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The LeadA friend of mine was recently left in tears after filling up the car she relies on to drive to work. Thanks to the US-Israeli attacks on Iran, prices at the pumps have soared. She wasn't sure how her family was going to make it to the next paycheck.It is a personal story and a distressing one, but the big picture is truly obscene. Fossil fuel companies are raking in monstrous, unearned war profits taken from the pockets of people like you, me, my friend, and any of us who fills up a vehicle or pays an energy bill.The War-Profits Bonanza$30m an hour: that's the pure, unearned profits banked by the world's top 100 oil and gas companies in the first month of the conflict in Iran, purely due to the spike in the oil price. Now the first numbers are in, and that $30m may have been a major underestimate.Shell's profit for the first three months of 2026 more than doubled to $6.9bn, as did BP's, to $3.2bn. TotalEnergies profits also surged by more than 50%, up to $5.8bn. Even in the Gulf itself, where the flow of oil through the strait of Hormuz has been heavily restricted, some companies have still flourished. Aramco, the state oil company of Saudi Arabia, saw its profits soar by 26% to $33.6bn in the first quarter.The Financial Impact on ConsumersThose four companies alone, benefiting not just from the oil price hike but also bumper oil-trading profits, made $23m an hour for the whole of January, February and March. And the Iran conflict only started on 28 February.To get some idea of the scale of this, imagine I gave you $6,200. What would you do? Pay off a loan? Book a fancy holiday? A second later, I give you another $6,200; then again, for hours, weeks and months. That is the rate of profit of just those four companies.There is plenty more to come for the industry. Oil and gas supplies will take months to return to prewar levels, and reserves are getting dangerously low. Even if the oil price remains at today's level of about $100 a barrel, those 100 companies will make $234bn by the end of the year. Remember, the companies, and petrostates such as Russia, have done no extra work for this, just ridden a soaring oil price. Also remember, you are paying for this. Where I live in the UK, household energy bills are about to jump by £209 ($280) a year for the average home.The Industry's Climate ObstructionThe profits are extreme, but not new: big oil and gas has been wildly profitable for decades. It has made an average $1tn a year in pure profit for about 50 years. The fossil fuel sector also benefits from explicit subsidies that totalled $1.3tn in 2022, according to the International Monetary Fund.These riches have funded the lobbying and campaigns that block climate action and have done so for years, long after the science became crystal clear. As an example of the consequences, the UK's official climate advisers said on Tuesday that all care homes and hospitals will need air conditioning within the coming 10 years, to stop the heat killing people.The Green Transition AccelerationBut here's that silver lining I promised: these peak profits contain the seeds of their own downfall. Sky-high fossil fuel prices are pushing people, companies and nations to supercharge their rush towards green power for the simple reason that it is now cheaper and more reliable. Solar power does not need to transit through the strait of Hormuz, as Bill McKibben has observed.The numbers on the surge in renewable energy deployment, already exponential, are not yet in, but they will almost certainly be huge. Green funds are already attracting billions of dollars in new investments and one consultancy estimates that an oil price of $100 a barrel will drive $4tn of extra green investment by 2030.Big oil remains a formidable political force but, on the ground, people are already voting with their feet. Sales of new electric cars in the UK leapt by 59% in April, for example. The pain and anger of today's energy crisis may yet become a critical turning point in confronting the climate crisis.

South Korea’s stock market rallied sharply after Samsung Electronics and its labor union struck a tentative agreement that prevented a massive 18‑day strike, sending the KOSPI up more than 8% and boosting major tech and auto stocks.The Tentative Pay Agreement Between Samsung and Its UnionSamsung Electronics and the workers’ union announced a provisional deal on Wednesday night, ending a months‑long standoff over profit‑sharing. The agreement, pending union approval, would allocate 10.5 percent of the firm’s operating profit to its 48,000 employees, sidestepping a planned walkout that threatened global memory‑chip supplies.Market Surge Numbers: KOSPI, Samsung, SK Hynix, AutomakersKOSPI rose 8 percent on the day, extending an 80‑percent year‑to‑date gain.Samsung Electronics shares jumped 7.5 percent.SK Hynix surged 11 percent, reflecting investor confidence in the memory‑chip sector.Hyundai Motor and Kia each climbed about 13 percent, showing spill‑over into non‑tech equities.The chip division’s first‑quarter operating profit hit nearly 54 trillion won (≈$35bn), a near‑50‑fold increase year‑over‑year.Why the Deal Revitalizes South Korea’s Tech‑Driven EconomyThe settlement removes a major labor risk for the world’s largest memory‑chip maker, which commands over one‑third of the global DRAM market and more than a quarter of NAND flash capacity. With AI‑driven demand for chips accelerating, the avoidance of a strike safeguards supply chains and reinforces investor sentiment toward South Korean tech firms, while also buoying related sectors such as automotive manufacturing.Outlook: Labor Relations and AI Chip Demand in 2026‑27Analysts expect continued pressure on Samsung to share a larger slice of its soaring profits, potentially prompting further negotiations. Meanwhile, the AI boom is likely to keep memory‑chip demand high, supporting strong earnings for both Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Market watchers will monitor whether the tentative agreement holds, as any relapse could reignite volatility in the KOSPI and global chip supply.

Rachel Reeves' Cost of Living Support Package Rachel Reeves will cut VAT to 5% on summer attractions such as theme parks and softplay centers during the school holidays, as she aims to ease the impact of the war in Iran on cash-strapped households. Key Measures Announced VAT cut from 20% to 5% during the summer on tickets for attractions and children’s meals Postponement of fuel duty increases due to take effect in September and December Suspension of import tariffs on some foods 10p increase in tax-free mileage rate for workers claiming back the costs of driving The Data Analysis The costs of these measures will be partly met by changes to the “foreign branch profits” regime, which determines how multinational oil firms pay tax on their UK operations. Reeves suggested the shift would raise several hundred million pounds. The Impact Analysis The chancellor said the summer attractions that would benefit from the temporary VAT reduction included zoos, museums, theme parks and softplay venues, as well as children’s theatre tickets and meals. This move is expected to support families and help them cope with the rising cost of living. The Prediction Reeves declined to say how she expected to support families in the upcoming winter, when utility bills are expected to rise sharply – but restated her intention to ensure any such scheme would be, “targeted and temporary”.

The Lead: Streeting's Tax Equality ProposalFormer health secretary Wes Streeting has set out plans for a "wealth tax that works" by equalizing tax rates on income and capital gains in his pitch for the Labour leadership. Streeting argues the current system unfairly penalizes work while rewarding asset ownership, contributing to widening wealth and opportunity gaps in the UK.The Policy Details: Equalizing Tax RatesStreeting's proposal would mean capital gains tax rates mirror the three bands of income tax: 20%, 40%, and 45%. A person's capital gains tax band would be calculated by combining their income and profits from assets. He used the example of a woman in Lancashire who paid a higher rate of tax on her salary than her landlord paid for the growing value of her rented house."The system is penalising work. It's not fair and it's bad for our economy. We need a wealth tax that works. A pound made from simply owning assets should not be taxed less than a pound made from a hard day's work," Streeting told the BBC's Political Thinking podcast.The Financial Impact: Potential Revenue and Economic EffectsStreeting estimates his plan could raise up to £12bn a year. A 2024 report by the Centre for the Analysis of Taxation estimated that changing capital gains tax could raise £14bn. The proposal includes measures to protect genuine entrepreneurs with lower capital gains tax rates for those taking risks building companies.Streeting argues there is "a good pro-business, pro-growth, pro-productivity argument" in his proposals because the current system encourages investment in less productive businesses. He also called for closing loopholes that allow people to disguise income from work as capital gains, such as setting up personal service companies or taking pay in shares.The Political Context: Labour Leadership and Party UnityStreeting, who quit the Cabinet last week and called on Keir Starmer to stand down, warned in his resignation speech that Labour must change course or risk handing Reform UK power. He has the support of 81 MPs needed to launch a leadership challenge but decided not to proceed after learning that Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham had found a seat to stand in."It was clear that if we had been plunged straight into a leadership contest by me or for that matter, anyone else, I think it would have been seen as a deliberate attempt to get ahead of Andy Burnham's potential return," Streeting explained. "And if there's one thing that we need to do coming out of a change in leadership, it is to bring the tribes of the Labour party together."The Future Outlook: Potential Policy Shift and Party DirectionStreeting's tax proposal represents a significant potential shift in Labour's economic policy direction if he becomes party leader. By positioning himself as both "pro-worker" and "pro-entrepreneurialism," he attempts to bridge traditional divides within the party. His emphasis on fairness in taxation comes amid growing public concern about wealth inequality and the perceived advantages of capital over labor in the current tax system.The proposal will likely face scrutiny from both economic conservatives who may argue it could discourage investment and progressive elements who may push for more aggressive wealth taxation. Streeting's ability to unite different factions of the Labour party around his economic vision will be crucial in determining the party's direction and electoral prospects.

The Lead: Worker Exploitation in Aramco's Supply ChainA report by human rights group FairSquare has revealed that migrant workers in Saudi Aramco's supply chain face serious safety risks and exploitation, with difficulties in claiming compensation after injuries. The findings highlight a stark contrast between Aramco's status as one of the world's most profitable companies and the treatment of workers in its extensive contractor network.The Worker's Story: Shrawan Shah Rauniyar's OrdealShrawan Shah Rauniyar, a Nepalese migrant worker, lies in a hospital bed in Saudi Arabia with his legs encased in plaster casts after being crushed under a metal beam that fell off a forklift. Despite working on a project for Saudi Aramco—one of the most profitable companies in the world—Rauniyar was not employed directly by the state-owned energy company but by a small labor supply company.When staff from Saipem (the Italian firm contracted to Aramco) visited him in hospital, they brought flowers and chocolates but delivered a blunt message: "Don't ask us about compensation. We don't know about it. You're a contract worker for us. Talk to your employer." Rauniyar alleges that men from his labor supply company later threatened him in hospital, telling him to "Go home. Otherwise, we'll kill you. We'll kick you out on the street."Less than three weeks after the accident, Rauniyar claims staff from the labor supply company "forcefully" took him to the airport and put him on a plane back to Nepal without receiving the compensation he was entitled to under his contract and Saudi law.The Report's Findings: Systemic Labor Rights AbusesFairSquare's report documents 23 cases of alleged labor rights abuses among workers employed by Aramco's contractors and subcontractors in Saudi Arabia. The report finds that migrant workers in Aramco's supply chain "are exposed to serious safety and health risks, and face significant challenges in claiming compensation in the event of injury or death."Workers interviewed by FairSquare alleged they endured grave labor rights violations, including:Exposure to extreme heatWork shifts of up to 19 hoursBeing put up in what the rights group calls "slum housing"Being paid just 1,000 rials (£200) per month for 10-hour shiftsDeductions from wages for taking days offOvercrowded living conditions with "rotten" foodThe Corporate Giant: Aramco's Scale and InfluenceThe findings are particularly striking given that Aramco is one of the wealthiest, most profitable and influential corporations in the world. As Saudi Arabia's national oil company, it provides about two-thirds of the government's revenue. It is the fourth largest company in the world by revenue, with a market value of about $1.7tn (£1.3tn) – roughly the same as the next five energy companies combined.Aramco employs more than 76,000 people, but this figure hides a far larger number of workers employed through a long and complex chain of thousands of contractors and subcontractors. These workers, who are overwhelmingly migrant laborers from South Asia, do the often difficult and dangerous work that drives Aramco's profits, from constructing its facilities to transporting its petrol.The Global Brand: Aramco's World Cup ConnectionAramco is not just the economic engine of Saudi Arabia but also plays a leading role in the kingdom's efforts to rebrand itself on the global stage, notably through sports. As one of Fifa's main sponsors, its name will be plastered all over the World Cup. However, severe labor violations were uncovered at Aramco Stadium, the first new venue to be developed for the 2034 football World Cup.Earlier this year, it was reported that the family of a Pakistani worker who fell to his death at the stadium was still waiting for compensation almost a year after his death. This case, along with others documented in FairSquare's report, raises questions about Aramco's commitment to worker safety and rights despite its high-profile global partnerships.The Legal Framework: Corporate and Government ResponsibilitiesSuch an extensive labour supply chain does not exempt Aramco from its responsibilities to its entire workforce. The UN's Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights require companies to prevent human rights abuses "throughout their operations". Aramco appears to accept this, stating online: "Aramco is committed to supporting and empowering our workforce and the communities where we operate. The safety and wellbeing of our employees, their dependents, and our company's contractors is paramount to our strategy and operations."As a majority state-owned company, the UN's guiding principles put additional responsibilities on the Saudi government "to ensure that relevant policies, legislation and regulations regarding respect for human rights are implemented". However, the findings suggest that these principles are not being effectively enforced in practice.The Aftermath: Life After InjuryNow back in Nepal, Rauniyar is confined to a small room he rents. Doctors have told him the bones in his right leg have not joined properly and he may need further surgery, but he says he does not have the money for it. "My legs hurt when I walk. I can't lift weights. If my legs hadn't been broken, I could have worked somewhere, but not in this condition," he says.Even before the accident, Rauniyar was struggling in Saudi Arabia. He claims he was housed in overcrowded rooms "like pigs", and his fellow workers fell sick because of the "rotten" food. Now he relies on his wife's meagre teaching salary of 7000 rupees (£35) a month and some fees from tuition classes he runs for local children. "We are poor. I don't have a home. I don't have anything. My life has collapsed," he says.The Compensation Crisis: Broken PromisesUnder Saudi law, when a worker is injured or dies in the course of their job, they or their family should receive compensation from a government insurance scheme or directly from their employer. Yet compensation was only paid out in one of the six cases of injury or death documented in FairSquare's report.FairSquare's findings are consistent with reports from Human Rights Watch and the Business and Human Rights Resource Centre, which last year found evidence of rights abuses in Aramco's labour supply chain. These repeated findings suggest a systemic issue that goes beyond isolated incidents.The Industry Impact: Reputational Risks and AccountabilityThe revelations about labor conditions in Aramco's supply chain come at a time when multinational corporations face increasing scrutiny over their human rights records. As Aramco continues to expand its global partnerships and sponsorships, including high-profile sporting events like the World Cup, these findings pose significant reputational risks.The case also highlights the challenges of enforcing labor rights in complex supply chains, where responsibility is often diffused across multiple layers of contractors and subcontractors. This creates a situation where workers fall through the cracks, with no clear entity held accountable for their welfare.The Future Outlook: Calls for Reform and AccountabilityFairSquare's director, Nick McGeehan, stated: "Aramco obviously has a responsibility to protect these workers, but it also has tremendous influence to set standards that flow down its supply chain to hundreds of thousands of workers across Saudi Arabia. The neglect that we see in its supply chain indicates that it takes migrant worker protection no more seriously than the Saudi state."As global attention focuses on Saudi Arabia's hosting of the World Cup and its broader Vision 2030 economic diversification plan, there are growing calls for Aramco to demonstrate genuine commitment to worker rights. The company faces the challenge of reconciling its public commitments to safety and wellbeing with the realities faced by workers in its supply chain.

The Rise of Secondhand Shopping Once the preserve of jumble sales and charity shops, “preloved” fashion and homewares are now leading style and shopping trends in the UK. After the rapid growth of online retail, Britain is now witnessing “the normalisation of secondhand”, according to Adam Jay, the chief executive of Vinted’s main marketplace arm. Vinted's Expansion Beyond Fashion The UK is at the forefront of an international revolution, jostling for position with France to be Vinted’s biggest market, and is also one of its fastest growing markets, as the online marketplace moves beyond just selling clothes and into everything from smartphones and books to rugs. The Data Analysis Vinted was valued at €8bn (£7bn) in April when it sold €880m in shares. Sales through the site hit €10.8bn last year. Vinted generated €1.1bn in revenue, with net profits of €62m in 2025. Sales in Britain rose 47% last year. The Impact Analysis Vinted, Shein and Temu are all growing for “fundamentally the same reason”, which is “because it’s cheap and easy. Our main competitor is new [products].” Vinted shoppers save an average 72% on the price of buying an equivalent new item. The Prediction “I see a deep and sustained change in how people buy and how people think about things that they own,” says Jay. “We want people to be thinking about how they can give every item as long as possible life. Don’t allow things to sit in the back of the cupboard for years and years untouched. Get them to someone who’s going to love them, wear them, use them.”

The Lead Marks & Spencer's CEO, Stuart Machin, has publicly denounced the UK government's proposal for voluntary price caps on essential food items, labeling it as 'completely preposterous'. This stance comes as M&S; reports a 23.8% slump in underlying profits to £671m for the year ending March 28. M&S's Financial Performance M&S's underlying profits slumped by 23.8% to £671m in the year to 28 March as sales rose only 1.9% to £14.2bn despite widespread inflation of more than 3%. Profits were hit by £131.3m of costs related to a paralysing cyber-attack last year. The Government's Proposal The UK government had proposed that supermarkets consider voluntary price caps on essential food items such as bread, milk, and butter. However, Machin argues that this approach is not the solution, stating, 'I don’t think government should be trying to run business. They should try to understand business better.' The Impact of Taxes and Regulations Machin highlighted that M&S is facing 'a triple whammy of headwinds with increased taxation, a greater regulatory burden and ongoing global conflict'. He pointed out that the company will incur additional costs from a new packaging levy and national insurance changes, totaling around £50m to £100m. The Future Outlook Despite the challenges, M&S plans to invest in technology and open 18 new food stores. Machin emphasized that the next three years are critical for M&S as it invests for growth. The company also reported a strong performance in food sales, growing 7% and reaching a 4.1% market share.

The Lead: Samsung's Union Dispute Samsung Electronics is facing its worst-ever strike, with nearly 48,000 workers threatening to walk off production lines on Thursday for 18 days over a dispute about bonus payouts. What Does Samsung's Union Want? Samsung's union has asked the company to abolish a cap that limits bonuses to 50% of annual salaries and to allocate 15% of annual operating profit to a bonus pool that would be distributed to workers. It also wants Samsung to make the changes binding beyond this year. Samsung made a very different offer. Transcripts of negotiations between the union and Samsung showed that in March, Samsung cited estimates that some staff at a smaller rival, SK Hynix, could receive bonuses equivalent to 607% of their annual salary and proposed that its memory chip workers would gain a bonus exceeding levels that SK Hynix workers receive. Samsung also proposed bonuses of 50% to 100% for staff in its logic chip businesses. These bonuses, however, would be a one-off payment for this year. In principle, it does not want to abolish the cap on bonuses at 50% of annual salaries. Why Are Workers Fighting for More Pay Now? Samsung and SK Hynix have seen profits balloon to record highs thanks to a global shortage of memory chips amid the boom in artificial intelligence. The two companies account for the majority of global memory production. Last year, SK Hynix abolished its cap on bonus pay for 10 years, media reports said. This resulted in bonuses more than three times higher than those offered to Samsung workers, prompting many to jump ship for SK Hynix and sparking a surge in union membership, according to Samsung's union. How Might the Strike Play Out? The strike promises to be far larger and more damaging than the last walkout to affect Samsung in 2024, when about 6,000 workers took part. Samsung's union says that nearly 48,000 employees, the majority of them chip workers, have signed up to participate. That represents 38% of Samsung Electronics' domestic work force. A court on Monday partially granted Samsung's request for an injunction, ruling that essential staffing levels at some production facilities must be maintained during any industrial action. Samsung has notified the union that this will require 7,087 workers to report for work even if the strike goes ahead. Why Is the Strike Causing Such Concern? The strike threatens to dent the supply of memory chips at a time of severe shortages. Samsung is the world's largest maker of DRAM chips, commanding 36% of the market as of the end of last year, according to research firm TrendForce. Memory chips, key components in laptops and smartphones, have become essential building blocks for AI datacenters. Jeff Kim, a KB Securities analyst, has estimated that an 18-day strike could disrupt global supplies of DRAM memory by 3% to 4% and NAND memory by 2% to 3%, which would probably fuel further price increases.

Trump Donor Paul Singer Targets Thames Water in Multi‑billion RescuePaul Singer, founder and co‑CEO of Elliott Investment Management, is positioned to earn millions if the consortium led by his firm secures control of Thames Water amid the UK government’s rescue negotiations.Elliott Management’s London & Valley Water Consortium Moves to Acquire Thames WaterThe consortium, comprising Elliott, Silverpoint Capital, BlackRock and M&G, is negotiating a multibillion‑pound restructuring that would transfer ownership of the water utility serving 16 million customers.Financial Stakes: £17.6bn Debt, £3bn Loan and Potential Multi‑million GainsThames Water carries a legacy debt of £17.6 bn accrued since privatisation.Creditors have already extended a £3 bn loan at up to 9.75 % interest, to be repaid via customer bills.Singer’s past returns average 14 % annually, suggesting a sizeable profit from the restructuring.Political and Public‑Interest Fallout Over Privatizing Britain’s Water SupplyCritics, including Labour MPs and campaign groups, warn that vulture‑capitalist control could weaken environmental standards and raise prices.Government officials, notably Chancellor Rachel Reeves, fear a bond‑market crisis if the deal collapses.Opposition figures such as Andy Burnham and Clive Lewis argue for a return to public ownership.What the Future Holds for Thames Water and UK Water PolicyIf the consortium finalises the deal, Elliott will join a growing roster of private‑equity owners of England’s water firms, potentially prompting regulatory reforms. Conversely, a failed negotiation could trigger special administration, echoing the 2022‑23 financial turbulence in UK utilities.