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The Nuclear Buildup in Eastern Europe Earlier this week, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko for the first time took part in the "rehearsal" of Russia's use of tactical and strategic nuclear weapons. Between Tuesday and Thursday, he and Russian President Vladimir Putin presided over joint military drills covering the area from Eastern Europe to the Pacific, involving hundreds of Russian missile launchers, warplanes, warships and nuclear submarines. "We threaten absolutely no one," said Lukashenko, who has helmed Belarus since 1994. "But we have such weapons, and we're ready in every possible way to defend our common fatherland from [the western Belarusian city of] Brest to [Russia's Pacific port of] Vladivostok." Russia's Nuclear Drills and Capabilities "It's important to further boost the level of readiness of strategic and tactical nuclear forces," Putin stated during the exercises. Both leaders ordered the launch of the intercontinental, hypersonic Yars missile capable of carrying three independently targetable nuclear missiles, which flew 5,750km (3,573 miles) from the Plesetsk Cosmodrome in northwestern Russia to the Pacific Kamchatka Peninsula in less than 20 minutes. As part of the drills, Moscow supplied Minsk with modified Su-25 fighter jets and Iskander-M ballistic missiles with a range of up to 500km (310 miles). Nuclear weapons are reportedly stored at the Asipovichi military range, less than 200km (124 miles) north of the Ukrainian border. Geopolitical Implications The drills come amid heightened tensions between Russia and NATO. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte warned that if Moscow uses nuclear weapons against Ukraine, the alliance's response would be "devastating." The exercises are clearly timed to a summit of NATO foreign ministers in Sweden's Helsingborg, a venue symbolic as Sweden joined the alliance after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. "The events develop suddenly, seemingly without any external reasons," noted Nikolay Mitrokhin, a researcher with Germany's Bremen University. "Something big is taking place, something that will be significant for international politics in general, and for mass media, including the very supply of nuclear arms." Belarus's Calculus While Belarus enjoys economic preferences and cheap hydrocarbons from Russia, Lukashenko has resisted Putin's attempts to merge Belarus with Russia as part of "union state" deals dating back to the 1990s. In recent months, ties between Belarus and the United States have also warmed, with Lukashenko joining United States President Donald Trump's Board of Peace. "We're not going to get sucked into the war in Ukraine. There's no need for it, neither civil nor military," Lukashenko stated, signaling his readiness to meet with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy. "If [Zelenskyy] wants to discuss something, seek advice, or anything else, he's welcome. I'm ready to meet him anywhere in Ukraine or Belarus." Future Scenarios Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has warned that the drills may be part of Moscow's preparations to launch a new offensive against northern Ukraine and Kyiv after Russian troops failed to capture sizeable areas in eastern and southern Ukraine this year. However, the current concentration of Russian forces in Belarus is "insufficient" for a new offensive, according to the head of the Kyiv-based Penta think tank. "Attacking Ukraine with Belarusian forces alone may end very badly for Lukashenko," said Volodymyr Fesenko. "For him, involving Belarus in the war is too big a risk." Despite this, analysts acknowledge that "unfortunately, there is such a risk" of Belarus becoming more directly involved in the conflict, though most believe Lukashenko will avoid such a development.

The Economic Crisis in War-Torn LebanonBeirut, Lebanon – Mario Habib, a 51-year-old barber who opened his shop in 2006 just before war broke out between Israel and Hezbollah, is now living through another conflict. Twenty years later, his business in Furn el-Shebbak neighborhood is struggling as Lebanon's economy deteriorates under the weight of renewed war and global fuel crisis. "The price of running the generator is killing me," Habib said. "Everything has gotten more expensive, the price of petrol doubled, the supermarket is more expensive, even the products [I use for my business] got more expensive."Regional Conflict Disrupts Fuel Supplies and Economic GrowthIsrael's war on Lebanon and the broader US-Israel war on Iran are severely damaging Lebanon's fragile economy. Supply issues have particularly affected oil from the Gulf region, which has largely stopped flowing since the US and Iran blockaded the Strait of Hormuz. In Lebanon, which was already suffering from a severe economic crisis, there is less work and people are losing their jobs at an alarming rate.Despite Lebanon's government expressing optimism about the country's economy in 2025, with the World Bank recording a modest 3.5 percent GDP growth that year, the renewed conflict has erased those gains. In March 2026, inflation reached an 18-month high in Lebanon. Lebanon's Bank Audi now predicts that there will be 0 percent GDP growth in 2026 if the war continues.Economic Indicators Show Deteriorating ConditionsInflation reached an 18-month high in March 2026Bank Audi projects 0% GDP growth for 2026 if war continuesLebanon had recorded 3.5% GDP growth in 2025Reconstruction and recovery costs estimated at $11bn by World BankWar-related losses in 2026 estimated at $3bn (with more expected)Oil prices have increased approximately 65% since MarchCompounding Crises Create Perfect Economic StormLebanon's current economic crisis is not solely the result of recent conflicts. The country has been facing multiple compounding crises for years:2019: Financial mismanagement led to a banking crisis, cutting people off from their savings2020: Beirut port explosion killed 218 people and devastated infrastructure2021-2022: Worsening state services and mass emigration2023-2024: Hezbollah-Israel war displaced thousands of Lebanese2024: Israel intensified attacks, displacing more than one million people2026: Renewed Israeli attacks have displaced over 1.2 million people"This is a war that comes after a war," said Sami Zoughaib, an economist and research manager at The Policy Institute, a Beirut-based think tank. "It comes after institutional collapse. It comes after one of the worst financial crises in history."Societal Impact and Economic VulnerabilityThe economic crisis is disproportionately affecting Lebanon's most vulnerable populations. According to the World Bank, agriculture, commerce, and tourism—sectors accounting for 77 percent of economic losses—are key income sources for low-wage and informal workers now at significant risk.Remittances, which were approximately $6.6bn in 2023, are expected to drop significantly in 2026 due to rising oil prices. The 65% increase in oil prices since March particularly affects remittances from Gulf countries, which are crucial to Lebanon's economy.The displacement crisis has mostly impacted Lebanon's Shia community, from which Hezbollah draws its support. However, economists warn that the economic fallout could exacerbate societal divisions, with political elites potentially scapegoating displaced people for the country's economic problems—a pattern seen in the past with Syrians and Palestinians.Future Outlook: Economic Collapse or Recovery?Should the current pattern of conflict continue, Lebanon's economy could soon become unviable, with many investors deciding that opening or operating businesses is not worth the potential returns. The impact has been felt across the country, with no community left untouched by the economic consequences of war.While some areas have been hit harder than others, economist Sami Zoughaib warns that Lebanon may be reaching a point of no return. "That is, for me, very dangerous," Zoughaib said, referring to the potential for political elites to exploit economic divisions for their own gain.For ordinary Lebanese citizens like Mario Habib, the immediate concern is survival. Despite rising costs and reduced business, Habib refuses to raise his prices. "I always prefer that the person who comes here is comfortable," he said. "A lot of things are more expensive, but I prefer to be conservative on this. I feel like if you come to me, you want to be happy and relaxed."

Lead: Merger Talks Collapse After Power‑Sharing StalemateOn Thursday, Estée Lauder announced that it has terminated negotiations with Puig to create a combined fashion‑and‑beauty group valued at nearly $40 bn. The split follows an impasse over which family‑controlled entity would dominate the board and the level of compensation demanded by key Puig brands.Breakdown of the Failed Estée Lauder‑Puig Merger NegotiationsThe discussions, first disclosed in March, stalled on two core issues:Control of the merged entity – both the Lauder and Puig families wanted the balance of power.Board composition – disagreement over the allocation of seats.Compensation for Charlotte Tilbury, a flagship Puig brand, which Bloomberg reported as a further sticking point.Both CEOs issued statements expressing gratitude for the talks but reaffirming confidence in their independent strategies.Share Price Reactions and Valuation ImplicationsInvestor sentiment shifted sharply after the termination:Estée Lauder shares rose 11.5% in post‑market trading, recovering from a roughly 20% decline that followed the merger’s initial disclosure.Puig shares, which had surged 15% when the deal was announced, plunged by a similar margin after the news.The combined entity would have been worth almost $40 bn (£30 bn/€34.5 bn), a valuation that now remains speculative.Strategic Implications for the Global Beauty LandscapeThe aborted deal underscores the difficulty of aligning family‑controlled businesses in the highly consolidated beauty sector. Estée Lauder, with a dual‑class structure giving the Lauder family >80% voting power, signals a preference for organic growth. Puig, having completed 11 acquisitions since 2011, will likely continue a selective, value‑focused M&A; approach under its new non‑family CEO, José Manuel Albesa.What the Split Means for Future M&A; in Beauty and FashionAnalysts expect both companies to pursue alternative growth paths:Estée Lauder may double down on its core brands—Clinique, Bobbi Brown, Tom Ford—and expand its digital and emerging‑market footprint.Puig is expected to keep targeting niche luxury brands that complement its existing portfolio, avoiding large‑scale mergers that could dilute family control.Overall, the termination highlights that governance and cultural alignment remain decisive factors in cross‑border beauty‑fashion consolidations.

The Childcare Crisis in BritainThe number of childminders in England has roughly halved over the past decade, with many citing rising costs, low pay and increasing paperwork as reasons for leaving the profession. Campaigners warn the decline is making it harder for families to find flexible and affordable childcare.Seeking Parent ExperiencesWe want to hear from parents and carers whose childminder has recently closed their business, stopped accepting certain age groups such those over three-year-olds or reduced the number of children they look after.Impact on FamiliesHow did it affect your family? Did you struggle to find alternative childcare? Have you been forced to move your child into a nursery setting despite feeling they were better suited to a smaller, home-from-home environment?Share Your StoryThe Guardian is collecting experiences from parents affected by the decline in childminding services. If you're 18 or over, you can share your story anonymously if you wish. Your responses are secure as the form is encrypted and only The Guardian has access to your contributions.Call for ActionAs the childcare landscape continues to change, it's crucial to understand how these changes are affecting families across the UK. By sharing your experiences, you can help highlight the challenges and potential solutions in the childcare sector.

The Lead: Japan's World Cup AmbitionsJapan have been late bloomers in terms of World Cups, only reaching the tournament for the first time in 1998 – but since then they have been at every edition. While they have never gotten past the last 16, their current crop of players is surely the most talented in the national side's history.Statement Victory: Japan's Rising International StatusJapan were the first team – outside the hosts – to qualify for the 2026 World Cup. The Samurai Blue have beaten Germany, Brazil, England and Spain since 2022. Their recent 1-0 win at Wembley against England in March, courtesy of a Kaoru Mitoma goal, sent a clear statement about their growing international prowess.Key Players: Mitoma's Absence and Kubo's PromiseJapan's preparations were dealt a blow with star player Kaoru Mitoma missing the tournament due to a hamstring injury. However, Japanese right-winger Takefusa Kubo has promised to fill the void. The 24-year-old has had a fantastic season at Real Sociedad, where he has tormented the best defences of La Liga and helped his side lift the Copa del Rey.Team Structure: Strong Backbone and Tactical FlexibilityWhile coach Hajime Moriyasu's side relish unleashing their attacking talent when possible, they can be pragmatic when needed – playing a low block and keeping things tight – and have a strong backbone. Former Arsenal defender Takehiro Tomiyasu has made the 26-man squad, despite not playing for the Samurai Blue for almost two years due to injuries. In midfield, Wataru Endo offers versatility alongside his leadership and defensive screening, while Daichi Kamada of Crystal Palace offers creativity in the middle of the park.Group Analysis: Path Through Group FJapan will surely qualify from Group F, with their opener against the Netherlands likely to be the stiffest test but also an opportunity to send a statement about their intentions. Tunisia and Sweden will probably not have enough quality to contain the Japanese, but the Blue Samurai certainly will not want to be getting complacent.Future Outlook: Breaking the Last 16 BarrierJapan may well break their last 16 hex – but the last eight will likely be as far as it goes for a side whose limitations will probably catch up with them. The psychological weight of so many last 16 exits is something the Blue Samurai will have to find a way to shrug off if they are to achieve greater success in 2026.Squad Breakdown: Key Names to KnowGoalkeepers: Zion Suzuki, Keisuke Osako, Tomoki Hayakawa.Defenders: Yuto Nagatomo, Shogo Taniguchi, Ko Itakura, Tsuyoshi Watanabe, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Hiroki Ito, Ayumu Seko, Yukinari Sugawara, Junnosuke Suzuki.Midfielders: Wataru Endo, Junya Ito, Daichi Kamada, Ritsu Doan, Ao Tanaka, Kaishu Sano, Takefusa Kubo, Yuito Suzuki.Forwards: Daizen Maeda, Koki Ogawa, Ayase Ueda, Keito Nakamura, Kento Shiogai, Keisuke Goto.

The Accolade Juan Mata had been written off, another caught in the mire of Australian football despite being a World Cup winner. Ever-smiling, now the 38-year-old also has the last laugh, having won the A-League Men’s Johnny Warren medal, the award for the competition’s player of the year. The Season's Impact After receiving the accolade, the out-of-contract Melbourne Victory playmaker said he wondered at the start of the season whether he would even go around again. Mata had endured a difficult introduction to Australia in 2024, after he signed with Western Sydney Wanderers following brief spells in Turkey and Japan. At the time, the arrangement made sense: both club and player – whose peaks were years past – were looking to bring joy back to football. The Data Analysis Mata played 1,684 minutes, scoring five times and assisting others for 13 goals, in a season of promise that ultimately ended suddenly. Victory were unlucky to lose to Sydney FC in the elimination final. The Impact Analysis Mata said he would have traded the Johnny Warren medal for club success, and expressed his appreciation for the Melbourne club. “They created a context and an environment in which I could enjoy football again,” he said. Everyone in the club, my teammates, they have a fantastic culture, and it is a privilege to be part of this.” The Prediction Mata’s future is uncertain. He said after receiving the award he would now take some time to consider his options. He is yet to confirm even whether he will play again. “That’s the big question for me now, what I want to do in my life – if I want to keep playing or not,” he said. “It’s difficult to stop when you’re enjoying. It’s also a good time to stop when things are going well. That’s what I said [after he won] the Victory medal, and that’s the way I feel.

The Journey of a Reject to Liverpool LegendThere was the Barcelona comeback on the night he ruffled Lionel Messi's hair, the Champions League triumph in Madrid, winning Liverpool's first league title in 30 years and pressing five Manchester City players in one career-defining run at Anfield when 4-1 up. But the best feeling Andy Robertson experienced at Liverpool was "climbing the mountain" with Jürgen Klopp's all-conquering team. Nobody climbed higher or harder.The boy who was rejected by Celtic at 15 and tweeted: "Life at this age is rubbish with no money" after his debut for Queen's Park aged 18 became the man many consider to be Liverpool's finest left-back, and arguably the best in the world at his peak. With 377 fiercely committed appearances in a Liverpool shirt behind him, Robertson will say goodbye on Sunday. The 32-year-old Scotland captain leaves "with no regrets, no bitterness" and "glad that one of our Egyptian friends might take a bit more of the limelight. I can just sneak underneath that."The Climbing of the Mountain Together"We were on the most amazing journey ever, all together," he reflects. "When we started out Mo Salah didn't sign as the best player in the world or the best winger in the world. Virgil van Dijk had the potential to be but wasn't the best centre-back in the world. Alisson wasn't the best goalkeeper in the world. Trent [Alexander-Arnold] wasn't the best right-back in the world. Hendo [Jordan Henderson] was still trying to find his feet as captain. We were all just on this journey from the bottom to the very top together and climbing that mountain was the best feeling ever."Every day we came in knowing we were getting better and better and starting to click as a team. We'd beat teams in the tunnel. Genuinely. When I speak to my Scotland teammates, they were lining up in the tunnel and looking over thinking: 'We're going to need to run our socks off today to get anything.' And more often than not they didn't get anything."We had an unbelievable environment to express ourselves, to play with freedom, but in our minds we knew we had to work at 100%. That was obviously from the manager, from the coaches, and I think then all the staff and people behind the scenes bought into it and you had the whole training ground determined to achieve all our dreams. Everyone was on the same page and we just made magical things happen thankfully."The Impact of Tragedy and TransitionRobertson's reminiscence prompts an inevitable follow-up. Why does Liverpool not feel like that now? His reply stops everyone in their tracks, and brings home the tragic reality of what this season has entailed for the now deposed Premier League champions. "In terms of the club I am leaving behind I think we are not at the 2017 stage, we are at the transition stage," begins one of Diogo Jota's closest friends. The Liverpool forward's death in a car crash alongside his brother in north-western Spain last July cast a dark pall over the campaign."This year hasn't worked out for a variety of reasons. We can't hide away from it, and it is not an excuse, but what we went through in the summer no team will ever go through. No member of staff will go through. I hope they never go through it because the devastation we went through … football didn't matter. We didn't care about football for weeks. None of us wanted to train. You were getting treatment off physios and physios didn't want to treat you. That is the reality of it."As footballers we of course have a duty, we have to move on and we managed that. We started the season fairly well although it was still an emotional time for us. The [season-opening] Bournemouth game was ridiculously emotional with all of Jots' family being there. I think after the 20th minute you saw a real dip in performance because of the emotional impact that it had on all of us.The Future of Liverpool FC"But then the season has been inconsistent. We bought players that we all got excited about, and they will all have an unbelievable career at Liverpool. I have no doubt about that. But they are also young. The one thing I get annoyed about in football is that footballers do not control their price tag. The market controls it. These players will be successful for Liverpool but they probably need a bit of time."Then some players who have played at a ridiculously high level haven't played to that level. If you add all that in then we have had an inconsistent season and that is the huge frustration for us. We have been too easy to play against. There is no hiding away from that but I believe they have more than enough in that changing room to be successful for Liverpool again."

The Play's Concept Imagine if One Day was set in Long Eaton. Now, take its sweeping, time-spanning love story, but make it platonic, and about two theatre-obsessed best mates. That’s the foundation for Jane Upton’s luminous, heart-exploding play, which catches Jess and Billy in a series of snapshots across their friendship. The Story Unfolds Beginning in the early 90s, during their school days, and then moving through their 20s, 30s and into their mid-40s, the play threads together teenage crushes, career decisions, breakups, marriages, births and children. Jess (Katie Redford) is an oversharer while Billy (Benedict Salter) has secrets. Their early years together pass through play rehearsals, parties, personal revelations and betrayals, but even in their lowest moments, the two are always pulled back to each other’s side. The Evolution of Friendship As their lives move in different directions, with Billy heading to London for drama school and later building a career as a high-flying agent, and Jess staying at home in a “suburban bubble” before eventually tiptoeing her way back into the creative scene as a playwright, they turn their noses up at the other’s choices. Still, in times of turmoil, they can’t help but pick up the phone or race across the country just to be there for their old friend. Their dialogue accurately captures people who know each other’s lives inside out. The Production Directed by Hannah Stone, the production shows friendship as something defining. Redford and Salter make their characters people we want to stay with across the decades. In fact, time here slips through our fingers. One moment they’re 15 in 1995, and Jess is getting advice from More! magazine; the next it is 2022, and a 42-year-old Billy is considering surrogacy for his next child. Abby Clarke’s design evokes nostalgia, with the back wall composed of white, Polaroid-inspired squares that shift from photographic outlines to mirrors. The Verdict With so much life to fit into 95 minutes, there are inevitable gaps in Billy and Jess’s stories. We could learn more about the structure of their families and the other relationships in their lives. But really, this is a play about the complicated, beautiful bond between two people. It leaves you desperate for more days with them. Where to Watch At Nottingham Playhouse until 12 June

The LeadSpotify has introduced a new AI-powered audiobook creation tool in partnership with ElevenLabs, allowing authors to self-publish audiobooks without exclusivity. The platform is expanding to support 10 more languages and aims to generate $100 million in annualized recurring revenue from its Audiobook+ subscriptions.AI Audiobook Creation Platform LaunchAlongside tools for AI-generated podcasts, Spotify on Thursday introduced a new, ElevenLabs-powered AI tool for self-publishing audiobooks within the Spotify for Authors platform. The company said at its Investor Day event that the feature will launch in beta this June on an invite-only basis, initially with support for the English language only.The AI-powered audiobook generation won't bind authors to an exclusive contract, meaning they are free to publish their generated audiobooks anywhere. This approach contrasts with some other platforms that require exclusivity for audiobook distribution.The news builds on Spotify's previous partnership with ElevenLabs, which allowed writers to submit audiobooks created on the voice AI startup's platform to Spotify. The audio streaming platform also already had a partnership with Google Play Books to allow for digitally narrated content. However, it may have wanted authors to access newer voice models that sound more expressive and human-like, like those offered by ElevenLabs. Notably, ElevenLabs had released its own self-publishing platform for authors in 2025.Financial Performance and Growth MetricsSpotify has increased its focus on audiobooks heavily in the last few years and has managed to build its catalog to 700,000 titles. Through these initiatives, the company has managed to bump up listening hours by 60% year-on-year, the company claims. Spotify also said that more than half of its audiobook listeners started in the last year.To date, Spotify has clocked in over a million Audiobook+ subscriptions, and it is on track to generate $100 million in annualized recurring revenue for the platform. The company will expand its Audiobook+ plans this year to allow for higher listening limits and will add new options for students and families in the future.Industry Transformation and Market ExpansionSpotify is also expanding its "Spotify for Authors" platform to support 10 more languages, including French, Canadian French, German, Dutch, Latin American Spanish, Swedish, Finnish, Icelandic, Danish, and Norwegian. This expansion will significantly broaden the platform's reach and accessibility to authors and listeners worldwide.The company brought the program to international markets, made an investment in non-English titles, enabled in-app purchases, and released audiobook charts. This year, it also started a program for authors to sell physical books in the U.S. and the U.K., creating a comprehensive ecosystem for content creators.Future Outlook and User Experience EnhancementsAt the event, the company introduced a new way for users to ask questions using natural language for audiobook discovery. This summer, Spotify will also expand a feature that allows users to create prompt-based playlists for podcasts and music to include audiobooks, it said.These enhancements reflect Spotify's strategy to leverage AI not just for content creation but also for improving user discovery and engagement. The integration of natural language processing for audiobook discovery could potentially revolutionize how users find and consume audiobooks, making the platform more intuitive and user-friendly.