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The Trump-Xi Summit: A New Era for US-China Relations? US President Donald Trump is set to arrive in Beijing on Wednesday for a two-day summit with China’s President Xi Jinping, marking the two leaders’ first face-to-face talks six months after reaching a trade war truce. The Event Details: Trade, Security, and Global Governance The summit, which was delayed from March because of the US-Israeli war on Iran, comes as Trump needs a foreign policy win amid dissatisfaction at home over the latest Middle East quagmire. The Data Analysis: Economic Impact of the Trade War US-China ties have also been strained by the war, which has damaged Beijing’s economy. Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and Washington’s competing blockade of Iranian ports have left Chinese ships stranded and severely affected China’s crude oil imports, half of which are shipped from the Middle East. The Impact Analysis: Global Implications of a G2 As Trump threatens to quit NATO over the alliance’s refusal to back the US-Israeli war on Iran, further distancing the US from its traditional allies, the Trump-Xi summit has revitalised the idea of a Group of Two (G2) – an informal grouping in which the world’s two largest superpowers could steer the world’s collective future. The Prediction: Future Outlook for US-China Relations Jing Gu, director of the Centre for Rising Powers and Global Development at the Institute of Development Studies (IDS) in the UK, said the meeting should not be seen as the beginning of a G2, but instead as “strategic reconnaissance”. “Both sides are trying to read the other’s latest bottom line, clarify red lines and test how far pressure can go before stable tension turns into rupture,” Gu told Al Jazeera.

The Fragile Ceasefire at Risk Islamabad has rejected allegations that it sheltered Iranian military aircraft from potential US strikes as the fragile ceasefire it helped broker between Washington and Tehran appears increasingly at risk. The diplomatic tensions come as US President Donald Trump dismissed Iran's latest peace proposal as "a piece of garbage" that he had not even finished reading, describing the month-old truce as being "on massive life support." Pakistan's Diplomatic Dilemma The Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Pakistan called the CBS News report about Iranian aircraft being moved to Pakistan Air Force Base Nur Khan "misleading and sensationalised," stating the aircraft had arrived as part of diplomatic logistics for talks in Islamabad between US and Iranian officials on April 11. Pakistan emphasized that both Iranian and US aircraft used the base during the ceasefire period, and any significant foreign military presence at the base would be impossible to hide. "The Iranian aircraft currently parked in Pakistan arrived during the ceasefire period and bear no linkage whatsoever to any military contingency or preservation arrangement," the ministry said, adding that Pakistan had "consistently acted as an impartial, constructive and responsible facilitator" throughout the process. Washington's Growing Skepticism Despite Pakistan's denials, concerns in Washington have grown. A CNN report suggested some Trump administration officials believe Pakistan has been sharing "a more positive version of the Iranian position with the US than what reflects reality" while questioning whether Islamabad was "aggressively conveying Trump's displeasure." US Senator Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally, called for "a complete reevaluation" of Pakistan's mediator role. However, analysts suggest the controversy is unlikely to significantly damage Islamabad's position. "Pakistan has done more than many had expected. Delivering a ceasefire in an environment marred by sheer distrust was no mean feat," said Syed Ali Zia Jaffery, deputy director at the Centre for Security, Strategy and Policy Research at the University of Lahore. Deadlock in Peace Negotiations The immediate trigger for the latest tensions was Washington's rejection of an Iranian peace proposal delivered through Pakistan on Sunday. Iranian state media said Tehran's terms included US war reparations, full Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, an end to sanctions, and the release of frozen assets, while insisting nuclear negotiations be deferred. "I would say the ceasefire is on massive life support," Trump said in the Oval Office, describing the situation as one "where the doctor walks in and says, 'Sir, your loved one has approximately a 1 percent chance of living.'" Iranian officials rejected this characterization, calling their proposal "reasonable and generous" and insisting they had demanded "only Iran's legitimate rights." Regional and International Ramifications The core disagreements between Washington and Tehran remain unchanged. The US wants Iran to explicitly abandon its nuclear program and surrender its stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent, while Tehran insists nuclear negotiations can only follow the lifting of sanctions and the end of the US naval blockade imposed on its ports. Since the Islamabad talks ended without an agreement on April 12, Pakistan has continued to act as an intermediary, carrying proposals between the two sides. Qatar has also backed the mediation effort, with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio meeting Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani in Miami, Florida. Path Forward Amid Uncertainty Trump is expected to discuss the Iran crisis with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a visit to Beijing this week, as Washington hopes Beijing could use its influence with Tehran. China is Iran's biggest economic and strategic partner, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Beijing last week. The Iranian foreign minister is also expected to attend a meeting of BRICS foreign ministers in India, alongside top diplomats from Saudi Arabia and Egypt. "For the ceasefire, this is actually stabilising. More parties with skin in the game raise the cost of collapse for everyone," said analyst Mohanad Seloom. Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated that if Iran's nuclear material could not be removed through negotiations, Israel and the US agreed "we can re-engage them militarily." Former Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim Al Thani warned that the weaponisation of the Strait of Hormuz was "the most dangerous outcome" of the conflict, suggesting the crisis would outlast any ceasefire.

The Art Revolution That Started in a Car Park It's hard to imagine now, but there was a time when rooftop bars weren't really a thing. A time before pop-ups and contemporary outdoor sculpture parks. A time even, if you can bear to think of it, before immersive art. Way back in 2007, there was none of that – the UK was an experiential art wasteland. And then Bold Tendencies showed up, chucked a whole load of sculptures in a multi-storey Peckham car park, painted a staircase bright pink, built a cocktail bar on the roof, and changed everything. Two Decades of Transformative Art Now going into its 20th summer season, Bold Tendencies is celebrating two decades of sometimes sun-drenched, often windswept and drizzly arts programming. In that time, it has welcomed more than 3 million visitors into its concrete edifice behind Peckhamplex cinema, commissioned dozens of new artworks, hosted countless recitals and performances, built an auditorium and a concert hall, and drawn the roadmap for countless art experiences that have come in its wake. The Artistic Legacy And the art's not been too bad, either. Anthea Hamilton built a doorway to heaven through a man's splayed legs in 2010. Jess Flood-Paddock parked Del Boy's three-wheeled van on the roof in 2011. James Bridle flew a black balloon filled with wifi routers from the roof in 2014. Adam Farah-Saad installed a decorative retro water fountain in 2024. There have been piles of raw pigment, fluttering flags, wobbly walkways, heads on spikes. Almost all newly commissioned, and all free to see. Transforming the Cultural Landscape You can't overstate just how different, not only Peckham was in 2007, but the whole cultural landscape of the country. This was years before the likes of The Vinyl Factory or Frameless, and long before the Hayward and Tate were racing to the bottom to find the most TikTok-ready, Instagram-friendly exhibitions possible. The only large-scale sculptural commissions around back then were the fourth plinth and the Tate's annual Turbine Hall and Duveen projects. There wasn't really anywhere else to see new sculptural work by young artists. The Peckham Effect There also wasn't a lot going on in Peckham at the time. But what the area did have was a handful of project spaces, a single dive bar called Bar Story, seriously cheap rents and – thanks to being squeezed between Camberwell College of Arts and Goldsmiths – a lot of artists. Combined with a relative sense of isolation in the days before the London Overground, it boasted a fairly unique set of circumstances. "I found it to be a place of great possibility," says Barry. "And it still feels like that." The Visionary Behind the Movement Barry had been putting on exhibitions in a semi-derelict house on nearby Lyndhurst Way, and struck up a relationship with the people responsible for property in Southwark council. The council realised that artists could act as caretakers of empty, derelict buildings awaiting redevelopment, and Barry figured that those buildings could be used for art exhibitions. It's a model still followed today by other cultural charities, one that some consider the forward battalion in a wave of gentrification that has engulfed the city ever since. The Future of Public Art "Part of our responsibility in doing a project like this is to offer up the joy of feeling welcome to as many people as possible," says Hannah Barry, the driving force behind Bold Tendencies and owner of Peckham's longstanding Hannah Barry Gallery. "People come here for all sorts of different reasons and they may stay for a short time or stay for a long time. What matters is that they're curious enough to come." As Bold Tendencies enters its third decade, it continues to push boundaries and redefine what public art can be, proving that sometimes the most revolutionary ideas come from the most unexpected places.

The Rise of a Culinary PioneerIn Japan, the sushi bar where the chef chops fish for the clientele is a kind of stage. In which case all the world's a sushi bar for Nobuyuki Matsuhisa, whose deluxe Nobu chain has taken root in dozens of cities across the globe. Matt Tyrnauer's documentary charts the rise of this affable but restless pioneer, motivated since the start of his career to break out of insular Japan and shake up its cuisine.Innovative Culinary PhilosophySignature dishes like his iconic black cod with miso – made with Alaskan sablefish – or Peruvian-influenced yellowtail sashimi with jalapeno veer well off the sushi-restaurant template. But don't call it fusion, Tyrnauer's film says early on; it's still Japanese food, just open to foreign ingredients and techniques.From Japan to Global SuccessAfter a rocky start in life, in which a young Matsuhisa was placed on probation after reckless driving, he got "lost in sushi." After stints in Peru and Alaska, it was setting up Matsuhisa restaurant on Los Angeles' La Cienega Boulevard that made his name, introducing a sense of the unexpected and the lavish to the burgeoning western yen for sushi.The De Niro PartnershipRobert De Niro was one convert, making an offer to set up a New York branch that Matsuhisa refused; it was something he felt he wasn't ready for. Several years on, they finally partnered to set up the first of the eponymous eateries. One of De Niro's acquaintances questioned how Matsuhisa could be a master if he just had to chop raw fish. "Nobu wouldn't like to hear you say that," was the actor's testy reply.Personal Struggles and Culinary PerfectionismThis docu-portrait reveals telling vignettes in the second half. One is Matsuhisa hauling the Los Cabos hotel staff over the coals for sloppy preparation of his dishes; the other is De Niro shooting down another partner's ill-fitting ideas for new Nobu locations. Both testify to the difficulty of maintaining a coherent culinary and brand culture in globalised ventures; Matsuhisa does indeed seem to supply a Japanese aestheticism and rigour at the centre of things.The Cost of SuccessOne colleague suggests his sensitivity to failure is also very Japanese: he came close to suicide after his Alaska restaurant burned down and is haunted by a feeling of responsibility for the suicide of his best friend. But having lost his father traumatically early, it's just as likely this anxiety is personal. Either way, it's clear that this sensitivity paid off in the kitchen.

The Wildlife Crisis on UK MotorwaysWhen James Herd moved near Wisley Common 17 years ago, the heathland nature reserve was teeming with wildlife. "I'd take the dog around the common in spring and summer, and every few hundred metres I'd hear the rustle of a lizard in the undergrowth – and I'd see adders," he recalls.Over the past decade, however, the Surrey Wildlife Trust's director of reserves management has witnessed a significant depletion of wildlife. "There was a period, eight or nine years ago, when I'd get home and think: 'God, I didn't see or hear any evidence of reptiles.'"The culprit is the A3, a main arterial road into London that carries hundreds of thousands of vehicles daily. "It has fragmented the habitat, disconnected the ecological permeability of the site," Herd explains. "So species on this side of the common can't get to that side of the common because there's six lanes of tarmac and vehicles doing 70mph in the way."The Cockrow Bridge: A Green SolutionFrom the rubble of the £317m M25 improvement scheme, which widened the A3 at the Wisley interchange, emerged an innovative solution: the Cockrow Bridge. This "green bridge" serves as a wildlife crossing connecting the fragmented reserves, giving biodiversity a chance to recover."This isn't just about big, charismatic species – it's about reconnecting entire communities of insects," Herd emphasizes. The bridge allows a range of animals and insects to move between habitats and thrive despite the major infrastructure project.The bridge itself is a floating patch of nature reserve; its contents were excavated and transplanted from the heathland on either side. Heather, the tough wiry shrub that defines heathland, is already springing up in purples and yellows above the A3's roar, supporting the area's insects and reptiles."They can feed here, get cover, they can bask, they can breed," says Herd. Ground-nesting birds, such as nightjars, woodlarks and Dartford warblers, will also benefit from the newly connected landscape. Piles of sand have been added to provide breeding habitat for the highly threatened sand lizard, while logs line the back of the bridge for cooling and predator cover.Environmental Impact and Cost AnalysisAccording to the UK's State of Nature report, average abundance of 753 terrestrial and freshwater species has fallen by about 19% since 1970. Of more than 10,000 species assessed in Great Britain, 16.1% – nearly 1,500 species – are threatened with extinction.While there is no definitive data on the specific impact of roads, experts say the links between infrastructure and biodiversity loss are clear. "It is based around genetic isolation," Herd explains. "They will breed and breed and breed, but the gene pool becomes tighter and tighter and tighter, and that's not a good thing."The result is fragmented populations, weakened gene pools and less space for species to adapt to climate crisis. The Cockrow Bridge represents a significant investment in environmental infrastructure, though the exact cost of this specific crossing isn't detailed in the article.Changing Conservation Approaches in InfrastructureThe Cockrow Bridge signals a shift in how major infrastructure projects approach environmental considerations. Rather than simply mitigating damage, the project actively seeks to restore and enhance ecological connectivity."Herd, who advised National Highways on the project, says the Cockrow Bridge 'changes how the ecosystem functionality can evolve and function better, in a landscape where species can interact more freely.' By building a link, 'we've removed a barrier.'"While the bridge is not yet officially open, wildlife has already begun using it. Foxes, roe deer and adders have been spotted on the crossing, demonstrating the immediate benefits of reconnecting habitats.The Future of Wildlife Crossings in the UKThe Cockrow Bridge could serve as a model for future infrastructure projects across the UK and beyond. As biodiversity continues to decline, innovative solutions that integrate conservation with development will become increasingly important."The bridge will allow a range of animals and insects to move between habitats and thrive despite the major infrastructure project," the article notes, suggesting that such crossings could become standard features in road planning.As climate change accelerates, the ability of species to migrate and adapt will be crucial for their survival. Wildlife crossings like the Cockrow Bridge may provide essential corridors that allow species to shift their ranges in response to changing environmental conditions.

The Artist's Monument to Forgotten WorkersAn air of civilisational wipeout hangs over the Gehrenseestrasse complex, an abandoned housing estate on the north-eastern outskirts of Berlin, where the city still looks shabby without the chic. The insides of the nine prefabricated blocks have long been gutted; six floors of empty window frames stare hollow-eyed over multi-lane carriageways. In the courtyard, paintballers have left behind wooden barricades from when they played at World War III.Yet in one of the second-floor rooms of Berlin's largest ruin, artist Sung Tieu is waltzing across the concrete floor and reliving scenes from her childhood. "Here was the single bed I shared with my mother for three years," she says, pointing into a corner of the small room. "Two metres by 90cm, can you believe it?" There in the corridor is where her neighbours used to make bánh bao dumplings on camping stoves, for lack of private kitchens. "I still remember the smell." Here was the door through which she used to entertain her best friend when his mother locked him in during working hours. "We played cards through the gaps," she recalls with glee.But she also still remembers where neo-Nazis tried to throw molotov cocktails into the building: "They eventually set up a net because the windows kept on getting smashed".The Mosaic Recreation of a Lost CommunityThese days, few people have heard of the Gehrenseestrasse complex, whose last tenants left in 2002. But if Tieu had her say, it would be as essential a stop on the tourist trail as the Brandenburg Gate, the Reichstag or Checkpoint Charlie. There is, in her view, no place that better tells the story of the Vertragsarbeiter generation – the oft-forgotten workers who were hired on fixed-term contracts from socialist "brother states" in Vietnam, Mozambique, Angola or Cuba to boost the East German economy. "To me, this place is a monument," says Tieu.By the end of this summer, many more people in Germany – and art enthusiasts around the globe – will know about her childhood home. For this year's Venice Biennale, Tieu has clad the German pavilion with a like-for-like replica of the complex's facade, recreating the grey concrete and smudges of graffiti with three million mosaic stones made in Ravenna. She conceived the pavilion in tandem with the artist Henrike Naumann, who died in February from cancer aged only 41.Bureaucracy as Artistic MediumThe woman I meet at a Vietnamese restaurant in Berlin's Lichtenberg district is the antithesis of that exoticised cliche: modest, dressed all in black, analytical in her answers to my questions. She talks me dispassionately through the more experimental food options on the menu, but comes alive when explaining bilateral treaties and labour regulation."I really try to avoid the pure post-migrant diaspora narratives. By focusing on individual experience you can lose sight of the bigger picture. Contracts, state treaties, floorplans – that's what I am interested in. There has to be a certain formal toughness."Looking through her catalogue raisonné you are reminded of Marcel Duchamp. You see an artist dedicating her career to seeking ever more minimalist ways to express the same idea, from Cubist painting to readymade to annotations of chess moves. And in Tieu's case, that big idea is bureaucracy. In 2015, she reprogrammed the scrolling LED displays at a shop inside the Dong Xuan Centre, Berlin's largest Asian market, to display the texts of immigration treaties. For a group show at Berlin's Haus der Kulturen der Welt in 2024, she transcribed by hand documents from the national archives on the East German porcelain industry, authenticating them with her own ornamental stamp. Her website, fittingly, is just a long index of file names and a deadpan biography section: "Sung Tieu is an artist."Childhood Trauma and Artistic Vision"I think it's also a childhood trauma," she says when I ask her where her interest in bureaucracy comes from. "I've had to fill out forms for my mother since I was five, since she didn't speak any German. And by the time I was seven my German was better than hers. Bureaucracy was part of my childhood – I studied politics and administration because I wanted to understand it."Born in 1987 in Hai Duong, northern Vietnam, Tieu moved with her mother to what was by then the formerly socialist East German regions in 1992. They were joining up with her father, who had moved to the GDR five years earlier via a bilateral agreement for factory workers from the socialist republic.Initially announced in the romantic spirit of ideological solidarity, the treaty between the two states soon became a more hard-nosed deal, addressing ongoing labour shortages in East Germany while helping to rebuild a war-ravaged Vietnam, which took a...The Legacy of Forgotten WorkersTechnically there was no racism in the GDR, because it wasn't documented. But of course it always existed. This is the uncomfortable truth that Tieu's installation confronts – the erasure of immigrant experiences in official narratives, even as these workers were essential to East Germany's economy.Through her art, Tieu transforms personal memory into collective history, giving voice to the thousands of contract workers who built East Germany but were never fully acknowledged as part of its society. The Venice Biennale installation, with its meticulous recreation of a housing complex that many would prefer to forget, serves as both memorial and critique – a reminder that the stories of immigrants are integral to understanding modern Germany.The Future of Migration Narratives in ArtAs Europe continues to grapple with questions of migration and identity, artists like Sung Tieu are pioneering new forms of expression that move beyond personal stories to examine the structures and systems that shape immigrant experiences. By focusing on bureaucracy, architecture, and official documents, Tieu creates art that is both deeply personal and universally relevant.The Venice Biennale platform ensures that these often-overlooked histories reach a global audience, challenging visitors to reconsider their understanding of migration, labor, and belonging. As Tieu continues her exploration of these themes, we can expect more installations that transform bureaucratic systems into powerful artistic statements, creating spaces where the voices of the marginalized can be heard and remembered.

The Invisible Cost of Pakistan's Energy Crisis: Disrupted Lives and Unpaid LaborFarhat Qureshi, a 60-year-old resident of Karachi, used to cook without watching the clock. Now, her mornings begin with a single question: how much can she finish before the gas in her kitchen disappears? The cooking gas at her home is no longer a constant utility but a commodity available in short, erratic windows throughout the day.The LNG Shortage: From Surplus to CrisisThe root of this domestic disruption lies in Pakistan's broader energy security failure. The country's liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports have plummeted from 8.2 million tonnes in 2021 to 6.1 million tonnes by late 2025. This decline was exacerbated by the US-Israel war on Iran, which caused monthly cargo arrivals to drop from an average of eight to 12 shipments to just two in March.Quantifying the Impact: Data and StatisticsThe crisis is not just anecdotal; it is structural. LNG supplies roughly 25% of the country's electricity. Furthermore, the World Bank's 2024 Pakistan Energy Survey reveals a stark disparity in household access. While 44.3% of households use clean fuel stoves, 38.6% rely on piped natural gas (PNG), and only 5.7% use liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).The Social Cost: Disrupted Routines and Unpaid LaborThe most profound impact is on the unpaid labor of women. According to a 2024 policy brief, women spend approximately three hours a day on unpaid, nonmarket work, with the longest time spent in the kitchen. Laiba Zahid, a 24-year-old teacher, describes how her entire day is divided by gas windows. "Our dinner time is set," she says, noting that food becomes dry and meals are compromised when reheated in microwaves due to gas unavailability.Future Outlook: A Fragile Energy BalanceAs long as domestic gasfields remain in slow decline and imported LNG shipments remain volatile due to geopolitical tensions, the "gas windows" will likely persist. For millions of Pakistanis, this means their personal lives, health, and economic productivity are increasingly hostage to a fragile energy supply chain.

The Labour Party's Economic CrossroadsAn influential group of Labour MPs has issued a stark warning that the party needs an urgent renewal of economic strategy to offer voters "more than better management of decline" before the next general election. This call comes amid mounting pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, with the prime minister reportedly fighting to ward off a potential challenge.Internal Party Pressure Mounts on StarmerThe essays, published by the soft-left Tribune group, represent a thinly veiled attack on Starmer's leadership direction. Former cabinet minister Louise Haigh and prominent MP Yuan Yang, both contributors to the collection, have been among the first senior figures to openly call for Starmer's resignation. The publication comes after crushing defeats in local elections across Britain, which have intensified internal party tensions.Growing Leadership Challenge NumbersThe political crisis has escalated significantly, with more than 70 Labour MPs now urging Starmer to set out a timetable for his departure. Among those calling for change is Yuan Yang, who despite being a member of the Labour Growth Group once considered loyal to Starmer, has joined the chorus of discontent. The health secretary, Wes Streeting, is reportedly preparing to launch a challenge, while Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, is also seeking a route to parliament to pursue the leadership.Progressive Economic Policy ProposalsThe essay collection contains several bold policy proposals that signal a potential leftward shift for the party. Haigh has called for replacing Rachel Reeves's fiscal rules with a 10-year debt target instead of five years, allowing for more flexible investment approaches. She also proposed scrapping stamp duty in favor of a proportional property tax, increasing capital gains tax rates, and breaking up the Treasury to create a new growth ministry.Meanwhile, Yang has urged Labour to use its response to the Iran war to overhaul cost of living support. His proposals include implementing a free minimum energy guarantee modeled on Austria's system, further cuts to green and social levies on energy bills, and providing free bus fares for under-25s and universal credit recipients.Future Direction for Labour UncertainAs Labour faces this critical juncture, the party's future direction remains uncertain. The Tribune group has insisted their publication was long-planned and independent, aimed at "focusing on ideas not individuals." However, the timing suggests these proposals are part of a broader effort to reshape the party's economic direction amid leadership uncertainty. With potential successors already positioning themselves, Labour faces the challenge of defining its economic identity while navigating a potential leadership transition before the next general election.

Day 74 of the Iran‑U.S. war saw Tehran’s parliamentary speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, declare that Iranian forces stand ready to respond to any attack, while President Donald Trump labelled Iran’s latest diplomatic reply “stupid” and warned the fragile cease‑fire is on “massive life support”. The exchange has deepened uncertainty over a diplomatic breakthrough and raised the spectre of broader regional disruption. Escalating Rhetoric Marks Day 74 of the Iran‑US Standoff Trump rejected Iran’s response to his peace proposal, calling it “stupid” and “garbage”. Ghalibaf warned the United States would be “surprised” by Iran’s retaliation if attacked. Analyst Dania Thafer warned of a “high likelihood of escalation” as both sides appear to be speaking past each other. Sanctions, Seizures and Diplomatic Moves: The Numbers Behind the Tension The United States sanctioned 12 people and entities over Iranian oil sales to China. The United Kingdom announced parallel sanctions targeting similar actors. Iranian authorities seized six properties linked to ex‑football captain Ali Karimi, now living in exile. A defence ministers’ meeting hosted by the UK and France will bring together representatives from 40 countries to discuss security of the Strait of Hormuz. Regional Ripple Effects: Energy Flows, Trade Routes and Civilian Costs Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz threaten global oil shipments, already inflating diesel and transport costs in the United States. Rising fuel prices are pushing up supermarket and transport expenses across the U.S., according to Al Jazeera’s Mike Hanna. Heavy U.S. military activity at Israel’s Ben Gurion airport is crowding civilian flights, raising ticket prices ahead of the summer travel season. Lebanese residents displaced by Israeli strikes face repeated evacuations and interruptions to children’s education. What Comes Next? Scenarios for the Next Weeks of the Conflict Diplomatic push: Trump’s upcoming trip to China could open a back‑channel for de‑escalation, but success hinges on reconciling core demands over Iran’s nuclear programme. Escalation risk: If either side escalates military pressure in the Hormuz corridor, shipping costs could spike further, deepening the global energy crisis. Sanctions spiral: Additional U.S. and UK sanctions may tighten Iran’s financial lifelines, prompting Tehran to adopt asymmetric retaliation tactics.