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Rising Tensions Ahead of the Second AnniversaryThousands of Kenyans are mobilising for demonstrations on Thursday, marking the second anniversary of the Gen Z protests that left more than 120 people dead. The government has warned against any gatherings and has deployed additional police forces.Genesis of Kenya’s Gen Z Protests and Government ResponseThe movement began in 2024 when a finance bill seeking to raise $2.7 billion in tax revenue triggered nationwide anger over cost‑of‑living, unemployment and perceived corruption. Demonstrators stormed parliament on June 25 2024, forcing President William Ruto to withdraw the bill for amendment. A subsequent crackdown in 2025, following the death of blogger Albert Ojwang, resulted in over 60 deaths and more than 500 injuries.Human Cost and Financial Stakes of the ProtestsDeaths: > 120 (2024‑2025)Injuries: > 500Compensation fund announced: $15 million for 1,100 victimsFinance Bill target revenue: $2.7 billionNew Finance Act 2026 framed as pro‑growth legislationPolitical and Social Ramifications for Ruto’s AdministrationThe protests have exposed persistent economic inequality and have strained Ruto’s “bottom‑up” populist narrative. While the president portrays the Finance Act 2026 as an investment‑friendly shift, opposition leaders such as Governor James Orengo are urging citizens to honour the memory of the dead through peaceful vigils and marches. Human‑rights groups note that only a handful of cases have proceeded to court, with no convictions, raising concerns over accountability.What to Expect on Thursday and BeyondAnalysts anticipate coordinated demonstrations in Nairobi and other major cities, despite the government’s call for calm. The heavy police presence suggests a likelihood of further clashes, while the $15 million compensation fund may temper some public anger but is unlikely to satisfy demands for justice. Continued unrest could pressure the Ruto administration to either deepen repression or engage in substantive dialogue on economic reforms.

Nepal's new prime minister, Balen Shah, has taken office after a landslide win in the recent elections. Shah, a rapper-turned-politician, leads the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP), which is expected to have a two-thirds majority in parliament. This mandate comes with high expectations from young Nepalis who drove the 2025 Gen Z protests against corruption, poor governance, and lack of accountability.The RSP, barely four years old, and Shah, with no prior political experience except as mayor of Kathmandu, have a historic opportunity to deliver on the aspirations of young Nepalis. However, analysts and voters warn that with this opportunity comes significant risks. Political analyst Bishnu Sapkota notes that expectations are enormous, and it may be unrealistic for Shah to fully meet them.One of Shah's immediate challenges will be implementing the findings of the Karki Commission, which investigated the killings and property damage during the Gen Z movement. The commission's report, submitted on March 8, 2026, is expected to be made public and implemented quickly. This will require careful management of political reactions and potentially difficult decisions.Another challenge Shah faces is the relationship between him and Rabi Lamichhane, the founder of the RSP. Lamichhane faces allegations of fraud, organized crime, and money laundering, and has previously served jail sentences. Experts describe their alliance as a 'marriage of convenience' and note that differences could emerge later.Shah's popularity was the main factor behind the RSP's success, and analysts suggest that he may end up having a stronger grip on the party than its president. RSP leader Shishir Khanal emphasizes that Shah will lead the government, while Lamichhane will lead the party, and both will have to face challenges and manage expectations on their own respective fronts.In the first 100 days, the RSP plans to prioritize anti-corruption measures, including investigations into the wealth of senior officials and politicians since 1990. These steps respond directly to the demands of last year's Gen Z protests. Gen Z activist Yujan Rajbhandari notes that the new government must prioritize good governance and protect civic freedoms, or face pushback from the same movement that enabled its rise.Shah's critics have questioned his diplomatic skills, citing past social media posts attacking Nepal's neighbors, including India and China. However, analyst Sapkota argues that Shah's lack of political baggage could allow Nepal to pursue a more independent diplomacy. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has already signaled a willingness to work with Nepal's new leadership, and Shah has emphasized the importance of maintaining close relations with India.