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The recent US-Iran ceasefire agreement has not led to a significant change in the situation for ships trying to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. According to shipping analysts, there will be no 'mass exodus' of ships through the strait, despite provisions for a temporary reopening of the crucial maritime channel.The ceasefire agreement 'doesn't change the situation in the sense that Iran is still in control,' said Richard Meade, the editor-in-chief at maritime data provider Lloyd's List Intelligence. 'It still requires ships to essentially seek permission, and that's the key. That means that nothing has changed – no permission, no transit.'An estimated 2,000 ships and 20,000 seafarers have been trapped in the Persian Gulf since the outbreak of war at the end of February, according to the UN, unable to pass through the strait to continue their journeys. The trapped vessels include oil and gas tankers, bulk carriers, and cargo ships as well as six tourist cruise liners.Under Iran's 10-point ceasefire plan, the country's foreign minister said safe passage through the strait would be allowed under Iranian military management. However, analysts believe that Iran will continue to control the flow of traffic, and few expect traffic to return to normal daily averages during the two-week ceasefire.The head of the UN shipping agency, the International Maritime Organization (IMO), welcomed the ceasefire and called for a safe evacuation of seafarers from the Gulf. Arsenio Dominguez, the secretary-general of the IMO, said: 'I am already working with the relevant parties to implement an appropriate mechanism to ensure the safe transit of ships through the strait of Hormuz. The priority now is to ensure an evacuation that guarantees the safety of navigation.'

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer embarked on a visit to the Gulf on Wednesday, following a two-week ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran. This development brings a moment of relief to the region and the world, as stated by Starmer.The ceasefire, agreed on Tuesday evening, effectively cancels a self-imposed deadline by US President Donald Trump for Iran to surrender or face widespread destruction. Starmer emphasized the need for the international community to support and sustain this ceasefire, with the goal of turning it into a lasting agreement.During his visit, Starmer will discuss diplomatic efforts to uphold the ceasefire and protect the UK and global economy, which has been impacted by the conflict. The British government aims to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial oil and gas shipping route that has been closed since US-Israel attacks began.The visit comes amid mounting pressure on Starmer to limit US access to British airbases, following Trump's warning that a 'whole civilization will die' if Tehran did not comply with his demands. Trump's comments were criticized by military observers and retired officers as 'likely war crimes'.British Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper has been in talks with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, urging a swift end to the conflict and giving the UK's backing to negotiations. Cooper and Rubio also discussed international efforts to open the Strait of Hormuz, including a UK-led meeting that brought together over 40 countries to pursue reopening.

The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran has taken a critical turn with the involvement of US Vice President JD Vance in Pakistan-led mediation efforts. Vance has been working closely with Pakistani officials to facilitate a ceasefire and prevent further escalation. The mediation efforts, which began in late March, have gained significant momentum in recent days.According to sources close to the talks, Vance has been in direct communication with Iranian officials, including Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The Pakistani government has been playing a crucial role in facilitating the talks, with Field Marshal Asim Munir, the country's army chief, having spoken with Vance and Araghchi.The mediation efforts have produced tangible movement, with Iran confirming receipt of a ceasefire proposal. However, Tehran eventually rejected the plan, calling it 'illogical'. Despite this setback, the talks are ongoing, with Pakistani officials describing the negotiations as being at an advanced stage.Iran's preference for Vance is rooted in his record on foreign intervention. As a senator, Vance argued that Trump's success in office rested partly on avoiding new wars. He also warned that a conflict with Iran would not serve US interests and would be a 'huge distraction of resources'. This stance has been seen as more sympathetic to ending the conflict than other US officials.The mediation efforts have significant implications for the region, with a potential ceasefire having the potential to prevent further escalation and destabilization. The involvement of Vance and other officials has also raised questions about the political calculus of the US administration and its approach to the conflict.

The US-Iran conflict has taken a dire turn as President Donald Trump threatens to destroy Iran's power plants, bridges, and other vital civilian infrastructure if Tehran does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts warn that such actions will only prolong and expand the conflict, which has already entered its sixth week.Naveed Shah, political director at Common Defense, an advocacy group led by US military veterans, cautioned that if the regional war is not brought to an end soon, “there’s no end in sight as to how far” it will spread. Shah emphasized that attacking infrastructure will not end the war faster, but rather make it go on much longer.Iran has warned of severe retaliation if its civilian infrastructure is attacked, potentially targeting energy and power facilities across the region, which could further raise oil and gas prices. Several Iranian officials have ruled out reopening the Strait of Hormuz under Trump's threats.Brian Finucane, an analyst at the International Crisis Group and former adviser at the US Department of State, stated that attacks on civilian infrastructure in Iran are unlikely to help Trump achieve his goals, namely reopening Hormuz. “It’s hard to see this lead to some quick US victory,” Finucane said.The supply pressure from closing Hormuz is being felt in the US, where petrol prices have gone up to more than $4.11 per gallon from less than $3 before the war. Finucane noted that escalating attacks against Iran and having Iran escalate attacks against its neighbors is a recipe for “even higher gas prices.”Trump has set a deadline for Iran to reopen Hormuz or face widespread destruction, threatening that the “whole civilisation will die” after the deadline passes. Qatar's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed al-Ansari warned that prolonging the war benefits no one and could take the conflict to a point where it cannot be controlled.Negar Mortazavi, a senior fellow at the Center for International Policy, said more threats and attacks by Trump will only lead to more resistance by Iran. “Maximum pressure has not produced surrender from Iran since the first term of President Trump,” Mortazavi told Al Jazeera.

The relationship between the United States and Iran appears to be on the brink of a critical juncture. Recent statements from US officials suggest a potential military strike against Iran's power infrastructure, a move that could have far-reaching consequences for the region. The threat, as reported, has heightened concerns about the stability of the Middle East and the potential for widespread disruptions to Iran's energy sector. This development comes at a time when diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran have been under intense scrutiny. Iran, a significant player in the global energy market, relies heavily on its power plants to support both domestic needs and international oil exports. Any disruption to these facilities could lead to significant economic and geopolitical repercussions, affecting not only Iran but also the broader region and global markets. The situation remains fluid, with international observers closely monitoring developments for signs of escalation or potential diplomatic breakthroughs. The possibility of military action against Iran's power plants raises critical questions about the future of US-Iran relations and the impact on regional stability.

The world is facing an energy crisis reminiscent of the 1970s, with rising energy prices and fears of stagflation. In response, countries may turn to coal, a dirtiest of fuels, to meet their energy demands.Historically, energy crises have led to increased investment in coal production. During Jimmy Carter's presidency, the US aggressively developed domestic coal sources, which became America's 'black hope'. Similarly, Donald Trump's America is doubling down on fossil fuels, pushing to develop US coal and oil reserves.The energy crisis sparked by the US-Iran war highlights the need for renewable energy sources. However, the conflict has raised hurdles to investing in renewable power generation capacity, including inflation and interest rates. As a result, countries around the world, including Japan, India, and Europe, are considering or have already ramped up their use of coal.Despite the progress made in decarbonization and the switch to cleaner gas in power generation, the current crisis could unravel these efforts. Coal consumption worldwide has increased by about 1.3bn tons since 2020, to 8.8bn tons, driven by demand in India and China. The International Energy Agency (IEA) reports that coal supplied 23% of the world's energy in 2000, increasing to 28% in 2023.The global energy landscape is shifting, with renewable energy sources becoming increasingly important. However, the ongoing conflict in Iran and rising energy prices pose significant challenges to the transition to a low-carbon economy.

The conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has escalated on day 35, with the US and Israel widening their attacks on Iranian infrastructure. The strikes have targeted a century-old medical research centre in Tehran, steel plants, and a bridge near the capital, which Iran claims was civilian infrastructure.The human toll continues to rise, with at least 2,076 people killed and 26,500 wounded in Iran since the start of the US-Israeli attacks. Iran's Foreign Ministry reports that more than 600 schools and education centres have been hit since February 28.Iran's military has vowed to continue the war until its enemies face 'humiliation' and 'surrender', warning the US against a ground invasion. The Iranian Foreign Ministry has stated that it is ready for any type of attack, including a ground attack.In a significant development, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has abruptly fired the US Army's top general and two other senior officers, sparking speculation of a wartime leadership shake-up.The conflict has also drawn in other countries, with Pakistan pushing for US-Iran talks and the United Kingdom holding talks with about 40 countries on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which carries about 20 percent of the world's oil and LNG. The US has lost 13 service members in combat and two to noncombat causes, with more than 200 injured.In Israel, sirens have become 'part of life', with residents repeatedly heading to shelters, especially in the Tel Aviv area. The conflict has also intensified along the northern front, with Hezbollah carrying out 60 military operations against Israel in 24 hours.

Iraq is facing a balancing act as the US-Israeli war on Iran exposes deep divisions within the country. The conflict has highlighted the divisions between those who view the attacks on Iran as a means to end Tehran's longstanding influence over Iraqi politics and those who are loyal to the Islamic republic. The war has struck Iraq during a precarious power vacuum, following the stepping aside of caretaker leader Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, whose coalition won the largest share of seats in November's parliamentary elections. This power vacuum has exacerbated tensions, with factions from the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, an umbrella body of Iran-backed armed groups, vowing to drag the US into a long war of attrition. The group has claimed responsibility for numerous drone and missile attacks on targets in Iraq and neighboring countries, including the US base in Erbil and the city's international airport. In response, unclaimed airstrikes attributed to US and Israeli forces have hit positions across the country, killing several commanders and fighters. Iraqi leaders are attempting to maintain a balancing act, denouncing the killing of Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei while rejecting attempts by Tehran to draw Iraq into the conflict. However, this balancing act is complicated by the fact that pro-Iran groups are also members of the Popular Mobilisation Units (PMU), a sprawling institution that operates with its own agenda. The conflict has significant implications for Iraq's stability and economy, with a looming financial disaster hanging over the country due to the crisis over the strait of Hormuz and the loss of oil revenue. The US pressure and threat of sanctions have forced some members of the pro-Iran Shia alliance in Iraq's parliament to distance themselves from more militant factions. The killing of Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, has also had a profound impact on the Iraqi resistance factions, which have struggled to respond effectively to the recent war. The insider close to the pro-Iran factions noted that the killing of Nasrallah has affected the Iraqi resistance factions more than the killing of Khamenei, as Nasrallah had a direct appeal to many commanders.

A US senator has made a striking comparison between the current state of US-Iran relations and NASA's moon mission, highlighting the divergent paths of conflict and exploration. The senator's comments come at a time when tensions between the US and Iran are escalating, with military actions and diplomatic efforts intensifying. The NASA moon mission, on the other hand, represents a peaceful pursuit of scientific discovery and international cooperation. This contrast has sparked a renewed debate about the role of the US in global affairs and the priorities of its foreign policy.