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The Lead: International Outrage Over Ben-Gvir's Video Israel's far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has posted a video of himself taunting foreign activists abducted from a Gaza-bound aid flotilla at a makeshift holding pen in Israel's city of Ashdod. The activists, abducted by Israeli forces in international waters, are seen cable-tied and kneeling while Israel's national anthem blares in the video, which was released on Wednesday. Several countries, including Italy and France, have summoned Israeli ambassadors to explain the stunt. As well as a global backlash, the video has even been met with sharp rebukes from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and staunch ally, United States ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee. Who is Ben-Gvir: The Far-Right Minister at the Center of Controversy The 50-year-old lawyer and politician has led the far-right Jewish Power (Otzma Yehudit) party in Israel since 2019. He was sworn into the cabinet after the 2022 elections and was later appointed as national security minister and given control of Israel's Border Police division in the occupied West Bank. A settler in Kiryat Arba, one of the most radical settlements on Palestinian land in the occupied West Bank – all of which are illegal under international law – Ben-Gvir has convictions for incitement to racism, destroying property, possessing a "terror" organisation's propaganda material and supporting a "terror" organisation – Meir Kahane's outlawed Kach group, whose founder advocated for expelling non-Jews from Israel and which Ben-Gvir joined when he was 16. He frequently carries out anti-Palestinian acts, including regularly storming the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound in occupied East Jerusalem's Old City, Islam's third holiest site, alongside Israeli settlers and under the protection of Israeli forces. The Flotilla Activists: International Aid Efforts to Gaza This refers primarily to the Gaza aid flotillas – groups of boats carrying activists from different countries which have set out across the Mediterranean in an attempt to deliver aid and raise awareness at various times since October 2023, when Israel launched its brutal assault on the Gaza Strip, which has killed more than 72,000 Palestinians, mostly civilians. The modern flotilla movement emerged in 2006 during Israel's war on Lebanon and expanded after Israel imposed its blockade on Gaza in 2007. Since then, hundreds of vessels organised by international solidarity groups have attempted to reach the territory, carrying humanitarian aid and activists. In 2008, two boats from the Free Gaza Movement became the first to successfully reach Gaza by sea despite the blockade. But since 2010, Israeli forces have intercepted nearly every flotilla in international waters. On Tuesday, at least 430 activists from more than 46 countries were abducted during Israeli interceptions of the latest flotilla. The Video: Ben-Gvir's Taunting of Detained Activists In the video released on Wednesday, a woman approaches the minister and says in English, "Free Palestine!" before masked security officers put their hands on her head as they snap it down and push her away. "Good job," Ben-Gvir says to the officers, before stating, "Welcome to Israel. We are the landowners here; that is how it should be." Activists are then seen on their knees with their heads on the ground and arms tied behind their backs in "stress positions" as the figures of armed Israeli security officers look down on them from atop shipping containers. Ben-Gvir, waving an Israeli flag and heavily protected by security personnel, can be seen weaving in between the activists, appearing to relish the moment as he taunts them. International Response: Global Condemnation of Israel's Actions Several countries, including Italy, France, the Netherlands and Canada, have summoned Israeli ambassadors to their capitals to express their "indignation" over Israel's treatment of the abducted Gaza flotilla activists and to demand the release of their citizens. French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot also denounced Ben-Gvir's actions as "unacceptable", calling for the release of French citizens "as soon as possible". Canadian Foreign Minister Anita Anand called the incident "deeply troubling". United Kingdom Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper said the video showed "totally disgraceful scenes". "The images of Israeli Minister Ben Gvir are unacceptable. It is unacceptable that these protesters, including many Italian citizens, are subjected to this treatment that violates their human dignity," Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said in a statement on X. Previous Treatment of Activists: A Pattern of Controversy In May 2010, when Israeli commandos stormed the Turkish ship Mavi Marmara, 10 activists were killed and dozens were wounded. Allegations of mistreatment by activists who have been brought to Israel after naval interceptions have been common, and organisers say they fear sanctions and accusations of Hamas links are being used to justify further crackdowns. The concerns come amid previous allegations by activists of abuse, including sexual abuse, during past interceptions by Israeli officials. Organisers have also accused Israeli naval forces of firing "rubber bullets" at activists during the latest interception, which occurred in international waters. Many activists who have previously been detained have been eager to point out that the focus should be on Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails who are subjected to torture and do not have the option to be deported. In 2025, high-profile activist Greta Thunberg, who was on board a previous flotilla, told Swedish newspaper Aftonbladet that activists had been beaten, kicked and threatened with being gassed in cages. Palestinian Prisoners: The Broader Context of Detention Nearly 10,000 Palestinians are currently being held in Israeli prisons in Israel and in the occupied territory, according to the prisoners' rights group Addameer. Some 3,532 of them are administrative detainees – people held without charge or trial – while 342 are children. Israel is the only country in the world that tries children in military courts, often denying them their basic rights. Palestinians detained in Israeli prisons suffer near-constant dehumanising treatment by guards and soldiers. Under a new law passed this year and spearheaded by Ben-Gvir, military courts are now able to impose the death penalty on Palestinians convicted of killing Israelis in acts of "terror". This law will not impose the same penalty on Jewish Israelis convicted of killing Palestinians, which reinforces the legal inequalities that grant privileges to Jewish citizens while targeting Palestinians.

The WADA Warning The World Anti-Doping Agency says it is concerned that Enhanced Games’ athletes will tempt more young people into using performance-enhancing drugs. The Enhanced Games Concept The stark warning comes before the controversial $50m event in Las Vegas on Sunday, which allows competitors to take banned drugs – and offers huge prizes if they win races and break world records. The Data Analysis The Enhanced Games allows athletes to use substances that are banned in elite sport, including testosterone, EPO and human growth hormone. WADA argues that just because a drug is FDA-approved, it does not mean it can be taken risk-free. The Impact Analysis WADA told the Guardian that the event was using elite athletes to sell banned drugs and anti-ageing products to people who might not be aware of the risks involved. The agency said the Enhanced Games “goes against everything WADA stands for”. The Prediction WADA warned against the practice of “stacking” various drugs together in an effort to further improve performance, which some Enhanced Games athletes have been open about doing. The agency said that sports medicine still doesn’t fully understand the long-term consequences of stacking multiple substances together at the doses elite athletes might use to chase records.

Hull KR's Golden Era and Championship MentalityHull Kingston Rovers are experiencing a remarkable period in their history, transitioning from a club that won nothing for a generation to treble winners and world club champions. After a slow start in Super League, the team is climbing up the table and could go second if they beat Wigan at Craven Park on Thursday night. The teams meet again in the Challenge Cup final at Wembley next Saturday, with Rovers seemingly peaking at the right time."We're aware that teams definitely have windows of opportunity," says Rovers captain Elliot Minchella. "That comes with continuity as well. Look at the spine of our team: we've played together for a long time and, with those connections, sometimes you don't have to say anything, you just know what they're going to do. That comes through playing 150 games together. Those days don't last for ever. In five years' time, some might still be at the club, some will be in different places around the world. So we need to take advantage of it now."The Wigan Double Header and Championship DefenseThe Robins are preparing for two crucial games against Wigan, with the first at Craven Park on Thursday night and the second being the Challenge Cup final at Wembley next Saturday. This comes after a tough win at Leigh, demonstrating the team's ability to perform under pressure. Despite coach Willie Peters revealing that players already knew when he intended to give them rest, the team has chosen to field a strong side against Wigan at Craven Park, even as Wigan sends their reserves."You've got to practise with different players, because anything could happen," says Minchella. "Obviously, there's not another Mikey Lewis around the corner, so if someone has to come in to do that job, they might have a different skill set. But we've got a framework and someone comes in and out of the framework. No matter who's in those positions, it should look the same."Building a Dynasty: The Hull KR ModelAfter winning nothing for a generation, Hull KR have been battling intensely with Wigan for the last few years, with the two teams winning or finishing as runners-up 13 times in the last nine domestic competitions. The question now is how to build a dynasty rather than being a one-season wonder."It probably starts with the very top from the owners then filters down," explains Minchella. "In years gone by, there would have been a big celebration about getting to Wembley. Well, you don't win anything for getting there. You win at Wembley. That's the mentality shift. Willie's as driven as anyone. He's moving on at the end of the year, but nothing's changed. If anything, he's dialled in even more. It's such a high when you win and affects so many people. It becomes infectious, addictive. The message is: chase that feeling again."The Changing Landscape of Rugby League's Power StructureHull KR's emergence represents a significant shift in rugby league's power dynamics. The club's transformation from perennial underachievers to champions challenges the traditional hierarchy of the sport. Their success has created a new narrative in Super League, proving that sustained excellence can be built outside of the traditional powerhouse clubs."Everybody wanted us to win for a period, but now everybody wants to stop us," Minchella acknowledges. "Everyone wants to see the champions lose. You've got to embrace that because it's not going to go away." This new status as champions has changed how opponents approach games against Hull KR, with teams now specifically targeting their key players and strategies.The Future of Hull KR Beyond Willie PetersWith coach Willie Peters set to leave in October to take over the new NRL franchise PNG Chiefs, Hull KR faces a transition period while maintaining their championship-winning core. Most of the club's important players will stay, but the team must adapt to life without their long-term leader who has guided them through their most successful period."We've spoken about not wanting to be one-season wonders," Minchella states. "It was unbelievable to do what we did last year, but it's in the past. People have left, new people have come in, and we want to do it again as a new group." The team's ability to maintain their winning culture through this transition will be crucial to their long-term success and their attempt to establish a lasting dynasty in rugby league.

The Lead Swedish-Egyptian film-maker Tarik Saleh has long been a brilliant satirist of the corruption and shabby political compromises and conspiracies of post-Mubarak Egypt. Now he brings us the third of his “Cairo trilogy”, after The Nile Hilton Incident in 2017 and Cairo Conspiracy in 2022. This new film is a seductive black-comic political thriller set in Egypt of the present day, showing us that everyone in the glamorous world of the movies, infatuated as they are with made-up stories acted out by narcissists believing in their own publicity, can so easily be pressed into the service of political propaganda. The Event Details The result is a rackety, despairing, funny film with something of Billy Wilder, or István Szabó’s Mephisto, or Bertolucci’s fascism parable The Conformist. For me, it also had echoes of Daniel Kehlmann’s novel The Director, about 1930s Austrian movie director GW Pabst, fatally tempted by the blandishments of Goebbels. Saleh’s lead is his longtime leading man Fares Fares, playing an ageing Egyptian movie star; this is pampered matinee idol George Fahmy, a man comfortable doing cheesy crowd-pleasing potboilers, now bullied into playing the lead in a sinister government-sponsored biopic of the president (with news footage of the current president, Abdel Fatah al-Sisi, cheekily cut in). The Character Analysis Fares’s gaunt, handsome face so eloquently conveys vanity, but also a poignant emotional woundedness, anxiety and self-pity. George is notionally a Coptic Christian, which has made him an object of suspicion for the government, though he is hardly pious, and is separated from his wife (Donia Massoud) and grownup son Ramy (Suhaib Nashwan). The Impact Analysis It is at one of these events that a general smoothly assures the company that western bigots, who wish to efface Arab achievements, are in a conspiracy to conceal the fact that William Shakespeare was from the Arabic world and his name was “Sheikh Zoupir” – which explains, he adds, why he disliked Jews. This is an unimprovable bit of satirical mischief in Saleh’s script. George flies high with his eagles before a horrible and sickening descent. The Prediction Eagles of the Republic is in UK and Irish cinemas from 22 May.

The Symbolic SummitThe hopes and dreams of Palestinian children from Gaza have reached the top of the world as a kite bearing their handwritten messages was carried to the summit of Mount Everest by a team of mountaineers. The group summited the world's highest peak at 10:48am local time (05:03 GMT) on Thursday, Jordanian Palestinian mountaineer Mostafa Salameh, who was spearheading the expedition but did not summit, confirmed in a social media post.The Humanitarian MissionA team of Nepali Sherpas – led by Italian filmmaker and explorer Leonardo Avezzano – carried the kite to ensure that the dreams of children in the besieged Strip could make it "to the top of the world", Salameh told Al Jazeera from the Everest base camp last week. The 56-year-old climber launched this expedition to raise $10m towards medical aid for children in the Strip and draw global attention towards the difficulties they have faced during the Israeli genocide in Gaza.A Personal Connection to Palestine"After months of preparation, sacrifice, training, fear, hope, prayers, and carrying the weight of a message much bigger than themselves… the kite carrying the dreams of the children of Gaza is now flying above the highest point on Earth," Salameh said in a video posted to Instagram. "From the rubble and pain of Gaza … to the roof of the world. A dream refused to die," he wrote in the caption.The Climbers' JourneySalameh, who has previously summited Everest, stayed at the first base camp due to frostbite and a blood clot in his left hand. "Tonight, at 8,848 metres (29,029 feet) in the death zone where every step feels like a battle between life and exhaustion, Leonardo carried that kite with courage, heart, and purpose," Salameh added. "I am so proud of my brother Leonardo for believing in this mission and for carrying the voices, names, hopes, and dreams of children who deserve to be seen by the world."The Explorer's LegacySalameh is one of 20 people to have completed the Explorer's Slam – the accomplishment of reaching the North and South poles and climbing the highest peaks on all seven continents. He has summited Everest four times, the first being in 2008, the year he was honoured with knighthood by King Abdullah II of Jordan. "What I do best is climb mountains," he told Al Jazeera in an interview last week from the base camp. "I did promise lots of people in my life not to go back to Everest, but this is worth it. As a mountaineer, what I can do is bring the story and suffering of every Palestinian child all the way to the top of the world."From Darkness to LightSalameh acknowledged the immense risks – including death – that come with scaling Mount Everest at 8,000 metres with only 15 percent oxygen, but insisted it was "absolutely nothing" compared with what the Palestinians in Gaza have endured. "This time is very personal for me," Salameh said in another video. "This one hits home for the child in me, because I know what it feels like to be a child at a refugee camp, and I feel for the children of Gaza and what they go through."The Path ForwardSalameh said the "mission [was] not accomplished yet" since summiting Everest was only the halfway point; returning to base camp safely was the next goal for Leonardo and his team. "Tonight, the kite flies above Everest; tonight, the dreams of Gaza touched the sky," Salameh said, ending the video with a chant of "Free, Free Palestine". He emphasised that the summit was not only about climbing a mountain but about humanity, hope, and proving that "even from darkness, something beautiful can still rise into the sky."

The Rise in Lyme Disease Cases Cases of Lyme disease have risen more than 20% in England in the past year, public health experts have revealed, as pharmaceutical companies work to create new vaccines and drugs to tackle the tick-borne illness. Lyme Disease Statistics According to data from the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA), published as part of its One Health vector-borne disease surveillance report, there were 1,168 laboratory-confirmed cases of Lyme disease in 2025, up from 959 in 2024 – an increase of 22%. However, the figure is similar to that recorded in 2023, when there were 1,151 confirmed cases. The Impact of Lyme Disease Lyme disease is caused by a type of bacteria called Borrelia burgdorferi, which lives in the gut of ticks – tiny spider-like creatures found in grassy and wooded areas that feed on the blood of birds and mammals, including humans. Symptoms of Lyme can include a bullseye-like rash, fever, muscle and joint pain, and lethargy. Left untreated, the condition can become chronic and, even among those who receive antibiotics, some report ongoing symptoms. New Treatments and Vaccines Several new treatments are in the works, including an mRNA vaccine from Moderna – a jab that is in phase 2 of its clinical development – as well as a different vaccine from Pfizer and Valneva. The Future Outlook While the number of laboratory-confirmed acute cases of Lyme disease in 2025 is an increase on numbers reported in 2024, experts expect overall case rates to vary year to year depending on awareness, testing rates, and factors that impact outdoor activities such as weather. Broader trends in 2025 remain consistent, with an increasing geographical distribution of ticks across the UK.

The Road to FIFA World Cup 2026 Egypt's head coach, Hossam Hassan, has announced the preliminary squad for the FIFA World Cup 2026, which will take place in the United States, Canada, and Mexico from June 11 to July 19. Liverpool's Mohamed Salah will lead the team as captain, supported by Manchester City's Omar Marmoush. Squad Selection Highlights The squad includes some notable inclusions and exclusions. Uncapped teenager Hamza Abdelkarim, who plays for Barcelona's under-19 team, has been included in the squad. On the other hand, Nantes forward Mostafa Mohamed has been left out. The Data Behind the Squad Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) - Captain Omar Marmoush (Manchester City) - Forward Hamza Abdelkarim (Barcelona U19) - Forward The Impact of Squad Selection The selection of Hamza Abdelkarim and exclusion of Mostafa Mohamed reflect the team's strategy to blend experience with youth. Mostafa Mohamed's omission is notable, given his recent form struggles with Nantes. The Road Ahead Egypt will play friendly matches against Russia and Brazil before heading to the World Cup. Their campaign begins against Belgium in Seattle on June 15, followed by matches against New Zealand, and Iran. Egypt's Squad for FIFA World Cup 2026 Goalkeepers: Mohamed El Shenawy (Al Ahly), Mostafa Shobeir (Al Ahly), El Mahdi Soliman (Zamalek), Mohamed Alaa (El Gouna) Defenders: Mohamed Hany (Al Ahly), Tarek Alaa (Zed), Hamdy Fathy (Al Wakrah), Rami Rabia (Al Ain), Yasser Ibrahim (Al Ahly), Hossam Abdelmaguid (Zamalek), Mohamed Abdelmonemn (Nice), Ahmed Fatouh (Zamalek), Karim Hafez (Pyramids) Midfielders: Marwan Ateya (Al Ahly), Mohanad Lasheen (Pyramids), Nabil Emad (Al Najma), Mahmoud Saber (Zed), Ahmed Zizo (Al Ahly), Emam Ashour (Al Ahly), Mostafa Ziko (Pyramids), Mahmoud Trezeguet (Al Ahly), Ibrahim Adel (Nordsjaelland), Haissem Hassan (Real Ovideo) Forwards: Omar Marmoush (Manchester City), Mohamed Salah (Liverpool), Aqtay Abdallah (Enppi), Hamza Abdelkarim (Barcelona U19)

The Lead: Worker Exploitation in Aramco's Supply ChainA report by human rights group FairSquare has revealed that migrant workers in Saudi Aramco's supply chain face serious safety risks and exploitation, with difficulties in claiming compensation after injuries. The findings highlight a stark contrast between Aramco's status as one of the world's most profitable companies and the treatment of workers in its extensive contractor network.The Worker's Story: Shrawan Shah Rauniyar's OrdealShrawan Shah Rauniyar, a Nepalese migrant worker, lies in a hospital bed in Saudi Arabia with his legs encased in plaster casts after being crushed under a metal beam that fell off a forklift. Despite working on a project for Saudi Aramco—one of the most profitable companies in the world—Rauniyar was not employed directly by the state-owned energy company but by a small labor supply company.When staff from Saipem (the Italian firm contracted to Aramco) visited him in hospital, they brought flowers and chocolates but delivered a blunt message: "Don't ask us about compensation. We don't know about it. You're a contract worker for us. Talk to your employer." Rauniyar alleges that men from his labor supply company later threatened him in hospital, telling him to "Go home. Otherwise, we'll kill you. We'll kick you out on the street."Less than three weeks after the accident, Rauniyar claims staff from the labor supply company "forcefully" took him to the airport and put him on a plane back to Nepal without receiving the compensation he was entitled to under his contract and Saudi law.The Report's Findings: Systemic Labor Rights AbusesFairSquare's report documents 23 cases of alleged labor rights abuses among workers employed by Aramco's contractors and subcontractors in Saudi Arabia. The report finds that migrant workers in Aramco's supply chain "are exposed to serious safety and health risks, and face significant challenges in claiming compensation in the event of injury or death."Workers interviewed by FairSquare alleged they endured grave labor rights violations, including:Exposure to extreme heatWork shifts of up to 19 hoursBeing put up in what the rights group calls "slum housing"Being paid just 1,000 rials (£200) per month for 10-hour shiftsDeductions from wages for taking days offOvercrowded living conditions with "rotten" foodThe Corporate Giant: Aramco's Scale and InfluenceThe findings are particularly striking given that Aramco is one of the wealthiest, most profitable and influential corporations in the world. As Saudi Arabia's national oil company, it provides about two-thirds of the government's revenue. It is the fourth largest company in the world by revenue, with a market value of about $1.7tn (£1.3tn) – roughly the same as the next five energy companies combined.Aramco employs more than 76,000 people, but this figure hides a far larger number of workers employed through a long and complex chain of thousands of contractors and subcontractors. These workers, who are overwhelmingly migrant laborers from South Asia, do the often difficult and dangerous work that drives Aramco's profits, from constructing its facilities to transporting its petrol.The Global Brand: Aramco's World Cup ConnectionAramco is not just the economic engine of Saudi Arabia but also plays a leading role in the kingdom's efforts to rebrand itself on the global stage, notably through sports. As one of Fifa's main sponsors, its name will be plastered all over the World Cup. However, severe labor violations were uncovered at Aramco Stadium, the first new venue to be developed for the 2034 football World Cup.Earlier this year, it was reported that the family of a Pakistani worker who fell to his death at the stadium was still waiting for compensation almost a year after his death. This case, along with others documented in FairSquare's report, raises questions about Aramco's commitment to worker safety and rights despite its high-profile global partnerships.The Legal Framework: Corporate and Government ResponsibilitiesSuch an extensive labour supply chain does not exempt Aramco from its responsibilities to its entire workforce. The UN's Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights require companies to prevent human rights abuses "throughout their operations". Aramco appears to accept this, stating online: "Aramco is committed to supporting and empowering our workforce and the communities where we operate. The safety and wellbeing of our employees, their dependents, and our company's contractors is paramount to our strategy and operations."As a majority state-owned company, the UN's guiding principles put additional responsibilities on the Saudi government "to ensure that relevant policies, legislation and regulations regarding respect for human rights are implemented". However, the findings suggest that these principles are not being effectively enforced in practice.The Aftermath: Life After InjuryNow back in Nepal, Rauniyar is confined to a small room he rents. Doctors have told him the bones in his right leg have not joined properly and he may need further surgery, but he says he does not have the money for it. "My legs hurt when I walk. I can't lift weights. If my legs hadn't been broken, I could have worked somewhere, but not in this condition," he says.Even before the accident, Rauniyar was struggling in Saudi Arabia. He claims he was housed in overcrowded rooms "like pigs", and his fellow workers fell sick because of the "rotten" food. Now he relies on his wife's meagre teaching salary of 7000 rupees (£35) a month and some fees from tuition classes he runs for local children. "We are poor. I don't have a home. I don't have anything. My life has collapsed," he says.The Compensation Crisis: Broken PromisesUnder Saudi law, when a worker is injured or dies in the course of their job, they or their family should receive compensation from a government insurance scheme or directly from their employer. Yet compensation was only paid out in one of the six cases of injury or death documented in FairSquare's report.FairSquare's findings are consistent with reports from Human Rights Watch and the Business and Human Rights Resource Centre, which last year found evidence of rights abuses in Aramco's labour supply chain. These repeated findings suggest a systemic issue that goes beyond isolated incidents.The Industry Impact: Reputational Risks and AccountabilityThe revelations about labor conditions in Aramco's supply chain come at a time when multinational corporations face increasing scrutiny over their human rights records. As Aramco continues to expand its global partnerships and sponsorships, including high-profile sporting events like the World Cup, these findings pose significant reputational risks.The case also highlights the challenges of enforcing labor rights in complex supply chains, where responsibility is often diffused across multiple layers of contractors and subcontractors. This creates a situation where workers fall through the cracks, with no clear entity held accountable for their welfare.The Future Outlook: Calls for Reform and AccountabilityFairSquare's director, Nick McGeehan, stated: "Aramco obviously has a responsibility to protect these workers, but it also has tremendous influence to set standards that flow down its supply chain to hundreds of thousands of workers across Saudi Arabia. The neglect that we see in its supply chain indicates that it takes migrant worker protection no more seriously than the Saudi state."As global attention focuses on Saudi Arabia's hosting of the World Cup and its broader Vision 2030 economic diversification plan, there are growing calls for Aramco to demonstrate genuine commitment to worker rights. The company faces the challenge of reconciling its public commitments to safety and wellbeing with the realities faced by workers in its supply chain.

Market Reaction to Trump’s Iran Negotiation ClaimThe announcement by Donald Trump that talks with Iran were "in the final stages" triggered an immediate sell‑off in crude markets, pulling Brent down $6.64 (5.97%) to $104.64 a barrel and WTI off $6.49 (6.23%) to $97.66 by early afternoon ET. Trump Announces Final‑Stage Iran Talks Amid Ongoing TensionsThe U.S. president warned of further attacks unless Iran agrees to a deal. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said Tehran was ready to develop safe‑shipping protocols with other coastal states, but offered no specifics. Oil Price Drops and Futures Data Highlight 6% DeclineBrent futures: $104.64 per barrel (down 5.97%)WTI futures: $97.66 per barrel (down 6.23%)One‑month vs six‑month Brent premium: about $20 a barrel, well below last month’s peak of > $35Three supertankers crossing the Strait of Hormuz carried roughly 6 million barrels, far fewer than the pre‑war average of ~130 vessels per day Supply‑Chain Uncertainty and Market Sentiment Remain FragileAnalysts remain cautious. John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital, said markets “take pronouncements with a grain of salt.” Citi analysts project Brent could rise to $120 a barrel, arguing current pricing underestimates prolonged disruption risk. Wood Mackenzie warns prices could approach $200 if the Hormuz corridor stays largely shut through year‑end. PVM notes global oil inventories may hit critically low levels, while Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak highlighted that some nations are easing sanctions on Russian oil to keep markets functioning. Analysts Forecast Potential Rebound if Negotiations Stall or Supply TightensIf talks falter, Brent could quickly retest the $120‑$130 range, driven by renewed risk premiums.Continued low traffic through Hormuz would sustain a tight market, supporting higher spot prices.Any formal agreement that eases sanctions on Iranian oil could provide a modest supply boost, tempering price gains.