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The Failed Dealmaker: Trump's Iran Dilemma For weeks, Donald Trump has tried to find a way to end the war he started with Iran – a deal that would allow him to declare victory and move past the conflict before it causes severe damage to the global economy and sinks Republican chances in the US midterm elections. But the self-proclaimed master dealmaker can't seem to stop sabotaging his own negotiations or to acknowledge that Iran is now in a better position to demand concessions than it was before the war. Strategic Missteps: From Military Action to Negotiation Deadlock Over the Memorial Day holiday, Trump skipped his eldest son's wedding in the Bahamas and canceled plans to spend the weekend at his New Jersey golf club. The last-minute changes heightened speculation that Trump was ready to unveil a deal to end the war. Trump then announced that he would hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David, the presidential compound in Maryland that has been the site of historic diplomatic summits. But that meeting was moved back to the White House, as it became clear that Trump had not been able to close a deal he could announce with great fanfare. The Art of the Deal: Trump's Negotiation Paradox Why has an agreement eluded the business titan who wrote the bestselling 1987 book The Art of the Deal? Trump admires strongman leaders and is loth to project any sign of weakness – and he's afraid of reaching a deal with Iran that makes him look weak. The president is also sensitive to criticism that any agreement he negotiates will be worse for the US than the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, which was brokered by Barack Obama's administration. Leverage Reversed: How Iran Gained the Upper Hand Trump's main problem is that Iran has more leverage than he does – and Iranian leaders are well aware of that advantage. On 28 February, Trump launched a joint US-Israeli war against Iran, killing the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top military and political officials. But Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes against US military bases across the Middle East, and it targeted the energy infrastructure of its Gulf neighbors. Iran also deployed its most effective economic weapon: it closed the strait of Hormuz, through which more than a fifth of the world's oil supply passed each day. Economic Fallout: Global Disruption and Rising Oil Prices The closure of the Strait of Hormuz – along with Iranian attacks on pipelines and gas fields in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates – disrupted the global economy and increased oil prices. In the US, average gas prices have jumped by 50%, up to nearly $4.50 per gallon, since Trump launched the war. Trump and his ally, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, could not topple the Islamic regime that rose to power after Iran's 1979 revolution. Instead, they ended up strengthening it – by allowing Tehran to deploy its geographic control of the strait of Hormuz into a weapon that could instigate a global energy crisis and a worldwide recession. The Emerging Deal: Limited Concessions and Unresolved Issues The emerging deal is focused on solving a problem that didn't exist before Trump started this war: fully reopening the strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping so that oil prices can stabilize. Under a draft agreement being circulated to US allies, Washington would also lift its blockade of Iranian ports and allow Tehran to access about $12bn in frozen assets. Once again, Trump seems to be aiming for a limited deal with Iran that defers the most difficult questions to future talks, which could drag out for months or even years. Iran's Resilience: Military Strength Preserved In some ways, Iran has emerged stronger after a war intended to decimate its military capabilities. A CIA report sent to Trump earlier this month found that Tehran had managed to retain a significant part of its missile capabilities. The analysis said Iran preserved about 70% of its prewar stockpile of missiles and about 75% of its mobile launchers. The report also concluded that Iran was more resilient than US officials had claimed, and it could survive a naval blockade for months. Political Calculations: Midterm Elections and Trump's Dilemma At his cabinet meeting, Trump said he didn't care about the midterm elections and wasn't in a rush to reach a deal. "It's got to be perfect," Trump told reporters, adding: "I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement." Despite his weak position, Trump insists that he will strike a better deal with Iran than the one negotiated by the Obama administration in 2015. That agreement provided Tehran with relief from international sanctions in exchange for limits on its nuclear enrichment. The Unintended Consequences: Strengthening the Adversary Trump could have avoided starting a regime-change war that failed, leaving the world to deal with its consequences. Instead, the master negotiator handed Iran a new economic weapon – and more leverage to extract a favorable deal. The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you're dead. Trump wrote in his famous book. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have.

The Inflation Conundrum For such an uncannily successful politician, Donald Trump exhibits a perplexing political myopia. His most recent own-goal was endorsing Ken Paxton, a state attorney general, against four-term senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary for Senate in Texas. Trump's Inflationary Gambits What truly screams “I want us to lose the midterms” is what Trump is doing about inflation, which is becoming his most vulnerable issue. According to a New York Times/Siena poll of registered voters earlier in May, Trump’s approval on handling the cost of living is underwater by 42 percentage points. The Data Analysis Inflation rose at the fastest pace in three years in April, driven by the Iran war and other factors. The nationwide average price of regular gasoline is hovering around $4.50 a gallon, about $1.30 higher than a year ago. Consumer prices increased 3.8% in the year to April, their highest annual rate in two years. The Impact Analysis People’s attitudes about inflation are difficult to parse. They think less about the alphabet of indices policymakers focus on, such as CPI and PCE, and more about how much the price of eggs and gas have risen since they last remembered. The Prediction This may not be statistically robust, but since George HW Bush lost to Bill Clinton in 1992, there has been only one presidential election in a year with inflation as high as it is today. The incumbent, George W Bush, lost to Barack Obama.

Opening the Pig & Swill: A Community‑Driven Taphouse in CardiffOn a hot Thursday evening in Canton, Cardiff, locals streamed between the bar and garden of the newly launched Pig & Swill. Co‑founders Lewis Dwyer and Andy Aston reported an immediate surge of customers, crediting the neighbourhood’s appetite for a quality night‑cap spot.Numbers Behind the National Pub Decline and Welsh Counter‑Trend161 pubs closed in the UK during Q1 2026 – roughly two per day.Closures were 26% higher than the same period in 2025.The shutdowns represent the loss of about 2,400 jobs, according to the British Beer and Pub Association (BBPA).In contrast, Wales saw three new pubs open, including the Pig & Swill, Vicino (Cardiff) and The Nelson (Rhyl).The Pig & Swill’s Kickstarter campaign raised £29,000 for the refit.Why Wales Is Holding Its Own Amid Economic HeadwindsIndustry observers note that Welsh hospitality still faces pressure, with more restaurant and hotel closures than openings. However, strong local patronage, the proximity to the popular Michelin‑listed restaurant Hiraeth, and a cultural love for the “sesh” are helping new venues thrive. David Chapman, executive director of UK Hospitality Cymru, stresses that supportive policies – such as reforming business rates – are crucial for sustaining this momentum.Looking Ahead: Policy, Community Support, and the Future of Welsh PubsWith the new Welsh government signalling a commitment to hospitality in its manifesto, the next steps will determine whether the current optimism can scale. Continued community funding, eased cost pressures, and targeted government action could turn Wales into a blueprint for reversing the broader UK pub‑closure trend.

Iran is grappling with a deepening economic crisis as the costs of a prolonged conflict strain public finances and push the regime toward greater authoritarian measures. Ordinary Iranians are bearing the brunt of soaring prices, a collapsing currency and shrinking job prospects. The Economic Collapse Following the Conflict The war has drained state coffers, forcing the government to divert resources from social programs to military spending. This reallocation has reduced subsidies on essential goods, intensified shortages and heightened public discontent. Quantifying the Crisis: Inflation, Unemployment, and Currency Devaluation Inflation has accelerated sharply, with reports indicating double‑digit growth in consumer prices over the past year. Unemployment, especially among youth, has risen as private sector activity stalls under heavy sanctions and reduced investment. The national currency continues to lose value against major foreign currencies, eroding savings and import purchasing power. Regional and Global Implications of Iran’s Struggling Economy The economic turmoil is reshaping Iran’s regional posture. A financially strained regime may pursue more aggressive foreign policies to rally nationalist support, while neighboring markets feel pressure from disrupted trade flows and refugee movements. Outlook: Prospects for Reform or Further Decline Analysts warn that without substantial fiscal relief or a de‑escalation of hostilities, Iran’s economy could enter a prolonged downturn. Potential pathways include limited market reforms, renewed diplomatic engagement to ease sanctions, or continued reliance on state control, each carrying distinct risks for the population and the regime’s stability.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced that Special Envoy for Syria Tom Barrack will step down after his formal mandate ends, yet he will continue to steer US policy across Syria, Iraq and Turkey.Tom Barrack’s Mandate Ends, Yet His Diplomatic Role PersistsAccording to the statement posted on X, Barrack’s title as Special Envoy expires, but his influence remains intact. The billionaire real‑estate investor, a longtime confidant of former President Donald Trump, has served as the administration’s primary envoy to Syria since May 2025 while also acting as US ambassador to Turkey.Timeline and Financial Footprint of Barrack’s TenureMay 2025: Appointment as Special Envoy for Syria.2022: Acquitted of federal charges alleging unregistered representation for Abu Dhabi.Raised substantial capital from Emirati sovereign funds, though exact amounts were not disclosed.Oversaw a shift toward the interim Syrian President Ahmed al‑Sharaa and advocated easing of sanctions on Damascus.Strategic Implications for US Policy in Syria, Iraq, and TurkeyAnalysts from the International Crisis Group note that keeping Barrack in place without naming a successor signals Washington’s desire for continuity and to preserve his network of regional contacts. His coordination of counter‑ISIS operations with Turkey and Gulf Arab states, as well as his controversial cease‑fire mediation between Damascus and the Kurdish‑led SDF, underscore his central role in shaping a nuanced US approach.What the Absence of a Successor Signals for Future US EngagementThe decision not to appoint a new envoy immediately may indicate a strategic pause, allowing the administration to reassess its “America First” agenda in the region. Observers warn that prolonged vacancy could embolden adversaries or create policy gaps, while Barrack’s continued informal leadership could mitigate such risks. The next few months will reveal whether Washington opts for a formal replacement or continues to rely on Barrack’s informal influence.

On 30 May 2026, Hezbollah fired multiple rockets into northern Israel, resulting in observable damage to homes and public utilities and prompting heightened alerts across the border region. Hezbollah's Rocket Barrage Targets Northern Israeli Communities The rockets struck several towns and villages along Israel's northern frontier. Local authorities reported shattered windows, roof damage, and disruptions to electricity and water services. Reported Damage and Immediate Response Physical damage to residential buildings and infrastructure confirmed. No official casualty figures released at the time of reporting. Emergency services deployed to assess and secure affected areas. Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) activated air‑defence systems and conducted reconnaissance flights. Regional Security Implications of the Attack The barrage adds a new flashpoint to the already volatile Israel‑Hezbollah relationship, underscoring the potential for rapid escalation along the Lebanon‑Israel border. Neighboring states are monitoring the situation closely, and diplomatic channels are likely to be engaged to prevent further spill‑over. Outlook for Israel‑Hezbollah Relations Analysts anticipate a period of heightened military readiness on both sides, with the possibility of retaliatory strikes or increased border patrols. The incident may also influence broader regional diplomatic efforts aimed at de‑escalation and could affect ongoing negotiations related to security arrangements in the Levant.

The Uncertain Future of US College Sports Female athletes and Olympic sports athletes in US colleges are facing an uncertain future. Their college prospects may lie in the hands of a surprising savior – Donald Trump. Trump's Involvement in Sports Trump has a history of involvement in various sports, including owning the New Jersey Generals in the USFL, hosting the Tour de Trump, and participating in the 2004 Olympic torch relay. His Department of Education ensured that Name, Image and Likeness (NIL) compensation need not be equitably distributed under the principles of Title IX. The Executive Order Trump's executive order reads: "Without a national solution to protect the future of competition and opportunity in all college sports, it is possible that the largest college football programs will be forced to seek stability through a negotiated solution that may result in the withdrawal of financial and other resources from women’s and Olympic sports." The Congress is strongly encouraged to expeditiously pass legislation that satisfactorily addresses these issues. The Data Analysis Men's tennis has dropped significantly in Division I – 258 programs in 2010, down to 237 in 2025. Men's wrestling continues to lose its foothold in many schools. Several other Olympic sports are stagnant or slipping. The median college in the Power Five Conferences lost $153.5m in total revenue against $167.2m in total expenses in 2024. The Impact Analysis The concern is legitimate and widely shared. College football coaches like Georgia's Kirby Smart are concerned that "we're going to ruin all the other sports." The new landscape isn't bad for Olympic-sports athletes, but if forced to choose between paying for a couple of basketball players and paying for a wrestling team, colleges would likely lean toward the former. The Prediction If Trump's efforts succeed, some of the status quo will be maintained. If not, schools will be free to make choices of which sports they'll fully fund – or participate at the varsity level at all. Perhaps 25 schools will use all of their allotted track and field scholarships while letting the swimming program skate by with less, and vice versa. Colleges may opt for quality over quantity, focusing on fully funding five or six sports and doing the bare minimum in others.

The Overnight Drone Attacks Ukraine has launched coordinated drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure across multiple regions overnight. The most significant strike hit Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, where a major port fire broke out after drones hit a tanker, fuel tank and administrative building, Russia’s RIA Novosti state media agency reported. Details of the Attacks Early on Saturday, Rostov Governor Yury Slyusar confirmed the attack on Max, a Russian state-backed messaging app. “A tanker, a fuel tank, and an administrative building caught fire at the port of Taganrog as a result of a drone attack,” Slyusar wrote. “According to preliminary information, there are no casualties. The information is being clarified.” The attack also injured two civilians when a drone struck a private home in Taganrog. Slyusar added that Russian air defences destroyed multiple drones overnight across four districts. The Data Analysis The attacks resulted in significant damage, including: A gas pipe in a house caught fire after being damaged by a drone in the village of Grekovo-Timofeyevka. Windows in two houses were damaged in the village of Botsmanovo in the Neklinovsky District. The Volgograd oil refinery was forced to shut down following drone strikes. The Impact Analysis The escalating conflict between Ukraine and Russia has resulted in significant damage to infrastructure and loss of life. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned on Friday that Russia is organising a new large-scale assault on Ukraine. The Prediction The situation is likely to continue deteriorating, with both sides engaging in further attacks. The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with NATO states slamming Russia after drone crashes in Romania.

Lead: A Bittersweet Triumph in the Club's Final MatchIn what became a farewell showcase, Moana Pasifika defeated the finals‑bound ACT Brumbies 21‑19 at GIO Stadium, snapping a 12‑game losing run while the franchise was placed into liquidation.Moana Pasifika's Final Victory Over the BrumbiesThe under‑strength side rallied after Faleto'i Peni received a second yellow card and was sent off. Substitute Melani Matavao scored the decisive try in the 73rd minute, sealing the win and ending a potential record‑equalling 13th loss.Numbers That Matter: Scores, Records and Ladder ImpactFinal score: Moana Pasifika 21, ACT Brumbies 19Moana Pasifika record: 2‑12 (avoided a 13th loss)Brumbies record: 7‑7, dropping from a potential fourth‑place finish to sixth on the ladderSuper Rugby Pacific will shrink to 10 teams in 2027 if no rescue materialisesWhy This Matters: The End of a Pacific‑Focused FranchiseThe liquidation of a club introduced in 2022 removes a key platform for Pacific‑heritage players and threatens the growth of rugby union in the region. With the competition set to lose a team, the Pacific islands lose a vital pathway to elite professional rugby, potentially accelerating talent migration to the NRL.Looking Ahead: What Comes Next for Pacific Rugby?Unless a last‑minute investor rescues the franchise, the void left by Moana Pasifika could see a reshaped Super Rugby schedule and increased pressure on remaining Pacific‑based teams. Stakeholders are likely to explore alternative funding models or new expansion bids to preserve the Pacific rugby footprint.