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The Biofuel Demand SurgeDemand for biofuels is likely to leap by nearly a third this year as countries seek alternatives to expensive oil. The US, Indonesia, Brazil, Thailand and others have opted to increase biofuel use as the price of oil has jumped to nearly $100 a barrel after the US-Israeli attacks on Iran and the closure of the strait of Hormuz.Projected Growth and Environmental ConcernsIf oil supplies remain constrained, demand for biofuels could increase by 70% by 2030, according to estimates from the Transport & Environment (T&E;) thinktank. Biofuels, from oil-bearing crops and grains, currently supply about 4% of the world's transport energy demand. Expanding biofuel production without competing with food crops for land and fertiliser would be difficult to achieve, and reaching 20% of global road fuel from biofuels would require an area the size of South Africa.The Food Security ImpactThe expansion of biofuels comes at a time when fertilizer supply has been constrained by the war and prices have soared, leading to rises in the price of staple foods for some of the poorest people in many parts of the world. Biofuels compete with food crops for land, while globally about one in every 20 tonnes of fertiliser is used to produce crops for fuel. In some countries it is a lot more: a tenth of fertiliser use in the US is for biofuels, and a fifth in Indonesia.Historical Precedents and Future ProjectionsThough it is not possible to say exactly how far the expansion of biofuels could lift food prices, experts suggest it could be significant. In the food crises of 2007-08, the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization estimated that biofuel use contributed between 40% and 70% of the increase in maize and soya bean prices. The US is already forecasting that food prices will rise this year by between 2.2% and 4.7%, largely owing to the impacts of the war in Iran.Sustainable AlternativesEncouraging the switch to electric vehicles could reduce demand for biofuels, as generating renewable energy is a far more efficient use of land than growing crops for fuel. Solar panels covering just 3% of the land currently used for biofuel production would generate the same amount of energy, and because of the higher efficiency of electric vehicles, that would be enough to power a third of the global car fleet.

The LeadTelevision viewers are in for a diverse lineup tonight, with Emilia Clarke taking center stage in a cold war spy drama, culinary competition reaching its finale, and international football action. The evening offers something for every taste, from reality dating shows to historical documentaries and supernatural westerns.Emilia Clarke's Cold War Spy Drama9pm, Sky AtlanticEmilia Clarke learned Russian for this exciting cold war comedy drama and continues to flex her impressive skills as US spy Bea. She prepares to go on a date with a KGB agent to strengthen her cover, and gets some tips from Twila. Meanwhile, Twila is also taking secret calls to investigate a number of sex worker murders.Culinary Competition at Its Peak8pm, BBC OneAfter an intense Chef's Table stage at Opheem in Birmingham, where the finalists prepared sand carrot in eight different ways for Michelin-starred chefs, the remaining trio now face their toughest challenge. They must create their best three-course menus in just three hours for the judges.Garden Inspiration for Viewers8pm, BBC TwoThe roses are peaking at Longmeadow, giving Monty Don the chance to celebrate England's favourite flower in all its various guises. There are tips for viewers whose blooms aren't quite in bloom, while Brighton's city garden shows what can be achieved in cramped urban spaces, and a Bedfordshire plot full of succulents demonstrates tropical gardening possibilities.Summer Travel Concerns8pm, Channel 4With headlines suggesting that the Iran war is sending jet fuel prices soaring and causing flight cancellations, Kate Quilton investigates whether there's more chance of getting stuck abroad this summer or if airlines might actually start offering super bargains to compete.National Trust's Hidden Treasures9pm, BBC TwoAnother trip behind the velvet ropes to witness the restoration efforts of National Trust staff. At Snowshill Manor in the Cotswolds, a child's suit of lacquered samurai armour requires some serious TLC, while at Calke Abbey in Derbyshire a variety of historic stuffed birds need their feathers unruffled.Love Stories Across Generations10pm, Channel 4Love can strike at any age, as this week's visit to Cupid's restaurant proves. On one table, 62-year-old hairdresser Liz has a promising night with builder Paul. Over on another table, 19-year-olds Rue and Kaitlyn are only just dipping their toes into the world of dating.Film Highlights for TonightDead Man's Wire (Gus Van Sant, 2025), 8am, 8pm, Sky Cinema PremiereThe spirit of the Al Pacino classic Dog Day Afternoon is alive and well in Gus Van Sant's drama. Bill Skarsgård is all gangly, edgy energy as Tony Kiritsis, a low-level Indianapolis land developer who takes ML Hall's son hostage using a contraption connected to a shotgun.Devil in the Dust (Ned Crowley, 2025), Paramount+This western is knocked off-kilter almost immediately when a cute little blond girl kills a horse by touching it. The supernatural frisson never really goes away as we follow Guy Pearce's grizzled, ether-addicted doctor Bender on a quest to a preacher who can supposedly take out the devil in the girl.Live Sports ActionWomen's World Cup Football, Spain v England, 7.30pm, ITV1A qualifier in Palma, Mallorca brings together these two footballing nations in an important match that could impact their standings in the tournament.

The Lead: Trump's Wartime Coal Funding InitiativePresident Donald Trump is utilizing the Defense Production Act, a cold war-era statute typically reserved for national emergencies, to allocate $700 million in grants to coal-fired power plants across the United States. This move represents the latest effort by the administration to bolster what Trump calls "clean, beautiful coal," despite scientific consensus that coal remains the dirtiest of fossil fuels and a leading contributor to climate change.The Defense Production Act: A Novel Application for CoalTrump's announcement came during a White House press conference where he detailed how the $700 million investment would protect 14 coal plants and 42 coal mines across 10 states that all voted for him in the previous election. The funds will also finance the construction of two new coal plants in Alaska and West Virginia, as well as a new coal export terminal in Oakland, California, and the restart of an existing facility in Maryland."As a result of the $700m investment that I'm announcing today, we will protect 14 coal plants and 42 coalmines, a tremendous number, and build two new coal plants and one massive new export terminal," Trump stated.The administration's attempts to provide a cuddly rebranding to coal have even extended to creating a new mascot with giant eyes, called Coalie, and gushing social media posts that include an image of a lump of coal wearing sunglasses as if it were on the TV show Love Island."You're not allowed to say 'coal' within the Trump administration unless it's preceded by the words 'clean, beautiful,'" Trump said on Thursday. "Complicates our life, but it's good."Financial Implications: Cost of Coal vs. RenewablesDespite Trump's claims that the initiative will lower energy costs, energy experts maintain that coal plants are more expensive to build and operate than renewable power sources. The administration has previously doled out hundreds of millions of dollars to the coal industry, signed orders forcing ratepayers to pay extra for aging plants to remain operational, and dismantled environmental regulations limiting toxins from coal.The coal industry, however, applauded the new order, with Rich Nolan, chief executive of the National Mining Association, arguing that "coal generation shields consumers from the impacts of volatile energy prices and supply challenges" and will help meet increased electricity demand from the artificial intelligence sector.Environmental and Health ConsequencesEnvironmental groups have strongly criticized the administration's latest aid for coal, with Patrick Drupp of the Sierra Club calling it "disgusting and reprehensible" that taxpayer dollars are being given to "deadly and expensive coal plants that will make Americans sicker and drive up electricity prices even more."Scientific evidence shows coal is the most carbon-dense fossil fuel and a leading cause of the climate crisis when burned. Research has estimated that as many as 460,000 deaths in the US from 1999 to 2020 were attributable to air pollution from coal plants alone, which releases tiny toxic particles that sicken miners and trigger widespread respiratory and heart health problems.Future Outlook: Coal's Declining Market ShareDespite Trump's efforts to revive the coal industry, the sector continues to face significant headwinds. US coal production is currently less than half of what it was in 2008, with coal declining as both a fuel for electricity and as an input for manufacturing materials. The number of people working in coal has declined by more than 90% in the past century, with more people now employed at Waffle House restaurants across the US than in coal mining.Environmental advocates question the long-term viability of Trump's coal strategy, with Kit Kennedy of the Natural Resources Defense Council asking, "What's next, a taxpayer bailout to build new phone booths?" She characterized the move as "going to mean higher bills and dirtier air," calling it "a waste" of taxpayer resources.

Executive Summary: Call for Energy StabilityPrince Abdulaziz bin Salman met Alexander Novak at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, emphasizing the need for a stable energy sector amid soaring oil prices and OPEC+ disruptions.St. Petersburg Talks Highlight OPEC+ StrainsThe Saudi minister and senior OPEC officials attended the forum, where they discussed the fallout from the wars in Iran and Ukraine, the United Arab Emirates’ departure from OPEC in April, and the resulting uncertainty in oil export quotas.Quantifying the Market Shock: Oil Prices and Production GapsOil prices have surged to multi‑year highs following the geopolitical turmoil.Russian crude output has declined due to unplanned refinery maintenance, a first explicit admission by a Russian official.Analysts expect OPEC+ to consider a modest output increase for July, pending the upcoming meeting.Geopolitical Ripple Effects on Global Energy SecurityThe closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the US‑Israel conflict with Iran, combined with forced export cuts by Gulf OPEC members, has turned previously agreed output raises into theoretical promises. The combined uncertainty threatens energy security and could pressure non‑OPEC producers to adjust their strategies.Outlook: Potential OPEC+ Output Adjustments and Market ForecastSources indicate that Saudi Arabia, Russia, and five other OPEC+ nations are likely to negotiate a further output hike for July. If agreed, the move could temper price volatility, but lingering geopolitical risks mean the market will remain highly sensitive to any new disruptions.

Donald Trump denounced four Republican representatives on Thursday for supporting a House resolution that would curb his authority to conduct military operations against Iran, calling the move “unpatriotic.” The resolution passed 215‑208, marking the first successful effort to limit the president’s war‑making powers since the 1973 War Powers Act.Trump Labels GOP Opponents “Unpatriotic” Over Iran War Powers VoteIn a post on Truth Social, Trump blasted the lawmakers for voting “right in the middle of my final negotiations to end the War with the Islamic Republic of Iran.” He singled out Thomas Massie (KY), Tom Barrett (MI), Warren Davidson (OH) and Brian Fitzpatrick (PA), calling them “GRANDSTANDERS” and urging them to be ashamed.Vote Count and Party Split Highlight Congressional TensionResolution passed 215‑208 in the House.Four Republicans joined Democrats to secure the majority.House composition: Democrats 221, Republicans 213.Senate control: 53 Republicans to 47 Democrats.Even if the Senate approves, Trump is expected to veto; a two‑thirds override would be required.Implications for U.S. Foreign Policy and 2024 MidtermsThe vote is being read as a signal that Trump’s grip on the GOP is loosening ahead of the November midterm elections. Lawmakers cite the Constitution’s war‑declaration clause and the War Powers Act, arguing that the president “illegally began this war” three months ago. Analysts note that public opinion polls show a growing majority of voters, including Republicans, oppose the Iran conflict, which has driven up fuel and commodity prices.What Comes Next for the War Powers Resolution and Iran NegotiationsFor the resolution to become law, it must clear the Republican‑controlled Senate and survive a presidential veto. Given the Senate’s narrow Republican majority, experts predict the measure will stall, leaving the House vote largely symbolic. Meanwhile, the administration’s diplomatic overtures remain uncertain; Trump has hinted a cease‑fire deal could emerge “by this weekend,” but the resolution’s passage may pressure negotiators to accelerate talks.

The Record Low Indonesia's rupiah has hit its weakest level ever against the US dollar, breaching the psychological 18,000 threshold amid surging energy costs. The currency hit 18,028 against the greenback on Thursday, despite recent central bank efforts to provide support. The Energy Shock The energy shock driven by the US-Israel war on Iran has placed a significant strain on energy-importing Southeast Asian economies, particularly Indonesia and the Philippines. The resulting pressure on trade balances has contributed to capital outflows and weaker currencies. The Economic Impact Gulf hostilities flared again on Wednesday, sending oil prices up more than 1 percent. Adding to regional uncertainty, the United States has proposed additional import duties of 10 percent or 12.5 percent on goods from 60 economies, including Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore, over alleged forced labour failures. Expert Analysis Permata Bank chief economist Josua Pardede said that an exchange rate of 18,000 was a “psychological threshold” for market investors. The weakening, he told the AFP news agency, was fuelled by high dollar demand caused by the spike in oil prices and a narrowing trade surplus. Future Outlook “Dollar supply from goods trade is dwindling, while dollar needs for energy imports, raw materials, dividends, foreign debt payments and seasonality needs remain significant,” he said. “This is why the increase in the BI [Bank Indonesia] lending rate and intervention is not enough to reverse the rupiah’s [depreciation].”

The Historic Re-Emergence of Screwworm in the USThe recent detection of the New World screwworm in a three-week-old calf in LaPryor, Texas, represents a significant breach in the United States' agricultural biosecurity. This is the first confirmed case of the flesh-eating parasite in animals since the US declared it eradicated in 1966. The USDA announced the finding on Wednesday, confirming that the larvae likely originated from Central America, evading the biological barriers that had successfully contained the pest for decades.Breaking the Eradication Barrier: Origin and MechanicsThe breach appears to have occurred through the umbilical cord of the infected calf, a common entry point for the larvae. Experts believe the pest traveled from Central America to Mexico before crossing the border. This resurgence is particularly alarming given that Mexico reported a 53 percent rise in cases between mid-July and mid-August 2025.Transmission: Female flies lay eggs in open wounds; larvae hatch and consume living tissue.Spread: Adult flies can travel kilometers, spreading rapidly through wildlife and livestock.Human Risk: While rare, humans can be infected, particularly vulnerable populations like the homeless who lack access to hygiene.Economic Fallout: The $1.8 Billion WarningThe economic implications of this outbreak are immediate and severe. The USDA has predicted that a full outbreak could cost the Texas economy $1.8bn in losses. This figure underscores the parasite's potential to devastate the region's primary agricultural sector.Supply Chain Disruption and Beef Market VolatilityThe impact extends beyond direct animal loss to the broader beef market. The US has halted cattle imports from Mexico for over a year due to the insect's spread. This suspension, combined with a multi-decade low in cattle herds caused by drought, has already contributed to record-high beef prices. The return of screwworm threatens to exacerbate these shortages, as ranchers face the daunting prospect of treating infestations with a workforce that lacks modern experience in managing this specific pest.The Road Ahead: Eradication Challenges and Market OutlookThe containment strategy relies on establishing a quarantine zone and utilizing sterile male release programs. However, the challenge is compounded by the fact that most modern ranchers have never dealt with screwworm. Analysts predict that while eradication is technically possible, the process will be labor-intensive and costly. Furthermore, the market may experience sustained volatility in beef prices as supply chains tighten and trade restrictions remain in place.

Urine‑to‑Fertiliser System Deployed at ESA HeadquartersAt the European Space Agency’s Paris campus, specialised toilets separate urine at the source and channel it to a basement treatment plant. The plant removes micropollutants, concentrates nitrogen and phosphorus, pasteurises the liquid at 90°C, and outputs a liquid fertiliser named Aurin.Cost Structure Reveals Urine‑Derived Nitrogen Still PremiumVunaNexus admits that producing one kilogram of nitrogen from urine costs 40‑50 times more than synthetic fertiliser, a hurdle for competitiveness. Scaling the process and monetising the wastewater‑treatment service are cited as essential steps to lower unit costs.Geopolitical Shock Fuels Interest in Alternative FertilisersThe 2022‑onward chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz, which handles roughly one‑third of global fertiliser raw‑material trade, exposed market fragility. Rising prices have pushed the UN to warn that 45 million people face acute hunger, intensifying demand for sustainable substitutes.Potential Impact on European Agriculture and Urban Water SystemsAccording to CEO David de Chambrier, if Europe recycled all its urine, it could meet about 30 % of the continent’s nitrogen needs. While insufficient to overhaul the market, such recycling could bolster water‑treatment resilience in dense cities and cut the environmental footprint of conventional fertilisers.Scaling Outlook and Market ProspectsVunaNexus currently operates in several Swiss and French buildings, processing roughly 3 million litres of urine annually, and is expanding into a major eco‑neighbourhood project in Paris—the largest of its kind in Europe. Success will depend on achieving economies of scale, securing broader regulatory approval, and integrating the service model into municipal waste‑management contracts.

UK car registrations in May 2026 rose 7% to 160,662, marking the strongest monthly total since before the Covid pandemic and highlighting the accelerating shift toward electric vehicles.Chinese EV Brands BYD and Chery Lead the RecoverySales from Chinese manufacturers powered the overall increase, with BYD delivering 5,200 cars and Chery selling 8,200 across its Chery, Jaecoo and Omoda lines. Other Chinese‑owned brands also posted notable gains:MG (SAIC) – ~7,500 units, up 13%Leapmotor – 900 units (nearly zero a year earlier)Geely – 1,100 units (nearly zero a year earlier)Numbers Reveal a 7% Rise and EVs Capture Over 27% of the MarketTotal registrations: 160,662 (+7% month‑on‑month)Battery‑electric cars: > 27% of all salesTesla’s UK sales jumped 45% in May, though annual growth is only 3%Why the UK Market Is Favoring Chinese Imports and Electric VehiclesThe UK has not imposed punitive tariffs on Chinese car imports, allowing manufacturers to price competitively. At the same time, consumer demand for low‑emission vehicles has been boosted by:Government EV grants introduced in July 2025Rising fuel prices linked to geopolitical tensions (US‑Israeli war in Iran)Private buyers, rather than corporate fleets, driving the strongest May increase since 2019Future Outlook: Chinese EV Momentum and UK Emissions TargetsAnalysts expect the Chinese EV surge to continue, pressuring the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) and the government to revisit the zero‑emission vehicle (ZEV) sales targets. While the official target sits at 33% of new sales, industry think‑tank New AutoMotive estimates a realistic goal of 24.6% due to built‑in flexibilities. Ongoing lobbying for weaker targets suggests a potential policy shift, but strong consumer momentum is likely to keep electric‑vehicle market share on an upward trajectory.