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Executive Summary: A Climate Alarm Bell RingsThe UN has issued a stark warning that El Niño is likely to re‑emerge this year, bringing a wave of super‑charged weather extremes. With an 80% probability of formation before September and a 90% chance of lasting until November, the pattern threatens to amplify global warming, disrupt food supplies and intensify floods and droughts.UN and WMO Forecast an Imminent El Niño DevelopmentThe World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released its latest outlook on Tuesday, noting that most climate models project the return of the cyclical phenomenon at “at least moderate” strength, with some indicating a potentially strong event. Scientists caution it could become the strongest El Niño of the 21st century.Formation window: before September 2026Persistence window: through November 2026Strength: moderate to strong, possibly the strongest this centuryKey Numbers: Probabilities, Temperatures and Regional ImpactsThe WMO’s quantitative outlook highlights:80% chance of El Niño onset before September90% chance it will continue into NovemberUnusually high temperatures forecast for nearly all regions over the next three monthsIncreased likelihood of extreme rain in South America, the southern US, the Horn of Africa and Central AsiaDrier conditions expected in Central America, the Caribbean, Australia, Indonesia and parts of South AsiaWhy This Matters: Global Climate, Food Security and Economic RisksEl Niño acts as a “fuel‑on‑the‑fire” for a warming planet, according to António Guterres, UN Secretary‑General. The pattern can:Push global temperatures higher, contributing to record‑breaking heat years (2024 already set new highs)Exacerbate droughts that strain water supplies and agricultural yieldsTrigger severe flooding and landslides, as seen in Tanzania’s April 2024 rainsInfluence hurricane formation—enhancing storms in the central/eastern Pacific while suppressing them in the AtlanticExperts like Gareth Redmond‑King of the Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit warn that the looming El Niño could jeopardise already fragile food systems, especially as fertilizer supplies are constrained by geopolitical conflicts.Looking Ahead: 2027 and the Next Decade of Climate RiskThe UN stresses that the most severe impacts may materialise in 2027, when El Niño could drive the hottest year on record. Preparing now means:Accelerating the transition away from fossil fuelsScaling renewable‑energy deploymentStrengthening early‑warning systems for vulnerable communitiesImplementing climate‑resilient agricultural practicesFailure to act could lock in a trajectory of escalating heat, water scarcity and food insecurity for the coming decade.

The Launch of Ferrari's First Electric Vehicle Ferrari's share price has dropped after it revealed a long-awaited first electric vehicle, with a minimalist look created by the former Apple design chief Jony Ive that departs from the Italian manufacturer's petrol sportscars. Ferrari Luce: Design and Specifications The Luce, starting at $640,000 (£477,000), has a range of 329 miles (530km) thanks to its battery capacity of 122 kilowatt hours, the company said, with four motors that can accelerate from 0 to 100km/h in 2.5 seconds, with a top speed of more than 310km/h (193mph). Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment The launch was hotly anticipated, given the world's most valuable sportscar maker's totemic status among car and Formula One racing fans. However, the Luce's saloon-like design immediately proved divisive, with some analysts questioning whether it lived up to Ferrari's sportscar heritage. Ferrari's share price dropped by as much as 8% in morning trading on Tuesday in Milan, before recovering to a 6% decline. The carmaker, which produces all its cars in Maranello, northern Italy, was valued at €56bn (£48bn) before the launch. The Impact of Jony Ive's Design The Luce was developed in partnership with LoveFrom, the studio founded by Ive after his long career at Apple, during which he led the design of products including the iPhone, MacBook and Apple Watch. Others said they believed it diverged too far from the blueprint that has made Ferrari one of the most profitable carmakers in the world. The Luce looks like a “mix between a Honda Accord EV and Tesla 3”, wrote Pierre-Olivier Essig, the head of research at AIR Capital, in a note for clients reported by Bloomberg. Ferrari's Future Plans Ferrari, founded in 1939, said the car's design was “simplified and rationalised in service of the driving experience”, and emphasised that was creating an “entirely new Ferrari”. The company last year scaled back its ambitions to shift from petrol to electric. It is aiming to have a 2030 lineup of 40% internal combustion engine models, 40% hybrids and 20% fully-electric.

The Lead: England's Victory in Bristol England successfully leveled their T20 international series against India with a commanding 26-run victory in Bristol, thanks largely to an extraordinary all-round performance from Freya Kemp. The young all-rounder smashed an unbeaten 39 from just 13 balls, including two sixes and four fours, while also contributing with the ball by taking two crucial wickets. This victory sets up a fascinating series decider at Taunton on Tuesday, with both teams using this match as final preparation for the upcoming World Cup. Kemp's All-Round Impact Kemp's performance was particularly significant given her recent battle with a serious back injury. Having sent down just six overs this season as England carefully managed her return, she made an immediate impact with figures of two for 15, dismissing the dangerous Smriti Mandhana. Her batting, however, stole the show, as she combined with Dani Gibson to add 39 from the final two overs, showcasing England's newfound firepower at the death. Kemp described her path back to fitness as "a bumpy ride" but credited head coach Charlotte Edwards for her unwavering support throughout her recovery. The Turning Point: India's "Retired Out" Decision The match turned on an extraordinary decision when India captain Harmanpreet Kaur retired out her opening partner Yastika Bhatia on 33 from 36 balls. With India needing 60 from the final 30 balls, Kaur adjudged Bhatia to be "chugging along too slowly" and made the unprecedented call to remove her from the crease. The decision completely disrupted India's rhythm, with Bhatia's replacement Jemimah Rodrigues caught off the second ball she faced. India subsequently collapsed to 142 for nine, losing their last six wickets for just 28 runs. Series Implications This match provided both teams with valuable preparation ahead of the World Cup, which begins on June 12. For England, it offered an opportunity to test their batting depth, with several players making strong cases for inclusion. Danni Wyatt-Hodge made a successful return from parental leave with 29 from 25 balls, while Amy Jones (28) and Heather Knight (18 off 14) also contributed. The performance of Kemp, who has been fighting for a middle-order spot, may have settled the selection question in her favor. For India, the match highlighted vulnerabilities in their chase strategy, particularly under pressure. The Road Ahead With the series now all square at 1-1, Tuesday's decider at Taunton promises to be a thrilling contest. Both teams will use this final match to fine-tune their combinations before the World Cup, where England will be looking to defend their title. The record Bristol crowd of over 4,000 was treated to a spectacle of aggressive batting and sharp fielding, setting the stage for what should be an exciting conclusion to this pre-World Cup series. For Kemp, the performance represents another step in her remarkable recovery and a statement of her growing importance to England's World Cup ambitions.

The Unveiling of Ferrari's First Electric Car For passionate enthusiasts, Ferraris are not merely cars but works of art. The emotion stirred by their classic red curves is, they say, akin to standing before a Michelangelo sculpture, while the sound of the engine revving evokes a sensation comparable to listening to the music of Giuseppe Verdi or Giacomo Puccini. The Design of the Luce EV The Italian carmaker's first fully electric car, the Luce EV, unveiled this week, left many fans aghast. "I don't dispute the fact that it's electric – that's a generational step that needs to be taken," said Fabio Barone, the president of the Italy-based Passione Rossa Ferrari owners' club. "But the design was a total shock – it has shaken the very foundations of our legendary Ferrari." The Market Reaction The initial financial market reaction suggested investors had a clear view: Ferrari stock plunged 8.4% in Milan trading on Tuesday and US-listed shares fell 5.3%. On Thursday the share price staged something of a recovery, regaining 3.5%. The Impact on Ferrari's Brand The backlash "may not matter for the investment case" for Ferrari. Most analysts suggest it will produce fewer than 1,000 of the cars, so "Ferrari only needs to capture a small number of open-minded wealthy buyers". The Future of Ferrari's Electric Cars Ferrari's chief executive, Benedetto Vigna, said the car was garnering interest from potential buyers. During an event in Modena, Vigna dismissed the critics, telling reporters that people were writing to say they liked the Luce and were placing orders.

About half of London’s tube drivers will walk out on Tuesday, 2 June 2026 and Thursday, 4 June 2026 after 11‑hour ACAS negotiations failed to resolve a dispute over a proposed four‑day working week.RMT Drivers Confirm Strike After 11‑Hour ACAS Talks FailRMT union representatives and Transport for London (TfL) were unable to reach an agreement during last‑minute negotiations at ACAS, prompting a 24‑hour strike on the two dates. The dispute centres on TfL’s proposal to introduce a voluntary four‑day working week.Scale of Disruption: Service Reductions and Line ClosuresNo service on the Circle and Piccadilly lines.Central sections of the Metropolitan and Central lines suspended.Approximately 50% of overall tube services expected to run.Elizabeth line, London Overground and DLR operate normally; buses run but will be crowded.While drivers in the Aslef union support the four‑day week and will continue working, the RMT action is set to affect millions of commuters across the capital.Economic Ripple Effects for London BusinessesBusiness groups warn that even the threat of the strike has already disrupted bookings and foot traffic. Ed Richardson of BusinessLDN noted that “the impact of these strikes will have already been felt through cancelled bookings and people changing their plans.” The reduced mobility may pressure retail, hospitality and service sectors during a critical summer period.Outlook: Negotiations, Possible Escalation and MitigationBoth sides have expressed willingness to continue talks, but the RMT has signalled that further action could follow if concerns over fatigue and safety are not addressed. TfL’s chief operating officer, Claire Mann, reiterated that the four‑day week remains voluntary. Observers suggest that a swift resolution is essential to prevent additional strikes that could extend beyond the current two‑day window.

The Lead Anita Rani's new podcast celebrates 'awesome women on the planet right now'. Her first guest is Meera Syal, and future guests include Gisèle Pelicot and Adjoa Andoh. Anita Rani's Sisters of Defiance Anita Rani's podcast, 'Sisters of Defiance', features discussions with 'awesome women' on various topics, including empty-nest life, Goodness Gracious Me, and divorce. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly from Tuesday, 26 May. Slow Burn: Becoming Justice Gorsuch Slate's anthology series, 'Slow Burn', dissects the life of US Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch in its 11th season. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly. Drilled: Carbon Cowboys The climate crisis-themed podcast 'Drilled' explores the carbon capture trade through the story of Republican megadonor and Iowa entrepreneur Bruce Rastetter. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly. Passages: On Morrison This podcast series follows Harvard professor Namwali Serpell as she discusses Toni Morrison's work with various guests, including critic Vinson Cunningham and former US poet laureate Tracy K Smith. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly. To Catch a King Journalist Sue Mitchell and ex-soldier Rob Lawrie team up to investigate a man believed to be responsible for thousands of illegal cross-channel journeys. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly.

Internet Blackout Flickers Back: The Human Toll After 88 DaysAt about 5 pm on Tuesday, the first wave of messages, images and poems broke through Iran’s near‑total internet blackout that began on 8 January. While many celebrated the return of any connection, the tone was dominated by scepticism, anxiety and grief.Partial Restoration Triggers Mixed Reactions Across IranFirst‑hand accounts illustrate the emotional split:Ellie, 42, an artist from Tehran, described lighting a cigarette, playing SoundCloud and crying, calling the glimpse of connectivity “a small taste of a much greater freedom.”Maryam, a photographer, called the celebrations “nauseating” and warned that the internet is a basic right, not a regime achievement.Mina, 23, a recently arrested protester, warned that the limited return could be a prelude to expanded surveillance, dubbing it “filternet.”Other voices, from students posting “Hello, fellow prisoners” to diaspora activists monitoring loved‑ones, echoed a blend of relief and dread.Scale of Disruption: Numbers Behind the BlackoutDuration: 88 days of near‑total outage.Start date: 8 January – imposed to crush nationwide anti‑government protests.Partial lifts: Gradual restoration in February, a second blackout after late‑February US/Israeli strikes, and the latest limited connectivity on 30 May 2026.Access cost: VPNs became “rocketing” in price, leaving most citizens in digital isolation.Why the Partial Return Deepens Political and Social StrainThe limited connectivity does not signal a liberalisation of digital rights. Instead, it reveals a strategic use of the internet as a tool of control:Regime supporters applauded the government, framing the partial lift as a victory.Iranians on the ground reported that essential services—mobile internet, WhatsApp—remain largely unusable, hampering work and communication.The national security council’s recent approval of “Internet Pro”—a restricted, sector‑specific service—suggests a move toward monitored, commercial‑grade connectivity rather than open access.Diaspora observers noted heightened anxiety over possible surveillance, with many fearing that the restored channels will be used to track dissent.What the Next Phase of “Internet Pro” Could Mean for IraniansAnalysts warn that the rollout of Internet Pro may cement a two‑tiered digital landscape: a limited, state‑approved network for businesses and a heavily throttled, surveilled channel for the general public. If the regime expands this model, the following outcomes are plausible:Increased reliance on costly VPNs and satellite links for uncensored communication.Further erosion of trust in online platforms, driving more citizens to offline or encrypted alternatives.Potential escalation of international pressure as human‑rights groups highlight the disparity between “partial restoration” and genuine freedom of expression.For now, the flicker of connectivity serves as a stark reminder that “what truly came back online is our misery, not freedom.”

The Lead: Pakistan's Dominant Start to ODI SeriesPakistan secured a comprehensive victory over Australia in the first of three one-day internationals, with debutant spinner Arafat Minhas delivering a stunning five-wicket haul and then contributing with the bat to seal the win. The 21-year-old left-arm spinner's performance, combined with solid batting from Babar Azam and Muhammad Ghazi Ghori, helped Pakistan chase down Australia's target with ease in Rawalpindi.The Event Details: Minhas' Match-Winning PerformanceMinhas, making his ODI debut, put Australia in a spin with his tricky left-arm variation, plundering five wickets for just 32 runs. The young spinner cleaned out the Australia top order, trapping Josh Inglis for 13 and Marnus Labuschagne for a duck. His magical delivery that hit the top of Cameron Green's off-stump, spinning away from the right-hander, was particularly impressive. Minhas capped his brilliant performance by hitting 18 runs, including a towering six to seal the five-wicket victory with 45 balls remaining.The Data Analysis: Key Match StatisticsAustralia struggled to post a respectable total of 200, with Matt Renshaw top-scoring with 61 and Matt Short contributing 55 from the opening partnership. The visitors were hampered by the absence of first-choice bowlers Pat Cummins, Josh Hazlewood, and Mitchell Starc, as well as Adam Zampa who was ruled out late due to neck spasms. Pakistan's chase was built on a solid 134-run partnership between Babar Azam (69) and Muhammad Ghazi Ghori (65), with the home side reaching the target with 45 balls to spare.The Impact Analysis: Shifting Momentum in the SeriesThis victory represents a significant boost for Pakistan's confidence, especially after their recent performances. The performance of young debutants like Minhas and Oliver Peake (Australia's youngest-ever specialist ODI batter at 19) highlights the changing landscape of international cricket. For Australia, the loss exposes vulnerabilities in their batting lineup, particularly against spin bowling, and raises questions about their strategy without their premier fast bowlers. The result puts Pakistan in a strong position to win the three-match series.The Prediction: What Happens Next in the SeriesWith momentum firmly in their favor, Pakistan will be confident heading into the remaining two matches in Lahore. Australia will need to regroup quickly and find solutions to counter Pakistan's spin attack, especially with the same conditions likely to prevail. The series continues with matches on Tuesday and Thursday, and if Pakistan maintains this level of performance, they are well-positioned to secure a series victory. The absence of key Australian players could prove decisive in the remaining games.

The British Solving Championship: An Opportunity for Chess Enthusiasts This week’s puzzle is a chance to enter an annual national competition in which Guardian readers ­traditionally perform well and in ­considerable numbers. White in the diagram, ­playing as usual up the board, is to play and checkmate in two moves, against any black defence. The Event Details The puzzle is the first stage of the annual Winton British Solving Championship, organised by the British Chess Problem Society and sponsored by the investment ­managers ­Winton. This competition is only open to ­British ­residents and entry is free. To take part, simply send White’s first move by post to Nigel Dennis, Boundary House, 230 Greys Road, Henley-on-Thames, Oxon RG9 1QY, or by email to [email protected]. Entry Requirements and Deadline All entries must be postmarked or emailed no later than 31 July 2026. Entrants must provide their name and home address. Juniors under 18 on 31 August 2025 must also give their date of birth. The Competition Structure The best 15-20 players from the postal round, plus the best juniors, will be invited to the final at Harrow school on Saturday 13 February 2027, where the prize money is expected to be at least £1,600. The winner of the final will have the right to represent Great Britain at the 2027 world ­solving championships, an event where GB are often medal contenders. A Note on Chess and Professionals Back in the 1950s most top English players were amateurs, often civil servants or teachers, who competed in tournaments during their vacations. After the 1970s Fischer boom and English successes brought an influx of sponsors, chess professionals could earn a decent living, but the tide turned again during the 1990s. The breakup of the Soviet Union brought harder international competition, while Nigel Short’s world title defeat and the move to screen rather than print marketing drove sponsors away. A New Grandmaster: Harry Grieve Harry Grieve became England’s latest grandmaster on Tuesday when the 25-year-old, who was British champion in 2022 and helped CSC/Kingston finish second in this season’s UK 4NCL League, won first prize in Budapest with a 7/9 total.