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The Exodus of Malawians from South Africa More than 3,000 Malawians, including hundreds of children, are staying in an open field in South Africa’s port city of Durban, after fleeing what they described as escalating anti-immigrant threats and attacks. Escalating Xenophobic Violence For weeks, groups armed with sticks, whips and shields have marched through parts of the country demanding that foreigners with no papers leave by June 30. The anti-migrant marches have been backed by the MK Party, led by former President Jacob Zuma, which commands strong support across KwaZulu-Natal province. The Humanitarian Crisis At the park, which transformed into a makeshift transit camp in Durban on Wednesday, many people said repatriation was their only safe option. “It’s hard to stay here,” Falesi Chukuwumba, a Malawian national, told Al Jazeera. “You can see we are outside. How can we stay in this cold? Our children can get sick.” Waves of Xenophobic Violence South Africa has faced recurring waves of xenophobic violence since 2008, when dozens of migrants were killed and thousands displaced. Some three million foreigners – about 5 percent of the population, more than 63 percent of them from within the Southern African Development Community (SADC) bloc – live in the country. The Future Outlook The latest flare-up comes as political parties campaign ahead of local government elections in November. Ghana, Zimbabwe and Mozambique have repatriated hundreds of nationals this month, and a flight carrying the first group of Nigerians is due to depart Johannesburg.

The latest analysis shows that the US‑Israeli strike on Iran and the ensuing disruption of the Strait of Hormuz could impose as much as a $1 trillion in extra costs on the global economy, even as oil majors like BP report record first‑quarter earnings. The Looming $1 Trillion Economic Burden from the Middle East Oil Crunch The conflict has tightened supplies of crude and gas, pushing prices to levels not seen since the early 2000s. 350.org, citing International Monetary Fund (IMF) data, estimates that if the Hormuz bottleneck persists, the cumulative hit to households, businesses and governments could exceed $1 tn. Even a swift return to normal flows would still leave an added cost of roughly $600 bn. IMF‑Backed Numbers: $600 bn to $1 tn Added Costs and Oil Giants’ Double‑Digit Profit Surge Baseline cost if Hormuz reopens quickly: ~$600 bn worldwide. Worst‑case scenario (prolonged disruption): > $1 tn in extra economic burden. BP’s Q1 profit: more than doubled year‑on‑year, driven by higher oil and gas prices. Industry profit margins: some majors earning upwards of $30 m per hour from the war‑induced price spike. Why the Crisis Deepens Global Inequality and Fuels Climate Backlash The surge in energy prices ripples through food, fertilizer and transport costs, amplifying inflation in vulnerable economies. Leaders from the Marshall Islands and Malawi warned that the crisis forces emergency measures, cuts to essential services, and threatens progress on climate resilience. Activists at the Santa Marta conference highlighted the stark contrast between soaring oil profits and the growing hardship of ordinary people. What Comes Next: Calls for Windfall Taxes and Accelerated Renewable Transition 350.org and a coalition of civil‑society groups are urging governments to impose a windfall tax on excess oil profits, directing the revenue toward social protection and renewable‑energy investments. The Santa Marta gathering, attended by over 50 nations, pledged to scale up renewable deployment and reduce dependence on fossil fuels. If such policies gain traction, the next few quarters could see a shift in capital from oil majors to clean‑energy projects, reshaping the global energy landscape.