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The conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran has entered its fourth week, with the Strait of Hormuz remaining effectively closed. This has led to a broadening of the global energy crisis, with the economic outlook darkening across Asia, Europe, and beyond.Japan has responded by releasing 80 million barrels of oil from its national reserves, enough to last for 45 days. The country's reliance on Middle Eastern crude oil imports stands at 90 percent.The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has warned that the conflict will have a significant impact on the UK economy, predicting inflation of 4 percent this year. UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper has stated that Iran cannot be allowed to hold the global economy hostage.The uncertainty surrounding Trump's policy on Iran has led to the emergence of the TACO trade, an acronym that stands for Trump Always Chickens Out. This phenomenon refers to investors betting that the US president will back down from his threats, resulting in profits for those who bought in.Observers note that Trump's inconsistent messaging has created an opportunity for investors to bet on his policy reversals. For example, Trump extended his deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz from 48 hours to five days, and later promised to hold off from attacks on Iran's energy facilities for an additional 10 days. This type of about-face has opened the door to investors willing to bet that the US president will back down.Lena Komileva, chief economist at consultancy firm (g+)economics, notes that global markets have been less inclined to rebound after Trump's Iran-related policy reversals compared to similar shifts in response to his tariff policies. This is due to the complexity of the conflict and the unique objectives of the parties involved.

Manchester City delivered a resounding statement of intent in their latest Women's Super League fixture, dismantling Manchester United 3-0 at Old Trafford in a derby that showcased the vast gulf between the two teams. The victory propelled City closer to securing their first league title in a decade, while simultaneously damaging United's hopes of European qualification next season.Vivianne Miedema was the star of the show, scoring twice with headers in the first half, while Kerstin Casparij added a third goal early in the second period. Lauren Hemp also hit the crossbar as City dominated throughout, with the home side fortunate not to concede more goals in a match that highlighted the disparity between the teams.Manchester United head coach Marc Skinner attributed his team's performance to fatigue following their Champions League encounter with Bayern Munich three days prior. In contrast, City has benefited from not competing in European competitions this season, allowing for crucial rest between matches. Skinner acknowledged the advantage enjoyed by City manager Andrée Jeglertz, who described his team's first-half display as "one of the best we've done this season."The result has effectively ended United's title ambitions, with Skinner's side now trailing by 11 points with only three games remaining. Chelsea's hopes of retaining their crown have also been extinguished, as they sit 12 points behind with an inferior goal difference. Arsenal remains the only mathematical challenger, though they would need City to falter significantly in their remaining fixtures.City's dominance was evident from the opening minutes, with Miedema opening the scoring from a corner just 21 seconds into the match. She doubled her tally before the break, finding herself unmarked in the penalty area as United's defense failed to deal with a cross from Casparij. Hemp struck the woodwork before a Rebecca Knaak goal was controversially disallowed, and Casparij sealed the victory with a clinical finish after the interval.With City now requiring just five points from their remaining three matches—all against bottom-four teams—the WSL title appears destined to return to the Etihad Stadium. Meanwhile, United faces an uphill battle to secure European qualification, with challenging fixtures against Tottenham and Chelsea still to come this season.

Gulf countries are increasingly concerned about the threat posed by Iran-backed militias and proxy armed groups in the region. These groups, which include Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen, have been used by Iran as a pillar of its foreign and security policy for decades.In a joint statement, Qatar, Kuwait, the UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan condemned Iranian attacks on their soil, both as strikes carried out directly from Iran and “through their proxies and armed factions they support in the region”. The statement also called on the Iraqi government to take measures to halt attacks launched by factions, militias, and armed groups from Iraqi territory.Kuwait recently foiled a plot to kill state leaders and arrested six suspects believed to be associated with Hezbollah. The Houthis also confirmed they had launched a missile strike on Israel, the first time the proxy group have admitted involvement in the war in the Middle East.The threat of these groups is seen as particularly worrying for countries such as Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, which have a history of Iran-backed militia carrying out violent attacks. Analysts warn that the presence and danger of Iranian proxy groups in the Gulf had not reached levels anything close to those during the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s, but the threat remains greater the longer the conflict with Iran drags on.Bilal Saab, a senior managing director of the Trends US thinktank, said: “If this war escalates, the worst-case scenario for the Gulf countries is Iran activating their sleeper cells and these Shia militia movements in the region. We could see a whole lot more if things really escalate.”

Tom Pidcock, a two-time Olympic cross-country mountain bike champion, has been withdrawn from the Volta a Catalunya due to injuries sustained in a dramatic crash during the fifth stage on Friday. The British rider, competing for Pinarello-Q36.5, misjudged a corner on a descent and tumbled down a ravine in what he described as a 'horror' crash.Despite managing to get back on his bike and complete the stage, medical assessments revealed significant injuries, including likely bone and ligament damage to his right knee and wrist. As a result, it was decided that Pidcock could not continue the race.“Due to his crash he suffered injuries, most likely bone and ligament damage in particular to his right knee and also right wrist,” said Lorenz Emmert, Pinarello-Q36.5’s chief medical team doctor. “Unfortunately we had to make the decision to take him out of the race. Further clinical evaluation and imaging will follow in the next days additionally to the already-initiated healing process.”Pidcock reflected on the incident, stating: “I was drinking on the descent and misjudged a corner. I overshot it and went down the ravine. It was like one of these horror crashes you see, but I’m very lucky that I am OK.” He added that he will focus on recovery and aims to return to competition soon.

Iran's regime has organised over 850 public demonstrations in support of the government since the beginning of the war, showcasing its resilience amid a month-long campaign of intensive airstrikes by the US and Israel. The high number of pro-regime gatherings and the increasing number of detentions underline the regime's determination to maintain control.The war began with a surprise Israeli strike that killed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, and many senior officials. Despite this, the regime has not fragmented, and there are no defections. Experts say the messaging within Iran is that they are winning, and this is constant and consistent.Clionadh Raleigh, president of Acled, an independent conflict monitor, noted that the US-Israeli decapitation strategy could not have been more successful, but the regime has adapted. The Acled research also shows that the number of US and Israeli strikes on Iran has remained steady at between 47 and 102 attacks daily that have caused significant civilian casualties.Tehran's retaliation has been largely ineffective, causing only 70 fatalities during the war, compared with 1,157 killed inside Iran, of whom 341 have been identified as civilians. The researchers noted that 99.2% of protests were pro-regime, indicating a coordinated effort to show nationalist consolidation under external attack.The arrest campaign is the regime's primary domestic tool, with approximately 1,465-plus detained in 27 days. Charges escalated from 'filming damage' to 'espionage' and 'mercenary' as the conflict progressed. Details of such repression are difficult to obtain, but recent incidents include the deaths of 10 people when Revolutionary Guards fired on anti-regime demonstrators and shot at apartment windows in Tehran on 25 March.Estimates of civilian casualties vary, with over 1,900 people killed and at least 20,000 injured in Iran since the start of US and Israeli attacks, according to the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC). The US-based Human Rights Activists news agency (HRANA) said 3,300 people had been killed since the war began, including 1,464 civilians and at least 217 children.

Kimi Antonelli secured pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix, continuing Mercedes' dominant start to the new Formula One season. Antonelli's impressive lap time of 1 minute 28.778 seconds edged out his teammate George Russell by just under three-tenths of a second.The result marks Mercedes' third consecutive front-row lockout, with their nearest competitor, McLaren's Oscar Piastri, over three-tenths of a second behind. Charles Leclerc took fourth for Ferrari, while Lewis Hamilton qualified in sixth.The performance is a significant boost for Antonelli, who currently trails Russell by just four points in the drivers' championship. His consistent pace and confidence in the car have made him a strong contender in the title fight this season.In a surprising turn of events, Max Verstappen was knocked out in Q2, managing only 11th place with his teammate Isack Hadjar qualifying in eighth. Verstappen's struggles with the Red Bull car were evident, with him describing it as 'completely undriveable' during qualifying.Antonelli's pole position sets him up for a strong challenge in the Japanese Grand Prix, but he can expect competition from the fast-starting Ferraris of Hamilton and Leclerc.

Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim revealed in a televised address that Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian has allowed Malaysian vessels to pass through the Strait of Hormuz with 'early clearance'. This development comes as the global energy market faces significant disruptions due to the ongoing conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel.Anwar expressed gratitude to Pezeshkian for the clearance, which will enable Malaysian oil tankers and their crews to continue their journey home. While he did not specify the number of vessels cleared or the conditions for safe passage, he emphasized that Malaysia is working to secure the release of its ships and personnel.The Strait of Hormuz is a vital waterway, facilitating about one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies. Iran has claimed the right to control the strait and has been responsible for several attacks on commercial vessels in the region. Despite Iran's assertion that the strait is open to non-aligned ships, there have been reports of Iranian authorities demanding tolls of up to $2 million for safe passage.Malaysia, a net energy exporter and one of the world's top LNG suppliers, imports nearly 70% of its crude oil from the Gulf region. Anwar noted that while Malaysia is better positioned than other nations due to its state-run oil and gas company Petronas, the country will still face impacts from the energy supply disruptions. To mitigate these effects, the government plans to implement fuel conservation measures, including reducing subsidized petrol quotas and encouraging civil servants to work from home.Anwar warned that food, fertilizer, and oil prices are likely to rise due to the disruptions. He emphasized that Malaysia is taking steps to address these challenges, adding that some countries are experiencing far worse impacts than Malaysia.

In a significant development that underscores the evolving nature of modern conflict, Iran has begun placing messages directly on its missiles, marking a new frontier in the global war of narratives. This strategy represents a sophisticated blend of military capability and psychological operations, designed to communicate political statements while showcasing technological prowess. The practice of inscribing messages on missiles appears to be part of Iran's broader strategy to project strength and assert its position in regional power dynamics. By combining military demonstrations with ideological messaging, Tehran is attempting to shape international perceptions while deterring potential adversaries. This development comes amid intensifying information warfare between Iran and Western powers, with both sides employing increasingly sophisticated methods to influence global public opinion. The use of missiles as communication platforms represents an escalation in this conflict, transforming conventional weapons into instruments of strategic communication and psychological influence. Analysts suggest that Iran's missile messaging serves multiple purposes: demonstrating technological advancement, asserting regional dominance, and communicating directly with domestic and international audiences. The messages often contain political slogans, religious references, or threats against perceived enemies, creating a powerful visual impact when shared through state media. The trend reflects a broader shift in modern warfare where the information domain has become as crucial as the physical battlefield. Nations are increasingly recognizing that shaping narratives can be as strategically important as military capabilities themselves, particularly in conflicts where direct confrontation carries significant risks. As this practice continues to evolve, it raises important questions about the future of deterrence strategy and the boundaries of psychological operations in international relations. The convergence of military hardware and information technology suggests that we may see further innovations in how states communicate their intentions and capabilities in an increasingly complex global security environment.

Iraq has become a critical front in the growing tensions between the United States, Israel, and Iran. The country's strategic location and complex political landscape make it a focal point in the regional conflict. Escalating tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran have raised concerns about the potential for conflict to spill over into Iraq. The country's fragile political stability and sectarian divisions make it vulnerable to external influences. The US and Israel have been actively engaging in a campaign to counter Iran's growing influence in the region. This has led to increased military presence and covert operations in Iraq and other parts of the Middle East. Iraq's geostrategic location makes it a crucial player in the regional dynamics. The country's economic and security ties with Iran, as well as its strategic partnerships with the US and other regional players, add to its importance in the conflict.