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The LeadHS2, the UK's flagship high-speed rail project, has officially become the most expensive infrastructure endeavor in British history, with costs soaring to £102.7bn and trains potentially not running until 2039. Transport Secretary Heidi Alexander has labeled the original design a "massively over-specced folly" and the cost increases "obscene," yet continues to defend the project despite its clear failures.The Escalating Costs of HS2The project's financial trajectory has been nothing short of disastrous. What began as a more modest proposal has now ballooned to over £100bn, with trains potentially delayed until 2039—decades after initial promises. To put this in perspective, the cost has escalated so dramatically that it dwarfs even other famously extravagant projects like Trump's White House renovations or Dubai's Burj Khalifa. Despite nine different transport secretaries overseeing the project since its inception, the budget has consistently spiraled out of control, with no end in sight.Political Failures and MismanagementSuccessive UK governments have failed to take responsibility for this unfolding disaster. The project originated as a "vanity project" of the David Cameron coalition, with fundamentally flawed design choices including the wrong route, wrong speed, and improper termini. Prime Ministers from Cameron to Johnson to Sunak have all lacked the political courage to cancel the project, with Sunak merely scrapping the Manchester leg, making what remains even worse value for money. Civil servants and advisors have been overwhelmed by the 30,000-strong HS2 bureaucracy, while oversight bodies like the National Audit Office have failed to provide adequate scrutiny.The Case for CancellationThe strongest argument for HS2 is its cancellation. With no track laid and only two viaducts completed out of 52, the project is still in its early stages. The £44bn already spent should be treated as "sunk costs," and the focus should shift to more beneficial investments. Contrary to claims that cancellation would be prohibitively expensive, there's no logical scenario where the £60bn still planned for HS2 would provide better value than reallocating those funds elsewhere. Cancellation would also free up valuable urban development sites around London Euston and Birmingham's Curzon Street, which currently resemble construction disaster zones.Alternative Investments for Britain's FutureThe funds currently committed to HS2—potentially over £100bn—could transform Britain's infrastructure landscape. Instead of focusing on marginal time savings for journeys between London and Birmingham, the government could invest in re-signaling, electrification, and urban transit systems. Britain currently has only nine tram networks or metros, compared to France's 30 and Germany's 60. The annual £7bn HS2 budget could build new hospitals, schools, care centers, youth clubs, and courtrooms across the nation—investments that would address far more pressing needs than marginally faster rail travel for a small segment of the population.

The Early Days of Trump's Soccer Career Drive north from New York City and into the Hudson valley. Take Exit 17 and follow Route 7 as it heads south along the river, past the abandoned shipyard and the aptly named Cadet Motel. Hang a left after a few miles, wind up a long driveway and you’ll arrive at New York Military Academy. The Culture of Hazing and Discipline at NYMA The NYMA of the 1960s was entirely unlike the sleepy, near-abandoned campus that exists today, with a well-documented culture of hazing and abuse akin to Full Metal Jacket. Most instructors were hardened veterans, many of whom had served overseas during the second world war. Individual discipline aside, they also pitted students against one another, as Dobias did during twice-weekly “cage matches”, where one student would beat another into submission. Trump's Time on the Soccer Team Trump became part of the Dutchess County Scholastic League, a collection of small schools scattered throughout tiny hamlets in the Hudson Valley and just beyond. Trump joined NYMA’s soccer team after suffering an injury playing gridiron football. A photo of the New York Military Academy soccer team, featuring Donald Trump, has surfaced, providing a glimpse into his early days as a soccer player. The Truth About Trump's Playing Career Yearbooks exist, as do newspapers. Combing through them in search of clues about Trump’s playing career paints an interesting picture of Trump’s brief moment as a soccer player at NYMA, and helps add even more depth to arguably the most polarizing leader in US history. Some accounts describe Trump as an incredible athlete, while others are starkly different. Many describe him as a bully, a character trait that was only hardened amid NYMA’s culture of hazing and rigid discipline. The Legacy of Trump's Soccer Career It’s debatable whether Trump truly cares about the sport itself or simply likes the attention it brings him. But it’s a fact that in 2018, he welcomed international and domestic club teams to the White House and presented the Club World Cup trophy to Chelsea. Cristiano Ronaldo, Wayne Rooney and Lionel Messi have all visited with Trump; the latter was made into wallpaper while Trump went on a rant about the war in Iran. Fifa’s president Gianni Infantino at times seems glued to the US president.

The Diplomatic Implication President Donald Trump has twice suggested, since his summit with China’s President Xi Jinping in Beijing last week, that he may speak with Taiwan’s President William Lai Ching-te. That would mark the first direct contact between leaders of the governments since the US switched diplomatic recognition from Taipei to Beijing in 1979. It remains committed, however, under the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act to supporting the defence of the self-governing democracy. Taiwan's Response In a foreign affairs ministry statement on Wednesday, Taiwan’s President responded to Trump’s comments, saying he would be “happy” to talk to him. Taiwan was committed to maintaining a stable status quo in the Taiwan Strait, he added, but “China is the disruptor of peace and stability”. Beijing regards Taiwan as part of Chinese territory. The Data Analysis The statement comes as the White House considers a $14bn arms deal with Taiwan. China’s foreign ministry responded saying it “firmly opposes official exchanges” between the US and Taiwan, as well as US arms sales to the island. The Impact Analysis Trump’s comments suggest he may be willing to break with decades of diplomatic protocol, which will likely jar with Beijing, say analysts. Based on past events, Beijing will not be happy if Trump does meet with or talk to Taiwan’s president. When the former US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan in 2022, her two-day visit sparked heightened tensions between the two countries. The Prediction Analysts say that included in its response is an awareness in Beijing that Trump is unreliable and unpredictable. If Trump calls Lai and announces that the US will “continue to support Taiwan and provide a large arms package; all hell will break loose”. However, he said, the very fact that Trump even entertained the idea of speaking with Xi about whether the United States would sell weapons to certain countries was a win for Beijing.

The LeadEleven weeks after the start of the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to naval traffic, bleeding the global economy far beyond the Gulf. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) maintains an iron grip over this narrow, strategic waterway, while a corresponding United States naval blockade on Iranian ports has failed to reopen it.Before the war began, between 120 and 140 ships travelled through the strait each day, about half of them oil tankers carrying some 20 million barrels of oil between them. Now, only a few vessels whose owners have negotiated with the IRGC are permitted to pass.The Strategic Control of HormuzOn Wednesday, Iran said it coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours, two days after announcing the formation of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), a new body to provide "real-time updates" on operations in the strait.Since the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran in April, Iran has been working on formalising a mechanism to charge a transit fee from ships crossing the critical chokepoint, through which 20 percent of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are shipped during peacetime.Tehran has reportedly already charged fees as high as $2m per ship for transit since the war started. Even though countries opposing Tehran say this is illegal, it may still be less expensive than the overall cost of the closure of the strait each day.The Economic Cost of BlockadeNearly one-fifth of global oil and LNG exports were shipped by Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz before the US and Israel bombed Iran on February 28, triggering the Iranian closure of the waterway. The strait is the only waterway linking Gulf producers to the open ocean – there is no other route through which they can ship exports.About 20.3 million barrels per day of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz in peacetime – nearly 27 percent of global maritime oil trade. The lion's share of that crude went to Asian markets.Global LNG trade has been similarly hard hit. On the day before the war broke out, Brent crude – the global benchmark for oil prices – closed at $72.48 per barrel. After Iran closed the waterway on March 4 and began attacks on vessels attempting to sail through, traffic came to a standstill, stranding about 2,000 ships on either side of the strait.In terms of lost oil revenues, this amounts to $114.8bn of losses per day. About 10 billion cubic feet of LNG per day also used to pass through the strait, worth a further $7.8bn.The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transit FeesFor hundreds of ships stranded in the Gulf with thousands of sailors on board, the cost of remaining anchored is steep, including crew wages, loan repayments, repair and management, coupled with inflated war risk premiums.In turn, Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2m for authorisation to pass. Experts say many will see this as worthwhile purely in terms of monetary cost."There is no doubt that paying Iran is cheaper than a continuous blockade because a sitting tanker bleeds money," said Nader Habibi, an Iranian American economist."It makes sense from an economic point of view, but it is not politically feasible," he added. "The companies are under pressure from the US sanctions and not to make arrangements with Iran. This is not just a purely economic cost-benefit analysis, but long-term considerations that are taken into account."International Legal PerspectivesInternational law protects free transit through strategic waters such as natural straits like Hormuz, barring countries from imposing passage tolls even where the waterways fall entirely into territorial waters, like in the case of Hormuz.However, services such as security controls, inspections and insurance regimes can be charged for. Chargeable fees also partly depend on whether a waterway is a man-made passageway or a natural one.These are three different precedents in maritime traffic flow:Panama Canal: An artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Vessels pass through a unique system of locks that raise and lower vessels across elevated terrain. Since Panama built, maintains and operates the canal, it can charge transit fees based on vessel size, cargo capacity and booking priority. These range from several hundred thousand dollars per transit to some slots sold for millions of dollars.Suez Canal: Another artificial canal, linking the Mediterranean and Red seas. Egypt charges transit fees for the use of canal infrastructure, maintenance and traffic management services through the narrow waterway. Container ships and oil tankers pay from several hundred thousand dollars to more than one million dollars per voyage.Turkiye's Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles: These are different because they are natural straits, rather than man-made canals. Turkiye charges for navigation-related services such as lighthouse operations, rescue readiness, medical support and traffic management – and tightly controls ship scheduling and navigation.Regional Cooperation PossibilitiesIran's newly-formed PGSA published a new map of Hormuz, stretching from Kuh-e Mubarak in Iran to south of Fujairah, in the UAE, at the eastern entrance of the strait, and from the tip of Qeshm Island to Umm al-Quwain at the western entrance.Given how the Iran war has spilled over into the Gulf region – with the UAE taking the brunt of Iranian strikes – economist Mohammad Reza Farzanegan said "regional cooperation with Iran is the most realistic path to stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz."The UAE, Oman, Qatar and Iran will have to work together because their economies require it, he argued. A workable arrangement could include a joint maritime authority, shared monitoring, emergency coordination, environmental protection and service-based contributions for maintaining safe passage."This would give Iran a recognised role in the security of the waterway while giving Persian Gulf economies more predictability," Farzanegan added. "Such a framework is also more realistic than relying on external military enforcement, which has been more a source of trouble for these states."The Future OutlookWhile it may seem that the economics of the closure of the strait are currently skewed towards Iran, Aniseh Tabrizi, an associate fellow on the Middle East and North Africa Programme at think tank Chatham House, noted that "the economics by itself is not going to be the driver to change calculation or move from the current standpoint."She emphasized that Iran and the US need to reach a "diplomatic compromise, with other calculations linked in to the economic factor", before there can be an end to the energy supply crisis.Farzanegan added that if the world expects stable access to the Strait of Hormuz, then paying Iran could well be accepted as the price of keeping the vital waterway predictable. "From an economic perspective, a negotiated transit arrangement [with Iran] now makes more sense than continued closure," he concluded.

The Lead Elon Musk's SpaceX has revealed plans for a highly anticipated $1.75tn (£1.3tn) flotation next month as he seeks investor backing for his quest to make life “multiplanetary”. SpaceX's Financial Performance SpaceX is a sprawling business, encompassing the eponymous rocket launch company, the Starlink satellite broadband service, Musk’s xAI artificial intelligence startup and the social media platform X, formerly known as Twitter. The entire business lost $4.9bn in 2025 on revenues of $18.7bn. Revenue is growing, however, rising by a third on 2024. The Data Analysis SpaceX's losses have widened since the start of the year, losing $4.3bn in the first quarter, compared with a loss of $528m in the same period last year. The company is split into three segments: space, which incorporates the rocket launch business whose clients include Nasa; connectivity, which houses Starlink; and AI, the unit behind xAI and the X platform. Connectivity makes the most revenue, at $11.4bn Space with $4.1bn AI at $3.2bn The Impact Analysis Musk will have 85% control of the business under the IPO plans, making it extremely difficult to unseat him from the company. Musk's control will be derived from majority ownership of a type of stock known as class B, which carries much more heft than the class A stock that everyone else will own. The Prediction Musk, who is already worth about $676bn, stands to make a vast sum from SpaceX although the exact amount is unclear. He has been granted 1bn class B shares that vest – meaning, Musk gets full ownership of them – if SpaceX manages to achieve the “establishment of a permanent human colony on Mars with at least one million inhabitants”.

Executive Summary: DOJ Launches $1.8 B “Anti‑Weaponisation” Compensation FundThe U.S. Department of Justice announced a new anti‑weaponisation fund worth just under $1.8 billion, designed to compensate individuals who allege they were victimised by federal legal actions. The fund is part of a settlement in former President Donald Trump's $10 billion lawsuit against the IRS over leaked tax returns.Mechanics of the New Fund and Its Legal OriginsThe fund originates from a “judgement fund,” a standing government account used for legal settlements without needing fresh congressional legislation. Key operational details include:Claims can be filed by anyone who believes they suffered from unlawful government‑initiated legal action.Every three months the fund must report recipients, payment types (cash, debt relief, etc.) to the Attorney General.A five‑person oversight panel, appointed by the Attorney General with one member selected in consultation with congressional leaders, will manage the fund.The fund will stop accepting new claims after December 1 2028, after which any remaining balance reverts to the federal treasury.Financial Scale: $1.8 B Allocation and Settlement ContextThe allocation is comparable to the annual policing or school budget of a midsized U.S. city, far exceeding the typical size of a single‑lawsuit settlement. It stems from the settlement of Trump’s lawsuit alleging the IRS leaked his tax information between 2018‑2020. The settlement was approved by a federal judge, meaning no additional legislative action is required to activate the fund.Political Fallout: Why Democrats and Legal Scholars Decry a Slush FundCritics, including more than 90 House Democrats and senators such as Elizabeth Warren and Ron Wyden, argue the fund:Pushes the limits of executive authority by creating a large compensation scheme without congressional oversight.Could be used to reward supporters of the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot, many of whom were pardoned by Trump.Represents a “slush fund” that may funnel taxpayer money to politically aligned individuals, echoing past concerns about “lawfare.”The Cato Institute and other think tanks have published analyses labeling the fund as an unprecedented bypass of normal appropriations processes.Looking Ahead: Congressional Pushback and Potential Fund FateDemocratic lawmakers are preparing legal challenges and may seek to block the fund through congressional action or a court injunction. The Justice Department has indicated that any unspent money after the fund’s termination will be returned to the Treasury, but the debate centers on whether the fund should have been created at all. If Congress intervenes, the fund could be restructured, placed under stricter oversight, or dissolved entirely, setting a precedent for future executive‑legislative financial arrangements.

Rachel Reeves' Cost of Living Support Package Rachel Reeves will cut VAT to 5% on summer attractions such as theme parks and softplay centers during the school holidays, as she aims to ease the impact of the war in Iran on cash-strapped households. Key Measures Announced VAT cut from 20% to 5% during the summer on tickets for attractions and children’s meals Postponement of fuel duty increases due to take effect in September and December Suspension of import tariffs on some foods 10p increase in tax-free mileage rate for workers claiming back the costs of driving The Data Analysis The costs of these measures will be partly met by changes to the “foreign branch profits” regime, which determines how multinational oil firms pay tax on their UK operations. Reeves suggested the shift would raise several hundred million pounds. The Impact Analysis The chancellor said the summer attractions that would benefit from the temporary VAT reduction included zoos, museums, theme parks and softplay venues, as well as children’s theatre tickets and meals. This move is expected to support families and help them cope with the rising cost of living. The Prediction Reeves declined to say how she expected to support families in the upcoming winter, when utility bills are expected to rise sharply – but restated her intention to ensure any such scheme would be, “targeted and temporary”.

Lead: A Climate Champion Turns Policy ReverserWithin weeks of taking office, Mark Carney—once celebrated for his 2015 Bank of England speech on climate‑related financial risk—has abandoned the consumer carbon price, weakened methane rules, and opened the door to new oil‑and‑gas infrastructure. The rapid policy reversal has left climate‑concerned voters feeling betrayed and has sparked a national debate over Canada’s environmental direction. Carney’s Immediate Dismantling of Canada’s Climate FrameworkAmong his first actions, the prime minister:Scrapped the nationwide consumer carbon price.Rebranded the climate agenda as a “Climate Competitiveness Strategy” focused on investment rather than regulation.Delayed clean‑electricity mandates from 2035 to 2050, allowing new gas‑powered plants.Weakened methane regulations and postponed their implementation.Cancelled the planned oil‑and‑gas emissions cap that had been under consultation for years. Quantifying the Policy Reversals: Carbon Pricing and Emission TargetsThe federal‑Alberta agreement reduces the industrial carbon price from the projected $170 per tonne by 2030 to $130 per tonne by 2040, effectively rendering the tool “virtually irrelevant.” The removal of the consumer price and the delay of zero‑emission‑vehicle mandates have already triggered a “dramatic drop‑off” in EV sales, according to recent market data. Domestic and International Repercussions of Canada’s Climate ShiftThese moves have multiple layers of impact:Domestic emissions: Weakening of carbon pricing and the fast‑tracking of LNG and pipeline projects are expected to raise Canada’s total greenhouse‑gas output.Provincial politics: The deal appeases Alberta’s separatist‑leaning faction but alienates climate‑focused voters nationwide.Global credibility: Canada’s commitment to the 2050 net‑zero goal is now described by the Canadian Climate Institute as “firmly out of reach,” undermining its standing in international climate negotiations. What Lies Ahead for Canada’s Climate AgendaAnalysts warn that without a coherent carbon‑pricing mechanism, Canada may struggle to attract private investment in clean‑energy projects, while Indigenous groups have signaled readiness to block new fossil‑fuel infrastructure. The government’s reliance on a sovereign‑wealth‑fund model to subsidize these projects mirrors a “mirror opposite of Norway’s successful fund,” raising questions about fiscal sustainability. If the current trajectory continues, Canada could see both higher domestic emissions and increased downstream carbon leakage as exported oil and gas feed global markets.

Mick Jagger's New Role Rolling Stones singer Mick Jagger is set to play a lighthouse keeper in Alice Rohrwacher's upcoming film, Three Incestuous Sisters. The film is an adaptation of Audrey Niffenegger's 2005 visual novel and marks Rohrwacher's English-language debut. Film Details The film is currently in production on the Italian island of Stromboli. Jagger joins a star-studded cast including Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Saoirse Ronan, and Josh O'Connor. Interestingly, O'Connor will play his character's son in the film. Rohrwacher's Previous Work Alice Rohrwacher received critical acclaim for her previous films, Happy as Lazzaro and La Chimera. Her adaptation of Three Incestuous Sisters is highly anticipated, given her track record of delivering unique storytelling. Jagger's Film Experience Mick Jagger has a history of appearing in films, including lead roles in Performance and Ned Kelly, as well as smaller roles in Freejack and The Man from Elysian Fields. He has also worked as a producer on projects like Enigma and Get on Up. The Future of the Film With a talented cast and a unique storyline, Three Incestuous Sisters is shaping up to be a compelling addition to Rohrwacher's filmography. The film's release is highly anticipated, and fans of Jagger and Rohrwacher will be eager to see the final product.