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US President Donald Trump has expressed optimism about a potential nuclear deal with Iran, stating that the two countries are close to an agreement. He claimed that Iran has agreed to halt its nuclear weapons program and return its stockpile of enriched uranium.However, Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs presents a different picture. Spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei stated that Iran must be able to continue enrichment based on its needs, contradicting Trump's claims. No Iranian official has confirmed agreeing to surrender the country's enriched uranium stockpile.Pakistan is playing a crucial role in mediating between the US and Iran. Pakistani army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir held high-level meetings in Tehran with Iranian leaders, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and President Masoud Pezeshkian. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is also engaged in parallel diplomacy with Gulf leaders in Saudi Arabia and Qatar.The US and Iran have different interpretations of the negotiations. Trump's comments suggest a maximalist reading of the negotiating process, while Iran's position remains firm on its sovereign right to enrichment. The April 22 ceasefire deadline adds urgency to the talks.Analysts suggest that any agreement may hinge on deliberate ambiguity, allowing both sides to claim a 'win' on the nuclear issue. The shifting goalposts and evolving US objectives have also contributed to the complexity of the negotiations.

Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry confirmed on Thursday that the United States and Iran are still negotiating a second round of talks—held through Islamabad—to end their nearly seven‑week conflict, even though no date has been fixed for the meeting.The ceasefire, brokered by Pakistan on April 8, is set to expire on April 22, and officials warn it is under increasing strain as a U.S. naval blockade continues to turn away Iranian‑linked vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is conducting a regional tour that began in Jeddah, moved to Doha, and will continue to Antalya, where he will attend the Antalya Diplomacy Forum on April 17 alongside Saudi, Turkish and possibly Egyptian counterparts.Simultaneously, Chief of Defence Forces Asim Munir arrived in Tehran with a delegation that includes Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi. He was welcomed by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, who praised Pakistan’s “gracious hosting of dialogue.”Foreign Ministry spokesperson Tahir Andrabi emphasized that the details of the upcoming talks remain confidential and that Pakistan’s role is to keep the process alive, stating, “We have the details and information of the talks entrusted to us by the negotiating parties.”Analyst Muhammad Faisal described Islamabad’s approach as a dual‑track strategy: Sharif is building a broader Gulf coalition, while Munir is engaged in hard negotiations aimed at narrowing gaps between Washington and Tehran and extending the ceasefire.Iran has insisted that any agreement must include Lebanon, citing the ongoing Israeli strikes that have killed over 2,000 people and displaced 1.2 million. The United States, however, maintains that a Lebanon settlement must remain separate from the US‑Iran talks.U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio recently mediated a trilateral meeting in Washington with Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, but no ceasefire or follow‑up was secured.Both sides appear cautiously optimistic. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said further talks are “very likely” to take place in Islamabad, while Iran’s spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei noted multiple messages exchanged with Washington since April 12.President Donald Trump indicated that talks could resume within two days and expressed a greater willingness to travel to Pakistan for negotiations.Strategic analysts warn that the Strait of Hormuz blockage—which restricts roughly one‑fifth of global oil shipments—remains a pivotal issue. Opening the waterway is seen as essential to easing upward pressure on oil prices and restoring confidence in global markets.Should the second round of talks fail, Pakistan’s role may shift from mediator to crisis manager, focusing again on brokering a ceasefire if hostilities resume.

Thousands of Iranians who had fled Tehran during the recent war have begun returning to their homes or workplaces, despite the fragile truce and looming anxiety over the approaching ceasefire deadline.Mehdi, a 36-year-old IT professional, is one of them. He had fled to the north with relatives in the early days of the war, but has now returned to find his home damaged by blasts, with shattered glass and blown-out bedroom window frames.The city is riddled with ruined buildings, destroyed infrastructure, and an economy in turmoil. Mehdi describes the experience of hearing missiles hit nearby: 'There's a whistling sound I hope you never hear … a missile so close that you don't know if it's going to hit your house or your neighbour's.'Many residents, especially those reliant on the internet, have lost their livelihoods due to the 45-day internet blackout imposed by Iranian authorities. This has left most of Iran's population cut off from the world, with some paying large sums to access the internet through Starlink and VPNs.Noor, an activist based in Tehran, says 10 million Iranians depend on internet access to run small businesses or make an income. The economic pressure has become unbearable, with food items and medications for patients with serious or chronic illnesses becoming difficult to find or afford.The economic crisis has worsened, with factories struggling to operate due to a lack of raw materials, construction workers losing jobs, and workplaces laying off staff or reducing their workforce.

Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi announced that the Strait of Hormuz is now fully open to commercial vessels, a statement that raised hopes for de‑escalation in the Middle‑East conflict and sent global oil prices tumbling. President Donald Trump took to social media to celebrate the news, proclaiming it a "great and brilliant day for the world" and asserting that Iran had pledged never to shut the strategic waterway again. Trump also claimed that Tehran had agreed to suspend its nuclear programme indefinitely and would forfeit any frozen U.S. funds, suggesting that a deal‑making session could occur over the upcoming weekend. In contrast, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) offered only qualified support for Araghchi’s declaration, indicating that commercial traffic would be permitted only along a prescribed route and under IRGC naval permission. The United States, however, signalled that its naval blockade of Iranian ports will remain in force until all transactions are completed, warning that few vessels are likely to risk passage under the current uncertainty. Oil markets reacted swiftly: Brent crude slipped below $90 per barrel, easing inflationary pressures that had surged after the strait’s earlier closure. Simultaneously, a ten‑day truce in Lebanon entered its second day, temporarily halting Israeli airstrikes against Hezbollah‑aligned forces and offering a brief respite to civilians after weeks of intense fighting. Despite the truce, an Israeli drone strike in southern Lebanon killed a civilian, and Defence Minister Israel Katz reiterated that the Israeli Defence Forces were not withdrawing and could resume operations. In Paris, representatives from roughly 40 nations gathered at a conference co‑chaired by France and the United Kingdom to discuss a coordinated plan for safeguarding the strait, which historically carries about one‑fifth of the world’s oil and gas shipments. French President Emmanuel Macron welcomed Araghchi’s statement but urged a "full, unconditional reopening" by all parties, while UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer called for any reopening plan to be "lasting and workable". The International Maritime Organization’s secretary‑general, Arsenio Domínguez, said the agency is reviewing the announcement to ensure it complies with the principle of free navigation for all merchant vessels. Pakistan’s army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir, acting as a key mediator, arrived in Tehran to advance negotiations for a more durable peace, underscoring Pakistan’s growing diplomatic role in the region. Overall, while the Hormuz opening has eased immediate market pressures, the broader geopolitical landscape remains volatile, with the U.S.–Iran cease‑fire set to expire soon and regional actors still poised for further confrontation.

Oil and gas prices experienced a significant decline of almost 10% on Friday following Iran's announcement that the Strait of Hormuz is open to commercial shipping. This development could pave the way for tankers carrying millions of barrels of oil and gas to access the global market.Iran's foreign minister stated that vessels are free to transit the Strait of Hormuz during the 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon. Brent crude, the international benchmark, fell by 9% to $90 a barrel, while the benchmark European gas contract dropped by about 8.5% to €38.80 (£33.80) per megawatt hour.The US naval blockade on Iran's use of the strait remains in full force, according to Donald Trump, until a deal is reached with Tehran. Trump expressed optimism that the process will move quickly, as most points have already been negotiated.The crisis in the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted supplies of Middle Eastern crude and gas, as well as refined fuels from Gulf refineries, in what the International Energy Agency has described as the biggest energy supply crisis in history. Before the crisis, over 130 ships a day travelled through the strait, but this has reduced to a trickle under threats from Iran's Revolutionary Guards.There are currently around 800 tankers stuck in the Gulf, with about 300 being oil and gas tankers. It remains uncertain whether tankers will be required to pay a fee of about $2m (£1.5m) for safe passage through the strait.Analysts, such as Giovanni Staunovo from UBS, view Iran's comments as a sign of de-escalation, but emphasize the need to see a substantial increase in the number of tankers crossing the strait.

Pakistan's Field Marshal Asim Munir has taken on an unexpected role as a peacemaker in the conflict between the US and Iran. His efforts have been widely praised, with US President Donald Trump describing them as 'fantastic'. Munir's involvement in the peace talks began after the US vice-president, JD Vance, left Islamabad following failed negotiations between the US and Iran. Despite this, Munir continued to engage with both sides, using his influence to push for a deal. Munir's phone calls played a crucial role in the frantic international efforts last week, resulting in a last-minute ceasefire agreement after Trump's threat that Iran's civilisation would 'die' if they did not agree to a deal. Trump is said to have directly leaned on Munir to use his influence and knowledge of the Iranians to help reach the off-ramp. Munir's ability to communicate with both the US and Iran has been key to his success. He has built strong relationships with leaders in Washington, Riyadh, and Tehran, and has been able to facilitate talks between the two nations. Munir's efforts have not only helped to reduce tensions between the US and Iran but have also elevated Pakistan's position as a credible diplomatic interlocutor. His role in the peace talks has been seen as a significant achievement for Pakistan, which has long sought to play a more prominent role in regional diplomacy. Analysts have noted that Munir's success is not solely due to his individual efforts, but also the result of a collective effort by the Pakistani government and military. However, his role in the peace talks has been widely acknowledged, and he is seen as a key player in maintaining peace in the Gulf and the Middle East. Munir's diplomatic activism has been driven by his strong relationships with leaders and countries, as well as his understanding of the importance of personality-driven diplomacy. His efforts have helped to build a global story for Pakistan, and have cemented his position as a major player in regional diplomacy.

The United States is pushing for de-escalation in the region, with President Donald Trump announcing that Israeli and Lebanese leaders will speak for the first time in 34 years. This development has raised cautious hopes for a diplomatic solution to the fighting that has continued for more than six weeks.The conflict has resulted in over 2,000 people killed and more than 1 million displaced across Lebanon. Israel's military operations in Lebanon and its invasion of the country's south have intensified, with Hezbollah entering the war by launching rockets, missiles, and drones towards a missile defense site near Haifa in northern Israel.Iran's speaker of parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, told his Lebanese counterpart, Nabih Berri, in a phone conversation that a ceasefire in Lebanon is vital. Ghalibaf led the Iranian delegation at the first round of US-Iran talks in Pakistan last week, which ended without a deal.The prospective talks between Israel and Lebanon follow a rare direct engagement between the two countries' US ambassadors in Washington on Tuesday – also their first such direct contact in decades. However, with both sides maintaining starkly different objectives, and the Lebanon front closely tied to broader negotiations involving Iran, it remains unclear whether the talks can produce tangible results.Analysts say that even if a phone call were to take place between Israel's Netanyahu and his Lebanese counterpart, it would be “mostly symbolic rather than substantive”. Lebanon wants a ceasefire as a priority to enter into negotiations whose aim would be to liberate lands currently occupied by Israel.A key demand from Iran in its dialogue with the US is that Israel end its offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Hezbollah is Tehran's most powerful regional ally and a central part of the “axis of resistance”, a network of armed groups across the Middle East aligned with Iran against Israel.

Iran's prominent parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, has stressed that a ceasefire in Lebanon is just as crucial as one in Iran, in a phone conversation with his Lebanese counterpart, Nabih Berri. This development comes as diplomatic efforts to end the war between Iran and the United States gain traction.Ghalibaf, who led the Iranian delegation at the recent US-Iran meeting in Pakistan, emphasized that Tehran is committed to achieving a permanent ceasefire in all conflict zones, including Lebanon. He assured Berri that Iran has not forgotten its Lebanese allies and considers them part of its own people.The conversation also touched on the latest Israeli attacks on Lebanon, which have resulted in the displacement of 1.2 million Lebanese people. Berri condemned Israel's actions, stating that they are committing crimes and seeking to displace Lebanese citizens. He appreciated Iran's efforts to secure a ceasefire in Lebanon and noted that any communication with Israel would not be in Lebanon's interests.Lebanon was drawn into the US-Israel war on Iran after Hezbollah fired rockets at Israel on March 2, in retaliation for Israel's killing of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and near-daily violations of a ceasefire agreement in Lebanon. Since then, Israeli forces have killed over 2,000 people in Lebanon.In a related development, US President Donald Trump announced that the leaders of Israel and Lebanon will speak to each other for the first time in 34 years. This historic conversation is seen as a significant step towards de-escalation in the region.

President Donald Trump used his Truth Social platform on Wednesday to declare that the leaders of Israel and Lebanon will hold a conversation on Thursday, a breakthrough that would end a 34‑year hiatus in direct leader‑level dialogue. The announcement arrived a day after Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors conducted their first direct diplomatic talks in Washington, D.C. — a move aimed at easing the ongoing hostilities that have devastated Lebanon. Trump did not specify which officials would be involved, and both governments have yet to comment on the forthcoming discussion. Lebanon was drawn into the U.S.–Israel war on Iran on March 2 after Hezbollah, aligned with Tehran, fired rockets at Israel. Hezbollah claims the attacks were retaliation for Israel’s killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28 and for repeated violations of a November 2024 cease‑fire. Since the escalation, Israeli forces have killed more than 2,000 Lebanese civilians and displaced roughly 1.2 million people. The Israeli military has also launched a ground invasion in southern Lebanon, seeking to create a so‑called “buffer zone.” Earlier on Wednesday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced an expansion of the invasion eastward, stating that Israel is pursuing negotiations with the Lebanese government while simultaneously conducting a military campaign to disarm Hezbollah and achieve a “sustainable peace.” The Lebanese government, which is not a party to the conflict, has called for an immediate ceasefire and the withdrawal of Israeli troops. Al Jazeera reporter Zeina Khodr, reporting from Beirut, noted that the Lebanese authorities have not yet responded to Trump’s claim and described the president’s remarks as “controversial.” She suggested the United States is attempting to separate the Lebanon front from the broader Iran‑Israel confrontation, using the Washington talks as a “photo‑opportunity” to weaken Hezbollah’s influence. Despite diplomatic overtures, Israeli attacks on Lebanese civilians continue. On Wednesday, three consecutive strikes in the village of Mayfadoun killed four Lebanese paramedics and wounded six others. According to Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health, Israeli forces have killed at least 91 Lebanese medical workers since March 2 and have targeted several medical facilities. Additional strikes have hit the vicinity of one of the last operational hospitals in southern Lebanon, in the town of Tebnine, prompting concerns that Israel aims to render the area uninhabitable. Fighting also persists around the strategic hilltop town of Bint Jbeil, where Israeli troops claim to have encircled the town while Hezbollah fighters continue to resist. Analysts warn that a full Israeli occupation of Lebanon would be required to completely disarm Hezbollah—a scenario that would be both costly and politically fraught. As Khodr concluded, “Israel can continue to kill and destroy, but that will not change the fact that Hezbollah is not going to give up its arms without a Lebanese government partnership.” The upcoming leader‑level talks will be closely watched for any indication of a ceasefire or a shift in the regional power balance.