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Entertainment Jun 10, 2026

Milo Rau's Moral Judgment on Trial as Theatre Director Faces Backlash

Swiss theatre-maker Milo Rau, artistic director of Vienna's Wiener Festwochen, faces criticism afte…
The LeadMilo Rau, once the enfant terrible of continental European theatre, finds himself in an uncomfortable position. As the artistic director of Vienna's Wiener Festwochen festival, he has done something he explicitly hates: canceling a guest. The Swiss theatre-maker first invited, then disinvited American tech billionaire Peter Thiel, calling it a decision that made a wall visible. This controversy has placed Rau's own moral judgment on trial, raising questions about the boundaries of political theatre in an increasingly polarized world.The Political Theatre ExperimentSince taking over the Vienna festival in 2023, Rau has transformed one of Europe's major multi-arts festivals into a highly politicized forum for debate. While concerts, dance performances, and traditional theatre still form the core of the program, Rau has rebranded the Festwochen with a conceptual framework as the "Free Republic of Vienna." At its core sits a format he invented almost two decades ago with his production company The International Institute for Political Murder: the "tribunal." Rather than putting on conventional plays, Rau organizes staged hearings featuring real witnesses, real arguments, and symbolic judgments handed down at the end.The power of Rau's early tribunals was founded in the Brechtian idea of the dramatic stage as a forum for critical thinking: theatre, it asserted, can provide a more structured arena for debate than talkshows or podium discussions. "Theatres are not only reserved for art," says Wolfgang Höbel, theatre critic of Der Spiegel. "In that sense Rau is the most important political theatre-maker in Europe today."The Thiel ControversyThe motto of this year's Vienna festival is "Republic of Gods." Peter Thiel, the German-born co-founder of PayPal and Palantir, a longstanding supporter of Donald Trump's political universe and a man with a taste for apocalyptic theology and far-right ideas, initially seemed a perfect fit for the theme. However, many disagreed. "I was faced with the threat of boycotts," Rau admits. Several productions threatened to pull out if Thiel were to attend. "I had to react to that as festival director, so I cancelled my own panel and disinvited Thiel."The Austrian weekly Falter called it a fiasco. Exactly who threatened to boycott the Vienna festival in the event of a Thiel appearance remains a mystery. Vienna's cultural politics are dominated by the Social Democrats, and many of their more conservative voters certainly did not relish the prospect of a Trump-supporting tech billionaire being welcomed at a publicly funded festival. Rau has said that his advisory body, the Council of the Republic, supported the invitation and did not want to cancel it.The Evolution of Rau's MethodRau's tribunal format became his calling card, but more recently it has started to look like the cause of perennial trouble. At the 2013 Moscow Trials, he brilliantly exposed the absurdity of Putinist justice by turning the show trial against Pussy Riot back on itself. The feminist punk collective had been sentenced to two years in a Russian penal colony for performing a protest song against Vladimir Putin in Moscow's Cathedral of Christ the Saviour. "It was a surreal experience to see Putin's priests and gay activists sit next to each other on stage," remembers Rau: "Today this would be impossible."In 2015, the Congo Tribunal was rough, experimental theatre with a political charge: a grassroots civil court investigating war, extraction and the involvement of mining companies in eastern Congo. The Guardian called the Congo Tribunal one of the most ambitious pieces of political theatre ever. A mining minister and an interior minister of one of the Congo provinces resigned after the performance.The Critics' PerspectiveNot everyone has been convinced by Rau's approach. Esther Slevogt, editor in chief of the online theatre magazine Nachtkritik, called it "artivism." Rau himself has placed his tribunals in the tradition of the Nuremberg trials. "I found his arrogance striking," says Slevogt today. "These are different things." She is troubled by a format that, in her view, blurs the line between fiction and reality. "In times when everything is already simulation, we don't need more of it."Recently, not just the relationship between Rau and theatre critics but also with his audiences seems to have soured. In Hamburg this winter, his Trial Against Germany at the Thalia theatre became a scandal in its own right. Rau had assembled a jury that was asked to consider over three days whether the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party was unconstitutional and should be banned. But the jury included many familiar faces who already get to regularly air their views on television and in print, as well as a former co-leader of the AfD, Frauke Petry. Rather than using the theatre to concentrate debate, it seemed to amplify the hubbub of content swirling around outside it.The Future of Political TheatreRau seems to have answered his critics by becoming even more productive. While in the middle of his third year as festival director in Vienna, he is also trying to attend performances of The Pelicot Trial, which he developed with the French dramaturg Servane Dècle. The production is now touring, with dates in Bergen, Oslo and Copenhagen. It pays tribute to Gisèle Pelicot, who, Rau says, has become "an icon of resistance" against sexual violence committed by men. He claims that the real Pelicot came to see the performance in New York and told him: "The actress plays me better than I could do it myself."Not all French reviewers have applauded his re-enactment. "I saw the research and the synthesis, but I did not see a reflection," says Anne Diatkine, a theatre critic for the French daily Libération. She found the production "superficial and opportunistic … He did not add anything to what we knew already from the real trial."Still, Rau's mock trials run and run. The debates are real, and the stage gives radically different voices a curated setting in which no opinion is excluded. Except now Peter Thiel's, of course. The acclaimed Austrian film-maker Ruth Beckermann, listed as a member of Rau's advisory council, admires his tribunal concept but believes he should have stuck with the invitation. "Rau should have stuck with the invitation of Peter Thiel and not buckled," she says. "She would have liked a debate in which Thiel had to discuss his ideas on equal terms with others."
#Milo Rau #Wiener Festwochen #Peter Thiel
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Entertainment Jun 10, 2026

The Blobaissance: Why Mr Blobby Is Back and What It Means for British Pop Culture

Mr Blobby, the 1990s pink‑and‑yellow TV monster, has resurfaced on primetime shows, merchandise sta…
The Blobaissance: Mr Blobby’s Unlikely ComebackThe iconic inflatable Mr Blobby has leapt from 1990s Saturday night sketches back onto today’s TV screens, music stages and retail shelves, sparking a fresh wave of nostalgia that some are dubbing the “Blobaissance”. From 1990s TV Sidekick to 2026 Nostalgia IconOriginally created for Noel Edmonds’ Noel’s House Party in 1992, the character became a cultural fixture through slapstick chaos, merchandise, and a chart‑topping Christmas single. After the show’s 1999 cancellation, Blobby faded, only to re‑emerge on The Claudia Winkleman Show, a surprise SNL UK sketch, and a duet with singer‑actor Self Esteem at the Hammersmith Apollo. Merchandise Sales and Media Appearances Reach New HeightseBay listings show Blobby costumes changing hands for thousands of pounds.Blobby‑shaped iced biscuits at Bayne’s bakers in Scotland have become a “cult bestseller”, rivaling local favourites.The character appeared on a GQ cover alongside Emma Thompson, Ian Wright and Brian Cox.Television cameos include Josh Widdicombe on The Claudia Winkleman Show and a terrified Dan Levy hiding behind a sofa. What the Blobby Revival Says About Britain’s Pop‑Culture MoodCommentators such as comedy writer Joel Morris and cultural historian Dr Matthew Sweet argue that the resurgence reflects a “nation gone soft” and a craving for “idiotic times” – a collective turn toward simple, absurd icons amid a perceived cultural decline. The character’s “stupid relentlessness” offers a comedic safety valve, allowing audiences to laugh at a deliberately low‑brow figure while also critiquing contemporary media saturation. Future of the Pink Monster in a ‘Blobaissance’ EraIndustry insiders predict that Blobby’s momentum will continue, with more high‑profile TV spots, limited‑edition merchandise drops and possible collaborations with major brands. As the 2026 “Blobaissance” unfolds, the character may become a staple reference point for British humor, cementing his place as both a nostalgic relic and a modern cultural touchstone.
#Mr Blobby #Noel Edmonds #Claudia Winkleman Show
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Sports Jun 10, 2026

Sign up for The Breakdown: Your Free Rugby Newsletter

The Guardian has launched The Breakdown, a free rugby newsletter that delivers exclusive content an…
The Breakdown: Your Gateway to Rugby ExcellenceThe Guardian is excited to introduce The Breakdown, a comprehensive rugby newsletter designed to keep fans informed and engaged with the sport they love. This free email service brings you the latest news, in-depth analysis, and exclusive content from the world of rugby.What Makes The Breakdown Special?Unlike generic sports updates, The Breakdown focuses specifically on rugby, providing nuanced coverage of matches, player performances, and strategic insights. Our expert journalists deliver content that goes beyond the headlines, helping you understand the nuances of the game.Stay Connected with Rugby's Biggest MomentsWhether you're following international tournaments, domestic leagues, or emerging talents, The Breakdown ensures you never miss a significant development in the rugby world. From Six Nations championships to Rugby World Cup preparations, our newsletter has you covered.How to Sign UpJoining The Breakdown is simple and completely free. Just visit The Guardian's rugby section and enter your email address to start receiving your daily dose of rugby content. Our newsletter is designed to be mobile-friendly, so you can read it wherever and whenever you like.Why Rugby Fans Love The BreakdownSubscribers consistently praise The Breakdown for its timely delivery, comprehensive coverage, and expert analysis. Our commitment to quality journalism has made us a trusted source for rugby enthusiasts worldwide.
#The Guardian #The Breakdown #Rugby
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Politics Jun 10, 2026

Pakistan's Diplomatic Gamble: Naqvi's High-Stakes Visit to Tehran

Pakistan's Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi has arrived in Tehran to deliver a 'special letter' from …
Pakistan's Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi has travelled to Iran to deliver a 'special letter' to Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei as part of diplomatic efforts to end the United States-Israeli war on Iran, which began 100 days ago. Naqvi arrived in the Iranian capital, Tehran, late on Saturday, and met his Iranian counterpart, Eskandar Momeni. The two discussed the 'latest regional developments and matters related to internal security', among other issues, Naqvi said on social media. Before his arrival, Iranian media reported that the Pakistani official was carrying a letter from his country's army chief and prime minister for the supreme leader.The Diplomatic Mission to TehranNaqvi's visit is a critical intervention in a region already strained by military exchanges. His arrival comes amid renewed tensions in the Gulf, where the United States Central Command (CENTCOM) has reported active engagements with Iranian forces.Meeting Details: Naqvi met with Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni to discuss security and regional stability.The Letter: Carried a message from Pakistan's army chief and prime minister to Supreme Leader Khamenei.Context: Occurs just days after US forces intercepted multiple Iranian drones and missiles in the Strait of Hormuz.The Economic Stakes in the Strait of HormuzThe military posturing in the region has direct implications for global energy markets. The Strait of Hormuz is a vital chokepoint through which approximately 20 percent of globally traded oil normally passes. Iranian control of this waterway has sent oil and gas prices to multi-year highs.Recent US Engagements: US forces shot down two Iranian one-way attack drones and intercepted seven ballistic missiles heading towards Kuwait and Bahrain.Retaliatory Strikes: In response, the US struck Iranian coastal surveillance radar sites in Garuk and on Qeshm Island.Regional Impact: The attacks have drawn condemnation from Gulf nations, highlighting the precarious balance of power.Gulf Nations Condemn EscalationThe military exchanges have created a complex diplomatic situation for Gulf nations that initially lobbied against the US-Israel war on Iran but are now bearing the brunt of the fallout.Bahrain: Hosts the US Fifth Fleet and denounced the attacks as 'blatant aggression'.Kuwait: Described the attacks as 'represent a dangerous escalation'.Regional Coalition: Egypt, Jordan, and Qatar have joined the condemnation of the renewed hostilities.Negotiations at a Deadlock: The Road AheadDespite tit-for-tat attacks, negotiations over a deal to end the war are continuing, but an agreement remains elusive. The stalemate is driven by specific, high-value sticking points.Asset Freeze: Iranian officials, including military adviser Mohsen Rezaei, have called for the release of about $24bn in frozen Iranian assets to break the deadlock.US Stance: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is reportedly considering using these assets to support rebuilding efforts in the Gulf.Key Demands: Other sticking points include sanctions waivers on crude exports, the lifting of a US port blockade, and leverage over the Strait of Hormuz.While US President Donald Trump has alternated between threatening a renewed campaign and expressing optimism about a weekend deal, the path to peace remains obstructed by the deep-seated mistrust and the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz to both nations.
#Pakistan #Iran #Mohsin Naqvi
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Health Jun 10, 2026

Ebola Outbreak: World Cup Hosts Ramp Up Preparations

As the 2026 World Cup approaches, host nations in North America are enhancing health measures to co…
The Growing Concern Over Ebola With the 2026 World Cup set to take place in North America, health officials in the host nations are on high alert due to the Ebola outbreak in East Africa. The outbreak, caused by the rare Bundibugyo strain of the virus, was first declared in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) on May 15 and has since infected at least 488 people, causing 86 deaths. Travel Restrictions and Airport Screening The World Cup host nations have announced aligned public health travel measures for individuals coming from African regions at greatest risk from the Ebola virus. The US has banned all noncitizens who had travelled to the DRC, Uganda, or South Sudan in the previous 21 days from entering the country. Canada has temporarily banned residents of the DRC, Uganda, and South Sudan from entering the country for 90 days. Mexico has outlined tighter Ebola screening measures at airports. The Impact on DRC's World Cup Preparations The DRC team, who have qualified for their first World Cup since 1974, cancelled a planned pre-World Cup training camp at home due to the Ebola outbreak and have been based in Belgium instead. The team's World Cup preparations were further thrown into chaos when a planned warm-up match against Chile in Spain was cancelled due to fears over the spread of the virus. Tracking Outbreaks and Mitigating Risks Boston University's Center on Emerging Infectious Diseases will be monitoring the World Cup to track any outbreaks of infectious diseases. The National Special Pathogen System (NSPS) also recently conducted a tabletop exercise, simulating responses to any disease outbreaks during the tournament. A Low Risk to Fans Despite these measures, health experts are not overly concerned about the risks facing fans who are travelling to North America this summer. 'If you are a casual visitor to the World Cup from around the world, I think there is a very low risk that you would be at risk of Ebola,' Oliver Johnson, a global health academic at King's College London, told the Reuters news agency.
#Ebola #World Cup 2026 #North America
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Tech Jun 09, 2026

Anthropic Unveils Claude Fable 5: Bringing Mythos AI to Public with Safety Guardrails

Anthropic has launched Claude Fable 5, the first publicly available version of its powerful Mythos …
The Launch of Claude Fable 5 Anthropic has made its most powerful AI model accessible to the general public for the first time through Claude Fable 5, a version of its Mythos model equipped with comprehensive safety guardrails. The launch represents a significant step in making advanced AI technology more widely available while maintaining strict safety protocols. Technical Capabilities and Limitations Claude Fable 5 excels in software engineering, knowledge work, and vision-based tasks. However, Anthropic has implemented hard safety limits in high-risk areas including cybersecurity, biology, chemistry, and distillation. In these sensitive domains, the model blocks responses and defaults to Claude Opus 4.8. Early data indicates that at least 95% of Fable sessions run entirely on the model's own responses, with fallbacks being rare occurrences. Market Strategy and Access Tiers Fable 5 is available through Anthropic's Claude API and consumption-based Enterprise plans. Currently, the model is included at no extra cost in Pro, Max, Team, and seat-based Enterprise plans through June 22. After this date, Anthropic will require usage credits, though plans exist to restore it as a standard subscription feature as soon as possible. Concurrently, Anthropic is deploying Mythos 5, a new version of the advanced model, to organizations already approved for access. Pricing and Enterprise Adoption The pricing for both Fable 5 and Mythos 5 is set at $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output tokens—double the cost of Opus 4.8. This premium pricing reflects the model's advanced capabilities but may serve as a deterrent for widespread adoption. Many enterprises are already grappling with AI costs, with some reporting unexpectedly high bills or exceeding yearly AI budgets early. Despite these concerns, some organizations like Rakuten see significant value in Fable 5's self-reflection capabilities, which enable highly autonomous operations. Safety Measures and Data Retention Anthropic has implemented robust safety measures for Fable 5, including extensive stress-testing with jailbreak attempts. The company reports that internal and external red-teaming efforts failed to find universal jailbreaks over 1,000 hours of testing. As an additional safety layer, Anthropic is requiring a 30-day retention on all traffic, even for enterprises with previous zero-retention agreements. The data will be used exclusively to defend against complex attacks and identify false positives, potentially setting an industry precedent for mandatory data retention with powerful AI models. Performance Validation and Industry Impact Third-party testing has validated Fable 5's exceptional performance. Analytics company Hex reported that Fable achieved 90% on its core analytics benchmark for complex, long-running analytical tasks. Vibe-coding platform Base44 noted its superior capability for "one-shotting full apps" and excellent tool-calling functionality. AI-powered workspace Genspark reported that Fable outperformed all other models in evaluations, particularly excelling in UI design and game coding. These endorsements position Fable 5 as a leading model in its class, potentially influencing industry standards for AI performance and safety. Broader Context: Anthropic's Market Position The launch of Fable 5 occurs as Anthropic prepares to enter the public markets, positioning itself alongside OpenAI and Elon Musk's SpaceX in the competitive AI landscape. This move follows Anthropic's recent plea for major global AI labs to establish coordinated safety measures on frontier AI development. The company has warned that AI systems are advancing rapidly toward recursive self-improvement (RSI), where models could autonomously enhance themselves without human intervention. As Anthropic brings more powerful models to market, its approach to balancing accessibility with safety could shape industry practices for years to come.
#Anthropic #Claude #Mythos
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Sports Jun 09, 2026

Referee Joe Dickerson Brings Philosophy to VAR Booth at World Cup 2026

Joe Dickerson, US Soccer’s 2025 male referee of the year, will serve as a VAR official at the 2026 …
Lead: A Philosopher‑Referee Steps Into the World Cup VAR BoothJoe Dickerson—honored as US Soccer’s male referee of the year in 2025—is set to operate the VAR monitor for the World Cup 2026. While his early career was marked by a dislike for the replay screen, he now embraces it as a tool for precision and leadership.From Local Fields to VAR Booth: Dickerson’s Unconventional PathStarting with modest assignments in the San Jose area, Dickerson’s meticulous approach propelled him to national recognition. He now balances his officiating duties with a master’s program at the University of Chicago, where his thesis links Machiavelli’s political philosophy to the art of refereeing.Numbers Behind the Decisions: The Scale of VAR ScrutinyFIFA’s VAR seminars involve a 10‑day intensive review of 90‑something percent of potential calls, aiming for near‑black‑and‑white consistency.By the end of the European club season, the Premier League voted against expanding VAR to cover corner kicks, a change that will be re‑introduced for the World Cup at FIFA’s request.Impact: How a Philosophical Lens Shapes Modern RefereeingDickerson argues that the “subjectivity” and “public bias” surrounding VAR are intrinsic to the sport’s passion. His academic perspective suggests that empathy and strategic thinking—drawn from Machiavelli, Nietzsche, and Confucius—can improve communication between the VAR team and on‑field officials.Looking Ahead: What Dickerson’s Approach Means for Future VAR UseAs VAR remains a subplot of the tournament, Dickerson’s blend of analytical rigor and philosophical insight may influence referee training worldwide. Expect more structured seminars, greater emphasis on decision‑making psychology, and perhaps a broader acceptance of VAR’s role in high‑stakes matches.
#Joe Dickerson #VAR #World Cup 2026
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Sports Jun 09, 2026

Emma Raducanu Dominates at Queen's with Convincing Win over Blinkova

Emma Raducanu marked a dominant start to the grass-court season with a 6-0, 6-3 win over qualifier …
Raducanu's Strong Start at Queen's Emma Raducanu believes her dominant start to the grass-court season can be the launchpad for success over the coming month as she reached the second round at Queen's with a 6-0, 6-3 win over Anna Blinkova, a qualifier. Key Factors in Raducanu's Victory Raducanu was competing for the first time since her straight sets loss to Solana Sierra in the first round of the French Open two weeks ago. The world No 42 had been sidelined for more than two months due to post-viral illness, only returning to competition less than a week before the French Open. Raducanu played clear-minded, offensive tennis, taking the ball early and cleanly redirecting off both wings while trying to dominate with her forehand from on top of the baseline. “We have been working day in, day out, since I started training again, and even throughout the clay season we have been working and putting good shifts in each day,” said Raducanu. Other Notable Results Katie Boulter also advanced to the second round, recovering from a set and a break down at 3-6, 3-4 to register an excellent 3-6, 7-6 (4), 7-5 win over the eighth seed, Leylah Fernandez. Challenges for Other Players Elsewhere, Jack Draper's injury troubles continued as he was forced to withdraw from the Queen's ATP event, which begins next week. Draper has not competed since hurting his knee two months ago at the start of the clay-court season. “Recovery going in the right direction, but I'm going to give myself one more week and aim to return at Eastbourne. Very hard to miss one of my favourite events of the year,” said Draper in a statement. Raducanu's Future Outlook Raducanu expressed her enjoyment of the match and her desire to continue performing well throughout the grass-court season. “It was a really good stepping stone, and the way I was feeling on the court, the way I was moving, the way I was expressing myself, just the whole package, not necessarily the tennis, just how I kind of was acting on the court, I really enjoyed it,” she said.
#Emma Raducanu #Tennis #Queen's
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Politics Jun 09, 2026

Netanyahu and Trump: The Fraying Alliance Over Iran

The latest tensions between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump…
The Fraying of the Trump-Netanyahu AllianceThe latest flare-up in hostilities between Israel and Iran has exposed what some observers say is the most significant crack yet in the relationship between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and United States President Donald Trump, revealing increasingly divergent interests between the two leaders.The pair once appeared politically inseparable, with Netanyahu describing Trump as the "greatest friend Israel has ever had in the White House." Trump returned the praise. During a 2025 appearance in Israel, he joked, "He's not easy – not the easiest guy to deal with – but that's what makes him great."Trump is no longer joking. Last week, he reportedly called Netanyahu "f***ing crazy" during a phone call, accused him of undermining US diplomacy and warned that Israel's military escalation risked derailing peace talks with Iran.The tensions became apparent when Iran launched a volley of missiles towards northern Israel on Sunday, following an Israeli strike in Beirut's southern suburbs on June 7 – despite US assurances just days before that this would not happen. The missile attack, the first by Iran since a fragile, Pakistan-brokered ceasefire reached two months earlier between the US and Iran, threatened to unravel months of negotiations."He will have no choice," Trump told the Financial Times when asked about the likelihood of Netanyahu approving a possible peace agreement with Iran. "I call the shots. I call all the shots. He doesn't call the shots."Diverging Political Interests in the Iran ConflictUltimately, observers say, the two leaders are driven by their own political interests which are on a collision course. In the US, the war with Iran is deeply unpopular, so Trump needs to reach a deal with Iran to end the war. Netanyahu, on the other hand, could benefit politically at home if it were to continue.In fact, as soon as Trump and Netanyahu jointly launched missile strikes on Iran at the end of February, their objectives began to drift apart.Israel's leadership had suggested the conflict could deliver a rapid victory, potentially weakening or even toppling Iran's government while crippling its nuclear and ballistic missile programmes.But Yossi Mekelberg, a Middle East analyst at Chatham House, said any such assumptions underpinning the campaign quickly collapsed. "The war didn't go the way they wanted it to go," he told Al Jazeera."The biggest failure was assuming it would be nice and quick and would achieve its objectives. They thought it would bring regime change and that, by extension, it would end Iran's nuclear programme and ballistic missile programme. Obviously, that was a complete failure."The conflict also created economic consequences that threatened Trump's own domestic political interests. When Iran effectively closed off the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies are shipped during peacetime, global energy markets were rattled and oil prices surged.The Strategic and Economic CalculusMekelberg said Washington had appeared unprepared for a scenario many analysts had long warned was inevitable. "The United States didn't appear to think strategically about how it would keep the Strait of Hormuz open. It shows an inability to think strategically in this administration."With fuel prices soaring and Democrats eyeing gains in November's mid-term congressional elections, Trump has a strong incentive to secure a quick deal, and has little appetite for a prolonged Middle East crisis while preparing to host football's World Cup.Ultimately, despite the longstanding relationship between Israel and the US, Trump's relationship with Netanyahu remains fundamentally transactional, said Mekelberg."Trump is egotistical and self-absorbed," he said. "It's a transactional relationship. It depends on how good the transaction is, and when it doesn't work for you – as we see with Trump, this is his method. 'I'm your friend' until it no longer serves his interests."But, on a deeper level, there is a serious issue, which is that they have unravelled the Middle East. Now, because their interests diverge, and because each side is pursuing its own interests, they clash in a very asymmetric way."US Military Aid and Diplomatic LeverageAs Israel becomes increasingly isolated internationally over its conduct in Gaza, the West Bank and across the region, the US remains its most important diplomatic protector and its main military supplier and financial backer. This has become increasingly important as Israel's traditional European allies have begun distancing themselves from Netanyahu's government.Washington provides Israel with at least $3.8bn annually under a 10-year military assistance agreement running from 2019 to 2028. That package includes $3.3bn through the Foreign Military Financing programme and another $500m for joint missile-defence programmes.An Al Jazeera investigation recently found that 42 percent of weapons entering Israel originated from the United States.Gideon Levy, the Israeli journalist and author, told Al Jazeera that dependence on the US leaves Netanyahu with little room to manoeuvre. "Israel is not in a position to say no to Donald Trump, and Netanyahu is not in a position to say no," Levy said. "Israeli dependence on the US right now has reached an unprecedented stage, and Israel cannot take on Iran without the United States."The reality on the ground is that whatever Trump tells Netanyahu, he will have to do exactly as Trump phrased it."Netanyahu's Domestic Political PredicamentTrump's push for a ceasefire collides with Netanyahu's domestic ambitions. The war with Iran has proved popular inside Israel, where public support for military action remains overwhelming.Levy noted that polling shows support for the attack on Iran stands at roughly 93 percent. "Traditionally in Israel, you can much easier get consensus for a major majority by launching another war, rather than any diplomatic agreement," Levy said.With elections due before the end of October, some analysts say continued confrontation would therefore serve Netanyahu's political interests. The problem is that Washington increasingly appears committed to pursuing a diplomatic settlement with Tehran.The negotiations between the US and Iran are taking place indirectly, via Pakistani mediators, but without Israeli participation at all. Reports suggest any future agreement would leave Iran's government intact while permitting a restricted but continuing nuclear programme.Tehran has also reportedly demanded that any deal prevent Israel from launching future military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Under such a deal, an Israeli strike on Beirut could risk provoking Iranian retaliation without guaranteed US backing – a scenario Netanyahu would not be happy about."Netanyahu is in a certain deadlock," Levy said. "The project of his life was Iran and the belief that Iran can be defeated by force. This was proven false in the last two rounds in Iran."The Future of US-Israel RelationsMany analysts doubt the apparent rift between Israel and the US represents any sort of meaningful shift in relations between the two.Phyllis Bennis, a fellow at the Institute for Policy Studies in Washington, DC, and international adviser to the activist group Jewish Voice for Peace, argued that Trump's criticism had not been matched by action."The words could be significant if they were matched by actions," she told Al Jazeera. "What we see now are a set of words – 'You better be careful; you'll find yourself acting alone' – that are not backed up by actions."Bennis noted that Washington continues to provide billions of dollars in military assistance, to shield Israel from accountability at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and ICC, and to keep weapons flowing.She compared Trump's approach to that of former US President Joe Biden during the first stages of Israel's war on Gaza."The leadership would say, 'Please stop killing so many Palestinians,'" Bennis said, "while continuing to supply weapons and funding … The words just don't mean very much."
#Netanyahu #Trump #Israel-Iran conflict
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