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The Journey of a Reject to Liverpool LegendThere was the Barcelona comeback on the night he ruffled Lionel Messi's hair, the Champions League triumph in Madrid, winning Liverpool's first league title in 30 years and pressing five Manchester City players in one career-defining run at Anfield when 4-1 up. But the best feeling Andy Robertson experienced at Liverpool was "climbing the mountain" with Jürgen Klopp's all-conquering team. Nobody climbed higher or harder.The boy who was rejected by Celtic at 15 and tweeted: "Life at this age is rubbish with no money" after his debut for Queen's Park aged 18 became the man many consider to be Liverpool's finest left-back, and arguably the best in the world at his peak. With 377 fiercely committed appearances in a Liverpool shirt behind him, Robertson will say goodbye on Sunday. The 32-year-old Scotland captain leaves "with no regrets, no bitterness" and "glad that one of our Egyptian friends might take a bit more of the limelight. I can just sneak underneath that."The Climbing of the Mountain Together"We were on the most amazing journey ever, all together," he reflects. "When we started out Mo Salah didn't sign as the best player in the world or the best winger in the world. Virgil van Dijk had the potential to be but wasn't the best centre-back in the world. Alisson wasn't the best goalkeeper in the world. Trent [Alexander-Arnold] wasn't the best right-back in the world. Hendo [Jordan Henderson] was still trying to find his feet as captain. We were all just on this journey from the bottom to the very top together and climbing that mountain was the best feeling ever."Every day we came in knowing we were getting better and better and starting to click as a team. We'd beat teams in the tunnel. Genuinely. When I speak to my Scotland teammates, they were lining up in the tunnel and looking over thinking: 'We're going to need to run our socks off today to get anything.' And more often than not they didn't get anything."We had an unbelievable environment to express ourselves, to play with freedom, but in our minds we knew we had to work at 100%. That was obviously from the manager, from the coaches, and I think then all the staff and people behind the scenes bought into it and you had the whole training ground determined to achieve all our dreams. Everyone was on the same page and we just made magical things happen thankfully."The Impact of Tragedy and TransitionRobertson's reminiscence prompts an inevitable follow-up. Why does Liverpool not feel like that now? His reply stops everyone in their tracks, and brings home the tragic reality of what this season has entailed for the now deposed Premier League champions. "In terms of the club I am leaving behind I think we are not at the 2017 stage, we are at the transition stage," begins one of Diogo Jota's closest friends. The Liverpool forward's death in a car crash alongside his brother in north-western Spain last July cast a dark pall over the campaign."This year hasn't worked out for a variety of reasons. We can't hide away from it, and it is not an excuse, but what we went through in the summer no team will ever go through. No member of staff will go through. I hope they never go through it because the devastation we went through … football didn't matter. We didn't care about football for weeks. None of us wanted to train. You were getting treatment off physios and physios didn't want to treat you. That is the reality of it."As footballers we of course have a duty, we have to move on and we managed that. We started the season fairly well although it was still an emotional time for us. The [season-opening] Bournemouth game was ridiculously emotional with all of Jots' family being there. I think after the 20th minute you saw a real dip in performance because of the emotional impact that it had on all of us.The Future of Liverpool FC"But then the season has been inconsistent. We bought players that we all got excited about, and they will all have an unbelievable career at Liverpool. I have no doubt about that. But they are also young. The one thing I get annoyed about in football is that footballers do not control their price tag. The market controls it. These players will be successful for Liverpool but they probably need a bit of time."Then some players who have played at a ridiculously high level haven't played to that level. If you add all that in then we have had an inconsistent season and that is the huge frustration for us. We have been too easy to play against. There is no hiding away from that but I believe they have more than enough in that changing room to be successful for Liverpool again."

The Diplomatic Warning The high representative overseeing the United States-founded Board of Peace for Gaza, Nickolay Mladenov, has warned that the deteriorating status quo in the devastated Palestinian enclave risks becoming "permanent." Speaking to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), Mladenov presented a roadmap detailing obligations for Israel and Hamas to implement a permanent ceasefire. "Let me say this clearly: the implementation cannot advance through Palestinian obligations alone," Mladenov said, speaking via video call. "The continued killings and Israeli restrictions affecting humanitarian flows are not abstract issues." He urged the UNSC to use "every means at its disposal" to press Hamas to disarm, while also saying that Israel must uphold its commitment under a ceasefire agreed in October. The Humanitarian Crisis The war that Israel launched following the October 7, 2023 attacks on southern Israel by Hamas and other armed Palestinian groups was halted by a ceasefire in October 2025. More than 72,775 Palestinians have been killed in the conflict. But the Israeli military maintains a strict security regime, and many hundreds more have been killed in the past seven months. Conflict monitors warn that since the ceasefire in the US-Israel war on Iran was struck last month, Israeli bombardment of Gaza has accelerated. Violent raids by settlers and the military in the occupied West Bank have also been increasing. On Thursday, an Israeli drone attack killed a 26-year-old in Gaza's al-Mahatta area, east of Deir el-Balah city, according to Wafa news agency. The Stalled Peace Process In January, the US announced that the Gaza "ceasefire" was moving to phase two, which is supposed to focus on Hamas's disarmament, long-term governance and the establishment of a panel of Palestinian technocrats to lead post-war Gaza. It also calls for the gradual retreat of the Israeli army, which still controls more than 50 percent of the Palestinian territory, and the deployment of an international stabilizing force. But with the war in Iran drawing the world's attention amid a global energy crisis, the transition to the second phase has been stalled for weeks. Mladenov, a veteran Bulgarian diplomat, warned of the risks of inaction by both parties. The Regional Implications "The risk is that the deteriorating status quo becomes permanent: a divided Gaza, Hamas holding military and administrative control over two million people across less than half the territory," Mladenov said. "Those people are likely to remain trapped in the rubble, dependent on aid with no meaningful reconstruction, because reconstruction financing will not follow where weapons have not been laid down." "And the result? Another generation growing up in tents in fear, with despair as the most rational thing for them to feel." This, he said, is a scenario that Israelis, Palestinians and the region "should all fear and mobilize to avoid."

The Europa League VictoryAston Villa capped off an impressive European campaign by defeating Freiburg 3-0 in the Europa League final, ending a 30-year trophy drought for the club. The victory marked Unai Emery's fifth success in the competition with three different teams, each containing 'villa' in their names. The Spanish manager, who was paraded on the shoulders of Emi Martínez at full time, emphasized that this triumph is just a platform for future success.The Celebration ChallengeWhile the team celebrates their historic victory with a parade in Birmingham, they face the immediate challenge of recovering in time for their crucial Premier League match against Manchester City. Players like Matty Cash acknowledged the need for celebration but also recognized the importance of the upcoming fixture. With Champions League qualification potentially at stake, Villa must quickly transition from party mode to competitive focus.The City TestAston Villa's match against Manchester City represents more than just a regular season finale. A loss could jeopardize their Champions League qualification if other results go against them. The article suggests that while Bournemouth and Brighton might hope Villa will be distracted by their celebrations, Emery's team is expected to maintain the self-discipline required to face one of the Premier League's best teams.Emery's European MasterclassUnai Emery continues to establish himself as Europe's premier cup specialist, adding another Europa League title to his impressive resume. His ability to navigate teams through European competitions has been remarkable, with this victory coming just months after also achieving promotion with Real Union in Spain. The article highlights his humility despite the success, framing the trophy as part of a broader progression for the club.The Aftermath and Looking AheadThe article concludes by emphasizing the significance of Villa's achievement in the context of their recent history. After a 30-year wait, the Europa League win represents a major milestone. However, the immediate focus shifts to maintaining momentum in the Premier League and building on this European success in the seasons to come.

The LeadHS2, the UK's flagship high-speed rail project, has officially become the most expensive infrastructure endeavor in British history, with costs soaring to £102.7bn and trains potentially not running until 2039. Transport Secretary Heidi Alexander has labeled the original design a "massively over-specced folly" and the cost increases "obscene," yet continues to defend the project despite its clear failures.The Escalating Costs of HS2The project's financial trajectory has been nothing short of disastrous. What began as a more modest proposal has now ballooned to over £100bn, with trains potentially delayed until 2039—decades after initial promises. To put this in perspective, the cost has escalated so dramatically that it dwarfs even other famously extravagant projects like Trump's White House renovations or Dubai's Burj Khalifa. Despite nine different transport secretaries overseeing the project since its inception, the budget has consistently spiraled out of control, with no end in sight.Political Failures and MismanagementSuccessive UK governments have failed to take responsibility for this unfolding disaster. The project originated as a "vanity project" of the David Cameron coalition, with fundamentally flawed design choices including the wrong route, wrong speed, and improper termini. Prime Ministers from Cameron to Johnson to Sunak have all lacked the political courage to cancel the project, with Sunak merely scrapping the Manchester leg, making what remains even worse value for money. Civil servants and advisors have been overwhelmed by the 30,000-strong HS2 bureaucracy, while oversight bodies like the National Audit Office have failed to provide adequate scrutiny.The Case for CancellationThe strongest argument for HS2 is its cancellation. With no track laid and only two viaducts completed out of 52, the project is still in its early stages. The £44bn already spent should be treated as "sunk costs," and the focus should shift to more beneficial investments. Contrary to claims that cancellation would be prohibitively expensive, there's no logical scenario where the £60bn still planned for HS2 would provide better value than reallocating those funds elsewhere. Cancellation would also free up valuable urban development sites around London Euston and Birmingham's Curzon Street, which currently resemble construction disaster zones.Alternative Investments for Britain's FutureThe funds currently committed to HS2—potentially over £100bn—could transform Britain's infrastructure landscape. Instead of focusing on marginal time savings for journeys between London and Birmingham, the government could invest in re-signaling, electrification, and urban transit systems. Britain currently has only nine tram networks or metros, compared to France's 30 and Germany's 60. The annual £7bn HS2 budget could build new hospitals, schools, care centers, youth clubs, and courtrooms across the nation—investments that would address far more pressing needs than marginally faster rail travel for a small segment of the population.

A Historic Return: The Refugee Team's ItineraryAfghanistan's displaced female cricketers are set to return to the international stage with a tour of England beginning June 22. This initiative, organized by the England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB), brings together players who were previously contracted to the Afghanistan Cricket Board but were systematically excluded from sport and public life following the Taliban's return to power in 2021.Start Date: June 22Format: Twenty20 (T20) matchesKey Event: Attendance at the Women's T20 World Cup final at Lord's on July 5Support: Training opportunities and deepening connection to the global gameStrategic Milestones and Global ReachThe tour serves as a critical data point in the ongoing struggle for women's representation in sport. While the players have been playing domestic cricket in Australia, the lack of access to international competition highlights a significant gap in the International Cricket Council's (ICC) current regulatory framework, which requires member nations to support both men's and women's teams.The itinerary is not merely a series of matches but a strategic effort to reintegrate the players into the global cricket community. By featuring in T20 matches and attending the final at Lord's, the team aims to bridge the five-year gap in their professional careers and demonstrate their continued competitiveness on the world stage.Breaking Barriers: Sport as a Tool for InclusionThis tour carries profound cultural and sporting significance, acting as a testament to the resilience of Afghan women. The ECB has emphasized that the event represents a moment for cricket to stand for inclusion and the protection of women's participation in sport.The involvement of former Australian international Mel Jones, through her consultancy firm "It's Game On," underscores the professional infrastructure required to support such a complex transition. The players' repeated requests for the ICC to recognize them as a refugee team have finally borne fruit, validating their struggle for recognition and highlighting the urgent need for the sport's governing body to adapt its rules to protect displaced athletes.Future Outlook: Beyond the TourMel Jones has called for "sustained and meaningful action beyond this year," signaling that this tour is just the beginning of a longer journey. The success of this initiative could set a precedent for how international sports bodies handle displaced athletes, potentially leading to more structured pathways for refugee teams in the future.As the team prepares to compete, the cricketing world watches closely, hoping that this tour will not only provide the players with the opportunities they deserve but also catalyze a permanent shift in how sport addresses human rights and inclusion on a global scale.

Renewed Diplomatic Push in TehranThe latest wave of back‑channel diplomacy centers on Mohsin Naqvi's visit to Tehran, where he met Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni. While details remain confidential, the trip marks the second high‑level Pakistani engagement in less than a week, suggesting a concerted effort to narrow the gaps that have stalled a durable US‑Iran peace settlement.Pakistani Mediation Gains Traction Amid Ongoing HostilitiesKey developments surrounding the visit include:Saudi Arabia reported intercepting three drones on the day after a drone strike targeted the UAE’s Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant.The Iranian IRGC coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, keeping a critical oil route partially open.Iran is reviewing a new US peace proposal conveyed via Pakistan, while Tehran has submitted a revised 14‑point peace plan to end the war.Quantifying the Regional Stakes: Drones, Vessels, and Energy FlowNumbers underscore the fragility of the situation:20% of the world’s oil and LNG supplies normally pass through the Strait of Hormuz, making any disruption a global market concern.Three drones intercepted by Saudi forces highlight the risk of rapid escalation.The coordinated movement of 26 vessels shows limited but ongoing commercial activity despite diplomatic deadlock.Implications for Gulf Stability and Global Energy MarketsThe convergence of diplomatic talks and security incidents creates a volatile mix:Continued US‑Iran disagreement over Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and a proposed 20‑year moratorium threatens non‑proliferation goals.Iran’s selective control of Strait of Hormuz traffic, coupled with US threats of a naval blockade, raises the specter of supply shocks.China’s recent hosting of Russian President Vladimir Putin and upcoming meetings with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif suggest a broader geopolitical contest that could influence mediation outcomes.Outlook: Potential Paths for a US‑Iran Settlement and Regional RealignmentAnalysts see three plausible trajectories:Breakthrough Scenario: Pakistan’s intensified shuttle diplomacy, backed by limited Chinese facilitation, yields a revised framework that addresses uranium concerns and establishes a confidence‑building mechanism for Strait of Hormuz traffic.Stalemate Scenario: Persistent gaps on nuclear enrichment and proxy support keep negotiations at a “borderline” stage, prompting renewed low‑level hostilities and further drone attacks.Escalation Scenario: A miscalculation—such as an unanticipated drone strike or a US naval action—triggers a rapid escalation, threatening regional oil flows and global markets.For now, the diplomatic cadence set by Naqvi and the upcoming potential visit of Pakistan’s army chief Asim Munir to Tehran will be the barometer for whether the talks can move beyond proposal exchanges toward a concrete memorandum of understanding.

The Olympic LegacyAsh Moloney briefly became the face of Australian athletics after securing the country's first Olympic decathlon medal in dramatic circumstances at the Tokyo 2021 Games. The 26-year-old surged home in the 1500m, egged on by teammate Cedric Dubler, to claim bronze in a moment that inspired a nation. This achievement represented the pinnacle of his decade-long career in the grueling 10-discipline event.The TransitionAfter years of injury recovery, a new coaching relationship, and what he admits was sheer boredom with the decathlon, Moloney has made a bold and risky transformation. He has abandoned the event that brought him glory to pursue a new career in the 400m hurdles. "It's just fun, it's a completely different challenge," Moloney explains of his switch. "I've been ambidextrous my whole life, I can sprint hurdle on both legs. It almost just seemed like why not? Why not give it a try? Get that question out of my head."The Performance DataMoloney's rapid improvement in his new event is remarkable. Since his first competitive 400m hurdles in February, when he finished in 57 seconds, he has consistently lowered his times. Two weeks later in Hobart he ran sub-53s, before recording two times under 52s before nationals in April. At the national championships, he ran under 50 seconds for the first time, finishing third in the final. "I believe I can make Comm Games," Moloney says. "I believe I can go 48 [seconds]."The Impact on Australian AthleticsMoloney's transition comes at a significant moment for Australian athletics. Before the emergence of new generation athletes like Gout Gout and Lachie Kennedy leading Australia's charge towards Brisbane 2032, Moloney represented the future of the sport. His move to hurdles adds depth to Australia's middle-distance and hurdles program, complementing the emergence of sprint stars like Lachie Kennedy, who is now also his coach.The Relationship EvolutionThe decathlon teammates' relationship was tested in the aftermath of Tokyo, with Moloney previously suggesting that the public's interest in Dubler's contribution sometimes overshadowed his own achievement. While Moloney offers only a "no comment" when asked to elaborate on their current relationship, Dubler maintains there's no bad blood. "It's just a change of situation, a change of coaches and perspective," Dubler explains. The two athletes have chosen different paths since the Games, with Dubler continuing to compete in decathlon while targeting his own Commonwealth Games selection.The Future OutlookWith Moloney and Dubler now competing in different events, Australian athletics stands to benefit from their specialized focus. Moloney's renewed enthusiasm for his new event, freed from the physical toll of ten disciplines, has given him a fresh perspective on competition. "Honestly, I was bored with decathlon, I just wanted a new challenge," he admits. As he prepares for the Oceania championship showdown in Darwin and potentially the Commonwealth Games, the former Olympic bronze medalist is proving that reinvention can be as rewarding as achieving initial success.

The Lead: One Nation's Standalone Climate Denial As the populist right-wing One Nation party gains momentum in Australian polls, it maintains a firm stance against decades of climate science evidence showing the planet and Australia are warming. The party claims to be the only political force in Australia questioning climate science, but experts say this position is not only scientifically baseless but increasingly out of step with global trends in climate misinformation. The Event Details: One Nation's Climate Contradictions One Nation's position on climate change is rooted in denial and conspiracy theories, despite overwhelming scientific evidence. The party's energy and climate policies have previously been literal cut-and-pastes from the now-defunct climate denial group the Galileo Movement. Currently, One Nation rejects the scientific consensus that the planet and Australia are warming, claiming extreme weather was more prevalent before 1960—a position climate scientists have compared to believing the Earth is flat. The party also wants Australia to leave the Paris Agreement and would push to close down the federal climate change department "and all related agencies, regulations and programs." They proudly declare: "We are the only political party to question climate science." The Data Analysis: Australia's Unequivocal Warming Trend Despite One Nation's claims, Australia has experienced significant warming since 1910. The Bureau of Meteorology's official long-term climate dataset shows Australia has warmed by 1.5°C since 1910. Temperature readings before this period are not included in the official dataset because they were often taken with non-standardized equipment, making them less reliable. Research into pre-1910 temperature records shows temperatures from 1860 to 1909 were similar to those from 1910 to 1959. Since 1960, both maximum and minimum temperatures have risen significantly. The independent Berkeley Earth group's analysis of historical temperature data confirms Australia has warmed substantially since the 1880s. One Nation points to a single weather station in Newcastle (Nobby's) to claim no pattern of warming exists—a classic example of cherry-picking data while ignoring the broader evidence showing temperatures are warming across Australia. The Impact Analysis: Political Consequences of Climate Denial One Nation's climate denial positions have significant political implications in Australia. Research from CSIRO a decade ago suggested that views on climate change can be influenced by how a person votes, rather than the other way around. This means votes for One Nation could lead more people to reject established climate science. Dr. John Cook, an expert on climate science denial, notes that One Nation is "not only out of touch with the scientific evidence, they're even out of touch with the rest of the climate denial community." Over the past decade, climate misinformation has transitioned from science denial to attacking climate solutions, as the scientific evidence for human-caused global warming has become undeniable. Prof. Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, a climate scientist at Australian National University, emphasizes: "There's a wealth of evidence that extreme heat events are increasing worldwide since the 1950s. We see increased intensity of droughts and heatwaves and the intensity of tropical cyclones is increasing." The Prediction: Future of Climate Politics in Australia As climate impacts worsen in Australia—with more frequent and intense heatwaves, bushfires, and extreme weather events—One Nation's climate denial stance may become increasingly untenable politically. The party's net zero conspiracies, including claims that climate action is part of a plot to create a "socialist Australia," are based on misinformation and misrepresentations of statements by figures like former World Economic Forum chair Klaus Schwab. One Nation's assertions that renewable energy is causing electricity price increases are also contradicted by experts. Research from CSIRO suggests that if 82% of Australia's electricity came from renewables backed by storage, the cost of generation would be a third less than current prices. The real drivers of rising electricity costs are aging infrastructure and rising international gas prices, not the transition to renewables. As Australia faces increasing climate impacts, political parties that reject established climate science may find themselves increasingly isolated, both scientifically and politically. The future of Australian climate politics may depend on how mainstream parties respond to One Nation's misinformation and whether they can effectively communicate the scientific consensus on climate change.

The LeadEleven weeks after the start of the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to naval traffic, bleeding the global economy far beyond the Gulf. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) maintains an iron grip over this narrow, strategic waterway, while a corresponding United States naval blockade on Iranian ports has failed to reopen it.Before the war began, between 120 and 140 ships travelled through the strait each day, about half of them oil tankers carrying some 20 million barrels of oil between them. Now, only a few vessels whose owners have negotiated with the IRGC are permitted to pass.The Strategic Control of HormuzOn Wednesday, Iran said it coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours, two days after announcing the formation of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), a new body to provide "real-time updates" on operations in the strait.Since the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran in April, Iran has been working on formalising a mechanism to charge a transit fee from ships crossing the critical chokepoint, through which 20 percent of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are shipped during peacetime.Tehran has reportedly already charged fees as high as $2m per ship for transit since the war started. Even though countries opposing Tehran say this is illegal, it may still be less expensive than the overall cost of the closure of the strait each day.The Economic Cost of BlockadeNearly one-fifth of global oil and LNG exports were shipped by Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz before the US and Israel bombed Iran on February 28, triggering the Iranian closure of the waterway. The strait is the only waterway linking Gulf producers to the open ocean – there is no other route through which they can ship exports.About 20.3 million barrels per day of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz in peacetime – nearly 27 percent of global maritime oil trade. The lion's share of that crude went to Asian markets.Global LNG trade has been similarly hard hit. On the day before the war broke out, Brent crude – the global benchmark for oil prices – closed at $72.48 per barrel. After Iran closed the waterway on March 4 and began attacks on vessels attempting to sail through, traffic came to a standstill, stranding about 2,000 ships on either side of the strait.In terms of lost oil revenues, this amounts to $114.8bn of losses per day. About 10 billion cubic feet of LNG per day also used to pass through the strait, worth a further $7.8bn.The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transit FeesFor hundreds of ships stranded in the Gulf with thousands of sailors on board, the cost of remaining anchored is steep, including crew wages, loan repayments, repair and management, coupled with inflated war risk premiums.In turn, Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2m for authorisation to pass. Experts say many will see this as worthwhile purely in terms of monetary cost."There is no doubt that paying Iran is cheaper than a continuous blockade because a sitting tanker bleeds money," said Nader Habibi, an Iranian American economist."It makes sense from an economic point of view, but it is not politically feasible," he added. "The companies are under pressure from the US sanctions and not to make arrangements with Iran. This is not just a purely economic cost-benefit analysis, but long-term considerations that are taken into account."International Legal PerspectivesInternational law protects free transit through strategic waters such as natural straits like Hormuz, barring countries from imposing passage tolls even where the waterways fall entirely into territorial waters, like in the case of Hormuz.However, services such as security controls, inspections and insurance regimes can be charged for. Chargeable fees also partly depend on whether a waterway is a man-made passageway or a natural one.These are three different precedents in maritime traffic flow:Panama Canal: An artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Vessels pass through a unique system of locks that raise and lower vessels across elevated terrain. Since Panama built, maintains and operates the canal, it can charge transit fees based on vessel size, cargo capacity and booking priority. These range from several hundred thousand dollars per transit to some slots sold for millions of dollars.Suez Canal: Another artificial canal, linking the Mediterranean and Red seas. Egypt charges transit fees for the use of canal infrastructure, maintenance and traffic management services through the narrow waterway. Container ships and oil tankers pay from several hundred thousand dollars to more than one million dollars per voyage.Turkiye's Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles: These are different because they are natural straits, rather than man-made canals. Turkiye charges for navigation-related services such as lighthouse operations, rescue readiness, medical support and traffic management – and tightly controls ship scheduling and navigation.Regional Cooperation PossibilitiesIran's newly-formed PGSA published a new map of Hormuz, stretching from Kuh-e Mubarak in Iran to south of Fujairah, in the UAE, at the eastern entrance of the strait, and from the tip of Qeshm Island to Umm al-Quwain at the western entrance.Given how the Iran war has spilled over into the Gulf region – with the UAE taking the brunt of Iranian strikes – economist Mohammad Reza Farzanegan said "regional cooperation with Iran is the most realistic path to stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz."The UAE, Oman, Qatar and Iran will have to work together because their economies require it, he argued. A workable arrangement could include a joint maritime authority, shared monitoring, emergency coordination, environmental protection and service-based contributions for maintaining safe passage."This would give Iran a recognised role in the security of the waterway while giving Persian Gulf economies more predictability," Farzanegan added. "Such a framework is also more realistic than relying on external military enforcement, which has been more a source of trouble for these states."The Future OutlookWhile it may seem that the economics of the closure of the strait are currently skewed towards Iran, Aniseh Tabrizi, an associate fellow on the Middle East and North Africa Programme at think tank Chatham House, noted that "the economics by itself is not going to be the driver to change calculation or move from the current standpoint."She emphasized that Iran and the US need to reach a "diplomatic compromise, with other calculations linked in to the economic factor", before there can be an end to the energy supply crisis.Farzanegan added that if the world expects stable access to the Strait of Hormuz, then paying Iran could well be accepted as the price of keeping the vital waterway predictable. "From an economic perspective, a negotiated transit arrangement [with Iran] now makes more sense than continued closure," he concluded.