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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest World Economic Outlook, warning of a significantly darkened global economic outlook. The report cites the outbreak of war in the Middle East on February 28, 2026, as a major factor in the deteriorating outlook.The IMF's January report was titled “Steady amid Divergent Forces”; whereas the latest outlook is headlined “Global Economy in the Shadow of War”. The IMF now expects the global economy to slow compared to its previous forecast in January.The latest outlook notes that the global outlook has abruptly darkened following the outbreak of war. Far be it for the IMF to gloat, but its suggestion in January that “steady” was not a word to describe the global economy unless you were desperately trying to make the madness of Donald Trump seem normal has aged quite well.The IMF remains unwilling to name Donald Trump, while noting the lingering effects of the persistent rise in energy prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, it only talks about the Middle East conflict as though it sprang out of nowhere.The IMF warns of three possible scenarios: a bad scenario where Trump, Israel and Iran come to an agreement; an adverse scenario where things carry on for the rest of the year and oil stays around US$100 per barrel; and a severe scenario where nothing is resolved, oil prices reach $125 in 2027, gas prices increase by 200% over the same period, and food prices increase by 5% in 2026 and 10% in 2027.Even under the current bad scenario, the global economy is expected to slow compared to what the IMF forecast in January. But under the adverse and severe scenarios the global economy grows by just 2.0% this year and 2.2% next year.For context, over the past 40 years, the global economy has grown slower than 2.2% only three times – 1992 (global recession), 2009 (the GFC) and 2020 (Covid).The IMF has downgraded Australia’s growth by more than most. Even under the most optimistic scenario growth is 0.5% worse than was forecast last October – a bigger downgrade than all G7 nations.The IMF warns against governments doing popular things like energy caps or subsidies, designed to protect households and firms. It worries that such policies will increase inflation because we’ll all suddenly have so much more money to spend.Gas companies exporting LNG from Australia will be cheering on the war as it keeps gas prices – and their profits – ever higher. The senate is investigating changing the way gas is taxed. An ACTU proposal for a 25% tax on exports would raise roughly $17bn a year.

Sheffield Wednesday's prospective new owners, Arise Capital Partners, are engaged in discussions with the EFL to potentially ease the club's transfer ban this summer. The ban, which prevents the club from paying for new players until January 2027, was a consequence of multiple late payment of wages under the previous ownership of Dejphon Chansiri.The club will begin next season in League One with a -15 point deduction, as the purchase price of £18m by Arise does not meet the EFL's requirement to repay creditors 25p in the pound upon exiting administration.Although the EFL is firm on the points deduction, they have indicated a possible flexibility on the transfer fee embargo. This would enable Arise to build a competitive squad if their takeover is approved. The club currently has seven players under contract at the end of the season, with most of Henrik Pedersen's squad, who are free agents, expected to leave.To secure approval for the takeover, Arise must agree to an EFL business plan with strict limits on spending and wage bills. However, the American private equity company is hopeful of being allowed to pay some transfer fees. Previously, Wednesday had a three-window transfer embargo but were granted special dispensation to register players, including the signing of Marvelous Nakamba from Luton in January.Arise, comprising David and Michael Storch and Tom Costin, aims for their takeover to be approved before the final game of the Championship season on 2 May. The Independent Football Regulator will take over the EFL's owners and directors' test on 5 May, which could cause further delays.

Leeds, the largest European city still without a mass‑transit system, may finally see a tram line – but not before the late 2030s. The latest West Yorkshire Mass Transit plan, championed by combined‑authority mayor Tracy Brabin, received a fresh £200 million in development funding, part of a broader £2.1 billion allocation for the region.City council leader James Lewis, who began his career on a 1993 work‑experience placement with the council’s highways department, says the new scheme differs from past attempts. Instead of squeezing trams onto existing bus routes, the proposal envisions a dedicated line that could “float over or under the M621 motorway, similar to the Docklands Light Railway,” linking the White Rose shopping centre, Elland Road stadium, Leeds railway station and St James’s Hospital.The Treasury’s independent review, however, forced the government to demand a fresh business case that proves the need for trams rather than buses. This procedural hurdle has added roughly two years to the timetable, pushing the projected opening into the late 2030s. Brabin acknowledges the setback, noting critics now claim the project is effectively “cancelled,” but she insists the work is merely delayed, not abandoned.Leeds’ transport woes date back to the removal of its historic double‑deck tram network in 1959 and the construction of the M621, which many locals blame for isolating the city’s south side. A 2025 Treasury review warned that previous “Supertram” proposals failed because they could not demonstrate sufficient value for money, leading to the withdrawal of funding in 2005 and the abandonment of a trolley‑bus plan in 2016.Supporters argue the tram is essential for unlocking massive regeneration. Leeds United investor Pete Lowy predicts the line could catalyse up to £1 billion of investment, including 2,500 new homes, retail and leisure space, and a 15,000‑seat stadium expansion. Northern Powerhouse Partnership chief executive Henri Murison points to the emerging South Gateway development in Bradford as evidence that transport‑led investment is already materialising.Critics remain sceptical. Leeds University transport professor Greg Marsden questions how an 18‑year‑long project can still be justified, while local residents voice doubts that a tram can ever be built in a city they consider “not big enough.” Tom Forth, co‑founder of data‑city firm Information Group, blames centralised decision‑making in London, arguing that devolved funding would accelerate delivery.In the meantime, the council is focusing on improving bus services, which will come under public control in 2027. Centre for Cities analyst Rob Johnson notes that increasing bus frequencies could immediately benefit the 390,000 residents currently poorly connected, potentially delivering more mobility gains than a tram in the short term.Nevertheless, Brabin maintains that trams are “more attractive, carry more passengers, and generate more jobs and growth” than buses, and she reaffirms her promise: “I promised a tram, and a tram is what we’re going to get.” The pledge to have “spades in the ground” by 2028 for preparatory works remains on the table, even as the project navigates the Treasury’s stringent process.

Amazon’s $11.57 B Deal to Secure Globalstar’s Satellite AssetsOn April 14, 2026, Amazon disclosed a cash transaction of **$11.57 billion** (about **$90 per share**) to acquire Globalstar, the satellite operator that powers Apple’s Emergency SOS feature. The purchase gives Amazon full control of Globalstar’s satellite constellation, ground infrastructure, and mobile‑satellite‑service spectrum licenses, bolstering the company’s nascent satellite business, Amazon Leo.Deal Structure and What Amazon GainsThe agreement transfers:All of Globalstar’s existing low‑Earth‑orbit satellites (currently **24** operational, with agreements for **50+** new units).Ground stations, network operations, and spectrum licenses needed for direct‑to‑device services.Ongoing contracts with customers such as Delta Airlines, AT&T;, Vodafone, Australia’s NBN, and NASA.Alongside the acquisition, Amazon signed a continuation agreement with Apple to keep providing satellite connectivity for iPhone and Apple Watch users.Financial Scale and Satellite Fleet NumbersThe transaction’s headline figures illustrate the market’s valuation of satellite connectivity:Deal value: **$11.57 billion** in cash.Share price: **$90** per Globalstar share.Amazon Leo’s planned constellation: **>3,200** satellites, though only **~200** have launched to date.FCC deadline: Amazon must have **~1,600** satellites in orbit by **July 2026**.Starlink comparison: **>10,000** satellites serving 150+ countries.Strategic Implications for Amazon Leo vs. StarlinkAcquiring Globalstar gives Amazon immediate access to:Established spectrum in the 1.6 GHz band, critical for low‑latency, direct‑to‑device links.A ready‑made customer base in aviation, telecom, and government sectors.Technical expertise and launch contracts (including a SpaceX agreement for replacement satellites).Combined with the recent showcase of a high‑speed antenna for commercial jets, Amazon is positioning Leo to compete directly with Starlink in the high‑value aviation and enterprise markets, while leveraging Apple’s ecosystem for consumer‑grade emergency services.Outlook: Timeline for Amazon Leo and Market ShiftsKey milestones ahead:Late 2026 – Initial commercial rollout of Amazon Leo’s direct‑to‑device services using Globalstar’s existing constellation.2028 – Deployment of Amazon’s own “thousands of advanced satellites” to enable a global, low‑latency network supporting “hundreds of millions of customer endpoints.”Mid‑2027 – Expected FCC approval of the extended satellite count deadline.If Amazon meets these targets, the satellite‑internet market could see a three‑way split among Starlink, Amazon Leo, and emerging regional players, driving down prices and expanding coverage for aviation, maritime, and remote‑area users.

The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has issued a stark warning: if the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked by the ongoing US‑Israel conflict with Iran, the world could face a food ‘catastrophe’. The disruption is already halting shipments of vital agricultural inputs, a situation that could quickly cascade into higher food prices. FAO chief economist Maximo Torero told Al Jazeera that, for now, food prices have stayed stable because existing stockpiles are absorbing the shock. However, he cautioned that this buffer is temporary and that “the clock is ticking.” FAO agrifood economics director David Laborde added that if traffic does not resume, the resulting strain on energy and fertilizer markets will translate into “higher commodity and retail prices later this year and into 2027.” According to the FAO, 20‑45% of key agrifood inputs—including fertilizers, pesticides and feed—depend on maritime passage through the Hormuz chokepoint. Nearly half of the world’s traded urea, the most widely used fertilizer, also moves through the strait, making global agriculture highly vulnerable. Recent gas supply disruptions have already forced fertilizer plants in the Gulf and beyond to cut or halt production, raising concerns that farmers may have to reduce fertilizer use or face higher production costs. Torero emphasized that poorer countries are especially at risk because planting calendars leave little room for delays; a slowdown in input delivery could quickly lead to “lower output, higher inflation and slower global growth.” The blockade stems from Iran’s decision to bring traffic to a near‑total halt in retaliation for attacks by the United States and Israel, which launched a war on Tehran on 28 February, resulting in the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The conflict has already doubled oil and gas prices compared with pre‑war levels. Negotiations between Iranian and US representatives over a 21‑hour marathon failed to secure a permanent ceasefire. Subsequently, US President Donald Trump announced a naval blockade, stating that the navy would interdict ships in international waters that had paid Iran a toll to traverse the strait. The US military later declared it would block all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports, including those in the Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. FAO officials stress that decisive action—both a sustained ceasefire and the reopening of the waterway—is essential to prevent the looming food crisis from becoming a full‑blown catastrophe.

The recent conflict in the Gulf has served as a harsh wake-up call for the British public regarding the state of the UK's armed forces. While air defence systems and fighter jets were swiftly deployed, the delayed arrival of a single destroyer, HMS Dragon, to Cyprus underscored concerns about Britain's military preparedness. Former Nato secretary general George Robertson criticised Keir Starmer for showing a 'corrosive complacency towards defence', warning that this put the UK in peril. In response, ministers pointed to 'decades of underinvestment' by previous governments and announced plans for the largest sustained increase in defence spending since the Cold War. The Ministry of Defence aims to spend 3.5% of GDP on defence by 2035. However, defence analysts argue that the UK's military has suffered from a 'lethal combination' of Treasury hostility to defence spending and the Ministry of Defence prioritising investment in ships and aircraft over the army. The British army has shrunk significantly since 1991, from 155,000 troops to 75,000 troops, with a reduction in armoured and infantry brigades. Defence experts, such as Ben Barry of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, blame this decline on inadequate resource allocation. Matthew Savill, director of military sciences at the Royal United Services Institute, notes that the UK has a decent spread of reasonably modern capabilities but faces several problems, including a lack of mass and reliance on allies. 'We've cut a lot of corners and in many cases we rely on our allies. That means we're particularly reliant on the US and others in certain areas and it can come back to bite,' Savill added. Britain's commitment to increase defence spending to 2.5% of GDP from April 2027 is more ambitious than France's, but experts suggest that the UK can learn from France's approach. The UK's plans have been influenced by Poland's military transformation, which has seen defence spending rise to 4.8% of GDP, the highest among Nato countries.

Amazon disclosed on Tuesday that it will acquire satellite operator Globalstar for $11.57 billion, a strategic step to expand its fledgling Kuiper broadband system and directly confront Elon Musk’s Starlink network. The transaction grants Amazon immediate control of Globalstar’s low‑Earth‑orbit constellation of roughly two dozen satellites, bolstering a platform that currently competes with Starlink’s fleet of about 10,000 satellites in orbit. Under the agreement, Globalstar shareholders may elect to receive either $90 in cash per share or 0.3210 shares of Amazon common stock for each share they own. Amazon aims to launch about 3,200 Kuiper satellites by 2029, with roughly half required to be operational by the July 2026 regulatory deadline. The company already manages a network of more than 200 satellites and plans to roll out its satellite‑internet service later this year. In contrast, Starlink presently serves over 9 million customers worldwide. Louisiana‑based Globalstar, known for powering Apple’s “Emergency SOS” feature, operates the current constellation and expects to expand to 54 satellites under an Apple‑backed development program that includes a few backup units. Beyond voice and data, Globalstar provides asset‑tracking solutions to enterprise, government and consumer markets. Simultaneously, Apple—having invested roughly $1.5 billion in Globalstar—has signed an agreement with Amazon to continue supporting satellite‑based safety functions such as Emergency SOS and Find My for iPhone and Apple Watch users. The acquisition is slated to close in 2027, subject to regulatory approval and the achievement of specific satellite‑deployment milestones by Globalstar.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a stark warning that a further escalation in the Iran war could lead to a global recession, spiralling inflation, and a sharp backlash in financial markets. The Washington-based fund cited the economic damage from the Middle East conflict as steadily rising, prompting it to cut its growth forecasts for 2026.In its half-yearly update, the IMF predicted that the UK would suffer the sharpest growth downgrade and joint highest inflation rate in the G7 this year. Even if the fallout from soaring energy costs can be contained by the middle of 2026, the fund warned of a close call for a global recession under a worst-case 'severe scenario'.This severe scenario, involving a drawn-out war and persistently higher energy prices, would see the world face a global recession for only the fifth time since 1980. Oil prices jumped back above $100 (£74) a barrel on Monday amid choppy trading in global markets. The IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, noted that despite a temporary ceasefire, some damage is already done, and downside risks remain elevated.The IMF set out three possible scenarios for the war in its World Economic Outlook (WEO), including a central 'reference forecast' based on the assumption that disruption to the world economy from the war fades by mid-2026. This forecast predicts global growth would fall from 3.4% last year to 3.1% in 2026, a downgrade of 0.1 percentage points.Under the adverse scenario, with the global oil price remaining at $100 this year before falling back to $75 in 2027, growth would fall to 2.5% this year, and inflation would rise to 5.4%. In the severe scenario, with a lengthier, intensive war keeping the oil price above $110 into 2027, global growth would collapse to about 2%, a threshold widely seen as equivalent to a worldwide recession.The IMF urged countries to stage a coordinated response to the economic fallout from the war and called on central banks to remain vigilant. It also advised governments to focus on temporary and targeted measures to support businesses and households.

Matt Crocker, US Soccer’s sporting director, announced his departure on Tuesday, moving to a similar role with the Saudi Arabia football federation with under two months remaining before the 2026 World Cup. US Soccer said the responsibilities formerly held by Crocker will be divided among COO Dan Helfrich, assistant sporting director Oguchi Onyewu, women’s youth national team development head Tracey Kevins, and the broader sporting leadership team. US Soccer CEO JT Batson praised Crocker, stating, “Matt helped guide important steps across our sporting organization, and we’re grateful for his contributions.” He added that the federation remains “well positioned to make the decisions needed in the short, medium, and long term.” Crocker, hired in 2023 after Earnie Stewart left for PSV Eindhoven, arrived with a strong pedigree from English football, having served as technical director at Southampton and later for England (2013‑2020), where he was tasked with modernising the national team’s playing style. During his US tenure, Crocker oversaw all national‑team operations, including youth programmes, and was chiefly responsible for senior‑team coaching appointments. His first high‑profile decision was to re‑hire Gregg Berhalter as USMNT manager after a brief contract lapse and a complex investigation involving player Gio Reyna and past domestic‑violence allegations. Following Berhalter’s second stint, which ended with a group‑stage exit at the 2024 Copa América, Crocker secured Mauricio Pochettino as his successor at the end of 2024. Under Pochettino, the United States have recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses in 16 matches, including recent defeats to Belgium and Portugal in March friendlies. On the women’s side, Crocker recruited Emma Hayes from Chelsea in late 2023 after Vlatko Andonovski’s departure. Hayes guided the USWNT to Olympic gold in 2024 and has the squad positioned as a contender for the 2027 Women’s World Cup in Brazil. Reflecting on his time, Crocker said, “It has been a privilege to be part of US Soccer during such an important period for the sport in this country. I’m grateful for the people I’ve had the opportunity to work with across the federation, from our coaches and players to our technical and administrative staff.” Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s national‑team structure is in flux ahead of its own 2026 World Cup appearance. Reports suggest head coach Hervé Renard may depart, and technical director Nasser Larguet is expected to step down, signalling a broader overhaul of the federation’s leadership.