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Lead: Brazil’s 2026 World Cup outlook Brazil enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the most decorated nation with five titles, yet they have not lifted the trophy in 24 years. Under new manager Carlo Ancelotti, the squad blends seasoned stars such as Neymar and emerging talents like Vinicius Jr as they aim to defy low expectations. Ancelotti’s foreign‑manager milestone and tactical shift After dismissing Dorival Jr, Brazil appointed Carlo Ancelotti – the nation’s first permanent foreign coach. The Italian brings five Champions League crowns and experience across Europe’s top five leagues, promising a pragmatic yet attacking approach. Ancelotti has already repositioned Vinicius Jr as a central striker and reinstated Neymar despite recent injury concerns. Key statistics and squad composition World Cup appearances: 22 (every tournament since 1930) Best performance: Winners (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, 2002) FIFA ranking: 6 Top scorer: Ronaldo – 15 goals Most caps: Cafu – 20 matches Player to watch: Vinicius Jr Squad highlights: Goalkeepers: Alisson, Ederson, Weverton Defenders: Marquinhos, Alex Sandro, Danilo, Gabriel Magalhães Midfielders: Bruno Guimarães, Casemiro, Fabinho Forwards: Vinicius Jr, Neymar, Raphinha, Endrick Why Brazil’s underdog narrative could reshape the tournament Despite a star‑laden roster, Brazil are among the least fancied Brazilian sides ever, a status that may relieve pressure and allow creative freedom. The blend of experienced leaders and youthful vigor, combined with Ancelotti’s proven ability to manage egos, could make Brazil a surprise contender against groups that include Morocco, Scotland and debutants Haiti. Outlook and Al Jazeera’s projection Al Jazeera predicts Brazil will reach the quarter‑finals. Their success will hinge on the fitness of Neymar, the form of Vinicius Jr, and the defensive stability provided by Marquinhos and Alisson. If the squad clicks, a deep run is plausible; otherwise, early knockout looms. Group C schedule June 13 – Brazil vs Morocco (East Rutherford, New Jersey) – 18:00 local / 22:00 GMT June 19 – Brazil vs Haiti (Philadelphia) – 21:30 local / 01:30 GMT (June 20) June 24 – Scotland vs Brazil (Miami) – 18:00 local / 22:00 GMT

The Economic Dilemma Facing Jamaica's Energy Future Jamaica stands at a critical juncture in its energy policy, with preliminary tests off the south coast suggesting the presence of crude oil in the Walton-Morant basin. This potential discovery comes at a time when the island is grappling with the dual pressures of post-pandemic recovery and the escalating costs of climate adaptation. Testing the Waters in the Walton-Morant Basin United Oil & Gas, a UK-based company, holds the exclusive exploration license for the 22,400sq km block. Recent seabed sampling has identified hydrocarbons, a development that energy minister Daryl Vaz has described as "very positive." However, experts caution that even with confirmation, commercial production is unlikely until the mid-2030s. Balancing the Books: Fuel Imports vs. Climate Costs The financial calculus behind this potential shift is stark. Jamaica currently imports all its fuel, a cost that fluctuates between $1.5bn and $2bn annually. While the island generated $4.3bn from tourism in 2024, the economic strain is compounded by the $12bn bill for damage caused by Hurricane Melissa. This financial vulnerability is driving the government's cautious optimism toward oil exploration. The Regional Race for Fossil Fuels Jamaica is not alone in this pursuit. The Caribbean and Latin America are witnessing a resurgence in fossil fuel interest, following Brazil's deep-water discoveries in the 2000s. The region is now joined by Suriname and Guyana as emerging producers, creating a competitive landscape where nations are weighing immediate economic relief against long-term environmental stability. A Green Pledge at Odds with Survival? The environmental implications are significant. Theresa Rodriguez-Moodie of the Jamaica Environment Trust argues that pursuing oil exploration contradicts the island's moral standing to demand climate assistance. "If we want to have any kind of moral high ground... we cannot be considering expanding the fossil fuel industry," she stated. As Jamaica navigates this complex path, it faces the challenge of reconciling its Paris Agreement commitments with the immediate economic survival of its population.

The Escalation of Violence in Southern Lebanon At least 16 people have been killed and 58 wounded in Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon, according to Lebanese health authorities, as Israel intensifies its assault and issues mass displacement orders across the region. Details of the Attacks Lebanon’s state-run National News Agency reported on Thursday that six of the victims belonged to the same family. They were killed in an Israeli drone strike while trying to flee at dawn along the Adloun Highway, a key route linking Sidon and Tyre, it said. 6 victims belonged to the same family Killed in an Israeli drone strike Incident occurred along the Adloun Highway The Humanitarian Crisis The attack came as Israel expanded its bombardment across southern Lebanon, hitting residential areas, roads and civilian infrastructure. The Lebanese army said one of its soldiers was killed in an Israeli strike in the Nabatieh area, the latest in a string of attacks targeting military personnel. Displacement Orders Israel has also issued sweeping displacement orders covering large parts of the south, including Tyre and surrounding areas. Residents were told to evacuate immediately and move north of the Zahrani River, roughly 40km (25 miles) from the Lebanon-Israel border. The Impact on Civilians The International Committee of the Red Cross has warned that Israel’s large-scale forced displacements and continued strikes on urban centres are placing civilians at severe risk and deepening a humanitarian crisis. The Future Outlook The escalation came as United States-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon are due to resume on Thursday, beginning with technical discussions before moving to broader negotiations in early June. However, Israel has significantly intensified its military operations in the past two days, casting doubt over the prospects for diplomacy.

Britain faces a looming fiscal shock of roughly £125 bn each year if the surge in youth worklessness is not tackled, according to a landmark review led by former Labour minister Alan Milburn.The Milburn Review Highlights a £125bn Fiscal DrainThe report, commissioned by the government, labels the growing cohort of young people outside school, work or training as a “lost generation”. It argues that the current trajectory is no longer affordable and may become unsustainable for public finances.Numbers Behind the Crisis: Over 1 Million NEETs and £8.1bn Benefits SpendNEET count in the three months to March 2026: 1,012,000 (first breach of 1 m since 2013).Average lifetime earnings loss per NEET (age 18‑24): £52,000 per year.Annual benefits cost for young people: £8.1 bn, with £4.4 bn directly linked to NEETs.Potential GDP boost if all NEETs were employed: £38 bn extra output.Estimated lifetime public‑finance impact per NEET: £29,000.Why the Growing NEET Population Undermines the UK EconomyThe surge coincides with the highest overall unemployment levels since the Covid pandemic and comes amid broader economic pressures from tax hikes and the fallout of the Iran war. The report warns that the longer a young person remains out of work or study, the costlier the intervention becomes, creating a multibillion‑pound “financial black hole”.Policy Paths and the Likelihood of ReformMilburn calls for a “fundamental reset” of policies across schools, the NHS and the welfare state, arguing that simply expanding work programmes will not address deep‑rooted issues. He estimates that £3.2 bn could be saved if NEETs were in work and earning above benefit thresholds. However, any new welfare reforms may face political resistance after recent controversial benefit changes.

A fire ripped through the dormitory of Utumishi Girls School in Gilgil, Nakuru County, central Kenya, killing at least 16 students and injuring 79 others, officials said on Thursday.Fire Breaks Out in Gilgil Dormitory, Leaving 79 InjuredThe blaze started overnight in the girls’ boarding facility. Police and education authorities responded quickly, deploying roughly 50 officers to search the surrounding area for students who may have fled the flames. The cause of the fire has not been immediately identified.Casualty Figures and Response ResourcesDeaths: 16 studentsInjured: 79 (including several serious cases)Police personnel on scene: ~50 officersLocation: Utumishi Girls School, Gilgil, about 120 km northwest of NairobiFootage from Citizen Television showed shattered windows and smoke‑stained walls, confirming the intensity of the fire.Recurring School Fires Highlight Systemic Safety GapsKenya has a documented history of school fires. Government data recorded more than 60 arson cases in public secondary schools in 2018 alone, often linked to student protests over harsh discipline and poor living conditions. Notable past incidents include:2024 – A fire at a primary boarding school in Nyeri County killed 21 students.2017 – Ten students died in a Nairobi school fire, leading to a murder charge against a student.These patterns suggest deeper issues related to infrastructure, fire safety standards, and student‑staff relations.What Policy Changes Could Prevent Future Tragedies?Education Minister Julius Ogamba and senior police commander Masoud Mwinyi are likely to face pressure to strengthen safety protocols. Potential measures include:Mandatory fire‑safety audits for all boarding schools.Installation of functional smoke detectors and fire‑extinguishing equipment.Improved emergency evacuation training for students and staff.Addressing underlying grievances that may lead to arson, such as discipline policies and dormitory conditions.How quickly these steps are implemented will determine whether Kenya can break the cycle of deadly school fires.

The Lead: Milburn's Stark Warning on UK Youth EmploymentA landmark review led by former Labour cabinet minister Alan Milburn has issued a stark warning regarding the future of the British workforce. The report projects that the number of young people not in work or education could surge to 1.25 million by the early 2030s without immediate intervention. This projection signals a potential deepening of the economic inactivity crisis that has been plaguing the UK for several years.The Event Details: The 'Generational Fault Line' ReportMilburn, leading the review into why so many young people are economically inactive, argues that the UK risks opening up a 'generational fault line' between young and old. He contends that systemic failures are preventing young people from entering the workforce, citing disconnects in schools, the NHS, the welfare system, and the jobs market. The review serves as a call to action for policymakers to address the root causes of youth economic stagnation.The Data Analysis: Projecting the 1.25 Million NEET CrisisProjected Figure: The report warns that the number of NEETs (Not in Education, Employment, or Training) could reach 1.25 million by the early 2030s.Current Context: This figure represents a significant demographic shift, indicating a potential loss of human capital and future economic productivity.Key Driver: The analysis points to a widening gap between the skills young people acquire and the demands of the modern labor market.The Impact Analysis: Economic Inactivity and Social CohesionThe rise in youth inactivity poses a severe threat to social cohesion and economic stability. A large inactive youth population places a heavier burden on the working-age population and the state, potentially leading to reduced economic dynamism and increased social stratification. The report suggests that without addressing the barriers to entry for young people, the UK could face long-term stagnation in its growth potential.The Prediction: Urgent Overhaul of UK Support SystemsTo avert this crisis, the report calls for a comprehensive overhaul of the support systems designed for young people. Future policy must focus on aligning educational outcomes with labor market demands and ensuring that health and welfare systems are accessible and relevant to the youth demographic. The Guardian is now seeking input from young people to better understand their personal experiences and challenges in the job market.

BP’s boardroom conflict intensified on Thursday when ousted chair Albert Manifold issued a lengthy statement denying allegations of aggressive behaviour and asserting that no concerns were raised about his conduct during his brief tenure.The Boardroom Standoff: Manifold’s Public RebuttalManifold challenged multiple media reports that described his interactions with colleagues as aggressive. He emphasized that “at no point in my tenure as chairman of BP has anyone raised with me any issue about my conduct or my relationship with my colleagues”. He also dismissed claims that he sought to act as an “executive chair”, labeling them “nonsense”.Numbers Behind the Conflict: Tenure Length and Office PresenceTenure: Appointed in October 2025 and departed less than eight months later (May 2026).Office days: Spent only 13 days in BP’s London office during the current year.Career span: Over 40 years in senior roles, including a decade as CEO of Irish building‑materials group CRH.Strategic Implications for BP’s Governance and Cost‑Cutting DriveThe board’s decision to remove Manifold cited “serious concerns” about governance standards, oversight and conduct. BP reaffirmed its commitment to the cost‑reduction programme launched earlier, which includes job cuts and tighter expense controls. Interim chair Ian Tyler (former Balfour Beatty CEO) will oversee the transition while CEO Meg O’Neill, hired in December, continues to steer the strategy.What Lies Ahead for BP’s Leadership and Shareholder ConfidenceBP’s statement underscored a “duty of care” to employees and signalled that the board stands by its earlier remarks. The episode raises questions about the company’s ability to manage board dynamics while pursuing aggressive cost‑cutting and performance targets. Analysts are likely to watch the interim chair’s handling of the fallout and the timeline for appointing a permanent chair, as shareholder confidence hinges on perceived governance stability.

A Surrealist Masterpiece Emerges from the Depths of Psychiatric ConfinementA recently discovered painting by the surrealist artist Leonora Carrington, made during her confinement in a Spanish psychiatric hospital during the second world war, will go on public display for the first time in London this summer. Known as Villa Pilar, the work was painted in 1940 while Carrington was a patient at sanatorium Morales in Santander, after fleeing Nazi-occupied France following the arrest of her partner, the German artist Max Ernst.The Unveiling of a Hidden Masterpiece from a Turbulent PeriodCarrington suffered a psychological breakdown in Madrid and was admitted to the institution, where she underwent traumatic psychiatric treatments that she later described in her memoir Down Below. But encouraged by her psychiatrist, Dr Luis Morales, Carrington sketched each day, and created two paintings, Down Below and Villa Pilar, which depict the psychiatric hospital as a symbolic underworld. Carrington described her "down below" period as an experience akin to "being dead."A Life Marked by Rebellion and Artistic InnovationBorn into a wealthy Lancashire family in 1917, Carrington rebelled early against the expectations placed on upper-class women. She studied at the Chelsea School of Art before meeting Ernst at a dinner party in London in 1937, when she was 20 and he was 46. The two began a relationship that scandalised their respective social circles and moved together to Saint-Martin-d'Ardèche in the south of France, where they lived and worked until the German invasion.She found kindred artistic spirits in renowned surrealists like André Breton, Salvador Dalí, and Man Ray, who, like her, were fascinated by dreams, the subconscious and the occult. When she eventually settled in Mexico in the 1940s, she became one of the country's most celebrated artists and part of an influential community of women creatives working outside the male-dominated European surrealist movement – alongside figures including the Spanish painter Remedios Varo and the photographer Kati Horna.Carrington was later embraced as a feminist icon, and she always resisted attempts to reduce her to her gender, once remarking: "I didn't have time to be anyone's muse ... I was too busy rebelling against my family and learning to be an artist." She died in Mexico City in 2011, aged 94.The Rediscovery and Symbolic Meaning of Villa PilarCarrington gave Villa Pilar to Dr Morales when she left the sanatorium, and it remained in his family for decades. It was only rediscovered during research for the exhibition by the Faro Santander team, who persuaded the Morales family to loan it publicly for the first time.Vanessa Boni, curator of the exhibition, said Carrington created the work as "a parting gift" to thank Morales for helping her recovery, despite the "brutal" treatments she endured, including cardiazol injections. "As we know from her memoir, it was really traumatic," she said. "Dr Morales kept the painting his entire life, and when he passed away, it was handed down to his daughter."The work depicts the hospital as being populated by hybrid human-animal figures moving through vivid green gardens – imagery that would become central to Carrington's later practice. "It speaks to ideas of inner transformation, metamorphosis and otherness," Boni said. "Both paintings are set in a verdant green landscape, including a green sky, which was a symbolic colour for her."A Transatlantic Exhibition JourneyVilla Pilar will join the exhibition Leonora Carrington – the Symptomatic Surreal at the Freud museum, where Sigmund Freud spent the final year of his life after escaping Nazi-occupied Vienna. To mark the unveiling, the exhibition has been extended until 10 August before travelling to Faro Santander, a new arts centre in the northern Spanish city, in September.Daniel Vega Pérez de Arlucea, director of Faro Santander, said: "This is not simply a matter of showcasing the work of one of the most important surrealist artists, but of recognising and revisiting a chapter of her life deeply rooted in this city."After leaving Santander, Carrington travelled through Lisbon and New York before settling in Mexico, where she became one of the leading figures of surrealism. In 2024, one of her paintings was auctioned for £22.5m, a record for a UK-born female artist.While in New York, Carrington gave her Santander sketchbooks to the surrealist collector Julien Levy, whose collection was sold at auction and dispersed into private collections in 2004. This exhibition marks the first attempts since then to bring the contents together for a major public display.

Interviewing Mouse on Mars: A Conversation Like No Other Interviewing Mouse on Mars is no easy feat. Not because the duo are hard to find, even though their current studio is hidden in a courtyard deep in Berlin’s Kreuzberg district. Nor because they continue to be notoriously busy, particularly since one half of the band, Jan St Werner (born Jan Stephan Werner), is now a professor in pop music, at the Folkwang University of the Arts in the western German city of Essen. The Collaboration with Lee 'Scratch' Perry After a five-year silence, they are about to release Spatial, No Problem, a collaboration with Lee “Scratch” Perry recorded during the late dub and reggae legend’s whirlwind visit to their former Berlin studio in 2019, two years before his death aged 85. The meeting had been set up by mutual friends, though it was not clear whether it would really happen until Perry arrived at Berlin’s airport – the former Bob Marley producer had a reputation for unpredictability, and dates kept shifting. The Making of Spatial, No Problem The result is a collage-esque fever dream of a record, marrying Perry’s signature free-flowing vocals with a strange, yet warm mix of countless instruments played by friends, all held together by glitchy electronics. They had the idea to record the session as spatial audio, a technology used to mimic a more “natural” hearing experience in 3D. Asking about his familiarity with the technique, Perry answered with a wide grin, and the sentence “Spatial? No problem”. The title to the album was born, which includes recordings that are said to be some of Perry’s last. The Impact of the Collaboration Their reverence for Perry is obvious, every attempt to steer the conversation towards other topics brings the trio back to their time with him. They paint a picture of a creative frenzy: technicians installing microphones whichever corner Perry ended up standing and performing in, friends popping in and out of the sessions, NKishi being proclaimed “God” by Perry in a graffito on the studio’s walls, a general sense of a meeting of minds between artists with a similarly anarchic approach to life and craft. The Future of Mouse on Mars At a moment when the music industry is becoming ever more algorithmic, more optimised, more relentlessly targeting fickle attention-spans on social media, Mouse on Mars remain a genuinely anomalous proposition: a band whose greatest asset is their refusal to be legible. And they have been doing this for 30 years, ending up somewhere entirely different than originally planned – and making it sound, against all odds, exactly where they meant to be.