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World Economy Mar 30, 2026

US Threatens to Seize Iranian Oil: What It Means for Global Markets

US President Donald Trump has expressed interest in seizing Iran's oil, which could have significan…
US President Donald Trump has stated that his 'preference would be to take the oil' in Iran, sparking concerns about the potential for a US invasion or occupation of the country. Iran is one of the world's biggest oil producers, holding around 24 percent of the Middle East's and 12 percent of the world's proven oil reserves, with about 157 billion barrels of proven crude oil.The Trump administration has threatened to target Iran's energy infrastructure, including oil wells, if Tehran does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which has been under a de facto Iranian blockade for weeks, triggering a global energy crisis. The US has also unveiled plans to prepare for limited ground operations in Iran, potentially including raids on Kharg Island and coastal sites near the Strait of Hormuz.Seizing Iranian oil would not be easy, as the US would have to occupy Iran's oil production sites and refineries, essentially occupying mainland Iran. However, if the US were to lift sanctions on Iranian oil after seizing it, it could lead to a flow of more Iranian oil into global markets, bringing down oil prices.The US-Israeli war on Iran has already sent global oil prices soaring, with benchmark Brent crude rising to more than 3 percent on Monday to $116 a barrel – the highest level in nearly two weeks. The oil price was about $65 per barrel before the war.In 2023, Iran's gross domestic product (GDP) was around $457.5bn, according to World Bank data. Iran's net oil export revenues were estimated at $53bn, equivalent to roughly 12 percent of Iran's GDP.This is not the first time the US has shown an interest in Iranian oil. In 1953, the government of Mohammad Mossadegh, Iran's first democratically elected prime minister, was toppled in a CIA-orchestrated coup after he nationalised the British-controlled firm Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (AIOC), the predecessor of modern-day BP.
#iran #oil #sanctions
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News Mar 30, 2026

Pakistan spearheads four‑nation diplomatic drive to broker Iran‑US settlement as Trump hints at oil seizure

Pakistan hosted foreign ministers from Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt to form a “Committee of Four”…
Islamabad became the focal point of a new diplomatic track when the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt arrived this weekend, joining Pakistan’s Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar. The quartet pledged to channel U.S. and Iranian confidence in Pakistan’s ability to host direct talks aimed at a comprehensive settlement. At the close of the meeting, Dar announced the creation of a Committee of Four—senior officials from each foreign ministry tasked with ironing out the procedural details of the peace process. The gathering marks the evolution of a broader Arab‑Islamic consultative effort that began in Riyadh on March 19 into a focused four‑nation push, with Pakistan positioned as the primary conduit between Washington and Tehran. In a candid interview with the Financial Times, U.S. President Donald Trump declared his “favourite thing is to take the oil in Iran,” hinting at a possible seizure of Kharg Island, which handles roughly 90 % of Iran’s crude exports. He reiterated an April 6 deadline for Tehran to accept a deal or face U.S. strikes on its energy infrastructure, yet on Air Force One he added, “I do see a deal in Iran, yeah. Could be soon,” describing the negotiations as “extremely well” progressing. Analysts stress that these mixed signals underscore the central tension confronting Pakistan’s initiative. While Islamabad and its partners are building a multilateral framework to curb escalation, Israeli strikes continue and the U.S. military presence in the region expands. Key diplomatic insights came from former Pakistani officials. Former information minister Mushahid Hussain Sayed highlighted the meeting as the first institutional Muslim‑world effort to open a dialogue pathway, noting that Pakistan and Turkey are among the most credible interlocutors—one a nuclear power, the other a NATO member. He cautioned, however, that the steps are “baby steps” in a war that is rapidly complicating. Former ambassador Masood Khan described the Committee of Four as a structured back‑channel enabling a “step‑by‑step, layered, and calibrated process.” He outlined four potential stages: trust‑building measures, cease‑fire negotiations, direct talks on the nuclear programme and the Strait of Hormuz, and finally reciprocal commitments. Khan warned that Iran’s demands for war reparations and sovereignty over the Strait could prove the toughest hurdles. High‑level outreach extended beyond the region. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif held a 90‑minute call with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, while China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi pledged full backing for the initiative. A senior Pakistani diplomat confirmed Dar’s planned visit to China on March 31, underscoring the strategic weight of the Pakistan‑China relationship. On the economic front, Iran’s agreement to allow 20 Pakistani‑flagged vessels through the Strait of Hormuz represents the most immediate confidence‑building measure. The strait remains effectively closed to regular shipping, prompting the International Energy Agency to label the disruption as the “worst oil shock in history,” surpassing the crises of 1973 and 1979. Brent crude surged above $116 per barrel, up more than 50 % since the war began on February 28, while WTO Director‑General Ngozi Okonjo‑Iweala warned of the “worst trade disruptions in the past 80 years.” Nevertheless, experts argue that the Strait should not become the centerpiece of any settlement. The long‑term resolution will likely involve all eight littoral states under UNCLOS and established legal precedents, with the immediate priority being a broader halt to hostilities. Military dynamics remain volatile. U.S. Central Command reported that an amphibious task force of roughly 3,500 Marines and sailors aboard the USS Tripoli arrived in the region, with an additional 2,200 Marines and 2,000 soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division slated to deploy. Trump affirmed that military options are still on the table, and reports suggest the Pentagon is preparing for potential ground operations. Iran’s leadership remains skeptical. A spokesperson for Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs described the U.S. 15‑point plan—calling for a one‑month cease‑fire, handover of highly enriched uranium, a halt to enrichment, missile curbs, and an end to proxy support—as “unrealistic, illogical and excessive.” Tehran’s counter‑proposal, aired on Press TV, demands a halt to aggression, concrete guarantees against recurrence, reparations, and formal recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts such as Reza Khanzadeh of George Mason University argue that the burden of compromise falls on Washington, noting that Iran will not sacrifice regime survival. Meanwhile, former diplomat Masood Khan identified the most decisive confidence‑building measure as a U.S. commitment to halt Israeli attacks on Iran and Lebanon—a step he admits is “easier said than done.” In sum, Pakistan’s diplomatic corridor offers a glimmer of hope, but deep mistrust, divergent demands, and an accelerating military buildup render the path to a lasting settlement precarious.
#pakistan #iran #egypt
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Politics Mar 30, 2026

Rubio: Trump Favors Diplomacy Over Military Action in Iran Conflict

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that President Donald Trump prefers diplomacy to resolve t…
In an exclusive interview with Al Jazeera, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio revealed that President Donald Trump favors diplomacy as a means to end the conflict with Iran. Rubio emphasized that direct talks between the US and Tehran are currently underway through intermediaries.Earlier, Trump threatened to target Iran's civilian energy infrastructure, including power plants, oil wells, and Kharg Island, if Tehran did not reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Despite these military threats, Rubio's comments suggest a preference for diplomatic engagement.
#Donald Trump #Marco Rubio #Iran
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Video Mar 30, 2026

Trump Suggests Iran Regime Change, Comments on Oil Exports

Former US President Donald Trump comments on Iran's political situation and oil exports, suggesting…
Former US President Donald Trump has made recent comments suggesting that Iran has experienced a 'regime change'. During his remarks, Trump also touched on Iran's oil exports, describing 'boatloads of oil' being shipped out of the country.The comments come at a time of heightened tensions between the US and Iran, with the international community closely watching developments in the region. Trump's statements have sparked interest and debate among analysts and policymakers, who are assessing the implications of his words on US-Iran relations and the global oil market.
#trump #says #iran
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World Economy Mar 30, 2026

US-Israel Strikes Hit Iran, Escalating Conflict and Global Market Volatility

The US and Israel have launched overnight strikes on Tehran and other Iranian cities, targeting pow…
The conflict between the US and Israel against Iran has entered its 31st day, with overnight strikes hitting Tehran and other cities, targeting power infrastructure in the Iranian capital and causing a blackout that has since been restored. US President Donald Trump has stated that he wants to "take the oil in Iran", while Tehran has accused Washington of plotting a ground attack despite publicly pushing for a negotiated deal. Trump also mentioned that he is "pretty sure" a deal with Iran will be made. In a diplomatic effort, Pakistan is set to host meaningful talks in the coming days, with the Pakistani Foreign Minister stating that regional foreign ministers discussed ways to bring an early end to the war. The conflict has spread to other regions, with Saudi Arabia intercepting five ballistic missiles heading towards its Eastern province, and Kuwait reporting an attack on a service building and electric power plant, resulting in the death of an Indian worker. The economic impact of the conflict is significant, with Brent crude prices rising 2.98% to $115.93 a barrel, and Asian markets experiencing a decline, including Indonesia's main stock index and Malaysia's FTSE Bursa Malaysia Top 100.
#iran #iranian #tehran
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News Mar 30, 2026

Iranian Attack on Kuwait Power Plant Kills One, Heightens Regional Tensions

An Iranian attack on a Kuwaiti power and water desalination plant has killed an Indian worker and d…
Kuwait's Ministry of Electricity confirmed that an Iranian attack on a power and water desalination plant resulted in the death of an Indian worker and significant material damage to a service building. The attack is part of Iranian aggression against Kuwait, according to the ministry.Emergency response teams were quickly dispatched to the site to manage the aftermath and ensure continued operations. The incident occurred as regional tensions spike following the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran over a month ago.Iranian forces have retaliated against Israel and countries hosting US military assets with drone and missile strikes, causing casualties and infrastructure damage. The conflict has also led to Iran effectively blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas, driving up energy prices and unsettling financial markets.The vulnerability of critical water infrastructure in one of the world's most water-scarce regions has been exposed by the war. Kuwait has faced repeated attacks since the conflict began, including the detection of 14 missiles and 12 drones in its airspace, with several targeting a military camp and injuring 10 servicemen.The US and Israeli attacks on Iran have killed over 2,000 people, including high-ranking officials and children, and destroyed critical infrastructure. The situation remains volatile, with US President Donald Trump pausing threatened attacks on Iranian energy plants until April 6, and Iran vowing to respond to any attacks on its facilities with strikes on energy sites across the Gulf region.
#iranian #kuwait #iran
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World Economy Mar 30, 2026

Oil Prices Soar to $116 as Iran-US Tensions Escalate

Oil prices have surged to over $116 a barrel as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran escalate,…
Oil prices have reached their highest level in nearly two weeks, with Brent crude rising over 3% to $116 a barrel on Monday morning. The surge comes amid escalating tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran, with Iran accusing the US of preparing for a ground invasion.The conflict has disrupted about one-fifth of global oil and liquified natural gas (LNG) supplies, plunging the world into its biggest energy crisis in decades. Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to a nearly 60% rise in oil prices since the start of the war.Analysts warn that oil prices are likely to keep rising unless maritime traffic returns to normal levels in the strait. US President Donald Trump has threatened to 'obliterate' Iran's energy infrastructure if Tehran does not relinquish its stranglehold on the waterway by a deadline of April 6.Greg Newman, CEO of Onyx Capital Group, said energy consumers are only beginning to feel the true fallout of the turmoil, with Brent expected to rise towards $120 and beyond. The scale of the disruption has yet to be fully appreciated, with physical premiums at their highest ever.
#iran #oil #war
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Politics Mar 30, 2026

US-Iran Conflict: Trump's 'Boomer War' Sparks Concerns Over Military Overextension

The article discusses the US conflict with Iran, characterizing it as a 'boomer war' unpopular with…
The recent conflict between the United States and Iran has sparked concerns over military overextension and the US's strategic approach in the Middle East. The war, initiated by President Donald Trump, has been characterized as a 'boomer war,' with limited support among younger generations. According to the article, the conflict's popularity declines with each younger cohort, with only one in five adults under 30 supporting the war.The author, Stephen Wertheim, argues that the war is anachronistic and reflects an outdated approach to foreign policy. He notes that every president since Trump, most notably Trump himself, has repudiated regime-change wars in the Middle East. The conflict has also raised concerns about the US's military capabilities and its strategic priorities in the region.Wertheim suggests that the war may be a last-ditch effort by older generations to impose their will on the region. He notes that sympathy for Israel is declining among millennials and Gen Z, which may have factored into the decision to launch the war. The article also highlights the risks of escalation and the potential for further conflict in the region.The author concludes that the US must reevaluate its approach to the Middle East and avoid tying itself to the region's problems. He argues that Americans must act to make warmakers pay a steep political price to prevent future conflicts. Ultimately, the article suggests that the US-Iran conflict is a critical moment for the US to reassess its foreign policy priorities and avoid further entanglement in the region.
#United States #Iran #Donald Trump
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Politics Mar 30, 2026

US Military Deployment: A Risky Strategy to Open Strait of Hormuz

The US has deployed ground forces to the Middle East, potentially to forcibly open the Strait of Ho…
The recent arrival of US ground invasion forces in the Middle East has raised concerns about a potential military confrontation with Iran. With 5,000 marines and 2,000 paratroopers deployed, the US may attempt to forcibly open the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway through which a fifth of the world's oil trade passes.Iran's control over the strait gives it significant leverage, and any US action could lead to severe escalation. The US president, Donald Trump, has stated he is prepared to give diplomacy a chance, but he also expressed a desire to 'take the oil in Iran'. The situation is precarious, with experts warning of a high risk of casualties and escalation.There are two possible military options for the US to open the strait: seizing territory or deploying a massive naval presence. However, both options carry significant risks. Iran has threatened to carpet bomb its own territory to kill any American soldiers on its soil, and the US would need a substantial force to hold any territory.The deployment may be a show of force to strengthen the American negotiating position, but it could also lead to a more significant conflict. The challenge could be multiplied if Iran-allied Houthi forces in Yemen enter the conflict, potentially attacking vessels passing through the southern end of the Red Sea.
#United States #Iran #Strait of Hormuz
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