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President Donald Trump's lawyers have filed a court document seeking a 90-day pause in a $10bn lawsuit against the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to explore a potential settlement. The move has sparked concerns about a conflict of interest, as Trump controls both the executive branch and the Department of Justice, which will be involved in the settlement negotiations. The lawsuit stems from the unauthorized release of Trump's tax returns in 2020, which were leaked by a former IRS contractor. Trump's lawyers claim that the release of the tax returns caused him, his businesses, and his sons "significant and irreparable harm", including reputational and financial damage. However, experts have questioned the validity of the lawsuit, citing flaws in the calculation of damages and the statute of limitations. They also argue that the lawsuit represents a conflict of interest, as Trump is essentially negotiating with his own administration for a payout. The $10bn sum sought by Trump is based on media references to his leaked tax returns, which experts say is not a valid formula for damages. Additionally, the lawsuit contends that Trump did not discover the unauthorized disclosures until January 2024, despite posting about the issue on social media in 2020. Government watchdogs have attempted to stop a settlement from unfolding, arguing that it would threaten the integrity of the justice system and the important taxpayer and privacy protections at the heart of this case. The Emoluments Clause in the US Constitution also prohibits the president from profiting off his position, apart from his salary. Trump has justified the sum by saying it would be donated to charity, but legal experts argue that this could still run afoul of the Emoluments Clause. The case has raised significant concerns about the potential for abuse of power and the integrity of the justice system.

Pressure is mounting for the removal of Piero Corvetto, head of Peru’s National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), as the country grapples with a protracted presidential ballot count and accusations of procedural flaws.The general election took place on Sunday, but officials extended voting by a day to address distribution problems, a move that has since fueled claims of irregularities.With 93.3% of votes tallied, the race for second place remains razor‑thin: left‑leaning candidate Roberto Sanchez holds 12.0% of the vote, while ultraconservative former Lima mayor Rafael Lopez Aliaga trails closely at 11.9%, a margin of roughly 13,000 votes. Conservative frontrunner Keiko Fujimori leads with 17%, positioning her for the June 7 run‑off.ONPE reports that about 5% of ballots have been set aside for further scrutiny due to missing information or recording errors. These votes will be examined by a special electoral jury before being incorporated into the final totals, a process that could extend the certification period to up to two weeks, according to local monitor Transparencia.Business leaders and legislators across the political spectrum have publicly urged Corvetto to step aside, arguing that a fresh overseer is needed to ensure credibility for the second round. “Errors of this magnitude have real consequences,” said Jorge Zapata, head of the business chamber CONFIEP, in an interview with RPP radio.Corvetto acknowledged logistical setbacks that necessitated the one‑day voting extension, particularly in Lima, but denied any fraudulent activity. Nonetheless, the National Jury of Elections—a top electoral court—has lodged a criminal complaint against him, citing possible violations of voting rights.Further controversy erupted after police discovered election materials from four polling stations on a public road in Lima; ONPE confirmed that votes from those stations had already been logged for counting.European Union election observers, however, reported no evidence of fraud during their monitoring mission, adding a nuanced perspective to the domestic turmoil.

Speaker of Iran’s parliament Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf publicly rejected seven recent statements by U.S. President Donald Trump concerning Iran, labeling them false. He warned that the Strait of Hormuz – a vital global shipping lane – will not remain open should the United States continue its blockade of Iranian ports, underscoring the potential for heightened regional disruption.In contrast, Trump told the AFP news agency that there are no "sticking points" left in the pursuit of a deal with Tehran, and he shared a series of optimistic messages on social media about apparent agreements with Iran. The divergent narratives reflect deepening mistrust as peace talks progress, with significant implications for maritime traffic and broader U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts.

A federal judge in the United States has dismissed a Department of Justice lawsuit seeking to access voter data from Rhode Island. The decision on Friday was the latest loss for the administration of President Donald Trump, which has sought to access voter data in dozens of states across the country.In the ruling, US District Court Judge Mary McElroy sided with election officials and civil rights groups, writing that the Justice Department does not have the authority “to conduct the kind of fishing expedition it seeks here”. Rhode Island Secretary of State Gregg Amore praised the ruling in a statement afterwards, highlighting the importance of state rights and the balance of power in the US democratic republic.The Justice Department has sued at least 30 states for their voter information, maintaining it needs the information to secure election security. However, state officials have expressed concerns over privacy, and federal judges have rejected similar attempts in California, Massachusetts, Michigan, and Oregon. At least 12 states have willingly provided or pledged to provide voter information to the Trump administration.The push for voter information is one of several actions that have raised concerns over how the Trump administration will approach the midterm elections in November, which will decide the makeup of the US Congress. Trump is currently calling on Republicans to pass the so-called SAVE America Act, a bill that would create higher documentation standards for voters to prove their citizenship when registering to vote and casting ballots.

Iranian authorities announced a swift reversal of the Strait of Hormuz’s reopening, reinstating tight military oversight after Washington declared it would maintain the blockade on Iranian ports.IRGC vessels engaged a tanker attempting to transit the waterway on Saturday, and a separate Indian‑flagged crude carrier was also reported to have come under fire, according to a UK maritime agency and Reuters.The Khatam al‑Anbiya joint military command stated that the strait has returned to its "previous status" and is now under "strict management and control by the armed forces". The restrictions will stay in place unless the United States guarantees full freedom of navigation for vessels traveling to and from Iran, a condition reiterated by Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh and the IRGC navy command.Speaking at a Turkish diplomatic forum in Antalya, Khatibzadeh warned that the U.S. cannot impose a "siege" on Iran while Tehran seeks to ensure safe passage through the strategic chokepoint.On the social platform X, the IRGC navy warned that any perceived breach of U.S. commitments would elicit a "appropriate response" and that the strait’s status would remain unchanged as long as Iranian shipping faces threats.Iran initially closed the strait on 4 March following U.S.–Israeli airstrikes, reopening it only after a 10‑day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon was brokered. The latest U‑turn follows President Donald Trump’s declaration that the U.S. blockade will remain in force until a permanent peace agreement with Tehran is reached, and he hinted that the temporary Pakistan‑mediated ceasefire may not be extended.The UK’s Maritime Trade Operations Centre reported that a tanker was approached and fired upon by two IRGC gunboats about 20 nautical miles northeast of Oman. The vessel’s captain confirmed that no radio warning was given, but the crew emerged unharmed and authorities are investigating.Despite the brief reopening, maritime tracking showed that only eight oil and gas tankers managed to pass through the strait before Iran’s reversal.Approximately 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas transits the Strait of Hormuz, making it a focal point of the broader U.S.–Israeli‑Iran conflict. Its closure has already contributed to rising energy prices worldwide.Regional diplomats remain cautiously optimistic: Egypt’s foreign minister Badr Abdelatty expressed hope for a deal "in the coming days," noting that the prolonged conflict harms not only the Middle East but the entire world.

New Yorkers received an early Christmas present last week when Stefan Pildes, the organizer of SantaCon in New York City, was arrested on Wednesday morning and charged with wire fraud. Pildes allegedly used hundreds of thousands of dollars from event-based charitable donations on his personal expenses, such as luxe vacations and “extravagant meals”, according to Manhattan federal prosecutors. The news of Pildes' indictment sparked a humorous reaction on social media, with many New Yorkers expressing schadenfreude and relief. “LMAO” – internet slang for “laughing my ass off” – was one response, and “ahahahahahahahahahahaha” was another. The event, which has been associated with debauchery and chaos in the city, has long been a source of frustration for many residents. According to allegations in the indictment, Pildes sold tickets for $10 to $20 that granted access to SantaCon-sanctioned venues and received up to a 25% cut of participating bars’ sales. He repeatedly represented that these proceeds went to charity and claimed he didn’t receive any money from SantaCon or related entities. However, prosecutors allege that Pildes diverted more than half of the $2.7m in proceeds from 2019 to 2024 to an entity he controlled, using the funds freely to finance various personal ventures. The Manhattan borough president, Brad Hoylman-Sigal, told the Guardian: “I’m not surprised about the charges, but I am surprised that it took so long for someone, for a prosecutor, to look under the hood of this organization.” He also noted that he has been working to get SantaCon to follow community guidelines since 2013. Pildes appeared in federal court, where he entered a not guilty plea to one wire fraud count – which carries a maximum 20-year prison sentence. He was released on a $300,000 bond, with the condition that he have “no involvement … in the promotion or organizing of the event called SantaCon”. As he left court, Pildes was met by a throng of reporters eager for answers about the alleged SantaCon scam, but he did not respond to questions.

Sixteen Polymarket accounts each earned more than $100,000 by correctly forecasting the U.S. airstrike on Iran on 27 February, while a single user, known as “Magamyman,” pocketed over $550,000 by betting on the removal of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei moments before his death in an Israeli strike.Just before former President Donald Trump announced a temporary cease‑fire on 7 April, traders placed a staggering $950 million wager that oil prices would fall – a bet that proved accurate.These synchronized bets, which also included $855,000 in contracts predicting the 27 February strike and $580 million in oil‑futures positions placed minutes before Trump’s “productive talks” comment on 23 March, have raised alarms about possible insider information being used in online prediction markets.Platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi now allow contracts on virtually any news event, blurring the line between traditional sports betting and financial speculation. The ease of accessing commodity derivatives, especially oil futures, amplifies the potential for profit – and for regulatory scrutiny.Law professors Joshua Mitts (Columbia) and Andrew Verstein (UCLA) note that while the trades could be “lucky,” the timing and scale suggest “hallmarks of suspicious activity” that merit investigation. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has reportedly opened inquiries into the March 23 and April 7 oil‑futures trades, though it has not publicly confirmed the probes.Regulators face a dilemma: existing legislation may be inadequate for the technological realities of blockchain‑based prediction markets. CFTC Commissioner Michael Selig, appointed by the Trump administration, warned that “we will find you and you will face the full force of the law,” yet the agency cannot issue new rules until it has a full five‑member commission.State‑level challenges further complicate oversight. Nevada temporarily banned Kalshi for operating without a gambling license, while Arizona filed criminal charges over election‑betting contracts. Kalshi argues that the CFTC holds exclusive jurisdiction over such markets.A recent academic study screened over 200,000 “suspicious wallet‑market pairs” from February 2024 to February 2026, finding that traders in this cohort achieved a near 70% win rate, generating roughly $143 million from well‑timed bets on events ranging from the capture of former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro to celebrity engagements.Congressional leaders have responded with legislation aimed at prohibiting federal employees, including members of Congress and White House staff, from participating in prediction‑market contracts tied to political or policy outcomes. However, experts caution that the legal framework for insider trading in commodity futures remains under‑developed, making enforcement challenging.As prediction markets continue to intersect with geopolitical events, the risk of market distortion grows. “When financial bets are based on classified military information, it undermines both market integrity and public trust,” warned Verstein, highlighting the broader implications for the real economy.

Analysts warn that the world is confronting the most severe energy shock since the 1970s, a looming global recession and a renewed surge in living‑cost pressures that are hitting the most vulnerable households hardest.Against a backdrop of sweltering Washington heat, the atmosphere at the International Monetary Fund’s spring meetings shifted dramatically as delegates confronted the fallout from the Iran war. The usual optimism about rising living standards was replaced by a palpable sense of unease.IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva addressed finance ministers and central‑bank governors, noting that “some countries are in panic” and urging that “the sooner it ends, the better for everybody.”Such gatherings are rarely venues for open geopolitical confrontation. Yet, as a record‑breaking April heatwave baked the capital, the mounting economic damage from the conflict could no longer be ignored.During a G20 breakfast that included U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and outgoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, participants described the mood as somber, with frank discussions about the war’s ramifications.Former IMF deputy managing director Mohamed El‑Erian likened the session to a “twilight‑zone meeting,” identifying three looming shadows: the overall health of the global economy, the disproportionate impact on lesser‑discussed nations, and the paradox that the United States, as the war’s initiator, would suffer comparatively less.British Chancellor Rachel Reeves started her day with a jog alongside counterparts from Spain, Australia and New Zealand on the National Mall, posting an Instagram selfie captioned, “Friends that run together – work together.” The image underscored her resolve to confront the war’s economic fallout.Reeves had earlier condemned the conflict as a “mistake” and “folly,” arguing that the war had not enhanced global security and was driving up energy prices for UK families and businesses.In a one‑on‑one with Bessent near the White House, Reeves emphasized the urgency of the situation, noting that the UK, like many other nations, was feeling the pain of higher energy costs triggered by the conflict.Despite the tension, the UK and the United States continue to share deep interests in artificial intelligence, financial services and trade, though the British government signalled little tolerance for the Iranian regime.The IMF’s own warning that the war could precipitate a global recession singled out the United Kingdom as the “biggest G7 casualty,” highlighting the stakes for British growth forecasts.Observers noted Reeves’s vocal stance, recalling earlier disagreements between Bessent and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde that had remained behind closed doors.A cocktail reception at the British ambassador’s residence brought together senior diplomats and financiers—including Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Barclays CEO CS Venkatakrishnan—where transatlantic friction was a hot topic, just weeks before King Charles’s state visit to the United States.Meanwhile, revelations about former ambassador Peter Mandelson’s vetting process added another layer of political strain for the UK government.Before the war, the IMF agenda focused on global cooperation, AI adoption, job creation and poverty eradication. The conflict has now complicated each of these priorities, especially the goal of coordinated international action.Former UK Foreign Secretary David Miliband observed that many nations are now “hedging against American decisions,” acknowledging the United States’ outsized role—about 25% of the global economy—while noting its recent retreat from several forums.The irony was not lost on participants: the meetings were held in institutions born out of U.S. leadership after World War II to prevent the economic chaos of the 1930s, yet they now convene amid a war that threatens similar turmoil.Economists also recognized that real policy leverage sits “two blocks away,” behind the security cordons surrounding the White House, casting doubt on the ability of the IMF and World Bank to influence the conflict directly.Amid the uncertainty, the rapid growth of AI—exemplified by Anthropic’s Mythos model—offers a glimmer of economic resilience, but most countries cannot afford to sever ties with the United States entirely.El‑Erian summed up the dilemma: “People want to go long the private sector and short the mess, but it’s almost impossible to do.”

Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, has announced that the Strait of Hormuz is now fully open to commercial vessels. This development has sparked hopes for an end to the conflict in the Middle East and led to a significant decrease in oil prices.US President Donald Trump celebrated the reopening, claiming that Iran had agreed never to close the strategic waterway again. However, this claim has not been verified, and Iran's parliamentary speaker warned that the strait could be shut again if the US blockade continues.The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has reinforced its authority in Tehran during the war, and commercial vessels are only allowed to travel through the strait along a determined route and with the permission of the IRGC navy. The US blockade of Iranian ports and shipping remains in place, making it uncertain when normality will return.