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Politics
May 20, 2026
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The Death of Accountability: Nigel Farage's Path to No 10

AI Summary
George Monbiot argues that the political system's failure to hold leaders accountable enables figures like Nigel Farage to rise despite their harmful policies. The article explores how insecurity and chaos are often exploited by politicians who position themselves as solutions to problems they helped create.

The Lead

The biggest Brexit donor Peter Hargreaves once said "insecurity is fantastic" while promoting Brexit, a policy that has demonstrably created insecurity for many Britons. This paradox lies at the heart of a political system where accountability appears increasingly dead, allowing figures who create chaos to benefit from it.

The Historical Pattern of Political Accountability Failures

Throughout history, political accountability has been more myth than reality. Benito Mussolini fomented riots to push Italy into World War I, then capitalized on the resulting national humiliation to rise to power. Similarly, Winston Churchill's disastrous handling of the Norway campaign led to his predecessor's downfall, yet Churchill himself emerged as the replacement. These historical patterns suggest that those who generate insecurity often profit from it.

Farage's Brexit and Its Consequences

Nigel Farage played a pivotal role in the Brexit decision, much like Mussolini did for Italy's entry into WWI. The policy has delivered "misery and retreat" rather than the promised benefits, yet Farage faces no electoral punishment. Instead, the insecurity and decline exacerbated by Brexit have enabled the rise of his Reform UK party, with further decline likely to boost his political prospects.

The Psychology of Political Accountability

Research by Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels in "Democracy for Realists" reveals that voters possess almost no capacity for attribution. The theory of "retrospective voting" is essentially a fairytale. Voters consistently and systematically punish incumbents for conditions beyond their control while failing to hold actual responsible parties accountable. This psychological blind spot enables politicians to escape responsibility for their actions.

The Crisis-Driven Political Cycle

Modern politics increasingly operates through a crisis-driven cycle where leaders appear to create new crises to distract from old ones. Boris Johnson and Donald Trump have both demonstrated this pattern. The more dysfunctional and turbulent life becomes, the more such figures can position themselves as saviors and redeemers, effectively profiting from the chaos they help create.

The Future of Political Accountability

The current political system is premised on a theoretical accountability that bears no relation to reality. Success in politics comes not from listing achievements but from demonstrating hope through powerful stories of transformation. Governments that spend on public services and show life is improving tend to fare better. The UK's current approach, which reinforces hopelessness and decline while alienating its base, appears destined to fail unless fundamental changes occur.