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World Economy Apr 01, 2026

UK Food Inflation Soars to 9% as Iran Conflict Drives Energy Price Hikes

The UK's food inflation is expected to hit 9% this year due to the Iran conflict driving up energy …
The UK's food inflation is expected to soar to 9% this year, even if the strait of Hormuz opens within the next few weeks, according to the Food and Drink Federation. This represents a significant increase from their previous forecast of 3.2% made before the Middle East conflict.The industry is facing unprecedented cost pressures due to the Iran war, which is driving up energy prices. Dr. Liliana Danila, chief economist at the FDF, stated that the current situation is unprecedented and hard to predict, and that food inflation is likely to rise in the coming months.The 9% forecast assumes that the strait of Hormuz, a key shipping channel, will reopen to cargo traffic within the next two to three weeks, and that most large energy facilities will return to normal within a year. The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is set to meet with the bosses of the UK's biggest supermarkets to discuss the potential impact on the cost of living and possible supply squeezes.Some food companies, such as Princes, have already raised their prices in response to the cost pressures. UK farmers and producers have warned that without government help with surging energy bills, there could be shortages of domestic produce such as tomatoes, cucumbers, and peppers.The British Tomato Growers' Association is campaigning for the government to classify food producers as energy intensive users, which would help reduce their energy bills. If no support is provided, businesses may fail, according to Simon Conway, chair of the BTGA.
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