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The US Congress is embroiled in a heated debate over the renewal of Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), a law that grants the US government sweeping powers for warrantless surveillance. The law is set to expire on April 20, and lawmakers are divided over whether to reform it or extend it without changes.A coalition of progressive Democrats and far-right Republicans is pushing for reforms, while others are advocating for an 18-month renewal with no changes, in line with Donald Trump's demands. House GOP leaders delayed a procedural vote on a clean extension of Section 702 after the chamber's rules committee approved the measure, amid dissent from privacy advocates within their own party.Section 702 allows national security agencies to collect and review texts and emails sent to and from foreigners living outside the country without a warrant. If Americans are communicating with a non-American target living abroad, their communications can also be swept in. The law includes a provision that notes it will expire without periodically being reauthorized.Intelligence agencies have argued that a warrant requirement would be too burdensome, while privacy advocates argue that the law has been abused and that a warrant requirement is necessary to protect Americans' rights. The FBI has made 7,413 queries about Americans under Section 702 last year, according to the Department of Justice.The Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court has expressed concerns about compliance problems with the FBI's querying procedures under Section 702, stating that they have been 'persistent and widespread.' The court's concerns highlight the need for greater oversight and reform of the law.The renewal of Section 702 comes as the Trump administration appears to be widening its surveillance arsenal, with the FBI resuming its purchase of sensitive location data to bypass warrant requirements. Privacy advocates are pushing for a warrant requirement, citing concerns about mass surveillance and the potential for abuse of power.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest World Economic Outlook, warning of a significantly darkened global economic outlook. The report cites the outbreak of war in the Middle East on February 28, 2026, as a major factor in the deteriorating outlook.The IMF's January report was titled “Steady amid Divergent Forces”; whereas the latest outlook is headlined “Global Economy in the Shadow of War”. The IMF now expects the global economy to slow compared to its previous forecast in January.The latest outlook notes that the global outlook has abruptly darkened following the outbreak of war. Far be it for the IMF to gloat, but its suggestion in January that “steady” was not a word to describe the global economy unless you were desperately trying to make the madness of Donald Trump seem normal has aged quite well.The IMF remains unwilling to name Donald Trump, while noting the lingering effects of the persistent rise in energy prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, it only talks about the Middle East conflict as though it sprang out of nowhere.The IMF warns of three possible scenarios: a bad scenario where Trump, Israel and Iran come to an agreement; an adverse scenario where things carry on for the rest of the year and oil stays around US$100 per barrel; and a severe scenario where nothing is resolved, oil prices reach $125 in 2027, gas prices increase by 200% over the same period, and food prices increase by 5% in 2026 and 10% in 2027.Even under the current bad scenario, the global economy is expected to slow compared to what the IMF forecast in January. But under the adverse and severe scenarios the global economy grows by just 2.0% this year and 2.2% next year.For context, over the past 40 years, the global economy has grown slower than 2.2% only three times – 1992 (global recession), 2009 (the GFC) and 2020 (Covid).The IMF has downgraded Australia’s growth by more than most. Even under the most optimistic scenario growth is 0.5% worse than was forecast last October – a bigger downgrade than all G7 nations.The IMF warns against governments doing popular things like energy caps or subsidies, designed to protect households and firms. It worries that such policies will increase inflation because we’ll all suddenly have so much more money to spend.Gas companies exporting LNG from Australia will be cheering on the war as it keeps gas prices – and their profits – ever higher. The senate is investigating changing the way gas is taxed. An ACTU proposal for a 25% tax on exports would raise roughly $17bn a year.

The future of the LIV Golf series hangs in the balance after Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) signaled a possible withdrawal of its multi‑billion‑dollar support. Executives were summoned to a high‑stakes meeting in New York this week, a development that follows growing speculation that the rebel tour could be shut down. While the fifth season’s sixth event in Mexico City is set to proceed on Thursday, the tournament is being eclipsed by reports that PIF intends to cut the tour’s funding. The tour has already faced challenges securing a merger with the PGA Tour despite a three‑year “framework agreement,” and the funding pull would exacerbate its financial strain. According to the PIF’s newly released five‑year economic strategy, the fund is prioritising sustainable domestic investments and has omitted sport from its seven key focus areas. This shift signals a move away from the “free‑spending, disruptive internationalism” that characterised the launch of LIV Golf in 2021. Since its inception, PIF has poured over $5 bn into the tour, but this year prize money and bonus payouts have already been slashed. High‑profile players such as Phil Mickelson, Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm, Sergio García and Bryson DeChambeau initially defected from the PGA and DP World Tours, yet recent defections back to the PGA—including Brooks Koepka and Patrick Reed—highlight the tour’s precarious position. DeChambeau has yet to sign a new contract. A source familiar with the Saudi Ministry of Sports confirmed that the fund is redirecting its sports budget toward football and esports, with golf no longer a priority. The same source noted that PIF is ending its partnership with the Women’s Tennis Association, and the three‑year WTA Finals deal in Riyadh will not be renewed after its November expiry. The rumours ignited on Tuesday after journalist Ryan French posted on X that multiple sources warned of a “bombshell announcement” on LIV’s future, later suggesting the tour might be shutting down. LIV officials and players have not received any formal update. In Mexico, Sergio García told reporters they have only heard the same message from PIF chief Yasir al‑Rumayyan at the start of the year: that the project is a long‑term commitment, and that rumours are inevitable. Technical glitches, including an alleged power failure at the venue, forced the cancellation of pre‑tournament press conferences on Tuesday. Nevertheless, the pro‑am competition resumed on Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. local time, indicating that day‑to‑day operations continue despite the uncertainty. The outcome of the New York meeting could determine whether LIV Golf survives as a viable alternative to traditional tours or becomes another casualty of shifting Saudi investment priorities.

Negotiations between Washington and Tehran are expected to resume in Islamabad within days, placing President Donald Trump under intense pressure to deliver an Iran accord that can be credibly billed as superior to the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) brokered by former President Barack Obama. Two tests dominate the diplomatic calculus: the deal must demonstrably exceed the Obama agreement, and it must ensure that Iran derives no lasting strategic advantage, particularly over the vital Strait of Hormuz. While direct comparisons with the 159‑page JCPOA are imperfect—given the evolution of Iran’s nuclear program and the emergence of non‑nuclear concerns—the Trump team is framing its objectives around four pivotal issues. 1. Enrichment suspension: In Geneva on 26 February, the U.S. demanded a 10‑year freeze on all domestic uranium enrichment, a figure Iran’s foreign minister deemed unrealistic beyond three years. In Islamabad, the U.S. escalated the ask to a 20‑year suspension, yet Trump publicly dismissed even that, insisting on a permanent ban. The practical timeline for Iran to restart enrichment after the damage to its facilities remains uncertain. 2. Highly enriched uranium (HEU) stockpile: The original JCPOA capped uranium enrichment at 3.65% and limited the stockpile to 300 kg. Iran now holds 440.9 kg of 60%‑enriched uranium—a material that can be rapidly converted to weapons‑grade (90%)—mostly stored as UF₆ gas in scuba‑tank‑sized canisters. Tehran offered to down‑blend this stockpile to 3.67% in an irreversible process, mirroring the 2015 deal’s provisions. The U.S., however, is pressing for the entire stockpile to be removed from Iran under American supervision, a stance that raises questions about the relative merits of in‑country down‑blending versus export. 3. Sanctions relief: The JCPOA promised the release of roughly $100 billion in frozen Iranian assets and the lifting of oil trade restrictions, while retaining sanctions on terrorism, human rights, and missile proliferation. In the Geneva framework, over 80% of sanctions would be lifted, leaving only human‑rights‑related measures. Trump’s administration, wary of political backlash, seeks to attach conditions on how Iran can spend the relief, a demand Tehran rejects, insisting on a permanent, irreversible lifting of sanctions. 4. Non‑nuclear issues: Trump has repeatedly criticized the JCPOA for isolating Iran’s nuclear program from its broader regional behavior. The current negotiations must grapple with Iran’s ballistic‑missile program, support for proxy forces, and the strategic future of the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials are divided: one camp favors leveraging the strait for immediate revenue and national pride, while another views it as a diplomatic lever to secure a lasting ceasefire and security guarantees. The confluence of these challenges creates a “marshmallow test” for both sides—whether they can forgo short‑term temptations in favor of a durable, long‑term settlement. As the Trump presidency approaches its final year, the ability to craft a deal that convincingly outperforms the Obama era while addressing the expanded nuclear and geopolitical landscape will determine the legacy of U.S. policy on Iran and its impact on regional stability.

Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor nominated by President Donald Trump to replace Jerome Powell, has filed ethics disclosures showing personal assets well above $100 million. If confirmed, he would become the wealthiest central‑bank leader in U.S. history. The 69‑page filing, released on Tuesday, lists two private‑fund investments each valued at over $50 million in the Juggernaut Fund LP, plus $10.2 million in consulting fees from the investment office of Wall Street titan Stanley Druckenmiller. Many holdings are described only in broad categories because “pre‑existing confidentiality agreements” prevent full disclosure; Warsh has pledged to divest these assets should his nomination be approved. Federal Reserve ethics rules, tightened in 2022, prohibit officials and their families from owning bank stocks, crypto‑related assets, and impose strict limits on buying and selling securities. The Fed’s own standards, set by the Federal Open Market Committee, are stricter than those governing other federal employees. Beyond the large private‑fund stakes, Warsh’s disclosures reveal a portfolio concentrated in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency. Notable entries include the robotic‑coffee‑bar platform Cafe X, wearable‑tech firm Cionic, an Ethereum layer‑two project dubbed “Blast,” and a reversible male‑contraceptive solution called Contraline. Details for many of these positions are omitted, again citing confidentiality. The filing also enumerates assets held by Warsh’s spouse, Jane Lauder—a member of the Estee Lauder family with an estimated net worth of $1.9 billion. Her holdings feature municipal bonds listed simply as “over $1 million.” Liabilities appear modest in comparison: a 2015 mortgage of up to $5 million with JPMorgan Chase at a 2.75% rate, a revolving credit line of up to $5 million from PNC Bank at roughly 6%, and a $1.95 million capital commitment to THSDFS LLC, an interest Warsh has also pledged to divest. Ethics analyst Heather Jones of the Office of Government Ethics confirmed that Warsh’s divestiture promises would bring him into compliance with the Ethics in Government Act. Nonetheless, the breadth of undisclosed holdings is likely to dominate his upcoming confirmation hearing, scheduled for April 21. Political dynamics add further uncertainty. A key Republican senator has signaled intent to block Warsh’s confirmation until a Department of Justice investigation into Powell’s oversight of Fed‑headquarters renovations concludes. Although a federal judge recently dismissed two subpoenas targeting Powell—citing a perceived attempt to pressure him on interest‑rate policy—the Justice Department plans to appeal, potentially delaying any Senate vote. Powell has indicated he will remain “pro tem” if Warsh is not confirmed by the end of his term on May 15, and he could retain his governor seat until 2028 if he chooses.

The United States is brokering a historic round of direct, high‑level talks between Israel and Lebanon in Washington, D.C., marking the first bilateral engagement between the two countries since 1993. Lebanese officials aim to secure a ceasefire, whereas Israel’s primary objective is the disarmament of the Iran‑backed Hezbollah militia. Hezbollah’s leadership has publicly dismissed the negotiations as a "futile" ploy, with Secretary‑General Qassem Naim urging the Lebanese government to withdraw from the talks. The group argues that negotiating under fire amounts to a surrender and insists that any disarmament can only occur after a full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon. The talks are scheduled for Tuesday at the U.S. Department of State headquarters, beginning at 11 a.m. Eastern Time (15:00 GMT). Key participants include Lebanese Ambassador to the U.S. Nada Hamadeh, Israeli Ambassador to the U.S. Yechiel Leiter, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Michel Issa, and State Department Counselor Michael Needham, all acting as facilitators. The U.S. frames the meeting as a necessary response to “Hezbollah’s reckless actions,” emphasizing that "Israel is at war with Hezbollah, not Lebanon, so there is no reason the two neighbours should not be talking," a senior State Department official said. Escalating violence has set a grim backdrop: Israeli strikes on Lebanon have killed at least 2,080 people, including 165 children and 87 medical workers, and displaced more than 1.2 million residents. Overall, the conflict has claimed over 3,768 Lebanese lives since October 2023. Israel has refused to discuss a ceasefire, insisting instead on a plan to dismantle Hezbollah’s arsenal. According to Israeli media, the proposal would divide southern Lebanon into three security zones: Zone 1 (0‑8 km from the border) under a long‑term Israeli military presence; Zone 2 (up to the Litani River) where Israeli forces would gradually hand control to the Lebanese army; and Zone 3 (north of the Litani) to be managed solely by the Lebanese army for disarmament purposes. Israeli officials have also floated reinstating a “buffer zone” in the south, a policy abandoned decades ago. Beirut, represented by Culture Minister Ghassan Salame, describes the Washington meeting as a preliminary step to pause hostilities and reassert state authority, while acknowledging Lebanon’s limited leverage. The Lebanese government has previously announced plans to disarm Hezbollah under U.S. pressure, a move Hezbollah denounced as a surrender to Israel and the United States. The broader diplomatic context includes a recent U.S.–Iran ceasefire agreement that nominally covers Lebanon, but Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected its terms and pushed for direct talks, receiving backing from U.S. President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance. European leaders, however, have urged that Lebanon be fully incorporated into any ceasefire framework. Hezbollah’s objections are multifaceted: negotiating while under bombardment, lack of national consensus, the demand to disarm its weapons—deemed a “Lebanese internal matter”—and accusations of governmental betrayal. The group has unequivocally stated it will not honor any agreement reached in Washington. Analysts caution that an immediate ceasefire remains unlikely. A U.S. official noted Israel’s focus on disarmament and skepticism about Beirut’s capacity to deliver. Meanwhile, the battle for the strategic southern town of Bint Jbeil is seen as a potential barometer for the talks: if Israeli forces capture the town, they may harden their demands; if Hezbollah holds, it could bolster Lebanon’s negotiating position. For now, Hezbollah remains defiant, with Qassem Naim declaring, "We will not rest, stop or surrender; the battlefield will speak for itself."

Iran has strongly condemned YouTube's decision to ban a pro-Iranian group, Explosive Media, which creates Lego-style artificial intelligence videos. The group was suspended for allegedly posting 'violent content', specifically a video mocking US President Donald Trump and declaring 'Iran won' after a recent ceasefire agreement. The ban has sparked outrage from Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, with spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei accusing YouTube of trying to suppress the truth about the US-Israel war on Iran. Baghaei questioned the ban, highlighting that YouTube hosts content from major animation studios like Pixar, DreamWorks Animation, and The Walt Disney Company. Explosive Media's videos often use US popular culture to portray Trump as isolated and prone to childish tantrums. One video depicted Trump with an oversized yellow head and a flaming backside, holding a sign that read: 'VICTORY! I am a loser'. The group describes itself as independent but is widely suspected of having ties to the Iranian government. The ban has been seen as an attempt to shield the American administration's false narrative from competing voices. Iran's Foreign Ministry has expressed concern that such actions could limit the free flow of information and perspectives on the ongoing conflict.

On the first day of the US blockade on Iranian ports, at least three vessels, including two US-sanctioned tankers, successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz into the Gulf. According to shipping data, these vessels were not bound for Iranian ports, thus avoiding the impact of the blockade.A Panama-flagged medium-range tanker, Peace Gulf, was headed to Hamriyah port in the United Arab Emirates. Data from LSEG and Kpler showed that the vessel typically transports Iranian naphtha, a petrochemical feedstock, to other non-Iranian ports in the Middle East for export to Asia.Two US-sanctioned tankers, Murlikishan and Rich Starry, also navigated through the strait. Murlikishan, a handy tanker, was set to load fuel oil in Iraq on Thursday. The vessel, previously known as MKA, has a history of transporting Russian and Iranian oil. Rich Starry, a medium-range tanker carrying about 250,000 barrels of methanol, was the first sanctioned tanker to exit the Gulf since the blockade began. The tanker and its owner, Shanghai Xuanrun Shipping Co Ltd, were sanctioned by the US for dealing with Iran.The US blockade was announced by President Donald Trump on Sunday, following the collapse of peace talks between the US and Iran in Islamabad. The blockade aims to restrict Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global energy shipments. Iran had previously halted traffic through the strait in response to US-Israeli attacks, causing a spike in global gas and petrol prices.The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs criticized the US move, calling it 'dangerous and irresponsible' and warning that it would escalate tensions and undermine the fragile ceasefire agreement. China, which imports over half of its oil from the Middle East, especially Iran, expressed concerns about the impact on oil supplies.Despite the blockade, there are still prospects for a diplomatic breakthrough. Trump indicated that Iran still has an opportunity to strike a deal, and a Pakistani official stated that the country is willing to host peace talks.

Italy has suspended the automatic renewal of its defence agreement with Israel, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said on Tuesday in Verona. The pact, originally approved in 2006 and set to renew every five years, encompasses joint development of military equipment, technology research, training of personnel and information‑technology cooperation. Meloni explained that the decision reflects “the current situation,” referring to a recent episode in which Israeli forces allegedly fired warning shots at an Italian peacekeeping convoy in Lebanon, damaging a vehicle but causing no injuries. In response, Italy summoned the Israeli ambassador to protest the incident, while Israel later called Italy’s ambassador after Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani, also deputy prime minister, condemned the “unacceptable attacks” on Lebanese civilians. Tajani was in Beirut for talks with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Foreign Minister Youssef Raggi, and posted on X that he was conveying Italy’s solidarity with Lebanon. Until now, Meloni’s right‑wing government has been one of Israel’s closest allies in Europe. The suspension marks a notable shift in the relationship, although the Israeli government has not issued an immediate reaction. The defence accord, which automatically renews every five years, includes cooperation across defence industries, education and training of military personnel, research and development, and information‑technology initiatives.