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The Connection Between Ebola and Deforestation For decades after the discovery of Ebolavirus in 1976, outbreaks of the disease were relatively small and contained, affecting a few hundred people at most. However, in recent years, outbreaks of Ebola have been much larger, affecting thousands and even tens of thousands of people across multiple countries. The Role of Mineral Extraction in Deforestation The conventional explanation for the increased spread of Ebola has to do with larger and more interconnected human populations. However, a more fundamental driver is the transformation of the underlying ecology of Ebola, which is being re-made, in part, by the rising global hunger for minerals to power the hi-tech economy. The increasing demand for minerals such as cobalt and gold, essential for smartphone production, is driving deforestation in the Congo basin. The Data Analysis: Deforestation and Ebola Incidence With each per cent increase in deforestation in Central Africa, the incidence of malaria and Ebola spikes by 20% to 40%. The 2014 Ebola epidemic was preceded by the loss of 85% of the forest cover in the south-west corner of Guinea, where the outbreak began. The current outbreak of Bundibugyo Ebola fits the pattern, too, being preceded by a record loss of 1.5m acres of Congo basin rainforest in 2024. The Impact Analysis: Broken Ecologies and Pandemics The hunt for minerals alters the ecology of Ebola in peculiar ways that juice the pathogen's ability to spread among us. When people expand their farms, they generally push into forests from the edges. Those who seek minerals, in contrast, plunge deep into the core of the forest. The rising price of minerals attracts people from all over, including those who don't enjoy the acquired immunity of regular forest-dwelling people. The Prediction: Preventing Future Pandemics It's only the third and relatively ignored pillar of policymaking around pandemics that can: preventing the broken ecologies that drive novel pathogens into human populations in the first place. That will mean more attention to the health of ecosystems such as the forests of the Congo basin, and how its minerals might be inside the smartphone tingling in your pocket.

The latest Profundo analysis, commissioned by Rainforest Foundation Norway, reveals that accelerating extraction of critical minerals, biofuels and pulp is compounding traditional threats like cattle ranching and logging, driving the world’s largest rainforests toward a breaking point.Report Highlights Escalating Resource Extraction Threats to RainforestsThe study tracks commodity pressures across the Amazon, Congo Basin and Southeast Asia, showing how mining, oil‑gas expansion, and biofuel agriculture together create a “compounding assault” on forest ecosystems.Mining footprints are larger than previously estimated due to water pollution and infrastructure sprawl.Between 10% and one‑third of global forests are already affected, with the share set to rise.Key interviewees include Ingrid Turgen and Barbara Kuepper of Rainforest Foundation Norway.Quantified Deforestation Projections and Commodity PressuresSpecific forecasts illustrate the scale of upcoming loss:57,000 sq km of Amazon forest could disappear by 2034 if Brazil’s 10.2% beef‑production increase proceeds.Open‑pit gold mines already cover 1.9 m ha in the Amazon; projected demand could add 375 sq km of deforestation by 2028.Electric‑vehicle battery minerals may trigger 1,500‑4,700 sq km of forest loss by 2050.Biofuel demand could require an extra 52 m ha of cropland, clearing up to 35,000 sq km of Amazon vegetation by 2035.Broader Ecological and Climate ImplicationsThe combined pressures erode the forests’ ability to regulate temperature, store carbon, recycle water and sustain biodiversity. Secondary effects extend up to 50 km from mines, disproportionately affecting Indigenous territories and critical carbon sinks such as the Cuvette Centrale peatlands.Future Outlook and Policy RecommendationsAuthors stress that recycling alone cannot offset the scale of demand. They propose:Greater transparency and traceability in global supply chains.Stronger enforcement of environmental regulations in extraction zones.Demand‑reduction strategies in consumer markets, especially for fast‑fashion viscose, paper‑based packaging, and biofuel feedstocks.Without decisive action, the report warns that the Amazon, Congo and Southeast Asian rainforests could face “a pretty bleak scenario” within the next decade.

The USAID agency was a primary financial backer of Liberia's eco-guards, who help protect species from poaching and trafficking. The eco-guards, all of whom live in forest communities, patrol for signs of illegal activity and share their findings with rangers from nearby parks and forests.In late January 2025, the SCNL learned that USAID, the eco-guards' primary financial backer, was being dismantled by the Trump administration and that funding had been abruptly suspended. The SCNL programme manager, Michael E Taire, a Liberian who lives in the capital, Monrovia, spent several days travelling over rough forest roads to break the news to the eco-guards, who were shocked and distraught.Conservation organisations large and small lost tens of millions of dollars, forcing some to function with a fraction of the resources they had expected and others to shut down programmes entirely. Efforts to address the root causes of wildlife trafficking across the globe were axed, as was USAID's forest-protection programme in the Congo basin of central Africa, one of the agency's largest and most enduring endeavours.David Kaimowitz, a longtime advocate of community-led conservation in the Amazon basin and Central America, puts it bluntly: 'We’re talking about an end to a whole era of conservation.'Diane Russell, an American anthropologist who has worked for USAID in the Congo basin since the 1980s, says the agency helped draw international attention and funding to the region’s remarkably rich remaining forests, which are home to mountain gorillas and forest elephants. It also enabled conservation to continue through extraordinarily difficult conditions.'The callous glee with which [the Trump] administration choked off aid is something I will never forgive or forget,' Kevin Starr writes.'We cannot replace USAID, but we can do big things, because we, the locals, were the engine behind what USAID was doing in this region,' Dida Fayo says.