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Oil prices have experienced a significant surge, rising more than 5%, in the wake of an Israeli strike on Iran's South Pars gasfield. This development comes as the United States-Israeli conflict with Iran continues to escalate.The international standard, Brent crude, rose 5 percent to $108.66 a barrel on Wednesday. Meanwhile, US West Texas Intermediate crude (CLc1), the price barometer for US oil, gained 2.5 percent to $98.65. This widened its discount to Brent to the largest since May 2019, driven by fears of a prolonged conflict.Iranian state media reported that natural gas facilities associated with its offshore South Pars field – the largest gasfield in the world, located off the coast of southern Iran's Bushehr province – were attacked. Iran's Revolutionary Guard threatened to attack oil and gas infrastructure in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, heightening the risk of further disruptions to energy supplies in the region.Later on Wednesday, Qatari authorities reported a fire at the country's Ras Laffan gas facility after an Iranian ballistic missile attack. Qatar's Interior Ministry later confirmed that the fire had been brought under control.The US-Israeli war on Iran and Tehran's retaliatory attacks on Gulf neighbours have disrupted oil and natural gas exports from the Middle East and forced production stoppages. Experts warn that if these disruptions keep oil and gas prices elevated for an extended period, the global economy could experience a wave of inflation.Fighting has halted most shipments via the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20 percent of global oil and liquified natural gas supplies pass. Total oil output cuts in the Middle East are estimated at 7 million to 10 million barrels per day or 7 percent to 10 percent of global demand.

The ongoing conflict in Iran, now in its 18th day, has sparked concerns about the global economy's stability. Typically, during such periods of uncertainty, investors flock to safe-haven assets like gold, causing its price to rise. However, gold prices have remained broadly steady at around $5,000 an ounce.On Tuesday, spot gold was almost flat at $5,001.36 per ounce at 11:00 GMT, and US gold futures for April delivery rose just 0.1 percent to $5,005.20. This lack of movement is surprising, given that gold prices typically shoot up during economic crises as investors look for safe havens to shelter their cash.Experts suggest several reasons for this unexpected stability. Traders may be anticipating that the US Federal Reserve will halt interest rate cuts and perhaps even raise rates in response to rising inflation, making dollar assets more attractive and gold, which pays no interest, less so. Additionally, gold had already risen significantly at the start of the year, which may be contributing to its current stability.Another factor is the strengthened dollar, which provides an alternative safe-haven choice. Higher oil prices, which have soared above $100 per barrel due to the conflict, may also lead to higher inflation, making the dollar more attractive.Experts also note that gold has become a very speculative asset, and typical gold investors, including central banks, tend to be more risk-averse and may have been spooked by the volatility of gold in the current climate.For the price of gold to shift dramatically, two things would need to happen: a clear indication from the Federal Reserve that interest rates may be cut further, despite inflationary pressure, and a change in perception as to the length of the war.

A staggering 4.9 million children died in 2024, with the majority of these deaths being preventable, according to a new UN report. The report warns that aid cuts could hinder the global goal of ending preventable child deaths. Progress towards ending preventable deaths of children under five by 2030 has slowed by 60% since 2015. UN experts are calling for sustained investment in health systems to reach this target. “No child should die from diseases that we know how to prevent,” said Unicef executive director Catherine Russell. “But we see worrying signs that progress in child survival is slowing – and at a time where we’re seeing further global budget cuts.” The report highlights that Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia have persistently had the worst rates of child death, largely due to newborn deaths. The most common causes of death were premature birth, pneumonia, and trauma during birth. Infectious diseases, including malaria, were also a major cause. 100,000 children died directly from severe acute malnutrition – with the highest numbers in Pakistan, Somalia, and Sudan. Aid cuts are threatening to close lifesaving facilities, humanitarian workers warn. “We are not moving far enough or fast enough and leaving 5 million [children] under the age of five vulnerable,” said Abdurahman Sharif, senior humanitarian affairs director at Save the Children. Aid cuts have affected 6,600 health facilities, with a third forced to close. Experts warn that without sustained investment, progress in reducing child deaths will slow further, and gains could begin to reverse.