Trump Declares US-Iran Peace Deal 'All Signed' as G7 Leaders Battle to Tie Up Loose Ends

The Lead

Donald Trump has declared that the Strait of Hormuz will be “completely open” from Friday, as western leaders gathering at the G7 summit in Évian-les-Bains battled to prevent the fragile US deal with Iran from almost immediately unravelling.

The Event Details

“The deal’s all signed. And the strait is already partially opened,” Trump said as he arrived at the summit in France, but Israeli breaches of the ceasefire in Lebanon and Iran’s claims about its right to charge fees in the crucial waterway revealed the agreement’s many loose ends.

The Data Analysis

• The memorandum of understanding – which US officials said would open the strait of Hormuz in exchange for a lifting of a US naval blockade on Iran – is set to be formally signed at a ceremony in Geneva on Friday attended by the US vice-president, JD Vance, and the chief Iranian negotiator, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf.
• White House officials said the full details of the agreement would be published in the next 24 to 48 hours.

The Impact Analysis

The G7 leaders gathering for three days of talks found themselves already trying to shore up the agreement that the US had signed. Technical discussions led by Vance from the US side will begin later this week, including the more thorny issues of the fate of Iran’s nuclear programme, which Trump has declared must never be able to produce a nuclear weapon.

The Prediction

In Israel, concern and anger deepened during the day, directed at both Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister. Analysts and commenters quickly pointed out that none of Netanyahu’s promises at the beginning of the war in February – which included regime change in Tehran and the destruction of Iran’s nuclear programme – had been fulfilled.