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The Lead: AI Film Breakthrough at TribecaNext week, a groundbreaking 75-minute drama about the brutal crackdown in Iran on anti-government protesters will premiere at the Tribeca film festival in New York. Titled Dreams of Violets, this film represents a historic milestone as the first fully AI-generated live action feature accepted at a major film festival. Directed by Iranian-British filmmaker Ash Koosha, the project was completed in less than six months at a cost of under $2,000—dramatically less than traditional production methods would require.The Technical Breakthrough: AI as a Creative ToolEvery image and character in Dreams of Violets is AI-generated, with Koosha creating characters by describing their physical appearances using people he has known as references. The director explains that using AI was necessary for security reasons: "Because of the security issue, it would not be safe for the characters to even remotely resemble someone" in Iran. While the script wasn't AI-generated, Koosha used the chatbot Claude to improve language and structure his thoughts. The director emphasizes that AI allows filmmakers to "multiply your imagination until something hits the right spot," as they can change direction at any point without costly reshoots.The Financial Impact: Democratizing Film ProductionThe economic implications of AI filmmaking are profound. Koosha states that Dreams of Violets would be "100% impossible" to bring to screen traditionally, noting that "If you wanted to do it in CGI, it would cost millions." This dramatic cost reduction—under $2,000 versus potentially millions—removes significant barriers for independent filmmakers. The director also highlights how AI enables rapid production, allowing films to be made "at the speed of news itself," which would be impossible with traditional methods requiring years of development and financing.The Industry Transformation: Shifting Power in FilmmakingKoosha sees AI as a democratizing force in the film industry, potentially leveling the playing field between independent and studio filmmakers. "An indie film-maker mind is often a lot more fresh and creative than an industrial film-maker mind," he argues. "In my view most stories that are told with $100m should be told through the lens of an indie film-maker." This technological shift could create a "new space" separate from traditional filmmaking, allowing emerging talents to create compelling content without needing to prove themselves to established gatekeepers.The Future Outlook: AI's Expanding Role in CinemaThe film industry is beginning to grapple with AI's potential. While some directors like Steven Soderbergh and Gareth Edwards embrace AI as a "genius" tool, others like Guillermo del Toro reject it outright. Koosha himself takes a measured approach: "I'm not selling AI. I'm just trying to use a tool to tell a story." Looking ahead, he plans to create characters using actual people's faces, with actors potentially taking a share in the financial gain through licensing. As AI technology continues to evolve, we may see more filmmakers using it to create "impossible movies"—ambitious projects that would require budgets of "$300m" and "doesn't happen on this planet" through traditional means.

Germany and France Propose 'Halfway' EU Membership for Western BalkansGerman Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron have unveiled a strategic pivot in the European Union's enlargement policy. At a summit in the Montenegrin coastal town of Tivat, the leaders proposed a new 'gradual integration' model for six Western Balkan nations. This approach aims to fast-track political and economic alignment with the EU without immediately granting full membership rights, signaling a renewed effort to stabilize the region.The Tivat Summit: A New Path to IntegrationThe summit marked a significant departure from the traditional, rigid accession process. Merz emphasized that the EU's 13-year stagnation in welcoming new members was a failure that needed to be overcome. The core of the new proposal is a 'strengthened gradual integration process,' where countries that meet specific criteria could join certain bloc formats, such as attending European Council meetings, without possessing full veto rights.Key Participants: Leaders from the EU and the six Western Balkan hopefuls (Albania, Bosnia, Kosovo, North Macedonia, Montenegro, and Serbia).Strategic Goal: To offer a tangible path to membership to counteract the influence of Russia and instability in the region.Proposal Origin: Co-authored by France and Germany to address the backlog of candidates.Breaking the 13-Year StagnationThe proposal comes after a decade of political deadlock. While Ukraine and Moldova have recently joined the queue following Russia's 2022 invasion, the Balkan candidates have faced years of bureaucratic hurdles. The new 'halfway' model is designed to restore credibility to the enlargement process.Timeline: European Commissioner Marta Kos has set an ambitious target for Montenegro, suggesting technical negotiations could conclude by the end of 2026, leading to membership by the end of 2028.Current Status: Montenegro and Albania are emerging as frontrunners, while Serbia and Bosnia face significant domestic and reform-related delays.Support Gap: Euroscepticism remains a hurdle, particularly in Serbia, where public support for EU membership is below 50 percent.Geopolitical Imperatives and Domestic ChallengesThe push for integration is driven by urgent security concerns. Emmanuel Macron highlighted that the Western Balkans are critical for Europe's energy independence, security, and migration routes. By offering a faster, albeit partial, integration path, the EU aims to prevent these nations from drifting toward Russian influence.However, the plan faces internal challenges. The 'halfway' model—where new members might not have veto rights—has been discussed as a trade-off for faster accession. This compromise is necessary to overcome the unanimity requirement of the EU, which currently stalls progress.Montenegro as the Frontrunner and the Future of EnlargementMontenegro is positioned to be the first beneficiary of this new strategy. With Commissioner Kos lauding its progress on technical negotiations, it is likely to set the precedent for how the 'gradual integration' model functions. If successful, this approach could become the standard for other candidates, particularly Serbia, which has maintained close ties with Russia and lags in necessary reforms.The shift represents a pragmatic evolution in EU foreign policy, trading immediate full sovereignty for accelerated alignment and long-term strategic security.

The £24m Gamble at EpsomTwenty months after embarking on a remarkable £24m spending spree on yearlings at Tattersalls' Book 1 sale in Newmarket, football "super-agent" Kia Joorabchian stands at the threshold of potentially the biggest payoff of his career. As the 247th running of the Epsom Derby approaches, Joorabchian will watch two of his high-profile acquisitions, Poker and Ancient Egypt, compete in the premier Classic, with the outcome potentially reshaping his position in the elite world of international horse racing.The Bloodstock Investment BreakdownThe contrasting stories of Joorabchian's two Derby hopefuls illustrate the uncertainties and potential rewards of high-end bloodstock investment. Poker, the most expensive yearling colt ever sold at public auction in Europe, cost 4.3m gns (£4.5m) but has yet to win even a novice event in three attempts, starting as a 200-1 outsider to become the first maiden to win the Derby since 1887.In stark contrast, Ancient Egypt was purchased for 1.1m gns (£1.2m) – approximately a quarter of Poker's price tag – and has already established himself as a serious contender with three wins from four starts. The son of Frankel, out of a full-sister to a Group One-winning mare, represents Joorabchian's more calculated investment, with the Derby being the primary target when the colt was acquired.The Financial Calculus of Racing RoyaltyWhile the total purse for this year's Derby stands at £2m, with approximately half going to the winner's connections, the financial considerations extend far beyond prize money. For Joorabchian, the £24m investment represents an ambitious entry into the exclusive world of international Flat racing, an arena traditionally dominated by individuals with sovereign wealth from Dubai, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia.The true value lies in establishing a virtuous loop between racing success and breeding potential. A Derby-winning son of Frankel would represent an elite stallion prospect, potentially worth many times the original investment through future breeding rights. This strategic approach mirrors the model employed by John Magnier's Coolmore Stud operation, which has dominated European racing for decades.Challenging Establishment in Horse RacingJoorabchian's venture represents a significant shift in the ownership landscape of elite horse racing. For decades, the sport's premier events have been dominated by homebred horses from established operations like Godolphin, Coolmore, and the Aga Khan, as evidenced by last year's Derby where the first nine finishers included multiple homebred champions.Charlie Johnston, Ancient Egypt's trainer, acknowledges the unique position of his high-profile charge: "You try and tell yourself that from the moment they walk through the door, they all get treated the same regardless of price tag or pedigree, but let's say that, as George Orwell would say, all animals are equal but some are more equal than others." The pressure to deliver on such a significant investment is immense, yet Johnston remains focused on the task at hand.The Road to Racing LegacyShould Ancient Egypt triumph at Epsom, it would mark not only a remarkable return on Joorabchian's investment but also a historic achievement for Johnston. The Yorkshire-based trainer would become the first to saddle a Derby winner since 1869, continuing a family legacy built by his record-breaking father, Mark."There would have been time [for another run before the Derby] but I just felt he'd done enough to book his ticket for Epsom," Johnston explains of his decision to bypass additional prep races. With Ancient Egypt's proven pedigree, including connections to six-time Group One-winner Midday, and a developing race record that could complement his breeding potential, the stage is set for what could be a transformative day for both horse and owner in the world of elite horse racing.

The Lead: Mexico's World Cup 2026 QuestMexicans call their inability to reach the World Cup quarterfinals the Curse of El Quinto Partido (The Fifth Game). El Tri – short for the Tricolour – lost in the last 16 in seven consecutive World Cups, from 1994-2018. Now, coach Javier "Vasco" Aguirre is optimistic about surpassing the barrier, partly because Mexico will be playing at home, the only country to play host to three World Cups.The Home Advantage: Breaking the Quarterfinal CurseMexico's only quarterfinals appearances were when they hosted in 1970 and 1986. Aguirre was in the midfield as El Tri took Germany to penalties in a controversial match in Monterrey at Mexico '86. Colombian referee Jesus Palacio Diaz, who had earlier in the tournament red-carded Iraq's Basil Gorgis in a case of mistaken identity, this time ejected Germany's Thomas Berthold in the 65th minute.Mexico could not capitalise, playing 35 minutes with a numerical advantage before Aguirre was sent off. Aguirre has told his players home advantage "is priceless – England was champion playing at home, and never again".Squad Analysis: Key Players and Tactical ApproachMexico rely on a quick passing game, playing through midfielders Alvaro Fidalgo and Alexis Vega, with 17-year-old Gilberto Mora and Orbelin Pineda backups. Edson "Machin" Alvarez and Luis Romo occupy holding roles, with Luis Chavez and Erik Lira in reserve. Mexico has speed on the wings with Roberto "Piojo" Alvarado and Cesar "Chino" Huerta.Johan Vasquez and Cesar Montes are the only two natural centre backs in the squad. But Aguirre has been changing the look to get playmaking out of the back by dropping Alvarez or Romo into central defence. Jorge Sanchez is the probable starter at right back, challenged by Club America's Israel Reyes, who has been negotiating for a move to AS Roma. At left back, veteran Jesus Gallardo has the edge on 22-year-old Mateo Chavez.Fulham striker Raul Jimenez, 35, leads the attack. Jimenez sustained a fractured skull in a collision with Arsenal's David Luiz in 2020, and has not replicated his previous scoring proficiency. But Jimenez presents a physical presence and has proven his durability in the Premier League. Jimenez ranks third on the Mexico all-time scoring list with 44 goals. Santi Gimenez and Armando "Hormiga" Gonzalez provide other options.In goal, Raul Rangel has replaced Luis Malagon (Achilles rupture). Guillermo Ochoa, 40, will be participating in his sixth World Cup, surpassing Antonio "Cinco Copas" Carbajal's record of five.Group Stage Analysis: Path to ProgressionMexico will be the favourites in Group A, but could be challenged by Czech Republic and South Korea, with South Africa hoping to surprise. The tournament kicks off with Mexico meeting South Africa, a rematch of the 2010 opener, and history will be on El Tri's side – they have a 5W-0L-2D record in seven games during two World Cups at Estadio Azteca.Climate, elevation and strong home support should boost El Tri in Mexico City and Guadalajara and, should they advance, the next games will likely be in Los Angeles or Houston – Mexican strongholds.Match Schedule: Key Fixtures to Watch⚽ June 11: Mexico vs South Africa (Mexico City, Mexico), 3pm ET (19:00 GMT)⚽ June 18: Mexico vs South Korea (Guadalajara, Mexico), 9pm ET (01:00 GMT)⚽ June 24: Czech Republic vs Mexico (Mexico City, Mexico), 9pm ET (01:00 GMT)World Cup Prediction: Breaking Through to QuarterfinalsAl Jazeera predicts Mexico will reach the quarterfinals. If Mexico advance to the knockout rounds, they can count on strong support not only at home, but almost anywhere in the US. The expanded tournament means the fifth game would only be in the round of 16, and they will need to get to a sixth for the quarterfinals.Complete Squad: Mexico's World Cup 2026 RosterGoalkeepers: Raul Rangel (Guadalajara), Guillermo Ochoa (AEL Limassol), Carlos Acevedo (Santos Laguna)Defenders: Israel Reyes (America), Jorge Sanchez (PAOK), Cesar Montes (Lokomotiv Moscow), Johan Vasquez (Genoa), Jesus Gallardo (Toluca), Mateo Chavez (Alkmaar)Midfielders: Edson Alvarez (West Ham), Luis Romo (Guadalajara), Obed Vargas (Atletico Madrid), Brian Gutierrez (Guadalajara), Orbelin Pineda (AEK Athens), Erik Lira (Cruz Azul), Gilberto Mora (Tijuana), Cesar Huerta (Anderlecht), Alvaro Fidalgo (Real Betis), Luis Chavez (Dynamo Moscow).Forwards: Roberto Alvarado (Guadalajara), Alexis Vega (Toluca), Julian Quinones (Al-Qadisiyah), Santiago Gimenez (AC Milan), Guillermo Martínez (Pumas), Armando Gonzalez (Guadalajara), Raul Jimenez (Fulham).

The Launch of The Guardian's Breakdown NewsletterThe Guardian has introduced its new Breakdown newsletter, representing a strategic move in the rapidly evolving digital media landscape. This new initiative aims to provide readers with curated, in-depth analysis and breaking news in a digestible format that caters to modern reading habits.Revolutionizing News DeliveryThe Breakdown newsletter leverages The Guardian's renowned journalistic expertise while adapting to contemporary digital consumption patterns. By focusing on concise yet comprehensive reporting, the publication aims to bridge the gap between traditional long-form journalism and the demand for quick, accessible information in today's fast-paced media environment.Industry Impact and Reader EngagementThis development signals a broader trend in the media industry toward specialized newsletter formats that foster deeper reader relationships. The Guardian's entry into this space with the Breakdown newsletter demonstrates how established media organizations are innovating to maintain relevance and audience engagement in an increasingly competitive digital ecosystem.The Future of Newsletters in MediaAs digital platforms continue to reshape how audiences consume information, newsletters have emerged as a powerful tool for media organizations to deliver direct, unfiltered content to their readers. The Guardian's Breakdown newsletter is positioned to become a key player in this growing segment, potentially setting new standards for quality digital journalism in newsletter format.

A Historic Leap for Inclusive Space ExplorationThe UK Space Agency has signed a memorandum of understanding with US startup Vast to support the flight of John McFall. This agreement paves the way for McFall, a member of the European Space Agency (Esa) astronaut reserve, to become the first individual with a physical disability to live in orbit aboard the commercial Haven-1 station.The Haven-1 Mission and Commercial InfrastructureStation Specifications: Haven-1 is a commercial station smaller than a single-decker bus but capable of housing up to four astronauts.Features: The station includes a maplewood veneer interior, a domed observation window, and a laboratory for microgravity research.Transport: McFall will travel to the station via SpaceX's Crew Dragon capsule and Falcon 9 rocket.Timeline: The mission is proposed for 2027, with a duration of approximately two weeks.Research Scope: Prosthetics and Human PhysiologyThe core objective of McFall's mission extends beyond the symbolic achievement of being the first disabled astronaut. Scientifically, the flight will rigorously test how the space environment affects the human body and, crucially, how it impacts modern prosthetic limbs that rely on sensors and microprocessors. This data is vital for developing lighter, more adaptable prosthetics and improving rehabilitation programs for amputees on Earth.Shifting Paradigms in Disability and EmploymentBeyond the laboratory, McFall's presence challenges deep-seated societal preconceptions about the capabilities of people with disabilities. By demonstrating that individuals with physical limitations can perform complex tasks in zero gravity, the mission sets a precedent for inclusive employment across high-risk and high-skill industries. Tim Peake has already hailed this as a "landmark moment for inclusive human spaceflight."The Future of Commercial Spaceflight and InclusionIf McFall successfully launches in 2027, it will signal a new era for commercial space stations like Haven-1. The success of this mission could accelerate the integration of diverse candidates into space programs, moving beyond the traditional "astronaut" archetype. It also suggests a future where private companies drive inclusivity standards, potentially opening the door for more astronauts with disabilities to participate in long-duration missions to the ISS or commercial outposts.

The Great Painted Lady Migration: Britain's Orange Surge of 2026Britain is currently witnessing a spectacular natural phenomenon as the largest arrival of painted lady butterflies in 17 years sweeps across the nation. Driven by a combination of recent heatwaves and benign southerly winds, these vibrant insects are migrating north in record-breaking numbers, transforming gardens and fields into a kaleidoscope of orange.The Mechanics of the Northward FlightThis annual migration is a marvel of endurance. The butterflies fly north from sub-Saharan Africa at the start of every year. Successive generations breed in north Africa and the southern Mediterranean before reaching northern Europe. While September typically sees them fly south again, the current influx is a result of a successful breeding cycle in Europe during the recent heatwave.Lifecycle Speed: Painted ladies can develop from egg to adult in as little as four to six weeks in warm weather.Generations: The current influx includes both faded grey "grandparent" butterflies from long-haul flights and brighter orange "short-haul" offspring born in France and Spain.Other Arrivals: The favorable weather has also facilitated the arrival of rare moths like the eastern bordered straw and striped hawkmoth.Record Numbers and Rare SightingsThe scale of this event has been confirmed by experts at Butterfly Conservation, who describe it as a "once-in-a-decade" occurrence. Sightings have been concentrated along the east coast into northern England, with a notable cluster at Hickling national nature reserve in Norfolk, where 253 butterflies were spotted feeding on bramble flowers in a single location.Ecological Benefits and Citizen ScienceThis influx is a boon for gardeners and farmers, as the caterpillars of painted ladies devour a wide range of thistles. Furthermore, the abundance of butterflies is set to significantly impact the Big Butterfly Count, the world's largest citizen science insect count.Upcoming Event: A large British-born generation is expected to emerge in five or six weeks.Voting Impact: The surge may boost late voting in the poll to find Britain's favourite butterfly, potentially challenging the peacock butterfly for the top spot.The Future OutlookWith the current immigration wave and the imminent emergence of a new generation, the summer promises to be exceptionally rich in butterfly life. This event not only delights the public but also provides critical data for conservationists tracking the health of the UK's insect population.

The Lead: Escalating Violence Despite CeasefireIsrael has continued to carry out deadly strikes across Lebanon despite the announcement of a new US-brokered ceasefire agreement reached by Lebanese and Israeli officials in Washington, DC. The violence has pushed the number of casualties higher, with Lebanon's Ministry of Public Health reporting that at least 3,526 people have been killed and 10,733 wounded in Israeli attacks since March 2.The Event Details: Diplomatic Efforts and RejectionsMeanwhile, Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem has dismissed the ceasefire as a 'farce', warning that northern Israel will remain a target as long as Israeli forces continue bombing Lebanon, raising more doubts about the prospects for a lasting truce.The Data Analysis: Rising Casualties and Regional ImpactLebanon casualties: At least 3,526 people killed and 10,733 wounded in Israeli attacks since March 2Oman oil terminal: Suspended crude oil loading operations at Mina al-Fahal terminal after explosion near berthsThe Impact Analysis: Regional Instability and Power DynamicsIran adviser flags concerns over draft deal: Mohsen Rezaei, an adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, said the draft memorandum of understanding being negotiated to end the war still contains 'ambiguities' that need to be clarified. Speaking to Iranian state television, Rezaei also accused US President Donald Trump of trying to pressure Tehran into accepting Washington's terms while keeping Iran's own conditions 'in a vague state'.Questions over US strategy: Reporting from Washington, DC, Al Jazeera's Kimberly Halkett said the White House is facing growing questions over why a negotiated agreement with Iran is still needed after President Donald Trump repeatedly claimed US military action had 'obliterated' Iran's nuclear programme. Halkett said critics are asking: 'If these military objectives have been achieved, then is there still a need for talks?' She added that 'with each passing week that this war drags on' and negotiations remaining stalled, it is becoming increasingly difficult for the administration to reconcile its claims of success with the continued push for diplomacy.Hezbollah rejects conditional ceasefire: Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem rejected the limited truce agreed to by Lebanese and Israeli representatives in the US, demanding a complete ceasefire and a full Israeli pullout from the country. Qassem also warned of more attacks on northern Israel, highlighting the difficulties in reaching a lasting peace. Both sides have blamed each other for breaking a previous ceasefire announced in April.Oman oil terminal disruption: Reuters reported that Oman has suspended crude oil loading operations at its key Mina al-Fahal terminal after an explosion near its single-buoy mooring (SBM) berths. Citing unnamed sources, the agency said the blast occurred between SBM 1 and SBM 2 and was allegedly caused by a drone attack.Trump says US does not need a deal to access Iran's uranium: The US president said Washington could access Iran's enriched uranium without reaching an agreement with Tehran, arguing the material is effectively 'entombed'. Trump also said he does not plan to meet Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, but he suggested a meeting could be possible if a deal is eventually reached, adding that 'if it happened ... I'd be respectful'.Ultra-Orthodox protest blocks major highway: Hundreds of ultra-Orthodox Israelis blocked Highway 1 in protest against the government's enforcement of military conscription for religious students, according to Israel's Channel 10. The demonstrations began after police stopped two ultra-Orthodox students and transferred one to military authorities. Large numbers of police and border guards were deployed to clear the highway and disperse protesters.Hezbollah rejection raises fears of escalation: Reporting from Beirut, Al Jazeera's Ali Hashem said Hezbollah remains the key actor on the Lebanese side when it comes to decisions about fighting and any potential halt to hostilities with Israel, 'regardless of what the Lebanese government says'. Given Hezbollah's rejection of the US-brokered ceasefire, Hashem warned that further escalation is likely from both Hezbollah and Israel. He noted that southern Lebanon and the western Bekaa Valley experienced significant Israeli air and ground attacks on Thursday, adding that Hezbollah's position suggests 'it is going to be a very difficult situation' in the days ahead.The Prediction: Escalation Likely Amidst Diplomatic StalemateWith Hezbollah rejecting the ceasefire conditions and continuing attacks, and Israel maintaining its military operations, the region appears headed toward further escalation. The diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict with Iran remain stalled, with both sides expressing distrust and setting conditions that may be difficult to reconcile. The oil disruption in Oman also adds another layer of economic complexity to the already volatile situation.

The Climate Policy Reversal in Blue States Democratic-led states are eroding their climate policies, as red states are scaling up their clean energy deployment. California on Friday scaled back its cap-and-invest program, offering more than $3bn in free pollution allowances to polluting companies. Earlier the same week, New York weakened its groundbreaking climate law, delaying a plan to regulate carbon from 2024 until 2028 and reducing emissions-slashing targets. Rhode Island's governor, meanwhile, is attempting to roll back aggressive clean-energy programs. The Economic Justification vs. Climate Imperative The moves come as Donald Trump's administration withdraws clean energy incentives and energy savings programs, and as energy prices spike across the country amid trade disruptions stemming from the US-Israeli war on Iran. Proponents have said the changes are necessary to suppress electricity costs, but climate advocates say that view is short-sighted and misguided. "Using affordability as a cudgel to weaken climate policy is a major error that will not solve either crisis, ultimately amplifying both," said Johanna Bozuwa, executive director of the Climate and Community Institute, a left-leaning thinktank. "Extreme weather and fossil-fuel dependency directly inflate costs – for food, energy, transportation, housing, and health – across the economy for working people." American Public Opinion on Climate Change Polls show most Americans are concerned about the climate crisis. An annual poll from Gallup, published in April, shows that 44% of American adults say they worry "a great deal" about global warming – one of the highest levels of concern since 1989, when the poll was first conducted, behind only 2020 and 2017. About 65% of registered voters in the US also think global heating is driving up the cost of living, according to a report published in December by Yale University and George Mason University. Red States Lead Clean Energy Buildout In contrast to many Democratic-led jurisdictions, red states have tended to dominate renewable energy deployment in recent years. In terms of growth of utility-scale renewables, states that voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election made up eight of the top 10 in the year to March, according to Energy Information Administration data. Indiana tops the list of states with the most clean energy capacity growth in that timeframe, followed by Kentucky and Utah. More broadly, though, it is Texas that has emerged as the country's leading clean energy superpower, despite its strong ties to the oil and gas industry and unsuccessful attempts within the Republican-led legislature to curb the growth of wind and solar. Texas leads the country in wind energy production, followed by fellow red states Iowa, Oklahoma and Kansas, and in March overtook California in utility-scale solar, too. The Paradox of Climate Leadership Meanwhile, the states scaling back their emissions-cutting policies have long called themselves climate leaders. When Governor Gavin Newsom of California extended his state's cap-and-invest program last year, he said: "We're doubling down on our best tool to combat Trump's assaults on clean air … by making polluters pay for projects that support our most impacted communities." The changes could end up giving more money to the fossil fuel producers and distributors who have been increasing consumers' energy prices amid the Iran war, said Bahram Fazeli, Policy Director with Communities for a Better Environment, a grassroots organization in California. "There's no reason to think that giving them more free allowances will actually help motivate them to lower gas prices more," he said. Long-Term Economic Implications New York advocates are also skeptical about whether the weakening of the 2019 Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act – which the state touted as among the strongest climate laws the country – will deliver long-term benefits. The state legislature last week reached a deal with Governor Kathy Hochul to remove a 2030 mandate to cut planet-warming pollution by 40% from 1990 levels, instead including language to aim for a 60% by 2040 if it is "feasible and cost effective" to do so. "Even though you might see bill savings initially, that's going to come at the cost of locked-in, higher energy costs in the future, as the grid has to procure more energy that would otherwise have been saved," Anna Johnson, a senior policy manager State at American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, told Baltimore's NPR affiliate WYPR; she estimates that the moves could ultimately increase households' electricity costs by $592m. The True Cost of Inaction The climate crisis itself also costs for working people, said Mar Zepeda Salazar, legislative director of the national environmental justice coalition Climate Justice Alliance. "You can lower costs on paper by weakening protections, but the bill still comes due," she said. "It just shows up in emergency rooms, insurance premiums, utility bills, lost wages, and disaster recovery – that families pay, not industry."