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Executive Summary: Trump’s Unexpected EndorsementOn 13 May 2026, former U.S. President Donald Trump publicly declared his backing of Iraq’s prime‑minister‑designate Ali al‑Zaidi. The move, coming amid a fragile coalition government in Baghdad, signals a potential shift in Washington’s approach to Iraqi politics.Political Context: Why Trump Chose Ali al‑ZaidiTrump’s decision appears rooted in three observable factors:Geopolitical alignment: Al‑Zaidi’s platform emphasizes stronger security ties with the United States.Economic incentives: The designates’ openness to U.S. investment in oil and reconstruction projects aligns with Trump’s “America First” economic narrative.Regional stability: Supporting a leader perceived as capable of curbing Iranian influence fits Trump’s broader Middle‑East strategy.Fiscal Implications: Aid and Investment FiguresNo new financial commitments were announced alongside the endorsement. However, existing U.S. assistance to Iraq—approximately $1.5 billion annually for security and development—remains a baseline for any future cooperation under al‑Zaidi’s administration.Regional Ripple Effects: Shifts in Iraqi Power DynamicsThe endorsement could accelerate al‑Zaidi’s consolidation of power, pressuring rival factions to negotiate. Neighboring states, particularly Iran and Saudi Arabia, may reassess their diplomatic postures, potentially leading to a recalibration of proxy activities within Iraq.Looking Ahead: What Trump’s Backing Means for Iraq‑US RelationsAnalysts anticipate three possible trajectories:Enhanced bilateral cooperation: A Trump‑endorsed government may secure more favorable terms for U.S. firms in oil and infrastructure.Political volatility: Opposition groups could mobilize against perceived external interference, risking protests or parliamentary deadlock.Strategic realignment: A stable, U.S.-friendly leadership might prompt Washington to increase its diplomatic footprint, including a potential revival of a U.S. embassy advisory team.In the coming months, the durability of Trump’s support—and its translation into concrete policy—will be a key barometer for Iraq’s political stability and the broader U.S. strategy in the Middle East.

The Sunderland Pivot: From Exclusive Production to Contract ManufacturingNissan is actively exploring a strategic shift at its UK flagship plant in Sunderland, moving away from a model of exclusive production toward contract manufacturing for external partners. CEO Ivan Espinosa confirmed that the company is "looking at options" to bring in additional volume, specifically mentioning talks with Chinese automaker Chery. This potential collaboration comes as Nissan struggles with faltering demand for its own vehicles, having announced the closure of one of its two production lines at the facility.Financial Strain and Volume ConstraintsThe decision to consider outsourcing production is driven by a critical volume crisis. Espinosa emphasized that the Sunderland plant is "viable" but faces challenges due to insufficient output. This financial pressure is reflected in Nissan's recent performance, which posted a net loss of ¥533bn (£2.5bn) for the year to March. Operating profits fell nearly 12% on the previous year, forcing the company to merge production lines and cut 900 jobs across Europe, including roles in the UK.The European Auto Industry's Strategic ShiftNissan's potential move mirrors a broader trend in the European automotive sector, where legacy manufacturers are monetizing underused capacity to survive. This trend is driven by Chinese competitors who can undercut European prices due to lower production costs. Notable examples include Stellantis building cars for Leapmotor in Spain and Ford reportedly discussing plant sales with Geely. Furthermore, BYD is actively negotiating with Stellantis and other European firms to take over idle factories, signaling a new era of cross-border collaboration.A New Era of Cross-Border CollaborationLooking ahead, the automotive landscape is shifting from pure competition to strategic partnerships. Espinosa, appointed a year ago with a mandate to restore profitability, views external collaboration as essential for survival. As Chinese brands like Chery and BYD aggressively expand into Europe, the traditional boundaries between domestic and foreign manufacturing are blurring, suggesting that contract manufacturing will become a standard survival strategy for struggling legacy automakers.

U.S. President Donald Trump is confronting a shrinking set of diplomatic and military choices as the fragile cease‑fire with Iran shows signs of unraveling.Escalating Tensions as the US‑Iran Ceasefire StallsOptimism for a new peace proposal evaporated this week, with both sides digging in and demanding the other concede first. Trump has described the April 8 cease‑fire as being on “life support,” while senior officials hint at a possible resumption of hostilities. Tehran’s demands – an end to fighting on all fronts, lifted sanctions, and recognition of its control over the Strait of Hormuz – have been dismissed by Trump as “garbage.”Polls and Market Numbers Reveal Growing Domestic PressureTwo‑thirds of Americans surveyed by Reuters/Ipsos say Trump has not provided a clear rationale for the war.Gas, oil and fertilizer prices are climbing, amplifying public discontent.Trump’s approval rating sits at 36%, down from 47% a year ago.The cease‑fire, in place since April 8, remains fragile, with recent missile and drone attacks on the UAE testing its limits.Strategic Consequences for the Middle East and US Global PostureA renewed US‑Israel bombing campaign could strain Washington’s ammunition stockpiles and divert attention from the Indo‑Pacific, where China remains a primary concern. The Center for Strategic and International Studies warns that the Iran conflict has already eroded US readiness for other confrontations. Moreover, Iran’s hardened stance and resilient military posture suggest that further escalation may not force the concessions Washington seeks.What Path Might Trump Take Next?Analysts argue Trump will have to prioritize either a nuclear‑deal concession or control of the Strait of Hormuz, likely favoring the former to protect energy markets. Any escalation risks a broader regional war and could become a decisive liability in the upcoming mid‑term elections. The most plausible scenario is a negotiated settlement that limits Iran’s nuclear program while leaving the Hormuz issue unresolved, allowing Trump to claim a diplomatic win while managing domestic political fallout.

The LeadIsraeli authorities have demolished Palestinian-owned shops in East Jerusalem, clearing the way for a road that will connect Israeli settlements with the city center. The operation, conducted on May 13, 2026, has drawn immediate condemnation from Palestinian officials and international observers who view it as further entrenchment of the Israeli occupation.Demolition Clears Path for Settlement-Linked InfrastructureThe bulldozing operation targeted commercial establishments in the Sheikh Jarrah neighborhood, a flashpoint area in East Jerusalem where Palestinian residents have faced repeated displacement pressures. Israeli officials stated the demolitions were necessary for "security and infrastructure development," though Palestinian representatives characterized the move as an illegal land grab aimed at expanding Israeli settlements.The new road is designed to improve connectivity between Israeli settlements in the West Bank and Jerusalem proper, effectively bypassing Palestinian neighborhoods and further integrating the settlements into the Israeli infrastructure network.Economic Impact on Palestinian CommunityThe demolition of Palestinian shops represents a significant economic blow to the local community, with estimates suggesting the loss of dozens of businesses that served both residents and visitors. Local shopkeepers, many of whom have operated in the area for generations, reported receiving minimal compensation if any at all.Economic analysts note that such demolitions contribute to the fragmentation of the Palestinian economy in East Jerusalem, with cumulative effects including increased unemployment, reduced commercial activity, and further displacement of Palestinian residents from areas targeted for settlement expansion.Escalating Regional TensionsThe operation comes at a particularly sensitive time in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, with recent escalations in violence and diplomatic tensions. Palestinian officials have condemned the move as a violation of international law and a further obstacle to peace negotiations.International observers have raised concerns about the broader implications of such actions, which they argue undermine the two-state solution by creating irreversible facts on the ground. The European Union and several Arab nations have issued statements expressing their disapproval and calling for a halt to settlement-related activities.Future Outlook and Potential ConsequencesFollowing this demolition, tensions in East Jerusalem are likely to remain high, with potential for increased protests and clashes between Palestinian residents and Israeli security forces. The incident may also impact already fragile relations between Israel and neighboring Arab states.Legal challenges are expected from Palestinian rights groups, though previous cases have rarely resulted in reversals of Israeli demolition orders. The international community may face increased pressure to take concrete measures against settlement expansion, though past experience suggests diplomatic responses will likely remain limited to verbal condemnation.

The Lead: Carla Simón's Unique Approach to Family DramaFamily reunions in European arthouse cinema are almost always unhappy events, on a scale of strife that ranges from simmering resentment to spectacular score-settling. Carla Simón, however, has a rare gift: she makes you leave the cinema with renewed faith that having relatives and keeping in touch with them may actually be a wonderful thing.No film-maker working in Europe now is as capable of turning birthday gatherings, garden parties or poolside barbecues into thrillingly sprawling canvases of human virtue and vice as this 39-year-old rising star. From a riotous water fight in the Berlinale Golden Bear-winning farming drama Alcarràs to a foul-mouthed dinner table singalong in her new film Romería, Simón directs kinship meetings with the attention to detail that other film-makers may invest in action sequences or dance routines.The Event Details: Romería and the Journey to Self-DiscoveryAmong the tricks Simón employs, she explains, is to ensure her actors only read the script once before the camera starts rolling, so they have to improvise to fill the gaps. She takes her casts to parties, for walks and on shopping trips, and if there are disagreements on the way, so much the better. The ultimate secret sauce, though, is to ignore WC Fields's notorious advice and always work with children and animals."I never get bored of working with kids," she says. "When you are only working with adult actors, shooting becomes more like executing an idea that you have in your mind, and I think that is not interesting. With children, you always have this feeling that that things are going to happen in front of the camera by chance. It keeps things alive."Her new film Romería, meaning "pilgrimage" in Spanish, dives deeper into the story of the biological parents she barely got to know. Eighteen-year-old Marina travels to her relatives in Vigo, in north-western Galicia, purportedly to find the death certificate of her biological father, which she needs to study film-making in Barcelona. The initial reaction is warm, but family is a room with dark corners and locked closets.The Personal Journey: Aids, Loss and Family SecretsSimón's fascination with freewheeling scenes of family life was undoubtedly honed through her own biography. Born in Barcelona in 1986, her father died when she was three and her mother when she was six. Both of them succumbed to Aids. She was 12 when her adoptive mother told her that her parents had been infected with the autoimmune disease through their use of drugs.All of her first three films have been strongly autobiographical: Summer 1993 tells the story of a six-year-old girl who moves to an unspecified location countryside to live with her aunt after the death of her mother, while 2022's Alcarràs is specifically set in the Catalan peach-growing community of her adoptive family.In the film, a cache of letters written by her late mother opens up a portal to the time when her parents met and discovered love – for each other, the Atlantic Ocean and drugs. The letters, Simón explains, are real. "She wrote to her friends and family while she lived in Vigo. Her Catalan is full of mistakes, because teaching Catalan was banned under the Franco regime. But they are the most important thing that I have from my mother, because suddenly I can hear her talking."The Impact Analysis: Spanish Cinema and the Legacy of AidsSpanish cinema has a track record in making films where child actors take centre stage: Ana Torrent's spell-binding turn as a young girl obsessed with the Frankenstein tale in Víctor Erice's 1973 film The Spirit of the Beehive is considered an all-time great performance by a minor, and Simón describes it as "a very, very important film for me".During the transition period after Franco's rule, Madrid gave birth to la movida, a countercultural movement that celebrated lifestyles that had been banned under military rule. "All these kids who were raised under Franco and religious oppression, suddenly freedom arrived and they embraced it", Simón says. "They didn't think much about the future or the consequences of what they were experimenting with. And then the drugs came in."When we talk about this generation in Spain, people sometimes use words like shame and blame, but I feel that's really unfair: people like my parents just had bad luck.The Future Direction: Beyond Family in Simón's Next ProjectHalfway through Romería there is a stylistic shift, from the Eurorealism she favoured in her previous works toward something more magical-realist: there is a mysterious cat you might expect to encounter in a Miyazaki film, and an unforgettable dance number set to Vigo punk rocker's Siniestro Total's song Bailaré Sobre Tu Tumba ("I'll Dance on Your Grave")."These three films I've made are kind of a cycle, because they all talk about my family, adoptive and biological. But since I became a mother a few years ago, I feel that my place in the family changed. When you have kids you feel it's a new period in your life, so I feel like maybe doing something that has nothing to do with my family."Her next film, she confides, is going to be a flamenco musical.

The 1MDB Fallout: Jho Low's Bid for Presidential PardonThe fugitive Malaysian financier Jho Low, a central figure in the multibillion-dollar scandal at the state fund 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB), is reportedly seeking a pardon from the US president, Donald Trump. This move comes as Low faces multiple charges including corruption and money laundering in both the US and Malaysia for his alleged role in the misappropriation of at least $4.5bn (£3.3bn) from the sovereign wealth fund.Legal Maneuvers and the White House StanceRequest Filed: Low recently filed a request for a pardon that, if granted, would remove US criminal charges against him, according to the Wall Street Journal citing people familiar with the matter.Current Status: A White House official stated that Low’s request is not currently on its radar.DOJ Record: The US Justice Department website lists a pending request for a “pardon after completion of sentence” under Taek Jho Low that was filed this year.Quantifying the Financial Damage and RecoveriesThe 1MDB scandal is considered one of the world’s biggest financial frauds, with billions plundered from the now defunct fund beginning in 2015. Despite the massive scale of the theft, some assets have been recovered through legal settlements.Recovery Amount: In 2019, the US struck a deal to recoup about $1bn from Low.Assets Seized: The fugitive agreed to give up a private jet and high-end real estate in Beverly Hills, New York, and London.Geopolitical Tensions and Asset Recovery StrategiesThe request for a pardon has sparked a diplomatic tug-of-war between the US and Malaysia. While the US has a pending pardon request, Malaysian authorities are pushing for Low's location to facilitate further investigations.Malaysian Opposition: Johari Abdul Ghani, the chair of a Malaysian taskforce seeking to recover funds, stated, “As far as I’m concerned, I’m against the pardon” and called for the US to assist in locating him.Asset Return Strategy: Malaysia temporarily lifted an Interpol red notice against Low to facilitate the return of significant assets to the country.Political Negotiations: Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim has indicated that the government is negotiating with other nations to speed up Low’s return, though he declined to name the specific countries involved.Future Outlook: The Odds of a Presidential ClemencyGiven the severity of the charges and the ongoing diplomatic friction, the likelihood of a pardon is currently low. With Malaysian officials publicly opposing the move and the White House indicating the request is not a priority, Low’s bid for freedom remains a complex legal and political challenge.

The Deadly Israeli Drone Strikes Three Israeli drone strikes on cars on a major highway linking Beirut to southern Lebanon have killed at least eight people, including two children, Lebanon’s Ministry of Health reported. A photograph of the bombed cars shared by Lebanon’s National News Agency following the attacks on Wednesday in the Jiyeh area, some 20km (12 miles) south of the Lebanese capital, showed the vehicles severely damaged, their exteriors charred and torn apart. Escalating Conflict and Humanitarian Crisis Al Jazeera’s Zeina Khodr, reporting from Tyre in southern Lebanon, said the “conflict is only escalating”. “It is a conflict that is taking a high toll on the civilians who live in these areas,” she said. Lebanon and Israel are expected to hold a new round of direct negotiations in Washington on Thursday, brokered by the United States. Hezbollah, which has been launching attacks on northern Israel and on Israeli troops who have entered and occupied a section of southern Lebanon, says it opposes the negotiations in the US. The Humanitarian Toll On Wednesday morning, the Israeli military issued forced displacement orders for the residents of Meiss el-Jabal, Yanouh, Burj Shemali, Hula, Debl and Aabbasiyyeh, warning that it will soon act against these six southern Lebanese villages “forcefully”. Anyone who remains “endangers their life,” the military said, warning residents to move at least 1,000 metres (0.6 miles) away to “open areas”. After this new round of forced displacement orders – which have been happening almost daily in the past week – Al Jazeera’s Khodr said one of the few remaining hospitals in the area was in the displacement zone. At least 100,000 people still live in the district of Tyre. 13 people were killed in attacks on towns in the south on Tuesday. Two Lebanese Civil Defence paramedics were among the dead. At least 380 people have been killed during the truce. The total death toll since the Israeli invasion and bombardment began on March 2 is more than 2,800. 108 emergency medical services and healthcare workers have been killed in Lebanon during the war. The Future Outlook “All of this is having a huge impact here on the communities in southern Lebanon,” Al Jazeera’s Obaida Hitto said from Tyre. “And there is a growing humanitarian crisis, with over a million people displaced.”

Vistry warned that its first‑half adjusted pre‑tax profit will be "significantly lower" than the prior year, citing the fallout from the US‑Israeli war on Iran. The warning sent the stock down 10.5%, its lowest level in nearly 15 years, and prompted a company‑wide operational review led by new CEO Adam Daniels. Vistry’s Profit Warning Amid Middle East Conflict The housebuilder, owner of Bovis Homes, Countryside and Linden Homes, updated investors hours before its AGM, stating that heightened macro‑economic uncertainty has altered the outlook since the March update. While sales volumes remain above last year, buyer caution has risen sharply due to the conflict. Financial Fallout: Share Drop and Profit Forecasts Key financial signals include: Share price fell 10.5% in early trading, reaching a 15‑year trough. First‑half profit expected to be "significantly lower" than 2025. Adjusted pre‑tax profit for 2026 projected to sit in the "middle of the range" of analyst forecasts. Company halted its share‑buy‑back programme to prioritise debt reduction. Ripple Effects on the UK Housing Market and Supply Chain The conflict has introduced upward pressure on building‑material costs and labour wages, pressures Vistry expects to persist into the second half of the year. To mitigate, Vistry is negotiating with suppliers and offering larger buyer incentives, actions that further compress margins. Industry analysts, such as Anthony Codling of RBC Capital Markets, note that while execution risks remain high, the update reflects a broader slowdown in UK housing activity. Outlook: Operational Review and Path to Recovery CEO Adam Daniels has launched a company‑wide operational review, with findings slated for September. The firm anticipates a partial recovery in the second half of the year, aiming for profits flat with 2025 levels and a return to a more stable growth trajectory thereafter.

The Lead US President Donald Trump departed for Beijing on Tuesday for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, saying the two leaders would hold a 'long talk' on Iran even as trade remains the main focus of the visit. Iran's Stance on Peace Iran presses US on peace proposal: Iran's chief negotiator and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Washington must accept Tehran's latest peace plan or face failure. Report says Iran retains missile strength: The New York Times reported Tuesday that classified US intelligence assessments say Iran still has substantial missile capabilities, with about 70 percent of its mobile launchers and pre-war missile stockpile still in action. War Diplomacy Chinese supertanker crosses Hormuz: Chinese crude oil supertanker Yuan Hua Hu was reportedly transiting the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday, ship-tracking data showed, passing Iran's Larak Island while heading out of the Gulf. Hezbollah rules out disarmament talks: Hezbollah chief Naim Qassem said his group's weapons were not part of forthcoming ceasefire negotiations between Lebanon and Israel. Qatar warns over Hormuz pressure: Qatar's prime minister said Iran should not use the Strait of Hormuz, blocked since early in the war, as a means of 'blackmail' against Gulf states. The Gulf UAE gas facility hit by war: The UAE's main gas processing complex, one of the world's largest, will not resume full capacity until next year, its operator said, after it was hit in the Iran war. Kuwait arrests alleged IRGC operatives: The country said it arrested four men accused of belonging to Iran's IRGC after they tried to infiltrate Bubiyan Island by sea and injured a Kuwaiti soldier. In the US Trump on Xi: Trump said he does not believe the US needs China's help to end the war involving Iran, but confirmed the issue would still feature in his talks with Xi Jinping this week. Trump says war's end will bring down inflation: Facing growing domestic pressure over rising prices linked to the conflict, Trump said the war 'will not be long' and argued its end would trigger a sharp drop in oil prices and inflation. US says Iran war has cost $29bn: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told lawmakers the war has cost Washington at least $29bn in munitions and equipment over 74 days, excluding damage to bases. The Impact Analysis The ongoing conflict in Iran has significant implications for the global economy, with rising oil prices and inflation being major concerns. The war has also led to a humanitarian crisis, with hundreds of thousands of students displaced and schools destroyed in Lebanon. The Prediction The future outlook for the conflict in Iran remains uncertain, with both sides showing no signs of backing down. However, with growing domestic pressure and international diplomacy, there is a possibility that the conflict could be resolved peacefully in the near future.