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Ukraine has made significant gains on the battlefield, halving the Russian rate of advance in the past three months and reclaiming 470sq km of occupied territory this year. The country's military has also dealt a major blow to Russia's oil export capacity, striking key terminals and refineries, including Ust-Luga and Primorsk, which account for about 60% of Russia's oil export capacity.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has secured agreements with several Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar, to export Ukrainian drone know-how in return for joint drone production support. This has enabled Ukraine to increase its drone production and effectively counter Russian advances.The Ukrainian military has also targeted Russian munitions production, striking the Promsintez explosives plant in the Samara region, which produces 30,000 tonnes of military explosives annually. According to estimates, Russia has lost 45% of its missile production capacity due to Ukrainian strikes.In response to Ukrainian attacks, Russia has begun to extend its drone strikes throughout the day, imitating Iran's tactics against the US and Israel. However, Ukraine has successfully shot down over 90% of the drones launched by Russia.

Europe’s attention is fixed on Hungary’s parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, a contest many analysts view as a litmus test for the bloc’s cohesion on foreign‑policy, defence, energy and migration. Since coming to power, Prime Minister Viktor Orban has consistently blocked EU initiatives: he has refused to join a common asylum framework, opposed a joint defence scheme, resisted the shift toward renewable‑energy independence while still importing Russian hydrocarbons, and vetoed both Ukraine’s accession talks and a proposed €90 billion low‑interest loan package for Kyiv. These actions have made Hungary the most disruptive member state in the Union, prompting observers to argue that the election’s outcome will reverberate far beyond Budapest’s borders. Greek conservative MP Angelos Syrigos warned that the EU is plagued by “fanatically Trump‑like and pro‑Russian” governments, naming Hungary and Slovakia as examples. He told Al Jazeera that the constant threat of an Orban veto forces other capitals to seek ad‑hoc compromises rather than genuine consensus. Opposition leader Peter Magyar of the Tisza party is campaigning on a pro‑European platform, pledging a binding referendum on Ukraine’s membership, a crackdown on corruption, the release of billions in frozen EU funds, and a reversal of Hungary’s withdrawal from the International Criminal Court. Current polls give Tisza roughly 50 % of the vote, a ten‑point lead over the ruling Fidesz, though the political landscape remains fluid. Even a Magyar victory would not automatically resolve the EU’s structural challenges. Other illiberal leaders—such as Slovakia’s Robert Fico and the Czech Republic’s Andrej Babiš—could step into a vacuum of obstructionism. Nevertheless, some scholars argue that Orban’s habit of breaking consensus has forced the Union to become more pragmatic. At a December 2023 summit, EU leaders temporarily excluded Orban to secure unanimous approval of Ukraine’s candidate status, later offering Hungary a €10 billion release of blocked funds as an incentive. Professor Katalin Miklossy of the University of Helsinki explained that the EU has shifted from a rigid, rule‑bound approach to a more flexible, problem‑solving mindset, saying, “We were weak when we clung to the book; now we act more practically.” Should Orban remain in power, the bloc is considering a workaround: issuing 26 bilateral loans to Ukraine from member states, bypassing any single‑country veto. Historical precedent exists. In 2010, when Greece’s debt crisis threatened the euro, EU members created the Greek Loan Facility—an ad‑hoc series of bilateral loans that compensated for the lack of a common rescue fund. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has warned that delays in funding could leave the Ukrainian army under‑resourced, underscoring the geopolitical stakes of the Hungarian vote. The EU’s inability to move from unanimity to qualified‑majority voting—an ambition thwarted by failed French and Dutch referenda in 2005—has amplified Orban’s leverage. Yet the Union continues to evolve, having launched a common bond in 2020 to revive the pandemic‑hit economy and, since Russia’s 2022 invasion, channeling resources into a nascent European defence union. Orban’s recent reversal on the €90 billion Ukraine loan—after Kyiv refused to repair the Druzhba pipeline damaged by a Russian bomb—illustrates the volatility of his stance. He initially agreed to the loan in December, on the condition that Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic would not be required to co‑sign, only to withdraw support a month later. Even if Magyar secures a parliamentary majority, the promised loan may not materialise immediately. Cambridge‑based expert Victoria Vdovychenko notes that a decision made in December 2025 to disburse funds from January 2026 has already stalled, with the next realistic window possibly in June. Academics stress that a Tisza victory would deliver a psychological boost to the EU and its trans‑Atlantic partners, injecting confidence into a system battling “stealth creep of illiberalism” and economic disenfranchisement. Professor SM Amadae of Cambridge’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risk warned that while a change in Hungary could energise citizens, the entrenched gerrymandering and patronage networks of Fidesz present formidable obstacles to lasting reform. In sum, the April 12 election is more than a domestic contest; it is a pivotal moment that could reshape the EU’s decision‑making architecture, determine the flow of critical aid to Ukraine, and signal the future trajectory of populist politics across Europe.

Russia's Ministry of Defence has declared that its forces have gained complete control over the Luhansk region in eastern Ukraine. This development comes as Moscow continues its efforts to expand its territorial control in the region. The ministry stated that units of the 'West' military grouping have completed the 'liberation' of the Luhansk People's Republic, a term used by Moscow to refer to the Ukrainian region. However, there was no immediate confirmation of this claim from Ukrainian authorities. Luhansk, along with Donetsk, forms the broader Donbas area. More than 99 percent of Luhansk has been under Russian control since the beginning of the 2022 invasion. The region was one of four Ukrainian territories annexed by Russia in 2022. Additionally, Russia controls approximately three-quarters of Donetsk. The Kremlin reiterated its demand for Ukrainian forces to withdraw from the entirety of Donetsk, which Kyiv has consistently rejected. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov urged Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to withdraw his forces from the Donbas area, suggesting that this would bring an end to what Russia refers to as the 'hot phase' of the war. In related developments, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported that Russia used 339 drones in overnight attacks on Ukraine. These attacks resulted in the deaths of two women in a civilian car in the Kherson region. Zelenskyy also mentioned that he would be holding a video call with US envoys to discuss stalled negotiations with Russia. Meanwhile, Ukrainian drones have been reported to have crossed into the airspace of several countries, including Estonia, Finland, and Latvia. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha clarified that Ukraine never aimed drones at these countries.

Ukraine is facing a critical spring as the country's situation continues to deteriorate. US financial support has dried up under Donald Trump, making European aid crucial. However, Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is blocking a €90bn EU loan to Kyiv, causing exasperation for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.Orbán's opposition is driven by his nationalist base and allegations of collusion with Russia to undermine European decision-making. With US attention shifting to the Middle East, Ukraine has become more vulnerable and reliant on European support. Higher oil prices and the lifting of restrictions on Russian oil have boosted Vladimir Putin's war economy, while stocks of US Patriot missile interceptors are dwindling.Meanwhile, peace negotiations with Moscow have paused, and the White House's priorities in the Gulf are taking precedence over Kyiv's needs. Ukraine's president has stated that future US security guarantees are being linked to the surrender of unoccupied territory in the Donbas. Europe must develop stronger mechanisms to counter blocking tactics like Orbán's and provide crucial financial support to Ukraine.

According to reports from Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal, SpaceX has quietly lodged a confidential registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, signaling its intention to go public. The filing could set a valuation ceiling of $1.75 trillion, positioning the offering among the most valuable ever attempted. Regulators will now review the disclosed financials before the prospectus becomes public. Analysts anticipate that the IPO could be priced as early as June 2026, a timing that aligns with what industry observers describe as a “banner year” for mega‑cap listings. The move also coincides with rival AI firms—OpenAI, which recently closed a $122 billion funding round, and Anthropic—preparing their own public debuts. SpaceX’s parent, Elon Musk, already the world’s wealthiest individual, stands to increase his net worth further, potentially edging toward the elusive trillion‑dollar milestone. The public offering would also provide a clearer picture of a company that has become the cornerstone of both commercial spaceflight and satellite broadband. Beyond rockets, SpaceX’s Starlink satellite network now accounts for more than half of the firm’s revenue, according to Reuters. The service not only fuels the company’s earnings but also extends Musk’s geopolitical influence, with customers ranging from the Ukrainian military to remote communities worldwide. In February, SpaceX completed the acquisition of Musk’s artificial‑intelligence venture xAI, a deal that valued the AI unit at roughly $250 billion. The purchase is tied to plans for solar‑powered data centers in orbit, intended to meet the soaring compute and energy demands of the AI boom. The company’s financial details remain tightly guarded, and a full disclosure is expected only after the SEC clears the filing. International banks, including the UK‑based Barclays, have been tapped to manage the offering, underscoring the global scale of the transaction. SpaceX’s deepening ties with the U.S. government—spanning defense contracts and the majority of NASA’s launch schedule—further cement its strategic importance. As the firm pivots toward orbital data centers and supports NASA’s upcoming lunar missions, the traditional narrative of colonising Mars has taken a back seat.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has announced that he will ask US mediators to convey his proposal for an Easter ceasefire to Russia. This offer aims to suspend attacks on Ukraine's energy facilities during the Easter holidays.Zelenskyy made this statement on the sidelines of an event marking the fourth anniversary of Ukraine's Bucha massacre. He plans to discuss this proposal with US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in online talks scheduled for Wednesday.“I will definitely convey this proposal to the United States,” Zelenskyy said. “We are ready for a ceasefire for the Easter holidays … We are ready for any compromises, except compromises involving our dignity and sovereignty.”Earlier, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov responded coolly to Zelenskyy's previous mention of an energy truce, stating that they hadn't seen any clearly formulated initiatives for an Easter truce from Zelenskyy.Zelenskyy's offer comes after he mentioned that some of Ukraine's allies had sent signals about potentially scaling back long-range strikes on Russia's oil sector due to surging global energy prices.Ukraine has escalated its attacks on Russian energy to prevent Russia from benefiting from high oil prices and easing sanctions. In return, Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine is ready to reciprocate if Russia stops attacking the Ukrainian energy system.The US, Russia, and Ukraine have held three rounds of high-level trilateral talks this year, but progress has been stalled, particularly on the issue of territory in eastern Ukraine. Russia insists that Ukraine cede control of the Donbas region, which Zelenskyy has refused to consider.Zelenskyy also mentioned that Russia has told the US it could conquer the remainder of the Donbas region in two months, but Kyiv believes it can continue defending its "fortress belt" of industrial towns and cities in the Donbas for years.

Ukrainian unmanned aircraft have targeted the Russian Baltic port of Ust‑Luga for the fifth time within a ten‑day span, intensifying Kyiv's campaign against Russia's oil‑export infrastructure. Regional governor Alexander Drozdenko reported that three individuals, two of them children, received medical care after the latest overnight raid, and several structures sustained damage. He added that regional air‑raid alerts have since been lifted, though details on port damage remain scarce. Located on the southeastern coast of the Gulf of Finland, Ust‑Luga comprises an extensive network of oil‑processing plants and export terminals. The facility moved 32.9 million metric tonnes of oil products in the previous year and typically handles around 700,000 barrels of crude oil per day. The series of strikes on March 22, 25, 27, 29 and 31 forced temporary suspensions of export operations. According to market‑based calculations, the cumulative effect of drone attacks, a contested pipeline strike and the seizure of tankers has halted roughly 40 % of Russia's oil export capacity. The disruption has contributed to a surge in global oil prices, with Brent crude climbing above $116 a barrel – its highest level in nearly two weeks amid escalating conflicts involving the United States, Israel and Iran. While Kyiv continues to press its aerial campaign, the European Union dispatched senior diplomats, including top envoy Kaja Kallas, to the Ukrainian capital. Their visit, timed with the fourth anniversary of the Bucha massacre, underscored EU commitment to holding Russia accountable for alleged war crimes. Kallas posted on X, describing Bucha as a symbol of Russian brutality, and affirmed that the EU will not allow such atrocities to go unpunished. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha echoed the message, urging international partners to keep their focus on Ukraine despite the widening war in the Middle East. Financially, the EU’s planned €90 billion loan for Ukraine has been stalled by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who objects to Russia's oil transit through the Druzhba pipeline and is also impeding Ukraine's EU accession talks. In parallel, Kyiv announced that its air‑defence forces intercepted 267 of 289 Russian drones launched overnight, while Russian officials claimed control of the village of Mala Korchakivka in the Sumy region. The convergence of intensified drone attacks on Russian oil assets, soaring energy prices, and high‑level EU diplomatic activity highlights the expanding geopolitical ripple effects of the Ukraine conflict across Europe and the broader Middle‑East theater.

The destruction of a US E-3 Sentry airborne warning and control system (AWACS) aircraft in an Iranian strike on a Saudi Arabian airbase has raised significant questions about how a critical surveillance asset was left unprotected and how Iran managed to launch such a precise direct strike.The plane was one of only 16 operational E-3s, which first entered production in the 1960s and carry sophisticated monitoring equipment allowing them to detect airborne threats such as missiles while surveilling assigned battle spaces including communications, troop movements, and air defense sites.The attack that destroyed the aircraft on March 27, while it was parked at Prince Sultan airbase, demonstrated Iran's continuing ability to strike high-value targets in the region despite a month of US and Israeli air raids.Images from the scene show a direct strike on the E-3's radar dome near the tail, suggesting a high degree of accuracy in the attack. The strike also injured US servicemen and damaged several in-flight refuelling aircraft.Ukraine's president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, stated that Ukrainian intelligence had information indicating a Russian spy satellite photographed the base three times before the attack—on March 20, 23, and 25. Zelenskyy explained that multiple satellite images typically indicate preparation for an imminent attack.Zelenskyy's comments follow reports that Moscow was providing intelligence to Iran on the location of US forces in the Middle East, a claim denied by Russia's foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov.The destroyed E-3 was one of six such aircraft deployed to the Saudi Arabian base. These aging aircraft have long suffered from maintenance issues, with the US Air Force's E-3s reportedly having a mission-capable rate of only about 56% in 2024.The E-3 can track up to 600 targets simultaneously over a large area, acting as the eyes and ears for fighter pilots. The loss of this particular E-3 is considered incredibly problematic, as these aircraft serve as crucial battle managers for airspace deconfliction, aircraft coordination, targeting, and providing other lethal effects needed for battlefield operations.While US and Israeli commanders have claimed a decrease in Iran's missile capabilities, experts had anticipated a reduction in Tehran's launch intensity as it conserves military resources. Some analysts suggest Iran may be targeting key enablers of US airpower as part of a deliberate campaign following initial successes by the US and Israel in controlling Iranian airspace.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has arrived in Jordan as part of his tour to strengthen defence ties in the Gulf region, amid the ongoing conflict with Russia. Security is the top priority, and it is crucial that all partners make necessary efforts toward it, Zelenskyy emphasized.Zelenskyy's visit comes after Ukraine has agreed to cooperate on defence with Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. Kyiv's anti-drone experts have also been deployed to these countries as Iran targets infrastructure there using drones that Russia has also used during its war with Ukraine.The Ukrainian president has been seeking support from the Gulf states as the Russia-Ukraine war continues, with no end in sight. More than four years since Russia launched a full-scale invasion, Kyiv is struggling to cover its budget deficit and fund domestic weapons production.Ukraine has intensified retaliatory attacks on Russian infrastructure, including refineries, oil depots, and ports, arguing that they were justified targets to sever revenues funding Russia's offensive. A drone strike triggered a fire at Russia's Baltic port of Ust-Luga, which was hit for the second time in several days.According to the Russian regional governor, Alexander Drozdenko, damage was sustained at the port, the fire is now under control, and there were no casualties from the attack. He added that 36 drones were destroyed overnight in the region.