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New Coalition Takes Shape Amid Drone ControversyLatvia’s parliament has confirmed a fresh governing alliance after the previous cabinet fell apart over disagreements on anti‑drone defenses. The vote marks a decisive step toward stabilising a nation that has been rattled by several wayward Ukrainian drones crossing its borders.Parliament Votes 66‑34 to Install Andris Kulbergs as Prime MinisterBy a margin of 66 deputies out of a 100‑seat assembly, lawmakers endorsed Andris Kulbergs, a 47‑year‑old centrist, as Latvia’s next prime minister. He will lead the country until the scheduled parliamentary elections on October 3. The new cabinet retains outgoing foreign minister Baiba Braze and appoints Colonel Raivis Melnis as defence minister.Numbers Behind the Power Shift: Seats, Votes, and Demographics66 votes in favour, 34 against.Latvia’s population: roughly 1.8 million people.The coalition comprises four parties, giving it a “healthy majority” in the Saeima.Previous prime minister Evika Silina resigned in mid‑May after losing coalition support.Implications for Latvia’s Security and EU/NATO AlignmentThe new government has pledged to reinforce military and border security, a stance echoed by political scientist Nils Muiznieks who noted a “broad consensus on foreign‑policy priorities.” With NATO and EU membership, Latvia is likely to maintain strong solidarity with Ukraine, especially as President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has offered expert assistance for air‑defence upgrades.What Lies Ahead: Policy Priorities and Regional StabilityAnalysts expect the coalition to focus on:Accelerating anti‑drone and air‑defence capabilities.Ensuring economic and energy security amid regional tensions.Deepening cooperation with NATO allies and the EU.Preparing for the upcoming elections while maintaining a pro‑Ukraine stance.

The Plan for World Cup Glory As co-hosts, Canada enter the World Cup with high expectations, despite never winning a match at a previous tournament. Since a Concacaf Nations League semi-final defeat to Mexico in March 2025 the team have lost one of 15 matches at the time of writing, a run that has included some excellent opponents such as Colombia, Ecuador, Ukraine and the USA, whom they have defeated twice in the past two years, including their first win on US soil in 57 years. The coach, Jesse Marsch, has maintained a consistent 4-4-2 with the emphasis on pressing from the front and pace in wide positions. "Some teams press to win the ball back, we press to punish and think about scoring immediately when we recover the ball," said Marsch, who is American, but has captured the hearts of many Canadians since he took the job in May 2024 and guided the team to the semi-finals of the Copa América. Canada's World Cup Schedule 12 June v Bosnia and Herzegovina, Toronto (3pm local, 8pm BST) 18 June v Qatar, Vancouver (3pm local, 11pm BST) 24 June v Switzerland, Vancouver (noon local, 8pm BST) Success at that tournament, and subsequently in friendlies, is based on a defensive structure Marsch worked on immediately when taking the job and playing against the Netherlands and France in his first two matches in charge. Nine clean sheets in 13 matches before the pre-tournament friendlies is even more impressive considering Moïse Bombito, their star centre-back from Nice, and Bayern Munich's Alphonso Davies did not play in any of those matches because of injury. The Coach's Vision Jesse Marsch's first venture into international management has been a successful one, but not one he found easy to adjust to. "From the moment I worked with this group of players in the first camp, I knew I was going to fall in love with these guys," he says. "They are a unique group of really good people, who are very talented, and when I said goodbye to them it was different from what I was used to as a head coach in the club game." Marsch has enjoyed those gaps in his schedule, using time to visit Canadian players across the world and spending a lot of time in the country at the provincial level to help bring a more united approach to the way the game is developed and governed. Star Player's Return Questioned The captain, Alphonso Davies, has not played for Canada since tearing his ACL against USA in the Nations League third-place match last March. Whether to play him at left-back or on the wing has been one of the biggest questions for years, but under Marsch the Bayern Munich man has predominantly been used at the back and has been excellent. However, another injury setback, against Paris St-Germain in the Champions League semi-final second leg – his third in the past three months – has put his participation for the opening game against Bosnia and Herzegovina in doubt. He has started 12 of 29 internationals in the Marsch-era at the time of writing. One to Watch Few players have received more work and attention from his national coach than the midfielder Ismaël Koné, who was dropped during the Copa América as he struggled to make an impact. Since then he has been excellent for Sassuolo in Serie A and has turned into a dynamic box-to-box midfielder for Marsch, learning valuable lessons defensively in Italy, where his discipline and tactical concentration has improved significantly. Expected to start next to the excellent Stephen Eustáquio in a key double-pivot tandem for Canada. Unsung Hero Norwich's Ali Ahmed has become a favourite of Marsch's because of his selfless work on the pitch. Ahmed is asked to lead the press on the left wing, often cutting inside to increase the midfield numbers and bring intensity and energy off the ball. One of the reasons Marsch has not deployed Davies further forward is because he views his team without the ball more than with it and in that vision the former Vancouver Whitecaps man is crucial. Probable Starting XI Canada's likely formation for the World Cup matches will be based on the 4-4-2 system that Marsch has consistently employed, with specific attention to defensive structure and pressing from the front. Fan Expectations Canada is ready to host the world, but the attention is more on this team than other games happening in the country. Being the only side to start on the east coast and move directly to the west coast allows fans in Toronto and Vancouver to watch their team in the group stages. The supporters group The Voyageurs will lead the noise with their flags and chants of "Ooh, Ahh Canada". Canada is known for its cosmopolitan population and cultural diversity, with people from all over the world, and should benefit from playing three group opponents with relatively diverse fan bases.

The Rise of Recursive Self-Improvement in AIThe word "recursion" is the latest buzzword in AI circles. Two separate startups have taken on the name, and many more have started referencing recursive self-improvement (RSI) in their roadmaps. Like AGI before it, RSI has become a three-letter byword for a cataclysmic AI takeoff – even if there's still a little disagreement about what it exactly means.In basic terms, RSI refers to an AI system that can continuously upgrade itself. Once AI systems can manage the upgrade cycle better than humans, the process can become a closed loop, limited only by the compute power they can access, and humans are no longer necessary or even helpful.Scary or not, that's a vision that a lot of AI labs are eager to chase.Key Players Pursuing Recursive SystemsEarlier this month, well-known AI researcher Richard Socher launched the aptly named Recursive Superintelligence with RSI as an explicit goal. "Our main focus is to build truly recursive, self-improving superintelligence at scale," Socher told TechCrunch at launch, "which means that the entire process of ideation, implementation, and validation of research ideas would be automatic."A number of other prominent researchers are already chasing that same goal, hoping for a breakthrough that will make recursive self-improvement possible.One of the most prominent is Andrej Karpathy, a legendary figure from Tesla and OpenAI, who is using agent swarms to train LLMs on simple tasks for a project he calls Auto-Research. Karpathy has been unusually open about the project, tweeting about milestones regularly and making the building blocks available through a public GitHub repo. So far, the work has mostly been confined to making minor improvements on a GPT-2 scale model — as Karpathy noted in March, "It's not novel, ground-breaking 'research' (yet)" — but it's been enough to convince lots of other researchers to follow the RSI dream. And with Karpathy now working on pre-training at Anthropic, he will have plenty of opportunity to apply the idea at a larger scale.Adaption — founded by Cohere and Google alum Sara Hooker — recently launched a similar tool called AutoScientist in an effort to automate frontier training. Like Karpathy's auto-researchers, the system trains agents to make incremental improvements — but for Adaption, the goal is to make it easier to train a full-scale frontier model. If those same researchers start to push the frontier forward, the system could quickly spiral into something very much like RSI.Disarray founder Doris Xin drew more specific RSI interest when her self-trained machine learning agent took home 28 medals in a recent Kaggle competition, beating out many human-trained agents. As she sees it, the major challenge is reliability."I would argue, given infinite compute and infinite time horizon, we are already there," Xin told me. "I want to make an argument that this is not a creative endeavor, really. It's just a lot of meat-and-potatoes engineering."The Current State of Self-Improving AIThere's also plenty of evidence that the AI industry isn't very close to recursive systems in any meaningful way — and is still grappling with talking to a wary public about its progress. So Google CEO Sundar Pichai basically admitted in a recent podcast interview."It's a continuum, and we are all definitely making progress," Pichai said. "But in the way people describe RSI, that would represent a next level of acceleration and would have a lot of implications, but we aren't quite there yet."But the continuum includes an awful lot of self-improving AI systems.In January, one of Anthropic's lead programmers for Claude Code estimated that "close to 100%" of his team's code was written by the tool — a frank admission that Claude Code was literally writing itself.Just because engineers are using an AI tool doesn't mean the tool can replace them — but Anthropic seems to be getting close to replacing engineers too. In a recent survey tied to the Mythos preview, five out of 18 Anthropic engineers believed that, with harness improvements, this version of Mythos could soon substitute for an L4 engineer — a midlevel programmer who can take on involved projects without supervision.Still, there were some of the same weaknesses you might expect."Some of Claude's major reported weaknesses compared to an L4 include: self-managing week-long ambiguous tasks, understanding org priorities, taste, verification, instruction-following, and epistemics," the report reads.In other words, its weaknesses are everything involved with self-direction, which is the cornerstone for RSI. But sure, for everything else, Claude is ready to step right in.Expert Perspectives on RSI TimelinesJust like the AGI term before it, the AI industry also can't tell us how far away it is from showcasing a meaningful recursive system. When Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology assembled a group of experts to study RSI last year, the group found a major split in assessments — some expecting an imminent "superintelligence" style explosion while others expected slower progress and an eventual plateau. But all agreed that recursion made the future especially difficult to predict.Helen Toner, director of CSET and a former board member at OpenAI, told TechCrunch that simply using AI tools to do AI research isn't enough to qualify as RSI. "They're just using AI for as much as they can," Toner told TechCrunch. "And I think that is different from the classic definition of RSI, which is really that there are no humans needed."Toner pointed to a recent post by METR's Ajeya Cotra, which distinguishes different milestones on the path to the AI research takeover. One step, which Cotra calls "adequacy," would come when the system can still perform research after all humans are removed — even if the resulting research isn't as valuable or efficient. "Parity" comes when an AI-only system is as good at research as a human-only system. "Supremacy," the final stage, comes when an AI-only system outperforms a collaborative system between humans and AI.Ultimately, Cotra concludes that AI is very close to the adequacy threshold of being able to produce some work on its own — similar to the incremental changes made by Karpathy's Auto-Research system. "I wouldn't be totally shocked if you told me this milestone had already passed, and I expect it to happen in the next couple years," Cotra wrote.She was less clear on when parity will come, but once it does, she thinks it would "massively accelerate the pace of AI progress, leading to AI research supremacy within another year."The Challenges Ahead for Recursive AIWith so much of AI built on scaling laws, there's a strong tendency to think RSI will follow the same curve. Toner thinks that many of those pursuing AI research and development via RSI "think of it as a pretty smooth ladder, where you can just keep scaling up."But even if AI researchers are able to make incremental improvements like Karpathy's auto-researchers, there will be larger challenges in handing off the whole process of research. Toner put it in terms of the history of computing, which has seen human beings handing off more and more of the process while still directing things from the top."We went from machine languages to assembly language and compiled languages; you're getting further and further from the guts of the computer," Toner said. "But the human is still, in some intuitive sense, running the show."Moving beyond that paradigm will take significant challenges, both in engineering and alignment. But even with the massive investments happening, there's no infinite compute available — and the basic trade-off between human labor and machine intelligence will be hard to overcome.The Future of Recursive Self-ImprovementAs for a total recursive AI system of apocalyptic visions? The only thing researchers essentially agree on is that, like AGI, it's not here yet.

The Collapse of a 30-Match StreakJannik Sinner’s bid for a maiden French Open title and a career grand slam was abruptly halted on Thursday. The world No. 1 was forced to retire from his second-round match against Argentina's Juan Manuel Cerúndolo, succumbing to the extreme playing conditions rather than a lack of skill. The match ended in a 3-6, 2-6, 7-5, 6-1, 6-1 defeat, marking a significant psychological and statistical setback for the Italian star.Heatwave Takes Center StageThe defining narrative of this match was not the tactical battle between the top seed and the 56th-ranked opponent, but the relentless 33°C (91°F) temperature. Sinner dominated the opening two sets, winning them 6-3 and 6-2 with ease. However, the physical toll became evident in the third set when he was serving for the match at 5-4. After bending over in distress and leaving the court for medical attention, he returned but lost the set 7-5, eventually conceding the match in the fifth set.The Numbers Behind the DefeatStreak Broken: Sinner's 30-match winning streak, which dated back to February, came to an end.Ranking Gap: The match pitted the world No. 1 against the 56th-ranked Cerúndolo, a significant gap in form and ranking.Temperature: The match began at 29°C (84°F) and was forecasted to rise to 33°C (91°F), creating a grueling environment for endurance.The Physical Toll of Extreme ConditionsSinner's struggle highlights a recurring vulnerability for top players: adapting to extreme heat. This is not the first time the Italian has faced such challenges; he previously struggled against Eliot Spizzirri at the Australian Open in January, where the roof was closed to mitigate the heat. The sight of his light blue outfit soaked through with sweat and his visible distress off-court underscores the severe physiological stress players face in these conditions.Navigating the Elements in Grand Slam TennisAs the climate continues to impact major sporting events, the mental and physical resilience required to play in high temperatures is becoming a critical factor in tournament outcomes. Sinner's exit serves as a stark reminder that even the best players in the world are not immune to the elements. Future matches will likely see players needing to manage their energy levels more aggressively to survive the deciders.

Serena Williams, 44, is contemplating a return to the professional circuit at the upcoming Queen’s Club WTA 500 tournament, targeting a doubles wildcard alongside Canadian rising star Victoria Mboko. The plan, confirmed by The Served Podcast, comes after six months in the drug‑testing pool and could reignite global interest in women’s tennis.Williams Targets a Grass‑Court Return with a Doubles WildcardThe former world No. 1 will aim for a wildcard entry in the doubles draw of the second edition of the Queen’s Club event, scheduled to start on 8 June 2026, a day after the French Open concludes. Partnering with Mboko, ranked No. 9 in singles, would give Williams a low‑key re‑entry while still delivering marquee appeal.Key Numbers: Age, Rankings, and Tournament TimelineAge: 44 years oldGrand Slam titles: 23 singles titlesDrug‑testing pool: 6 months completedVictoria Mboko: 19 years old, world No. 9 in singlesEvent start date: 8 June 2026Potential Ripple Effects on Women’s Tennis and Global AudiencesPeers such as Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys have voiced excitement, noting that Williams’ presence historically drives TV ratings and ticket sales. A successful comeback could attract new sponsors, increase WTA 500 event visibility, and inspire younger players worldwide.What a Successful Return Could Mean for the WTA CalendarIf Williams competes and performs well, the WTA may consider more high‑profile wildcard entries for veteran stars, potentially reshaping tournament marketing strategies ahead of the grass‑court season. Conversely, a modest showing would still reinforce her status as a draw‑card, encouraging broadcasters to allocate premium slots for women's matches.

The Scope of the UK’s Youth Exclusion CrisisAlan Milburn, the Blair-era cabinet minister turned social mobility adviser, has delivered the first part of his government-commissioned report on why increasing numbers of people aged 16 to 24 are not in education, employment or training (Neet). The 217-page document paints a damning picture of a 'record of failure' that is letting down a generation.The report highlights that about 1 million young people across the UK are not in jobs, training or education—roughly one in eight. It notes that the UK’s Neet rate is now worse than all but one EU nation, with only Romania ranking lower. The issue is also becoming more entrenched, with six in 10 Neet young people having never held a single job.Economic Cost and Regional DisparitiesMilburn warns of a 'lost generation' with severe economic consequences. The cumulative cost of this issue is estimated at £125bn. The report also reveals stark geographical divides; for example, 1% of 16- and 17-year-olds in Barnet, north London, are Neet, compared to 21.5% in Dudley, West Midlands. Of the top 10 local authorities with the highest Neet rates, eight are in the north or Midlands.Structural Inequality and the Health CrisisThe analysis identifies structural inequality as a primary driver, linking Neet status to background, geography, and ethnicity. Health issues, particularly mental health, are described as central to the problem. Young people in this state are now more likely to be economically inactive (53%) than unemployed (47%). The report criticizes the NHS for categorizing young people as unable to work rather than helping them return to it, singling out the 'fit note' system as a failure.Systemic Reforms Needed to Break the CycleThe report suggests that the social security system is failing to support reintegration, noting that for every £25 spent on benefits, only £1 goes toward helping young people back into work. Furthermore, the labour market is becoming hostile to young entrants due to AI recruitment filters and a lack of entry-level roles. To prevent a permanent underclass, the government must address the fragmented support system and housing instability.

The Looming Crisis in Uruguay’s World Cup CampMarcelo Bielsa, the 70‑year‑old Argentine dubbed “El Loco”, sees his tenure with Uruguay under fire just weeks before the 2026 World Cup. Rumours of a dressing‑room mutiny and a string of disappointing results have put the nation’s chances in jeopardy.Unrest Over Bielsa’s High‑Intensity PhilosophyBielsa’s reputation as a tactical pioneer is unquestioned, yet his relentless, attacking approach has alienated key players. Luis Suárez publicly criticised Bielsa after a halftime incident that left striker Darwin Núñez in tears, and the coach admitted his “authority was affected”.Initial excitement after landmark qualifying wins over Brazil and Argentina.Only three victories in the final twelve qualifiers.Third‑place finish at Copa America 2024, but with growing player fatigue.Performance Numbers Highlight DeclineRecent results underscore the on‑field impact of the unrest:5‑1 friendly loss to the USA in November – Bielsa called it “ashamed”.Three wins out of twelve qualifying matches.Third place at Copa America 2024, eliminating Brazil but failing to win the tournament.Potential Fallout for Uruguay’s 2026 CampaignThe combination of tactical rigidity and squad dissent could affect Uruguay’s group‑stage fixtures against Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde and Spain in Group F. If morale does not improve, the team risks an early exit, undermining a nation accustomed to punching above its weight.What Lies Ahead After the Tournament?Bielsa has hinted his contract ends with the World Cup, stating “Our job ends with the World Cup.” While he may depart in July, the longer‑term implications for Uruguay’s coaching philosophy remain uncertain, with the federation likely to reassess the balance between innovative tactics and player management for future cycles.

Britain faces a looming fiscal shock of roughly £125 bn each year if the surge in youth worklessness is not tackled, according to a landmark review led by former Labour minister Alan Milburn.The Milburn Review Highlights a £125bn Fiscal DrainThe report, commissioned by the government, labels the growing cohort of young people outside school, work or training as a “lost generation”. It argues that the current trajectory is no longer affordable and may become unsustainable for public finances.Numbers Behind the Crisis: Over 1 Million NEETs and £8.1bn Benefits SpendNEET count in the three months to March 2026: 1,012,000 (first breach of 1 m since 2013).Average lifetime earnings loss per NEET (age 18‑24): £52,000 per year.Annual benefits cost for young people: £8.1 bn, with £4.4 bn directly linked to NEETs.Potential GDP boost if all NEETs were employed: £38 bn extra output.Estimated lifetime public‑finance impact per NEET: £29,000.Why the Growing NEET Population Undermines the UK EconomyThe surge coincides with the highest overall unemployment levels since the Covid pandemic and comes amid broader economic pressures from tax hikes and the fallout of the Iran war. The report warns that the longer a young person remains out of work or study, the costlier the intervention becomes, creating a multibillion‑pound “financial black hole”.Policy Paths and the Likelihood of ReformMilburn calls for a “fundamental reset” of policies across schools, the NHS and the welfare state, arguing that simply expanding work programmes will not address deep‑rooted issues. He estimates that £3.2 bn could be saved if NEETs were in work and earning above benefit thresholds. However, any new welfare reforms may face political resistance after recent controversial benefit changes.

The Lead: Milburn's Stark Warning on UK Youth EmploymentA landmark review led by former Labour cabinet minister Alan Milburn has issued a stark warning regarding the future of the British workforce. The report projects that the number of young people not in work or education could surge to 1.25 million by the early 2030s without immediate intervention. This projection signals a potential deepening of the economic inactivity crisis that has been plaguing the UK for several years.The Event Details: The 'Generational Fault Line' ReportMilburn, leading the review into why so many young people are economically inactive, argues that the UK risks opening up a 'generational fault line' between young and old. He contends that systemic failures are preventing young people from entering the workforce, citing disconnects in schools, the NHS, the welfare system, and the jobs market. The review serves as a call to action for policymakers to address the root causes of youth economic stagnation.The Data Analysis: Projecting the 1.25 Million NEET CrisisProjected Figure: The report warns that the number of NEETs (Not in Education, Employment, or Training) could reach 1.25 million by the early 2030s.Current Context: This figure represents a significant demographic shift, indicating a potential loss of human capital and future economic productivity.Key Driver: The analysis points to a widening gap between the skills young people acquire and the demands of the modern labor market.The Impact Analysis: Economic Inactivity and Social CohesionThe rise in youth inactivity poses a severe threat to social cohesion and economic stability. A large inactive youth population places a heavier burden on the working-age population and the state, potentially leading to reduced economic dynamism and increased social stratification. The report suggests that without addressing the barriers to entry for young people, the UK could face long-term stagnation in its growth potential.The Prediction: Urgent Overhaul of UK Support SystemsTo avert this crisis, the report calls for a comprehensive overhaul of the support systems designed for young people. Future policy must focus on aligning educational outcomes with labor market demands and ensuring that health and welfare systems are accessible and relevant to the youth demographic. The Guardian is now seeking input from young people to better understand their personal experiences and challenges in the job market.