Lebanon Hopes for US-Iran Ceasefire Amidst Doubts

The Lead

On Monday morning, people in Lebanon woke up to yet another ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran, which includes Lebanon, according to Iranian and Pakistani officials. However, statements from Israeli officials cast doubt over whether the war that has been ravaging southern Lebanon since 2023 is finally over.

US-Iran Ceasefire Agreement

Pakistan's Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif, said the deal between the US and Iran announced "the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon". The announcement was welcomed by Lebanon's President Joseph Aoun, who said that the Lebanese people were now looking forward to "these understandings being translated into practical steps that bring a definitive end to the cycle of violence and open the way to stability, security, recovery and reconstruction".

Impact on Lebanon

Since March 2, Israel has killed at least 3,783 people in Lebanon and wounded 11,699. More than 1.2 million have been displaced from the south, Beirut's southern suburbs and villages in the Bekaa Valley. Villages have been razed by Israel's military, which occupies large swathes of southern Lebanon.

Doubts Over the Ceasefire

Despite the trepidation, many Lebanese are already returning home. However, Israeli officials have met the US-Iranian agreement's announcement with defiance. Leading politicians have repeatedly insisted that they will not accept any threat from Lebanon, and will continue to attack Hezbollah if they deem it necessary.

Future Outlook

Analysts have expressed scepticism over the deal. "Netanyahu may come up with a lot of surprises, and he may have a power trip with Trump, where he tries to enforce his own terms of the deal," Karim Safieddine, a non-resident fellow with the Tahrir Institute, told Al Jazeera. Political analyst Kassir said he felt that the new ceasefire was different and that the larger war was over. However, he maintained, there is still work to be done before normal life can resume in Lebanon.