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The LeadUnited States President Donald Trump has announced that a Memorandum of Understanding in ceasefire talks to end the US-Israel war with Iran "has been largely negotiated." The agreement will include reopening the Strait of Hormuz, though it remains "subject to finalization" by US and Iranian negotiators and "various other countries." Trump made the announcement after holding calls with leaders from multiple Middle Eastern countries and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.The Diplomatic BreakthroughThe US president released a statement on his Truth Social platform indicating that "final aspects and details of the Deal are currently being discussed, and will be announced shortly." This announcement follows a week of alternating threats and diplomatic efforts, during which Trump had moments earlier posted a picture of Iran covered in a US flag while simultaneously suggesting a deal was near.The diplomatic efforts gained momentum with Pakistan's army chief, Asim Munir, concluding a "highly productive" visit to Iran, according to Pakistan's military, which reported "encouraging progress" toward reaching a final understanding.The Regional ImpactThe potential ceasefire agreement comes after the US and Israel launched war on Iran on February 28, though fighting has largely remained paused since April 8, barring a few flare-ups. The US has continued to blockade Iran's ports, while Iran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global oil supplies.Key sticking points in the negotiations have included the future of Iran's nuclear program, its influence over the Strait of Hormuz, the future of US military presence in the region, and access to frozen Iranian funds. Tehran officials have repeatedly expressed wariness over negotiating with the US, which had twice launched military attacks on Iran during previous talks about its nuclear program.The Path ForwardWith Trump announcing that the agreement is "largely negotiated" and awaiting finalization, the coming days will be critical in determining whether this diplomatic effort can successfully conclude the conflict. The involvement of multiple regional powers suggests that any final agreement will likely require compromises from all parties, particularly regarding security arrangements and economic sanctions.The potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz represents a significant concession that could have immediate implications for global energy markets and regional stability. If successfully implemented, this agreement could mark a pivotal moment in Middle Eastern geopolitics, potentially reshaping the security architecture of the region.

Roster Announcement: Zendejas In, Tessmann OutClub América winger Alejandro Zendejas is on the United States' 26-man roster for this summer's World Cup, while Lyon defensive midfielder Tanner Tessmann is not included. The selections are the most notable new information gleaned from head coach Mauricio Pochettino's full World Cup roster, which was obtained by the Guardian and is authentic according to multiple sources with knowledge of Pochettino's selections.The roster confirms Zendejas's selection and Tessmann's omission, along with the inclusion of Borussia Mönchengladbach's Gio Reyna and the omission of Real Salt Lake's Diego Luna, both attacking midfielders, choices that were first reported by the Athletic. US Soccer declined to comment on the roster, which will be officially announced Tuesday at a nationally televised event in New York City.Reyna's Redemption: Past Controversies OvercomeReyna has been included despite playing only 520 minutes for Mönchengladbach this season, though he featured in the club's final five league matches. Pochettino has repeatedly praised the 23-year-old and singled him out as a player he's willing to include regardless of club form.During the 2022 World Cup, Reyna found himself at the center of one of the most dramatic and bizarre moments in men's national team history, having nearly been sent home from the tournament for behavioral issues. Not long afterwards, Reyna's parents became ensnared in a prolonged public falling out with US coach Gregg Berhalter. The situation has cast a shadow over Reyna in the years that followed.Sebastian Berhalter, the son of the former USMNT coach, is also on the roster. The 25-year-old never represented the US at the youth international levels, but forced his way into Pochettino's plans on the back of his considerable development since joining the Vancouver Whitecaps in 2022. Berhalter made the MLS Best XI last year as the Whitecaps' chief orchestrator en route to the club's first MLS Cup berth and first run to the Concacaf Champions Cup final. Berhalter also gives this team a dead-ball specialist, able to consistently place corner kicks in dangerous areas.Notable Exclusions: Luna and Tessmann Left BehindDespite being a key contributor throughout the USMNT's buildup to the World Cup, Diego Luna did not make the roster. He was the subject of frequent praise from Pochettino for his aggressiveness on both sides of the ball and scored four goals in 17 appearances in 2025, emerging as a breakout star. Despite missing March camp as he returned from an injury, Luna has returned in great form with four goals and two assists in seven MLS appearances (six starts) since 1 April.The 22-year-old also featured widely in promotional pushes ahead of the tournament, including a glitzy ad by tournament rights holder Fox. A spokesperson for the federation said earlier this week that Pochettino had nothing to do with the players selected to appear in those advertisements, some of which were produced months ago.The 28-year-old Zendejas is among Liga MX's most dangerous forwards, with 12 goals and seven assists in 2,443 minutes to lead Club América's attack. Despite his form, Pochettino has given Zendejas just 139 minutes across six appearances, with his most recent shift coming on 9 September against Japan.Tessmann, 24, suffered a muscle strain at Lyon two weeks ago but was still expected to be included in the roster. It's not immediately clear whether Tessman's exclusion is injury-related. The FC Dallas academy product appeared in 29 league matches for Lyon this season, starting 22 of them.Squad Composition: Strategic Balance for Tournament SuccessAs it stands, there are only four central or defensive midfielders on Pochettino's squad, with Weston McKennie joining Berhalter, Cristian Roldan and Tyler Adams. McKennie had seemed likely to play further upfield after his attacking midfield deployment in the March window.The defensive corps has gained the extra number, with 10 defenders picked to split time among four or five starting slots. Center-back Chris Richards is on the roster after Crystal Palace's manager announced he would miss the team's league finale this weekend with torn ligaments in his ankle. Missing among the central defenders is Noahkai Banks, the dual-national who left his international status in limbo and declined a US call-up in March as he weighed interest from Germany.Chicago Fire goalkeeper Chris Brady joins Matt Freese and Matt Turner on the roster. Brady, 22, is among the most in-form keepers in MLS and has been called into national team camp several times but never capped. Brady is the presumed No 3 behind Freese and Turner.In total, 13 members of Pochettino's squad have made their second World Cup roster, with the other half is comprised of first-time selections.Final Steps: Pre-Tournament Schedule and Roster ConfirmationThe USMNT will play their final two matches prior to the World Cup against Senegal on 31 May and Germany on 6 June. Managers must submit their rosters to Fifa by 1 June and are only able to change their squads after officially naming the 26-man roster in "exceptional cases", a loosely defined circumstance which must be approved by Fifa's medical committee.Complete USMNT 2026 World Cup RosterGoalkeepers (3): Chris Brady* (Chicago Fire, 0 caps/0 goals), Matt Freese* (New York City, 14/0), Matt Turner (New England Revolution, 53/0)Defenders (10): Max Arfsten* (Columbus Crew, 18/1), Sergiño Dest (PSV, 37/2), Alex Freeman* (Villarreal, 15/2), Mark McKenzie* (Toulouse, 27/0), Tim Ream (Charlotte FC, 80/1), Chris Richards* (Crystal Palace, 36/3), Antonee Robinson (Fulham, 52/4), Miles Robinson* (FC Cincinnati, 38/3), Joe Scally (Borussia Mönchengladbach, 24/0), Auston Trusty* (Celtic, 6/0)Midfielders (4): Tyler Adams (AFC Bournemouth, 52/2), Sebastian Berhalter* (Vancouver Whitecaps, 11/1), Weston McKennie (Juventus, 64/12), Cristian Roldan (Seattle Sounders, 45/0)Attacking midfielders/wingers (6): Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United, 57/9), Christian Pulisic (Milan, 84/32), Gio Reyna (Borussia Mönchengladbach, 36/9), Malik Tillman* (Bayer Leverkusen, 28/3), Tim Weah (Marseille, 49/7), Alejandro Zendejas* (Club América, 13/2)Strikers (3): Folarin Balogun* (AS Monaco, 25/8), Ricardo Pepi* (PSV, 35/13), Haji Wright (Coventry City, 20/7)

Israeli Forces Escalate Attacks in Southern Lebanon Israeli forces launched a new wave of air attacks in Lebanon on Saturday after earlier raids killed 10 people, targeting an area near the Syrian border and several villages in southern Lebanon. Lebanon's National News Agency reported five Israeli air attacks shortly before midnight in the mountainous Nabi Sreij area on the outskirts of Brital, which had been spared from attacks since April 17. On Saturday, the agency reported large explosions in the towns of Yohmor al-Shaqif in Nabatieh and Taybeh in the Marjayoun district, both in southern Lebanon. Hospital Infrastructure Targeted in Previous Strikes On Thursday, an Israeli attack near the Tebnine Hospital in southern Lebanon damaged all three floors of the building, including the emergency room, intensive care unit, surgical ward, and ambulances parked outside, according to the Ministry of Public Health. Israel's military had issued two forced displacement warnings since Friday night via its Arabic-language spokesman Avichay Adraee, for the southern Lebanese village of Burj Rahal and the areas of Tyre and Zqouq al-Mufdi. Civilian Displacement and Psychological Impact Al Jazeera's Obaida Hitto, reporting from Tyre, southern Lebanon, at the edge of the 500-metre (550-yard) perimeter that Israel has designated as the danger zone, said: "There are ambulances here. There are also rescue teams and people who have fled their homes this evening following this forced [displacement] order." Many left in fear and panic, he said, seeing these orders as threats while being unsure of when they could return home. "People are here with their families and their children," Hitto said. "This is the kind of psychological terror that Israel is forcing people to live in, here in southern Lebanon." Rising Casualties Despite Ceasefire Declaration More than 3,100 people have been killed in Lebanon since Israeli forces escalated attacks on the country on March 2, and attacks have continued despite a ceasefire announced by United States President Donald Trump on April 16. The dead include 123 medics, more than 210 children and nearly 300 women, according to statistics shared by Lebanon's Health Ministry on Friday.

The acting Navy secretary Hung Cao told a Senate committee that the United States is temporarily pausing a $14 bn arms sale to Taiwan to ensure sufficient munitions for the Iran operation dubbed Epic Fury. The disclosure, coupled with a Washington Post report on interceptor usage, has sparked concerns that the U.S. may be exhausting its strategic missile stockpiles faster than they can be replenished. Senate Hearing Highlights $14 bn Taiwan Sale Pause and Iran‑War Munitions Demand During the hearing, Cao emphasized that the pause is a precaution, not a sign of a critical shortage, stating the U.S. has “plenty” of munitions for Epic Fury. Yet his own remarks underscored a broader tension: while officials publicly project confidence, internal data suggest a rapid drawdown of high‑value weapons used against Iran. Interceptors and Tomahawks: The Scale of US Depletion THAAD interceptors: >200 launched – roughly 50% of the U.S. inventory. SM‑3/SM‑6 missiles: >100 deployed. Tomahawk cruise missiles: >1,000 used out of an estimated 3,100. Overall, seven critical munitions saw more than half of their pre‑war stockpiles expended, according to a CSIS report dated April 21. Strategic Ripple Effects for Allies and Future Theaters The depletion has immediate implications for U.S. partners. Japan and South Korea, which rely on American missile‑defence systems, face heightened risk if the supply chain cannot keep pace. Gulf allies also worry about reduced availability of Patriot and THAAD systems should the Iran conflict reignite. Moreover, the same interceptors are needed for potential Indo‑Pacific contingencies involving China, amplifying the strategic stakes. Rebuilding the Arsenal: Timeline and Policy Choices Analysts from the International Institute for Strategic Studies and CSIS warn that restoring pre‑war levels for the seven most‑depleted munitions will require “one to four years” as production pipelines catch up. Factors such as supply‑chain bottlenecks, skilled‑labor shortages, and rare‑earth material constraints slow the ramp‑up. Until capacity improves, U.S. planners must factor stockpile depth into escalation calculations, potentially limiting the frequency or intensity of future strikes.

Executive Summary: Reeves' Bid to Remain ChancellorRachel Reeves is mobilising backbench support to keep her chancellorship if Keir Starmer is replaced, arguing her credibility with bond markets is essential for the UK’s fiscal stability.Backbench Lobbying Intensifies as Labour Leadership ShiftsLabour MPs are being urged to back Reeves in the event that Andy Burnham wins the Makerfield by‑election and succeeds Starmer as prime minister. Allies warn that a switch to Ed Miliband would unsettle the bond market.Reeves’ supporters claim she is the only candidate who can safeguard the country’s finances.Burnham is reportedly considering Miliband for chancellor.MPs express concern over a “double change” in leadership.Economic Indicators Strengthen Reeves' PositionRecent data provide a factual backdrop to the political maneuvering:International Monetary Fund raised its UK growth forecast to 1% for 2026, up from 0.8%.Inflation fell to 2.8%, outpacing expectations.Government borrowing in April exceeded forecasts, highlighting fiscal pressure.Political Ramifications and Market PerceptionThe chancellor’s lobbying has sparked debate within Labour:Supporters stress the importance of fiscal predictability for bond‑market confidence.Critics argue Reeves bears responsibility for unpopular policies such as cuts to winter fuel payments.Analysts note her “Great British Summer Savings” plan and surprise VAT cut on family attractions as attempts to bolster public support.Bond‑market observers warn that a sudden leadership change could raise borrowing costs, while unions fear a shift toward a less market‑friendly chancellor.Looking Ahead: Scenarios for the TreasuryIf Burnham ascends to the premiership, the chancellor’s seat could become a focal point of intra‑party negotiation. Potential outcomes include:Reeves retains the role, providing continuity for markets.Ed Miliband is appointed, prompting a reassessment of fiscal strategy.A prolonged leadership contest that stalls key economic reforms.Analysts suggest that Reeves’ ability to navigate both economic data and internal party dynamics will determine whether the Treasury maintains its current course or pivots toward a new fiscal direction.

The World Cup AbsencesThe world's best football players will travel to North America this summer for the most anticipated sporting event of the year: the FIFA World Cup 2026. While the 48-team tournament will feature young prodigies and veterans alike, some stars will not be at the tournament, having missed out due to injuries or because their nations failed to qualify.Stars Who Missed QualificationSeveral high-profile players will not be at the World Cup because their countries failed to secure qualification. Among them are:Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Georgia) - The Paris Saint-Germain winger, one of the most feared in European football, will not be on the plane to North America as Georgia failed to qualify.Robert Lewandowski (Poland) - The 37-year-old Barcelona striker left the pitch in tears after Poland narrowly missed out on qualification. With 89 goals in 165 appearances for Poland, he has never advanced beyond the round of 16 at a World Cup.Gianluigi Donnarumma and Sandro Tonali (Italy) - Italy's failure to qualify for the World Cup for a third consecutive time means the tournament will be devoid of some of the finest Azzurri talents, including the star goalkeeper and midfielder.Victor Osimhen and Ademola Lookman (Nigeria) - Nigeria's shock penalty shootout defeat to the Democratic Republic of the Congo in the African playoffs means fans will miss out on watching these two bright attackers.Bryan Mbeumo (Cameroon) - Cameroon's failure to qualify came as a surprise as the Indomitable Lions hold the African record for the most World Cup appearances with eight overall.Injury-Related AbsencesSeveral players who would have likely been selected for their national teams have been ruled out due to injuries:Hugo Ekitike (France) - The France forward ruptured his Achilles tendon while playing for Liverpool against PSG in April, an injury that could sideline him until January 2027.Estevao (Brazil) - The 19-year-old suffered a grade four hamstring injury while playing for Chelsea in April, crushing his dream of making his World Cup debut.Rodrygo (Brazil) - The Real Madrid winger suffered a torn meniscus and ACL in his right knee while playing for Madrid in March and is expected to be out until the end of 2026.Xavi Simons (Netherlands) - The attacking midfielder suffered an anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury while playing for Tottenham Hotspur against Wolverhampton Wanderers.Other Notable AbsencesSeveral other high-profile players will also miss the tournament:Fermin Lopez (Spain) - Misses out after requiring surgery on a fracture in his right foot.Serge Gnabry (Germany) - Ruled out with a torn adductor muscle in his right thigh.Cole Palmer and Phil Foden (England) - Omitted from England's squad after both had disappointing seasons.Takumi Minamino and Kaoru Mitoma (Japan) - Minamino was left out after suffering an ACL tear while Mitoma also misses out after suffering a hamstring injury.Eder Militao, Joao Pedro, and Richarlison (Brazil) - All dropped from Brazil's squad due to injuries.Jan Oblak (Slovenia) - The goalkeeper and captain will be absent after Slovenia failed to qualify.Dominik Szoboszlai (Hungary) - Faces a similar fate after Hungary missed out on qualification.

Tracker Mortgages Resurge Amid Rate Uncertainty After a period of dominance by fixed‑rate products, tracker mortgages are seeing a renewed surge in applications. Brokers report that April applications were more than three times March’s volume, signalling that borrowers are reconsidering a loan whose interest moves with the Bank of England base rate. Rate Comparisons Show Trackers Cheaper Than Fixed Deals Bank of England base rate: 3.75% (held steady at the end of April). Worst‑case scenario: base rate could climb to about 5.25% by early 2027. Cheapest two‑year fixed rate: around 4.55%. Cheapest two‑year tracker rate: about 3.96%. Monthly cost on a £250,000, 20‑year mortgage – fixed: £1,588; tracker: £1,510 (≈£78 cheaper). Typical arrangement fees for trackers: £900‑£1,000; some deals (e.g., Halifax) add a £1,499 product fee. What the Tracker Revival Means for UK Borrowers and Lenders Trackers offer flexibility: many have no early repayment charge, allowing borrowers to switch to a fixed deal if rates fall or if a better fixed offer appears. Lenders such as Halifax and Nationwide currently provide fee‑free tracker products, while others like NatWest may impose charges. However, the upside comes with risk. If the base rate follows the Bank’s worst‑case path, a tracker could rise to roughly 5.46%, erasing the monthly saving and leaving borrowers exposed to higher payments. Future Outlook: Rate Movements and Mortgage Strategy Analysts suggest that the trajectory of the base rate will hinge on the resolution of the Iran conflict and its impact on oil‑driven inflation. If inflation eases, the Bank may keep rates at 3.75% for the remainder of the year; otherwise, incremental 25‑basis‑point hikes are likely. Borrowers with strong cash cushions and the ability to absorb a few rate increases may find trackers attractive as a short‑term holding position. Those with tighter budgets or low risk tolerance are advised to lock in a fixed rate for certainty. In the longer term, the mortgage market could see a more balanced mix of products, with lenders adjusting early‑repayment charge policies and fee structures to remain competitive as borrowers navigate an uncertain rate environment.

Mahmoud Khalil, a permanent resident targeted for removal by the Trump administration for his pro‑Palestine advocacy, announced on Friday that his legal team will petition the US Supreme Court following a narrow denial of rehearing by a federal appeals court.The Federal Appeals Court’s 6‑5 Decision Blocks RehearingThe US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit voted 6‑5 on May 22, 2026 to refuse a rehearing of Khalil’s challenge to his immigration detention, effectively leaving the lower‑court ruling in place.Legal Timeline and Court RulingsMarch 2025: ICE agents detain Khalil.June 2025: Federal judge orders Khalil’s release and blocks deportation on free‑speech grounds.Late 2025: Appeals court rules the district judge lacked jurisdiction.April 2026: Board of Immigration Appeals issues a final removal order.May 2026: Appeals court denies rehearing; Khalil’s team files a petition for Supreme Court review.Implications for Free Speech and Immigration PolicyThe case pits the Trump administration’s use of a rarely invoked provision of the Immigration and Nationality Act—allowing removal based on “lawful” beliefs or statements—against constitutional free‑speech protections championed by the ACLU. If upheld, the administration could set a precedent for targeting dissenting voices under national‑security pretexts, raising concerns among civil‑rights groups about the erosion of First‑Amendment safeguards.Future Outlook: Potential Supreme Court RulingThe Supreme Court’s decision, expected within the next year, will determine whether federal courts retain authority to intervene when immigration enforcement appears to punish protected speech. A ruling in Khalil’s favor could reinforce judicial oversight of executive immigration actions, while a denial may embolden broader use of the “belief‑based” deportation clause.

The Lead: Pakistan's Diplomatic Push in Iran CrisisPakistan's army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, is in Iran as part of ongoing mediation efforts to end the Israel and United States's war that began on February 28. This high-level diplomatic visit comes as the US reports slight progress in negotiations while tensions remain high in the region.The Event Details: Pakistan's Second Mediation MissionMunir arrived in Tehran on Friday, Iran's state-run IRNA news agency reported, citing the Pakistan Army. "On arrival, he was received and warmly welcomed by Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni," IRNA said, adding that "Pakistan's Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi was also present at the reception."It is the second such trip to Tehran by Munir amid Pakistani mediation efforts to end the war. Islamabad helped secure a temporary ceasefire between the warring sides on April 8, and later hosted the highest-level talks between the US and Iran since 1979 on April 11-12.During this visit to Iran, unnamed Pakistani sources told the Anadolu news agency that Munir will discuss Iran-US talks, regional peace and stability, and other "important issues".The Data Analysis: Shifting Positions in Negotiations"The current process and the presence of senior Pakistani officials in Tehran means that we have reached a turning point or a decisive situation," Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil ⁠Baghaei said on Friday.Iranian state media quoted Baghaei as saying the gaps between Tehran and Washington are "deep and significant". "We cannot necessarily say that we have reached a point where an agreement is close," he said. "The focus of the negotiations is on ending the war. Details related to the nuclear issue are not being discussed at this stage."Speaking at the White House on Friday, US President Donald Trump said, "Iran is dying to make a deal". "We'll see what happens. But we hit them hard, and we had no choice because Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. They cannot have it," Trump added.US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Friday that "slight progress" was made during talks with Iran. "I don't want to exaggerate the progress in talks, saying there had been 'a little bit of movement, and that's good'. He said the conversations were ongoing.The Impact Analysis: Regional and Global RamificationsThe Iran war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which normally carries a fifth of global oil production, have sent ripples through the global economy, driving energy prices soaring.As diplomatic efforts continue, European Union nations moved towards imposing sanctions on Iranian officials and others responsible for blocking the Strait of Hormuz, the EU said on Friday. Tehran effectively closed the key shipping lane for global oil and gas supplies in retaliation for the US-Israeli war."The EU will now be able to introduce further restrictive measures in response to Iran's actions undermining the freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz," the European Council representing EU nations said.Trump has repeatedly set deadlines for Tehran and then backed off. But he's also previously indicated he would hold off on military action to allow talks to continue, only to turn around and launch strikes. The US president said he called off attacks on Iran this week at the request of allies in the Middle East, including the leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.The Prediction: Path Forward for Diplomatic SolutionsIran's ⁠Baghaei said ⁠on Friday that a Qatari delegation ‌was currently holding talks with Iran's foreign minister, ⁠but added that ⁠Pakistan remained the main ⁠mediator in ⁠the ⁠negotiations.With Pakistan intensifying its mediation process to secure a second round of direct talks between the US and Iran, the region remains on edge. While both sides report some progress, the deep gaps between Tehran and Washington suggest that a comprehensive resolution to the conflict remains elusive, with potential for both diplomatic breakthroughs and military escalation still on the table.