeared to be targeted at Silicon Valley, the Pope warned that power over digital systems, infrastructure and data "does not rest with states but with major economic and technological actors." He cautioned that when such power is concentrated "in the hands of the few" it tends to "become opaque and evade public oversight, increasing the risk of distorted forms of development that give rise to new dependencies, exclusions, manipulations and inequalities." The Vatican's Engagement with Tech Industry The Vatican has been seriously engaged on questions surrounding AI for several years, including having regular dialogues with Microsoft, Google and other big technology firms. Christopher Olah, a co-founder of Anthropic who attended the Vatican event, supported the need for greater oversight, stating that "the development of AI cannot be left solely to technology companies, urging greater oversight from religious leaders, governments and civil society." Olah warned there was "a real possibility" that AI would displace human labor "at very large scale," adding that "if that happens, supporting those displaced will be a moral imperative of historic proportions." Historical Reflections and Digital Slavery In a notable historical reflection, Pope Leo apologized for the Catholic church's long delay in condemning slavery, describing it as "a wound in Christian memory." He also spoke of the "new forms of slavery" due to the digital economy, particularly noting his family history includes both enslaved people and enslavers. "It is impossible not to feel deep sorrow when contemplating the immense suffering and humiliation endured by so many in stark contrast to their immeasurable dignity as persons infinitely loved by the Lord," the Pope wrote. "For this, in the name of the church, I sincerely ask for pardon." The Future of AI Regulation and Oversight The Pope emphasized that the Catholic church wanted to work with AI developers to discuss proper use of the technology. According to Christopher White, a senior fellow at Georgetown University's Initiative on Catholic Social Thought and Public Life, "Leo has done in this document is put the full weight of his office behind the Catholic church's efforts to be in dialogue with big tech." White noted that the Pope "is clearly approaching AI from a position of humility and making it clear that the church doesn't have all of the answers when it comes to what sort of policies are necessary for AI regulation. But he is being clear-eyed that AI development can't simply be the wild west like some of its advocates would like to see."

Deadly Train Bomb in Balochistan Kills DozensAt least 24 people were killed and more than 50 injured when a suicide car bomb detonated on a train carrying soldiers in Quetta, capital of the southwestern Pakistani province of Balochistan. The attack occurred during Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif's four-day visit to China, just before his meeting with China's President Xi Jinping to mark 75 years of diplomatic ties between the two nations.Sunday's Devastating Attack on Military TrainAccording to reports from the scene, several houses and buildings adjacent to the railway line were severely damaged in the blast, which caused train carriages to overturn and catch fire. A state of emergency was declared at public hospitals in Quetta, with doctors and medical staff ordered to remain on duty. Footage shared online showed charred vehicles and train carriages lying on their sides, with thick plumes of black smoke rising into the sky.Pakistan's Prime Minister Sharif condemned the attack in a post on X, stating: "Such cowardly acts of terrorism cannot weaken the resolve of the people of Pakistan. We remain steadfast in our determination to eliminate terrorism in all its forms and manifestations."Escalating Violence: Statistics on Balochistan ConflictResearch from the Pakistan Institute for Peace Studies indicates Balochistan recorded at least 254 attacks in 2025 – roughly 26 percent more than in 2024. A December 2025 report by ACLED found that separatists had intensified attacks, with the number of attacks using improvised explosive devices (IEDs) and grenades growing by more than 65 percent in the first 11 months of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024.The Global Terrorism Index report for 2026 found increased Baloch armed group activity in Pakistan, with the BLA responsible for Pakistan's largest terror attack of 2025 – the hijacking of the Jaffar Express train in March, which resulted in six military personnel killed and hundreds of passengers taken hostage.Who Are the BLA and Major Baloch Armed Groups?The Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA), which has a suicide squad called the Majeed Brigade, is the largest of several ethnic separatist groups fighting the federal government. It says it is fighting for the independence of Balochistan, Pakistan's poorest region despite its wealth of natural resources. The BLA often targets infrastructure and security forces but has also struck in other areas, including Karachi.The BLA has deployed women suicide bombers and was designated a "foreign terrorist organisation" by the United States in August 2025. The group was also at the center of tit-for-tat strikes in 2024 between Iran and Pakistan, bringing the neighbors to the brink of war.The Baloch Cause: Resources and MarginalizationHome to about 15 million of Pakistan's roughly 240 million people, Balochistan is the country's poorest region despite its wealth of natural resources, including coal, gold, copper, and gas. These resources generate significant revenue for the federal government – unfairly, according to the BLA, which wants Balochistan's natural wealth to belong to its people.The province is home to one of Pakistan's major deep-sea ports at Gwadar, a crucial trade corridor for China's $65 billion investment in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a wing of President Xi Jinping's Belt and Road initiative. It also contains key mining projects, including Reko Diq, believed to be one of the world's largest gold and copper mines.Regional Stability and International Investment at RiskThe attack comes as Pakistan attempts to strengthen economic and security cooperation with China – something the BLA strongly opposes. The movement poses a challenge to Pakistan's efforts to retain Chinese and American investment, potentially revealing deeper instability in the region."The persistence of insurgency has had implications for Pakistan's wider political system," explained Yunas Samad, an emeritus professor of South Asian Studies. "Security concerns in Balochistan have increasingly shaped governance and political discourse, strengthening the role of the military and security establishment in national affairs and undermining the democratisation process."Internationally, the issue matters because Pakistan remains a nuclear-armed state of enormous strategic importance. Any significant escalation in internal instability in a country with nuclear capabilities inevitably attracts international concern.Rare-Earth Minerals and Geopolitical CompetitionAnother major issue is that geological assessments suggest Balochistan contains 12 of the 17 rare-earth minerals on the periodic table. Rare earths are critical minerals used to manufacture a vast array of modern items, including batteries, military hardware, smartphones, and semiconductors.Since the start of his second term, US President Donald Trump has pushed plans to diversify Washington's stockpile of critical minerals to reduce reliance on China, which currently dominates the supply and processing of the world's rare-earth minerals. In December 2025, the US announced a $1.25 billion investment in critical minerals mining at Reko Diq to drive "economic growth in Balochistan."Future Outlook for Balochistan's ConflictWhether the current surge in attacks constitutes an entirely "new phase" of the conflict remains unclear. However, it does appear to indicate a degree of resurgence in militant capability and confidence among sections of the Baloch insurgency."The fact that this latest incident nevertheless occurred may suggest that militant groups retain a significant operational capability despite security efforts," noted Samad. "Whether this constitutes an entirely 'new phase' is perhaps too strong a conclusion at present. However, it does appear to indicate a degree of resurgence in militant capability and confidence among sections of the Baloch insurgency."The Baloch separatist movement remains one of the major unresolved questions over Pakistan's statehood, serving as a constant reminder of the challenges the Pakistani state faces in maintaining unity and stability in the region.

WHO chief warns of a deadly convergence of Ebola and conflict in eastern DRCTedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus highlighted on X that eastern DRC now faces a "catastrophic collision" of disease and war, urging an immediate ceasefire to protect lives.Escalating violence in Ituri hampers Ebola containment effortsArmed groups have kept state services absent in Ituri province for decades, and recent clashes are displacing populations into overcrowded camps, severing critical containment corridors and endangering frontline health workers.Outbreak numbers reveal a widening health crisis10 confirmed Ebola deaths220 suspected deaths900 suspected cases since the outbreak was declared on 15 MayThe Bundibugyo strain circulating has no approved vaccine or treatmentThe United Nations health agency warns the true spread is likely far broader than reported.Humanitarian access crisis threatens regional stabilityContinued attacks on health facilities make case‑tracking and contact tracing nearly impossible, while mass displacement raises the risk of cross‑border spread to ten neighboring countries, including Rwanda, Kenya and Tanzania.Potential pathways to de‑escalation and disease controlExperts stress that a negotiated ceasefire, safe corridors for medical teams, and accelerated vaccine development are essential to curb the outbreak and prevent a wider African health emergency.