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The Welfare Bill Conundrum Tackling the root causes of joblessness, instead of cutting benefits, is the best way to get the welfare bill down, and polling shows voters support that approach, according to research by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation. The Economic Impact of Joblessness In a forthcoming report, JRF economists show that hitting the government’s target of getting 80% of the working age population into jobs would cut the cost of universal credit by £10bn – an eighth of the current bill. The Data Analysis The research points out that official projections show spending on non-pensioner benefits “will remain flat, at around 5% of GDP for the remainder of the parliament”. A survey of more than 4,000 voters showed that 59% supported the idea of reducing the welfare bill in the longer term by tackling the underlying causes. The Impact Analysis The research seeks to push back against the “dominant political narrative” that spending on social security is “spiralling”. Instead, it points out that claims for health-related universal credit have risen more since the Covid pandemic in places where there are fewer jobs available locally, many of them former industrial or coastal areas. The Prediction The report contains calls for the government to prioritise measures such as increasing support for public health, building more social housing, and regenerating struggling regional economies. The research comes ahead of this week’s publication of the interim report from an inquiry into tackling young people not in education, employment or training (Neet) by Alan Milburn, the former cabinet minister who went on to chair the Social Mobility Commission.

The LeadUnited States President Donald Trump has abruptly shifted position on potential negotiations with Iran, telling his representatives not to rush into any deal as the 87-day-old war continues. This reversal comes just a day after Trump had suggested an agreement had "largely been negotiated," including the reopening of the vital Strait of Hormuz, a crucial waterway for global oil supplies.The Diplomatic ShiftThe US blockade on Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz would "remain in full force and effect until an agreement is reached, certified, and signed," Trump wrote on Truth Social. This statement significantly downplays the optimism that had been building after Trump's previous comments about a nearly completed deal.A senior Trump administration official, speaking anonymously to Reuters, outlined what he claimed were the latest contours of negotiations: Iran had agreed "in principle" to open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the US lifting its naval blockade, and to dispose of Tehran's highly enriched uranium. However, the official criticized the Iranian system for not moving fast enough.Regional ImplicationsThe ongoing conflict continues to have severe consequences across the Middle East. In Lebanon, Israeli air attacks have destroyed houses in southern Lebanon's Tyre area, while Israeli drones were reportedly hovering over the Lebanese capital for a second consecutive day. The Israeli military confirmed one soldier was killed during combat in southern Lebanon.In Iran, the domestic situation remains tense with state media reporting the execution of a man identified as Abbas Akbari over charges related to nationwide antigovernment protests. Meanwhile, some shipping activity has resumed in the Strait of Hormuz, with a liquefied natural gas tanker heading to Pakistan and a China-bound supertanker with Iraqi crude leaving the Gulf after being stranded for nearly three months.Global Economic FalloutThe conflict's impact on the global economy continues to ripple outward. State-owned fuel retailers in India have increased diesel prices by 2.71 rupees ($0.0283) per litre and petrol by 2.61 rupees, marking the fourth hike in May as authorities attempt to recoup losses driven by higher crude costs due to the war.Conversely, Japan's Nikkei Stock Average surpassed the 65,000 threshold for the first time, driven by increased appetite for risk assets amid growing optimism surrounding a potential agreement to end the war. This demonstrates how market sentiment can be highly sensitive to diplomatic developments in the conflict.Political CalculationsSecretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized that "the president is not going to make a bad deal," suggesting a "pretty solid" proposal is on the table. However, Trump is facing intensifying pushback from prominent hawks within his Republican Party, including Senators Ted Cruz and Lindsey Graham, who oppose a negotiated end to the US-Israel war on Iran.The Iranian government has not responded directly to Trump's latest statements, but the Tasnim news agency, linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, claimed the US was still obstructing parts of a potential deal, including Tehran's demand for the release of frozen funds. The two sides remain at odds on several difficult issues, such as Iran's nuclear ambitions, Israel's war in Lebanon, and the lifting of sanctions on Tehran.Path ForwardAs the conflict enters its third month, the prospects for a diplomatic resolution remain uncertain despite the intermittent signs of progress. The fundamental disagreements between Washington and Tehran suggest any potential deal would require significant compromises from both sides.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun observed Resistance and Liberation Day, marking the 2000 end of Israel's 22-year occupation of southern Lebanon, and reiterated that "the path to a complete Israeli withdrawal remains a steadfast national demand." This statement highlights that even if a US-Iran agreement is reached, regional conflicts may continue to complicate the situation.

The US Stance on Iran Talks US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has stated that the United States will either secure a strong agreement with Iran or confront the country 'another way' if negotiations fail. This comes after President Donald Trump tempered expectations that an agreement to end the war is close. Rubio's Comments in New Delhi Rubio made these comments in New Delhi on Monday, referring to the potential agreement to end the US-Israeli war on Iran, which began on February 28. He mentioned that the US has a 'pretty solid thing on the table' in terms of Iran's ability to open up the Strait of Hormuz. The Current State of Negotiations Washington and Tehran have observed a ceasefire since April 8, while mediators push for a negotiated settlement. However, Iran has continued to block the Strait of Hormuz to most shipping, and the US has blockaded Iran's ports. A senior Trump administration official outlined that Iran has agreed 'in principle' to dispose of its highly enriched uranium and open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the US lifting its naval blockade. Points of Contention Despite these developments, there are still points of contention. The US official said that negotiating the details of the nuclear measures would take more time. Charles Kupchan, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, believes that a deal will not likely be agreed anytime soon, citing the back and forth between the US and Iran. The Future Outlook Rubio emphasized that the US would prefer to have a good agreement but is prepared to deal with Iran 'another way' if necessary. The situation remains uncertain, with both sides taking their time to get it right.

The LeadThe 2025-26 Premier League season will be remembered for its unpredictability and dramatic encounters. As the season concludes, we revisit five matches that perfectly encapsulated the thrilling nature of this campaign, showcasing why the Premier League remains the most exciting football competition in the world.The Thrill of October: Crystal Palace vs BournemouthOn October 18, Crystal Palace and Bournemouth delivered a 3-3 thriller that had everything. Jean-Philippe Mateta scored a hat-trick for Palace, including a penalty in stoppage time, yet still managed to miss a golden chance to win the match in the 10th minute of added time. The rollercoaster encounter saw Palace fall 2-0 behind before fighting back, only for Ryan Christie to seemingly snatch victory for Bournemouth in the 89th minute before Mateta completed his hat-trick. This match set the tone for a season of high-scoring, dramatic encounters.December's Goal Fest: Fulham vs Manchester CityDecember 2 saw Fulham host Manchester City in a nine-goal thriller that resembled, as Eamon Dunphy put it, 'two drunks fighting in an alley.' Despite City's 20th consecutive victory over Fulham, the match was notable for Erling Haaland reaching 100 Premier League goals in just 13 matches—faster than Alan Shearer. Samuel Chukweze's double ensured a frantic finish, while Phil Foden provided a sensational strike and Alex Iwobi a wonderfully controlled curling finish. The match showcased the attacking prowess that defined both teams' seasons.February's Drama: Liverpool vs Manchester CityFebruary 8 witnessed a chaotic encounter at Anfield where Liverpool led 1-0 with 16 minutes remaining through Dominik Szoboszlai's viciously swerving free-kick. However, City's resilience shone through as Erling Haaland and Bernardo Silva combined to turn the game around. The match reached its climax in stoppage time when Szoboszlai and Haaland engaged in a slapstick-comedy sprint while chasing a long-range effort, leading to a VAR review that saw Szoboszlai sent off and City seal a dramatic victory that reignited their title pursuit.The Pennine Thriller: Burnley vs BrentfordOn February 28, Burnley and Brentford served up a mesmerizing seven-goal encounter on the edge of the Pennines. Mikkel Damsgaard and Igor Thiago gave Brentford an early 2-0 lead before Kevin Schade made it 3-0. However, the match became a rollercoaster of emotions with Michael Kayode's own goal and Jaidon Anthony's deflected effort bringing Burnley back into contention. Zian Flemming's header and Damsgaard's late goal sealed a 4-3 victory for Brentford, though Ashley Barnes's stoppage-time strike was disallowed for handball, adding another layer of drama to this unforgettable match.The Tyne-Wear Derby: Newcastle vs SunderlandMarch 22's Tyne-Wear derby carried extra significance as Newcastle reeled from a 7-2 Champions League drubbing by Barcelona. Despite Anthony Gordon putting Newcastle ahead early, Sunderland's efficient display preyed on their rivals' frayed nerves. Chemsdine Talbi equalized on 57 minutes before Brian Brobbey, described as outstanding, scored the last-minute winner to complete a classic centre-forward's performance. This victory was particularly sweet for Sunderland, having also beaten Newcastle 1-0 at the Stadium of Light in December, further intensifying this fierce local rivalry.What Makes These Matches SpecialThese five matches exemplify what makes the Premier League unique—the unpredictability, the drama, and the sheer quality of football on display. From individual brilliance to team resilience, from last-minute winners to VAR controversies, the 2025-26 season provided everything a football fan could desire. As we look ahead, these encounters remind us why the Premier League continues to captivate audiences worldwide and why it remains the benchmark for domestic football competitions.

The Lead The 2025-26 Premier League season has concluded with several players emerging as standouts who made significant impacts on their teams' success. From record-breaking performances to crucial saves, these individuals defined the season and left lasting impressions on fans and critics alike. The Standout Performers Bruno Fernandes of Manchester United had an exceptional season, dragging the team through matches early on and later leading Michael Carrick's unified side. He won the Football Writers' Association player of the season award and set a record Premier League assist tally of 21 at Brighton on the final day of the season. His intelligence, work rate, and technique have made him the most influential captain in the league. David Raya of Arsenal proved to be a significant upgrade over Aaron Ramsdale, having at least a share of the Golden Glove award for the most Premier League clean sheets in all three of his seasons at Arsenal. He started every game except the final match, making crucial saves at critical moments to ensure Arsenal edged out Manchester City in the title race. Erling Haaland continued his impressive form for Manchester City, scoring 27 league goals at a rate of one every 110 minutes. Despite criticism about his overall game, his goal-scoring prowess is undeniable, with Pep Guardiola declaring him "the best striker in the world." Igor Thiago exceeded expectations at Brentford after the team lost key players and their manager. He scored 12 goals in his first 14 games of the season in all competitions and was named in Brazil's World Cup squad by Carlo Ancelotti, who praised his ability to be a top performer in the Premier League. Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest embraced the responsibility of the armband under Vítor Pereira, helping the team maintain their Premier League status and reach the Europa League semi-finals. With 15 goals in 37 Premier League games, he became one of the most feared attacking players in the league. The Statistical Impact The standout players of the 2025-26 season produced remarkable statistics that underscore their importance to their teams: Bruno Fernandes set a Premier League record with 21 assists David Raya maintained at least a share of the Golden Glove award for three consecutive seasons Erling Haaland scored 27 goals, averaging one every 110 minutes Igor Thiago scored 12 goals in his first 14 games after returning from injury Morgan Gibbs-White scored 15 goals in 37 Premier League appearances The Changing Landscape of Premier League Excellence The 2025-26 season highlighted how individual excellence can transform team fortunes. Fernandes' leadership and creativity were instrumental in Manchester United's improved second-half performance, while Raya's consistent goalkeeping gave Arsenal the stability needed to challenge for the title. Haaland's continued dominance for Manchester City demonstrates the importance of clinical finishing, while Thiago and Gibbs-White showed how players can exceed expectations and become key figures in teams not expected to challenge at the highest level. The Future Outlook As we look ahead to the 2026-27 season, these standout players are likely to continue their influence. Fernandes will aim to build on his record-breaking season as Manchester United seeks to challenge for the title, while Raya's consistent performances will be crucial for Arsenal's title ambitions. Haaland will remain the focal point of Manchester City's attack, though teams will continue to develop strategies to contain him. Meanwhile, Thiago and Gibbs-White will look to build on their breakout seasons and help their teams achieve even greater success.

The Blue Moon Phenomenon This week’s full moon is a blue moon. The term does not describe the colour of the moon, but instead arises from the way we define our calendar in reference to the stars rather than the moon. Lunar Cycles and Calendar Definitions The moon takes almost a month to circle our planet. The exact time is 29.5 days but if we were to define our calendar as 12 lunar months, the year would fall short by around 11 days. Thus, the calendar would fall out of step with the seasons. The Astronomical Implications By defining our year by how long it takes for the stars to return to their same positions in the sky, we must accept that some years will have 13 full moons instead of 12. The extra full moon is the blue moon, defined as the second full moon in a calendar month. Multiple Definitions of a Blue Moon Having had one full moon already on 1 May, the second one on 31 May this week is the blue one. There is, however, another way to define a blue moon. There is a stricter astronomical way to define a blue moon, known as the seasonal method, but by this reckoning the full moon this week is not blue. Instead, we would have to wait for the full moon on 20 May 2027.

The Thrilling Canadian GP Lewis Hamilton was thrilled with his second place at the Canadian Grand Prix in what he called “the greatest job in the world” after a great fight with his old adversary Max Verstappen and expressed how excited he was to be back in a wheel to wheel contest, enthused with his and his Ferrari team’s performance. Hamilton's Stellar Performance “I love this job it’s the greatest job in the world, I never take that for granted,” he said. “To have a good battle with Max finally, I’m really, really grateful. I am so, so happy. It’s good day of racing, overall, a solid weekend. I felt the whole team have done an amazing job.” The Battle for Podium Hamilton started in fifth place but had showed good pace making it to third in the early stages. However, Verstappen took the place on lap nine as Hamilton struggled with energy deployment. The Decisive Move The seven-time champion stuck at it and in the final stages came back at the Dutchman and after a gripping scrap with his old rival took second place with six laps remaining with a decisive move round the outside of the first corner. It is his best finish for Ferrari and his highest since he last took second at the Las Vegas GP in 2024. The Race Winner and Championship Standings The race was won by Kimi Antonelli, who was in a wheel to wheel scrap with his Mercedes teammate, George Russell, almost from the off. The pair had exchanged the lead three times before Russell was forced to retire on lap 30 with a battery problem that left his car without power.

The LeadToo early to be decisive yet but without doubt George Russell was left cursing his damnable luck as his world championship ambitions took a body blow in Montreal. The British driver was left angry and disconsolate as his Mercedes ground to halt on track at the Canadian Grand Prix and his teammate and title-rival Kimi Antonelli powered to a record-breaking victory.The Montreal ShowdownRussell had claimed victory in the sprint race, then pole and then had an absolutely gripping, toe-to-toe with the 19-year-old for the opening 29 laps on the Île Notre-Dame. The pair had circulated within half a second of one another, trading the lead, repeatedly in what was an exemplary piece of racing. Russell had to pull some superb, resolved, defensive driving and Antonelli was as always an irrepressible force, a joy to behold. To and fro they darted against one another, neither perfect, both drivers suffered lock-ups and minor errors but neither could take a decisive advantage. It was glorious stuff with nothing to choose between them.The Engine Failure That Changed EverythingThe prospect of it heading to the flag as such was mouthwatering, only for Russell's world to fall apart in a scant few seconds. Out of nowhere he suddenly slowed and pulled off on lap 30 with an engine failure. An understandably angry Russell hurled his headrest from the car and stalked from it in disgust. He was left behind the fence, staring at the marshals pushing his stricken ride away and shaking his head in disbelief and frustration as Antonelli scampered off into a now unchallenged lead he held to the flag.Championship ImplicationsEighteen points behind before the race, Russell is now a full 43 back and when interviewed afterwards he admitted he could make no sense of this cruel fate in Montreal. "I'm a bit lost for words," he said. "I've got to be honest, I'm proud of my weekend: pole for the sprint race, won the sprint race, pole for the main race, I had a good battle with Kimi. From my side I don't think there was any more I could do. Of course I'm pretty frustrated by what's happened but what more could I do?"Historic Victory StreakAntonelli deserved the victory but would have enjoyed taking it to the end in a real scrap with his teammate, noting it was not the way he wanted to win. With it however the Italian has now taken four in a row after victories in China, Japan and Miami. A striking start in only second year in the sport. Indeed he is now the first driver to have scored his first four wins in the sport in succession.Teammate Rivalry IntensifiesThat the pair are going to be going at hard for the world championship this year is clear. They came together in the sprint race on Saturday, with Antonelli furious when he felt Russell has squeezed him off track. Mercedes held discussions with them afterwards with both declaring all was well between them but on Sunday they were at it again. As part of their gripping scrap, on lap 23 Antonelli locked-up at the hairpin, Russell pounced and the pair then brushed up against each other, trading paint at the final chicane.Mercedes' Response to Internal BattleMercedes promptly told their drivers to "tidy up the racing" with nerves jangling on the pit wall as the pair were warned the team would intervene if they did not. Mercedes' rules of engagement seem clear that they are free to race but cannot hit one another, an edict that may be increasingly hard to follow if the contest between them remains as tight going into the next 17 races as it was in Montreal.Other Race ResultsLewis Hamilton scored his best result for Ferrari after a superb fight with Max Verstappen to claim second from the Dutchman in the closing stages, while Verstappen was in fine form to take his first podium of 2026 for Red Bull.

President Noboa’s Security Wins in the State of the UnionIn a televised address to the National Assembly in Quito on 24 May 2026, President Daniel Noboa framed recent law‑enforcement actions as proof of a decisive, U.S.-backed crime‑fighting agenda.Extraditions and Drug Seizures HighlightedNoboa cited the extradition of 12 crime bosses to the United States and the seizure of almost 300 tonnes of cocaine as flagship achievements of his administration.Joint military‑police patrols have been expanded under a state of exception.U.S. forces participated in a drone‑and‑helicopter operation against a Colombian‑linked training camp earlier this year.Numbers Behind the Claims: Crime and Poverty MetricsThe president also pointed to socioeconomic data: poverty fell from 26 % to 21.4 % in 2025, while extreme poverty dropped from 10.4 % to 8.4 %. However, homicide rates remain alarming at roughly 50 murders per 100,000 residents, the highest in decades.Domestic and International Repercussions of the Hard‑Line StrategyCivil‑society groups criticize the expanded powers, arguing warrantless searches and military involvement risk civilian safety. Analyst Glaedys Gonzalez of the International Crisis Group warned that “progress on violence is far from being achieved.” The U.S. partnership, while bolstering operational capacity, also raises sovereignty concerns.Outlook: Potential Shifts in Ecuador’s Crime‑Fighting PolicyIf homicide rates do not decline, pressure may force Noboa to moderate the state of exception or seek broader legislative support. Conversely, successful prosecutions could deepen security cooperation with Washington, shaping Ecuador’s regional role in the fight against cocaine trafficking.