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The Failed Dealmaker: Trump's Iran Dilemma For weeks, Donald Trump has tried to find a way to end the war he started with Iran – a deal that would allow him to declare victory and move past the conflict before it causes severe damage to the global economy and sinks Republican chances in the US midterm elections. But the self-proclaimed master dealmaker can't seem to stop sabotaging his own negotiations or to acknowledge that Iran is now in a better position to demand concessions than it was before the war. Strategic Missteps: From Military Action to Negotiation Deadlock Over the Memorial Day holiday, Trump skipped his eldest son's wedding in the Bahamas and canceled plans to spend the weekend at his New Jersey golf club. The last-minute changes heightened speculation that Trump was ready to unveil a deal to end the war. Trump then announced that he would hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David, the presidential compound in Maryland that has been the site of historic diplomatic summits. But that meeting was moved back to the White House, as it became clear that Trump had not been able to close a deal he could announce with great fanfare. The Art of the Deal: Trump's Negotiation Paradox Why has an agreement eluded the business titan who wrote the bestselling 1987 book The Art of the Deal? Trump admires strongman leaders and is loth to project any sign of weakness – and he's afraid of reaching a deal with Iran that makes him look weak. The president is also sensitive to criticism that any agreement he negotiates will be worse for the US than the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, which was brokered by Barack Obama's administration. Leverage Reversed: How Iran Gained the Upper Hand Trump's main problem is that Iran has more leverage than he does – and Iranian leaders are well aware of that advantage. On 28 February, Trump launched a joint US-Israeli war against Iran, killing the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top military and political officials. But Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes against US military bases across the Middle East, and it targeted the energy infrastructure of its Gulf neighbors. Iran also deployed its most effective economic weapon: it closed the strait of Hormuz, through which more than a fifth of the world's oil supply passed each day. Economic Fallout: Global Disruption and Rising Oil Prices The closure of the Strait of Hormuz – along with Iranian attacks on pipelines and gas fields in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates – disrupted the global economy and increased oil prices. In the US, average gas prices have jumped by 50%, up to nearly $4.50 per gallon, since Trump launched the war. Trump and his ally, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, could not topple the Islamic regime that rose to power after Iran's 1979 revolution. Instead, they ended up strengthening it – by allowing Tehran to deploy its geographic control of the strait of Hormuz into a weapon that could instigate a global energy crisis and a worldwide recession. The Emerging Deal: Limited Concessions and Unresolved Issues The emerging deal is focused on solving a problem that didn't exist before Trump started this war: fully reopening the strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping so that oil prices can stabilize. Under a draft agreement being circulated to US allies, Washington would also lift its blockade of Iranian ports and allow Tehran to access about $12bn in frozen assets. Once again, Trump seems to be aiming for a limited deal with Iran that defers the most difficult questions to future talks, which could drag out for months or even years. Iran's Resilience: Military Strength Preserved In some ways, Iran has emerged stronger after a war intended to decimate its military capabilities. A CIA report sent to Trump earlier this month found that Tehran had managed to retain a significant part of its missile capabilities. The analysis said Iran preserved about 70% of its prewar stockpile of missiles and about 75% of its mobile launchers. The report also concluded that Iran was more resilient than US officials had claimed, and it could survive a naval blockade for months. Political Calculations: Midterm Elections and Trump's Dilemma At his cabinet meeting, Trump said he didn't care about the midterm elections and wasn't in a rush to reach a deal. "It's got to be perfect," Trump told reporters, adding: "I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement." Despite his weak position, Trump insists that he will strike a better deal with Iran than the one negotiated by the Obama administration in 2015. That agreement provided Tehran with relief from international sanctions in exchange for limits on its nuclear enrichment. The Unintended Consequences: Strengthening the Adversary Trump could have avoided starting a regime-change war that failed, leaving the world to deal with its consequences. Instead, the master negotiator handed Iran a new economic weapon – and more leverage to extract a favorable deal. The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you're dead. Trump wrote in his famous book. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have.

Rising rates of youth unemployment have created a split at the top of government over how fast it should meet its promise to give young people the full minimum wage.The Manifesto Promise vs. The Reality CheckPeter Kyle, the business secretary, is understood to believe now is not the time to give 18- to 20-year-olds the full minimum wage, which Labour promised to do in its manifesto. Others believe there is little evidence to show that recent pay rises for low-paid workers have had any effect on unemployment.Torsten Bell, a Treasury minister, told the BBC on Friday morning: “If you look at what the Low Pay Commission said in their annual report, they didn’t find evidence that previous increases in the minimum wage for young people had had an effect on their employment.”The £125bn Cost of InactionThe splits have emerged following a landmark government-backed report this week by the former Labour minister Alan Milburn, who found that youth unemployment was costing Britain more than £125bn a year. Milburn’s report revealed the number of young people not working or studying had surpassed a million for the first time in more than a decade, prompting calls to reduce the pace of youth minimum wage increases.Current Youth Rate: £10.85 (up 8.5% this year)Main Minimum Wage: £12.71 (up 4.1% this year)NEETs (Not in Education, Employment, or Training): Over 1 millionThe Hospitality Sector DilemmaMilburn himself told the News Agents podcast this week: “To get the jobs there for them, you’ve got to make sure the employers are willing to take the risk. If you’re in, say, the hospitality sector or the retail sector, margins tend to be very low. These tend to be sectors that were really badly hit by the cost of living, hospitality in particular.”Tony Blair, the former prime minister, warned in an essay this week that policies such as increasing the minimum wage – which he brought in – had created “headwinds, not tailwinds, for businesses.”The October Low Pay Commission VerdictLabour promised in its manifesto to equalise the rates of the minimum wage for 18- to 20-year-olds with those of workers who are 21 and over but did not say how quickly this would be achieved. Bell said on Friday: “We’re committed to our manifesto that we stood on and we will deliver it. But that manifesto did not set out the timeline.”While he and others in the government believe they should slow down the pace of rises in youth rates of the national minimum wage if there is evidence that it has an impact on employment, they do not yet believe that evidence exists.The commission will tell the government in October what it is recommending for the financial year starting on 1 April 2027; some in government privately hope it will give a recommendation significantly lower than this year’s. Earlier this year ministers even changed their guidance to the LPC to reflect the concerns in government over unemployment among young people, telling it to prioritise employment rates instead.

The Wildlife DisturbanceDisturbing scenes of wildlife being disrupted at Hampstead Heath went viral on social media after swans and their 12-day-old cygnets were harassed by hordes of swimmers as temperatures reached a record 35C in London. In one particularly distressing video, a swan was seen poking an unhatched egg with its beak after it fell into the water during the chaos.The protected pond, clearly marked with signs prohibiting swimming to protect wildlife, became a makeshift swimming pool as people obliviously splashed around nesting birds including coots, moorhens, and swans who were trying to guard their eggs and young.The Government ResponseEnvironment ministers Mary Creagh and Emma Hardy have written a formal letter to Gregory Jones KC, the chair of the Hampstead Heath committee at the City of London, expressing their "deep concern" over the incident. They described the sight of an adult swan watching an unhatched egg after it fell into the water as "truly heart-wrenching."The ministers referenced the Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981, which makes it illegal to damage or destroy the nests of wild birds or their eggs, carrying potential penalties of unlimited fines and up to six months in prison for each offense. They specifically asked what steps the City of London would be taking to prevent such incidents from recurring.The Conservation ConcernConservationists responded with dismay after witnessing the scenes, which the local authority, the City of London, called "utterly appalling." Nature charities including the RSPB have criticized the swimmers, emphasizing that this is "a crucial time of year for breeding birds which just want to nest and care for their young in peace."The bird charity urged people to use authorized, lifeguarded swimming spaces rather than nature reserves, highlighting the growing conflict between urban recreational activities and wildlife protection efforts in increasingly crowded city environments.The Future OutlookThe incident has brought renewed attention to the challenges of balancing human recreation with wildlife conservation in urban green spaces. With climate change leading to more extreme heat events, similar conflicts may become more frequent as people seek cooling options in natural areas.The City of London now faces pressure to implement stronger measures to protect the wildlife ponds, potentially including increased patrols, clearer signage, physical barriers, or even designated swimming areas elsewhere on Hampstead Heath to redirect visitors away from sensitive ecological sites.

Leïla Slimani’s Madrid Residency: Finding Light in Goya’s DarknessFrench-Moroccan author Leïla Slimani is currently in Madrid, utilizing the Museo del Prado as a sanctuary for her next literary work. Her deep dive into Francisco Goya’s Black Paintings reveals a writer obsessed with the darkness of the human condition.The Residency and the Black PaintingsSlimani is participating in Writing the Prado, a residency inviting international authors to produce new work inspired by the museum. She is particularly drawn to Goya’s later works, which depict violence, fate, and societal disillusionment. Slimani explains that Goya painted the future, seeing things others did not, and that his bleak outlook resonates with her own preoccupations.Location: Museo del Prado, MadridResidency: Writing the PradoPrimary Inspiration: Goya’s Black Paintings (e.g., Saturn Devouring His Son)The Cultural Impact of Literary PrestigeWhile the article focuses on a residency, Slimani’s career trajectory highlights the immense cultural capital of literary recognition. Her success is not just personal but systemic.Award: First Moroccan woman to win the Prix Goncourt (2016) for Lullaby.Role: Appointed by President Emmanuel Macron as a representative for promoting French language and Francophone culture.Her presence in Madrid as a cultural ambassador demonstrates how high-profile authors bridge the gap between national identity and global literature.The Intersection of Trauma and Artistic ExpressionSlimani’s work is driven by a formative family trauma: the arrest and imprisonment of her father on financial charges. She describes her early impulse to write as driven by anger and a desire for revenge.“Literature is probably the best way to give justice back to people who are not understood or listened to,” she says. Her ability to transform personal pain into universal empathy—allowing readers to feel tenderness for characters they might reject in real life—defines her impact on modern literature.The Future of Cross-Cultural Literary InspirationSlimani is currently working on a new project inspired by the Prado, signaling a continued evolution in her style. Her upcoming work, I’ll Take the Fire, focuses on her family history, suggesting that her future writing will continue to explore the tension between nostalgia and the necessity of moving forward.As she navigates the complexities of being a French-Moroccan writer, Slimani’s journey suggests a future where literature will increasingly serve as a tool for deconstructing rigid cultural identities and embracing the contradictions of the human experience.

The Lead The Museum of Homelessness in London is hosting an exhibition titled 'Criminal: An Untold Story of Homelessness, Resistance and Survival', which explores the criminalization of homeless people and nomadic communities over the last 400 years. The Exhibition's Powerful Message The exhibition features an installation by Romany Gypsy poet, performance artist, and journalist Gemma Lees, which includes a trim caravan with china decorated with Sun newspaper headlines criticizing Gypsy and Traveller encampments. The installation highlights the stark contrast between the cozy interior of the caravan and the harsh realities faced by nomadic communities. The History of Criminalization The exhibition takes visitors on a chronological journey through the history of criminalization, from the Egyptians Act of 1530 to the 2022 Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act. It showcases how laws have been used to marginalize and criminalize homeless people and nomadic communities. The Impact on Homelessness London is currently facing a record high level of homelessness, with over 13,000 people sleeping rough in 2024-2025, a 10% increase from the previous year and a 63% rise over the past decade. The exhibition aims to raise awareness about the issue and provide a platform for discussion. The Future of Homelessness Support The Museum of Homelessness not only serves as a museum but also provides community support and acts as a cold weather shelter in winter. The exhibition 'Criminal' is a timely and powerful reminder of the need for better solutions to address homelessness and the criminalization of vulnerable communities.

The Human Toll: Murad Haji’s Dental DilemmaMurad Haji, a fifty‑year‑old father in Nuseirat, sits in a dentist’s chair amid rubble, enduring a throbbing jaw ache that has persisted for months. A quoted price of 400 shekels ($142) for treatment could otherwise feed his children for four to five days, forcing him to weigh pain relief against basic nutrition.Soaring Dental Prices in Nuseirat Refugee CampLocal dentist Liza Hassouna explains that the Israeli siege has crippled the supply chain for dental materials, inflating costs and turning simple procedures into complex, expensive operations. Patients often delay care until infections worsen, at which point treatment becomes far more painful and costly.Cost Inflation: From Anaesthetic to ImpressionsBox of anaesthetic: 150 shekels ($53) → 500 shekels ($178)"Zeta Plus" dental impression material: 150 shekels ($53) → 5,000‑6,000 shekels ($1,778‑$2,133)Simple tooth extraction: 30‑150 shekels ($11‑$53) (pre‑war) → significantly higher nowSurgical extraction: 100‑300 shekels ($36‑$107) (pre‑war) → significantly higher nowThese price spikes reflect a low‑supply, high‑demand market where local suppliers set prices amid severe shortages.Health System Strain and Patient ChoicesAccording to the World Health Organization, 84 percent of Gaza’s healthcare facilities have been damaged or destroyed since the war began in October 2023, with 1,800 facilities affected. Dental clinics operate with limited staff, scarce sterilisation equipment, and reliance on single‑use instruments, further driving up overhead.Patients like Haji often resort to painkillers or endure chronic pain, while some opt for extraction as a cheaper alternative—though even that has become unaffordable for most families.Future Outlook: Dental Care Under SiegeIf import restrictions on “non‑essential” medical supplies persist, dental treatment costs will continue to outpace household incomes, leading to higher rates of untreated infections and long‑term health complications. International humanitarian aid targeting medical supply corridors could mitigate price inflation, but without a durable cease‑fire, the dental sector—and broader health system—remain vulnerable.

The Tactical Chess Match of Champions League FinalIt would be easy to look at Saturday's Champions League final between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal and see it as a battle of attack versus defence, of beauty against pragmatism, of French elan against English doughtiness, as some sort of tussle for the soul of football. But it would not entirely be true. And where, after all, was the honour at Agincourt? In the vainglorious charges of the dashing French cavalry or the stoic defiance of the British archers arrayed, naked from the waist down, behind their defensive stakes?The final promises to be a fascinating tactical contest between two teams with contrasting approaches but complementary strengths. PSG's devastating wings, featuring players like Desiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, will test Arsenal's defensive resolve, while Arsenal's set-piece prowess could provide their route to goal.PSG's Dominant Possession vs Arsenal's Defensive ResilienceThe statistical comparison between the two teams reveals contrasting strengths. In the Champions League this season, Paris Saint-Germain have averaged 63.4% possession, higher than anybody apart from Barcelona; Arsenal's figure is 52.6%, the 11th-highest of the 36 sides who made the league stage. PSG's pass completion has been 89.3% to Arsenal's 85.7% (third-highest to 14th-highest). PSG have scored 44 goals to Arsenal's 29. But on the flip side, Arsenal have conceded six goals to PSG's 22 and won 13.4 aerial duels per game to PSG's 9.4 (sixth-highest to 29th-highest).These figures suggest that PSG will dominate possession, while Arsenal will likely sit deep and look to counter-attack. However, that was not how either leg of the semi-final between the teams last season played out: PSG shaded possession at the Emirates and Arsenal at the Parc des Princes as they chased the game.The Full-Back Dilemma for ArsenalThe biggest danger to Arsenal is probably a counterattack. Most opponents sit deep against PSG, especially in Ligue 1, but the evidence of PSG's wins over Chelsea, Liverpool and Bayern Munich is that they are lethal in transition. Arsenal cannot let Desiré Doué or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia get a run on whoever they have at full-back. Both are rapid, supreme dribblers and terrifyingly direct.Full-back is an issue for Arsenal, especially on the right. Ben White is out with a knee injury and Jurriën Timber is doubtful with a groin problem sustained against Everton in mid-March. Martín Zubimendi started at right-back against Crystal Palace but it would seem more likely that Cristhian Mosquera operates there if Timber has not recovered, if only because he is a more natural defender.Riccardo Calafiori has seemed Mikel Arteta's preferred option on the left. His role will be twofold: to stop Doué and to invert into midfield, particularly out of possession, to try to prevent the counter. It may be that Myles Lewis-Skelly is used ahead of Zubimendi alongside Rice, in part because he is familiar with playing at left-back and so could help double up on Doué, or would be comfortable covering for Calafiori were he caught upfield.Midfield Strategies to Counter PSG's WingsAlthough PSG have scored more goals from non-penalty set plays than Arsenal in the Champions League this season (eight to five), it probably is reasonable to assume that corners and free-kicks offer Arsenal's best chance of a goal. But to counter PSG's midfield dominance, Arsenal may need to embrace a more aggressive approach.The first leg of PSG's semi-final against Bayern was remarkably open, almost basketball-like in its end-to-end attacking. But that should not necessarily be regarded as characteristic. PSG can at times seem a little sloppy, too reliant on their attacking prowess, but their performance away to Bayern, when Fabián Ruiz returned, showed how effective PSG's midfield can be. And that means either that Arsenal have to sit deep and accept PSG will dominate the ball or that they need to ensure their midfield has a destructive edge.Lessons from Previous EncountersChelsea's success against PSG in the Club World Cup final perhaps offers, if not a template, then at least inspiration for how Arsenal can hurt the defending European Champions. Enzo Maresca's approach was asymmetric, using Cole Palmer almost as an inside-right, haunting the channel between Nuno Mendes and the left-sided centre-back while getting in behind the left-back wherever possible.On the left, Marc Cucurella regularly tucked into midfield, just as Calafiori surely will, with Pedro Neto tracking back almost as a wing-back to check Achraf Hakimi's thrusts in support of Doué. If Arteta sees things similarly, that is probably more of a job for Leandro Trossard than Eberechi Eze, who may end up on the bench if Arteta, as he surely must, prefers 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1.Keys to Victory in Saturday's FinalThere is an irony in this. The stereotype of Arsenal this season has been of a defensive side reliant on set plays, but that is not entirely accurate; rather they are a side whose defensive qualities have been highlighted because of deficiencies of creativity and attacking quality. But to beat PSG, it may be that they have to embrace the narrative and be the side critics say they are.Arsenal's right-back situation remains critical. White links better with Bukayo Saka than any of Arsenal's other full-backs, and Timber is as tactically astute as any player in the squad. Unless Timber is fit, the right-back issue is likely to diminish them from a defensive and an attacking point of view.The final will come down to which team can impose their tactical approach most effectively. Can Arsenal's defense contain PSG's devastating wings, or will PSG's midfield dominance prove too much for Arsenal to handle? The answer will determine who lifts the Champions League trophy on Saturday.

The Economic Dilemma Facing Jamaica's Energy Future Jamaica stands at a critical juncture in its energy policy, with preliminary tests off the south coast suggesting the presence of crude oil in the Walton-Morant basin. This potential discovery comes at a time when the island is grappling with the dual pressures of post-pandemic recovery and the escalating costs of climate adaptation. Testing the Waters in the Walton-Morant Basin United Oil & Gas, a UK-based company, holds the exclusive exploration license for the 22,400sq km block. Recent seabed sampling has identified hydrocarbons, a development that energy minister Daryl Vaz has described as "very positive." However, experts caution that even with confirmation, commercial production is unlikely until the mid-2030s. Balancing the Books: Fuel Imports vs. Climate Costs The financial calculus behind this potential shift is stark. Jamaica currently imports all its fuel, a cost that fluctuates between $1.5bn and $2bn annually. While the island generated $4.3bn from tourism in 2024, the economic strain is compounded by the $12bn bill for damage caused by Hurricane Melissa. This financial vulnerability is driving the government's cautious optimism toward oil exploration. The Regional Race for Fossil Fuels Jamaica is not alone in this pursuit. The Caribbean and Latin America are witnessing a resurgence in fossil fuel interest, following Brazil's deep-water discoveries in the 2000s. The region is now joined by Suriname and Guyana as emerging producers, creating a competitive landscape where nations are weighing immediate economic relief against long-term environmental stability. A Green Pledge at Odds with Survival? The environmental implications are significant. Theresa Rodriguez-Moodie of the Jamaica Environment Trust argues that pursuing oil exploration contradicts the island's moral standing to demand climate assistance. "If we want to have any kind of moral high ground... we cannot be considering expanding the fossil fuel industry," she stated. As Jamaica navigates this complex path, it faces the challenge of reconciling its Paris Agreement commitments with the immediate economic survival of its population.

The Lead: Iran's World Cup Visa DilemmaIran's football federation has demanded multiple-entry US visas for its World Cup squad, which will play matches across the United States. The team has relocated its base camp from the US to Mexico due to ongoing visa complications and heightened geopolitical tensions between the two nations.The Event Details: Visa Requirements and Base Camp RelocationFFIRI president Mehdi Taj stated that the US should issue multiple-entry visas for all players and support staff, as they would need to leave and re-enter the US multiple times during the tournament. The Iranian squad has not yet been issued US visas, with several members attending visa appointments in Turkiye where they have been training.The team has also applied for Canadian visas as a contingency plan in case they proceed to the knockout stages, which are allocated to venues in Canada. This preparation comes amid the ongoing regional conflict between the US and Iran that began in February.FIFA confirmed on Monday that Iran's World Cup training base camp had been relocated from the US to Mexico upon the team's request. Iran had originally selected a sports complex in Tucson, Arizona, but later sought a change. The team is now allocated Centro Xoloitzcuintle in Tijuana, Mexico, which is directly across the US-Mexico border from San Diego.The Impact Analysis: Geopolitics Meets International SportsThe visa complications highlight the intersection of sports and international relations. The US and Iran have been engaged in a regional conflict since February, with recent attacks occurring just days before the World Cup is set to begin. Despite a ceasefire being in place, the US carried out strikes on Iranian military sites, prompting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to launch an attack on what they described as an "American airbase" in the region.The relocation of Iran's base camp to Mexico demonstrates how geopolitical tensions can impact international sporting events. The proximity of Tijuana to the US border is expected to help with visa issues when the team needs to enter the country for their matches.The Prediction: Navigating World Cup Amid Regional TensionsAs the World Cup approaches, Iran's ability to participate fully will depend on the resolution of these visa issues. The team's preparation has been complicated by the need to apply for multiple visas and relocate their base camp at short notice. The situation underscores the challenges of hosting international sporting events in regions with geopolitical tensions.The World Cup, co-hosted by the US, Canada, and Mexico, runs from June 11 through July 19. Iran will open their campaign on June 15 against New Zealand in Los Angeles, face Belgium six days later, and conclude their Group G games against Egypt in Seattle on June 21.