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Amid the escalating United States‑Israel confrontation with Iran, parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has emerged as an unexpected voice on financial strategy, posting a series of warnings on X that market‑moving headlines are often engineered to trigger profit‑taking. Ghalibaf’s core advice is simple yet provocative: if a headline inflates prices, bet against it; if it drags prices down, go long. He describes pre‑market news bursts as a “reverse indicator” designed to manipulate investors. His posts are laced with sarcasm, referencing alleged manipulation of oil futures and even joking about turning rhetoric into “actual fuel at the pump.” Behind the humor, analysts say, lies a calculated effort to exploit the overlap between digital propaganda and real‑world conflict. The backdrop to Ghalibaf’s messaging is Iran’s use of asymmetric warfare, notably the brief shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz—a chokepoint through which roughly 20% of global oil and LNG shipments pass. The closure sent crude prices soaring and heightened economic pressure worldwide, underscoring Tehran’s ability to influence U.S. markets by targeting critical supply routes. On March 22, Ghalibaf warned financial institutions that support U.S. military financing in the Middle East, declaring that U.S. Treasury bonds are “soaked in Iranians’ blood” and that their portfolios were under surveillance. Economist Jo Michell of the University of the West of England observes that falling equity markets, rising energy costs, and higher interest rates could eventually force President Donald Trump to seek a diplomatic exit from the conflict. Michell notes that Trump often delivers his most aggressive statements over weekends when markets are closed, only to retreat before the opening bell—a pattern traders have dubbed TACO (“Trump always chickens out”). Indeed, when Trump’s original 48‑hour deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz loomed, he extended it by five days and later pledged a further 10‑day pause on attacks against Iranian energy infrastructure, actions that analysts interpret as deliberate market signaling. Middle‑East specialist Zeidon Alkinani explains that the conflict’s volatility creates new leverage points beyond direct price manipulation. Even light‑hearted rhetoric from officials like Ghalibaf can exacerbate market instability, as investors scramble for any hint of the war’s trajectory. In this environment, uncertainty itself becomes a powerful market driver. Alkinani stresses that the significance of the Strait of Hormuz now extends beyond physical oil flow disruptions; it reshapes investor expectations and amplifies the impact of digital messaging, especially given Trump’s high‑visibility online presence. Overall, Ghalibaf’s social‑media campaign illustrates how Tehran is blending military pressure with information warfare, turning market sentiment into an additional front of the broader geopolitical struggle.

Beirut, Lebanon – On 24 March, Foreign Minister Youssef Raggi announced that Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon, Mohammad Reza Sheibani, was declared persona non grata and ordered to depart by 29 March. Two days after the deadline, the envoy remained in Beirut, refusing to leave. The episode unfolds against a broader conflict that has already claimed more than 1,000 lives and displaced over 1.2 million people within a single month of Israeli military action in Lebanon. It also highlights a deepening schism in Lebanese politics between supporters of the pro‑Iranian Shia militia Hezbollah and those demanding its disarmament. Imad Salamey, a political scientist at the Lebanese American University, told Al Jazeera that the ambassador’s defiance is a symptom of a larger contest over legitimacy and authority. IRGC’s Strategic Role Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) helped forge Hezbollah in 1982 as a response to Israel’s invasion. Over the decades, Tehran’s billions of dollars in funding elevated Hezbollah to Lebanon’s most powerful political and military force. Hezbollah’s popularity peaked in 2000 after driving Israeli forces from south Lebanon, but subsequent engagements—including the 2006 war, the 2008 Beirut street battles, the Syrian civil war, and the 2019 domestic protests—have eroded its broader support. When Hezbollah entered open conflict with Israel on 8 October 2023, it enjoyed limited backing beyond the Shia community. By the November 2024 cease‑fire, the group was at a low point, with Israel having killed more than 4,000 Lebanese, including leader Hassan Nasrallah and much of Hezbollah’s command. International pressure then mounted for Hezbollah’s disarmament, prompting Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and President Joseph Aoun to prioritize the issue. According to several analysts, the IRGC exploited the cease‑fire lull to dispatch officials to Lebanon, restructuring Hezbollah’s command and possibly ordering its re‑entry into the war on 2 March—just days after Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was assassinated. Prime Minister Salam has publicly claimed the IRGC is “managing the military operation in Lebanon” and even accused Tehran of launching an attack on Cyprus. Ambassador Refuses to Exit In response to the perceived IRGC influence, Raggi’s declaration stripped Sheibani of diplomatic immunity. Dania Arayssi, senior analyst at the New Lines Institute, described the move as a “landmark decision” given Iran’s entrenched role in Lebanese politics. Iran’s Foreign Ministry, however, maintains that Sheibani will not depart, and Hezbollah has openly pledged to protect him, warning that any government attempt to disarm the militia will be met with “punishment.” Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri—longtime Hezbollah ally—initially backed the government’s ban on Hezbollah’s military activity after the March re‑entry, illustrating the fluidity of alliances within Lebanon’s power‑sharing system. State Authority Tested Hezbollah’s renewed campaign, which includes dozens of cross‑border attacks and direct engagements with Israeli forces on Lebanese soil, is reshaping the political calculus. The militia’s revived confidence challenges the Lebanese government’s ability to enforce disarmament. While the ambassador remains protected inside the Iranian diplomatic compound—effectively beyond the reach of Lebanese law—critics argue that Tehran’s refusal to honor the expulsion order undermines the state’s authority, already weakened by months of war. Salamey summed up the dilemma: “The state is asserting its authority on paper, but internal divisions and competing claims of legitimacy constrain its practical power, testing the limits of Lebanon’s fragile power‑sharing arrangement.”

The Israeli parliament's approval of a legislation seeking the death penalty for Palestinians convicted of deadly attacks has stoked fears among Palestinians and drawn condemnation from the international community. The law, which does not apply to Jewish citizens of Israel, has been met with jubilation among its backers in the country's far right.France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom have all raised concerns over the overtly racist nature of the bill, whose wording appears to exclusively target Palestinians. Rights groups have also criticized the bill, with Amnesty International saying it would make the death penalty 'another discriminatory tool in Israel's system of apartheidThe law targets Palestinians by limiting its application to military courts that only try Palestinians under occupation. Under the new legislation, anyone found guilty of killing an Israeli citizen within the occupied West Bank will, by default, be sentenced to death by the military courts. In contrast, Israeli settlers who kill Palestinians in the occupied West Bank are tried in civilian courts in Israel and have not been prosecuted since the start of this decade.Critics argue that the law is discriminatory by design and that lawmakers have no legal authority to impose it on Palestinians living in the occupied West Bank, who are not Israeli citizens. The Association of Civil Rights in Israel has taken the matter to Israel's highest court, arguing that the measure undermines Israel's commitments to democratic principles.Human rights groups have long argued that the legal systems applying to Palestinians and Israeli settlers in the West Bank are fundamentally unequal, enabling discriminatory detention practices and selective enforcement of laws. Approximately 9,500 Palestinians are currently detained in Israeli prisons under harsh conditions, with about half held under administrative detention or labeled 'unlawful combatants,' denied trial and unable to defend themselves.

The Israeli Knesset has approved a law allowing the death penalty for Palestinians, a move likely to exacerbate tensions in the region and draw international criticism. The decision comes amid ongoing debates about human rights and capital punishment.The new law has sparked concerns among human rights groups and Palestinian communities, who argue that it undermines the principles of justice and equality. The international community is also expected to weigh in on the issue, with many countries likely to express their disapproval of the death penalty.

Israel's parliament, the Knesset, has passed a controversial bill that will instruct military courts to impose the death penalty on Palestinians convicted of killing Israelis in acts of 'terror'. The law, which enters into effect within 30 days, was approved by 62 lawmakers, with 48 voting against it and one abstention.The new law targets only West Bank Palestinians, who are not Israeli citizens, and instructs military courts to impose the draconian sentence for lethal attacks on Israelis. Amichai Cohen, a senior fellow at the Israel Democracy Institute's Center for Democratic Values and Institutions, noted that 'Jews will not be indicted under this law'.The Palestinian Authority called the bill 'a war crime against the Palestinian people', saying that it breached the Fourth Geneva Convention. Rights group B'Tselem pointed out that the conviction rate for Palestinians tried in military courts is about 96 percent, with many convictions based on 'confessions' obtained through pressure and torture during interrogations.The law has been condemned by international critics, including the foreign ministers of France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom, and Amnesty International, which said it would make the death penalty 'another discriminatory tool in Israel's system of apartheid'. The Association of Civil Rights in Israel has filed a petition with Israel's Supreme Court to challenge the law, describing it as 'discriminatory by design' and 'enacted without legal authority'.

The UK government is faced with a critical decision on whether to adopt a new law that would require online pornography providers to verify the consent of participants in their content. This move is aimed at curbing the rampant abuse and exploitation prevalent in the industry. The need for such a law has become increasingly evident following several high-profile cases, including a New York Times investigation into Pornhub, which found that the platform hosted videos featuring underaged and sex-trafficked subjects. Similarly, the trial of Dominique Pelicot exposed the horrific abuse of a woman who was raped while unconscious, with the perpetrator sharing videos of the assault online. The proposed legislation, championed by Conservative peer Gabby Bertin, would compel digital pornography businesses to verify the identities of all those featured and confirm that their consent has been obtained. This measure has garnered support from senior Labour figures and influential peers, including Beeban Kidron and Helena Kennedy. The UK's online safety act, introduced last year, brought in age verification for sites hosting user-generated content and gave the regulator, Ofcom, powers to fine or block businesses. However, concerns about consent in relation to professionally produced pornography remain. The Labour MP Diana Johnson was the first to propose consent verification and a new right for performers to withdraw it. The government now faces a choice: accept the bill as amended and make the UK a pioneer in online pornography regulation, or strip the new clause out. The outcome is far from guaranteed, but the pressure from Bertin and her allies has already led ministers to agree to outlaw strangulation imagery and scenes purporting to show incest. Campaigners argue that the regulation is crucial in tackling online misogyny and the soaring rate of child sexual abuse in the UK. The National Crime Agency has blamed online image-sharing and chatrooms for the increase in child sexual abuse, with livestreams featuring children available for as little as £20. The proposed law would also address the issue of deepfake pornographic images, which were outlawed last year thanks to the courage of survivors and a group of women in parliament. As the bill returns to the Commons, the government should throw its weight behind a new, stronger model of consent, ensuring that those who agree to be filmed having sex have the right to withdraw permission for others to watch.

Australia's government has taken swift action to alleviate the financial burden on its citizens, announcing a plan to cut petrol and diesel taxes by half from April 1 to June 30. This move comes as the international benchmark for crude oil surged above $116 a barrel, its highest level in nearly two weeks, amid the escalating conflict in the Middle East.Prime Minister Anthony Albanese made the announcement on Monday, stating that the fuel excise would be reduced by half in recognition of the 'financial stress' caused by rising energy prices. The cut is expected to reduce the cost of petrol by 26.3 Australian cents ($.18) per litre, saving motorists nearly $19 ($13) on a 65-litre (17-gallon) tank of fuel.Albanese emphasized that the government is acting to be 'over-prepared' as the impact of the war on the other side of the world plays out in Australia. The government will also suspend its charge on heavy vehicles for three months. While Australia is a major exporter of coal and natural gas, the country sources about 80 percent of its refined fuel needs from overseas.However, some critics argue that the tax cut may not have a significant impact, as petrol prices have risen by about 33 cents ($0.21) per litre in the past two weeks alone. The National Roads and Motorists' Association in Australia noted that a similar tax cut after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 was barely felt by motorists.Despite these concerns, the Australian government remains committed to supporting its citizens during this challenging time. Minister for Energy Chris Bowen assured parliament that Australia's energy supply remains secure, with all expected fuel deliveries arriving as scheduled, and that the country has 39 days of petrol in emergency stockpiles, as well as about 30 days each of diesel and jet fuel reserves.

Digital violence is on the rise in Africa, driven by the rapid growth of internet access and high youth populations. Experts warn that this trend has severe consequences, including mental health problems, withdrawal from public and economic life, physical attacks, and femicide.In Africa, internet access is growing exponentially, with more than 70% of the population under 30. This has created a toxic online environment with dire real-life consequences. A study across five countries in sub-Saharan Africa found that 28% of women had experienced online violence. As internet access expands, this number is expected to rise.Primary targets include women in politics, human rights activists, journalists, and women with a public profile. 46% of female parliamentarians across 50 African countries have been the target of sexist attacks online, and 42% have received threats of death, rape, beating, or abduction, often through social media.Legislation and digital literacy are crucial in combating digital violence. Only 38% of people on the continent are internet users, and among women, the figure falls to 31%. Experts stress that platforms need to be accountable for the harm that is taking place on them and put user safety over profit.Examples of digital violence include doxing, deepfake abuse, sexual harassment, intimidation, and sextortion. These actions can lead to stalking, physical violence, and damage to reputation. Globally, nearly two in every five women will experience tech-facilitated violence, while 85% of women who are online have witnessed or encountered online abuse.Fewer than 40% of countries have laws protecting women from cyber harassment or cyber stalking, leaving 44% of the world’s women and girls – 1.8 billion – without access to legal protection. In Africa, about 17 countries have introduced legislation looking at cybercrime, but most do not acknowledge the gendered nature of abuse.

Israel's parliament has passed a law that makes the death penalty the default punishment for Palestinians in the Israeli-occupied West Bank found guilty of intentionally carrying out deadly attacks deemed acts of terrorism by a military court.The legislation, initiated by the far-right Otzma Yehudit party led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, has drawn sharp criticism from opponents who warned it would mark a significant escalation in Israel's penal policy and potentially breach international law.According to the bill, those sentenced to death will be held in a separate facility with no visits except for from authorised personnel, with legal consultations conducted only by video link. Executions will be carried out within 90 days of sentencing.Israel has rarely used the death penalty, applying it only in exceptional cases. The Nazi war criminal Adolf Eichmann was the last person to be executed, in 1962.The measure will allow courts to impose the death penalty without a request from prosecutors and without requiring unanimity, instead permitting a simple majority decision. Military courts in the occupied West Bank will also be empowered to hand down death sentences.For Palestinians under occupation, the bill closes off avenues for appeal or clemency, while prisoners tried inside Israel could have their sentences commuted to life imprisonment.The legislation has been condemned by UN experts, the EU's diplomatic service, Amnesty International, and several countries, including Britain, France, Germany, and Italy, who expressed 'deep concern' over the legislation.The Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, condemned the legislation as a breach of international law and a doomed bid meant to intimidate Palestinians.