Trump's Silence on Taiwan a Relief for Anxious Taipei After Xi Talks

The Lead

The meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping has concluded, and for Taiwan, the outcome is being viewed as a positive one. Despite fears that Trump might overturn Washington's longstanding support for the island democracy, he took a muted approach, sidestepping questions on Taiwan during the talks.

Trump's Muted Approach on Taiwan

Trump hailed his 'great' meeting with Xi Jinping on Thursday but avoided discussing Taiwan, a move that has been welcomed in Taipei. A White House readout of the meeting also omitted mention of Taiwan, which Beijing claims as a breakaway province.

The Data Analysis

Xi Jinping had taken a firm tone before the meeting, declaring that 'Taiwan independence' and peace in the Taiwan strait were 'incompatible.' He warned Trump that if the Taiwan issue is not handled properly, it could lead to 'clashes and even conflicts' between the US and China. Wen-Ti Sung, a non-resident fellow with the Atlantic Council's Global China Hub, noted that Xi's tone was 'surprisingly firm for summit diplomacy,' signaling to Trump that Taiwan remains a sensitive issue for Beijing.

The Impact Analysis

Taiwan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded swiftly to Xi's comments, stating that 'The Republic of China and the People's Republic of China are not subordinate to one another.' Despite this customary sparring, Taipei is believed to be quietly pleased with the meeting's outcome, particularly Trump's silence on Taiwan. Analyst William Yang suggests that Taipei would welcome Taiwan being mentioned as little as possible, as any deviation from longstanding US policy could be seen as a negative development.

The Prediction

Looking ahead, experts predict that the US will continue to support Taiwan, particularly in terms of arms sales. The Trump administration has previously angered Beijing with a significant weapons package for Taiwan, and there are reports of another package worth around $14bn awaiting Trump's approval. With Taiwan's parliament recently passing a reduced defense budget to finance these purchases, there is added impetus for Trump to move forward with the deal.