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The LeadUnited States President Donald Trump has threatened longtime ally Oman with military force if it gets involved in the dispute over shipping access to the Strait of Hormuz, as Washington's war on Iran once again risks engulfing the Middle East. Trump's threat to "blow up" Oman came as Muscat reportedly held talks with Iran about overseeing passage through the strategic waterway that handles more than 20 percent of the world's global oil traffic.Trump's Unprecedented Threat Against a Key Ally"Nobody is going to control it," Trump said of the strait during a cabinet meeting in Washington. "It's international waters, and Oman will behave just like everybody else, or we will have to blow them up." This direct threat against a country with which Washington has had relations for more than 200 years has sent shockwaves across the region and drawn international criticism.While Hormuz is an international strait, most of it is located solely in Iranian and Omani territorial waters – not international waters – with parts of its outlying areas reaching United Arab Emirates (UAE) territorial waters. This geographical reality complicates Trump's assertion that the waterway is purely international.The Strategic Importance of the Strait of HormuzAs the only route for Gulf oil producers to ship exports to the open ocean, the strait has served as a free international maritime route for decades. Following the US-Israeli joint attacks on Iran on February 28, however, Tehran closed the waterway and began to assert sovereignty over it, including charging tolls of as much as $2m per ship at times.Under international maritime law, countries are not permitted to charge tolls to shipping passing through natural straits such as Hormuz, even where they are not in international waters. Countries can, however, provide services to shippers, such as insurance, maintenance and docking assistance.Regional Implications of Trump's ThreatShortly before Trump's comment, Iran's state television reported that Iran and the United States were close to agreeing on a memorandum of understanding (MOU) under which Tehran and Muscat would jointly control the strait. The proposal designates payments for passing vessels, framed as "fees for services" rather than "tolls."While the Trump administration has called the claims of such an MoU "a complete fabrication," analysts say his threat suggests that an understanding between Iran and Oman is precisely what the US president is trying to avoid."What Washington wants to prevent is the normalisation of Iranian control over Hormuz, dressed in administrative and legal clothing and given Arab cover by a US ally," Muhanad Seloom, non-resident senior fellow at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, told Al Jazeera.International Reaction and Legal ConcernsCritics called the threat reckless. Raed Jarrar, the advocacy director at the US-based rights group DAWN, likened the US president's comments to those of a "mafia boss.""The UN Charter prohibits the threat of force against any state, and that prohibition binds the United States exactly as it binds everyone else," Jarrar told Al Jazeera. "Threatening to 'blow up' an Arab country because its waters happen to sit along an oil route Washington wants reopened is the same lawless logic that produced this war in February."Samir Puri, a visiting lecturer in war studies at King's College in London, said Trump's threat to Oman was "really surprising" and warned that it would "send shockwaves across the region."Oman's Diplomatic Role in the US-Iran ConflictOman has played a unique role in the region as a mediator between the US and Iran. Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi was a key mediator in US-Iran nuclear talks before the war on Iran began. Just before the US-Israeli joint attack on Tehran in February, Albusaidi had been meeting US officials, including Vice President JD Vance, to facilitate negotiations about the future of Tehran's nuclear programme.Unlike other US allies in the Gulf, such as Qatar, Bahrain and the UAE, Oman does not host US forces. It was nevertheless dragged into the conflict when Iran launched attacks on US military assets and energy infrastructure across the Gulf region in the early days of the war.Future Outlook for the RegionSeloom, from the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, said Oman is "one Gulf state that is simultaneously a US security partner and Iran's most trusted Arab interlocutor.""In peacetime, that ambiguity is an asset. In wartime, it becomes a liability, which is precisely the inversion now playing out," he told Al Jazeera.The analyst argued that joint Iran-Oman control over Hormuz was "more posture than probability." "Oman's real interest is not co-owning Iran's blockade; it is brokering the strait's reopening," he said.Still, according to Seloom, the prospect of Iran and Oman jointly shaping the future of the Strait of Hormuz alarms the US president for three reasons: "It would turn Iran's grip on the chokepoint into a permanent post-war fact rather than a temporary act of war; it would set a precedent that littoral states can metre and monetise an international waterway, eroding the freedom-of-navigation principle the United States underwrites worldwide; and it would hand Tehran a strategic win that outlasts any ceasefire."

The United Nations' weather agency has warned that the planet is on track to experience its hottest year on record by the end of the decade, with climate risks intensifying across the globe.WMO Forecast Signals 86% Likelihood of New Hottest Year Within Five YearsIn a report released on Thursday, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) stated there is an 86% chance that one of the next five years will surpass 2024 as the warmest year since records began. The agency also highlighted a 75% probability that the five‑year average temperature from 2026 to 2030 will exceed the 1.5 °C increase above pre‑industrial levels.Statistical Outlook: Probabilities, Temperature Gaps, and Regional Shifts86% chance of a new record year within the next five years.75% chance that the 2026‑2030 average exceeds 1.5 °C (2.7 °F) above pre‑industrial levels.Arctic winter temperatures projected to be 2.8 °C (5 °F) above the 1991‑2020 average, more than three‑and‑a‑half times the global rate.Rainfall expected to rise in the Sahel, Northern Europe, Alaska and Siberia, while the Amazon is forecast to become drier.Implications for the Paris Agreement and Global Climate PolicyAlmost 200 countries signed the Paris Agreement in 2016, pledging to limit warming to 1.5 °C. The WMO’s findings suggest the target is becoming increasingly unattainable unless emissions are cut dramatically. Michael Jacobs, professor of political economy at the University of Sheffield, warned that nations must accelerate renewable‑energy deployment and electrification. Simon Stiell, the UN climate chief, called recent European heatwaves a “brutal reminder” of the stakes.Looking Ahead: What 2030 Could Mean for Extreme Weather and Mitigation EffortsIf the projected trends materialise, the world can expect more frequent and intense heatwaves, stronger storms, and heightened stress on water resources. Policymakers will face pressure to tighten emissions‑reduction commitments, expand climate‑resilient infrastructure, and secure financing for adaptation in vulnerable regions. The next five years will be a decisive window for translating climate pledges into concrete action before the 2030 temperature threshold is crossed.

The Burberry CEO's New Bonus Scheme Burberry's CEO, Joshua Schulman, could earn up to £12.2m this year under a new bonus scheme introduced by the luxury British brand. Schulman, who was hired in July 2024 to help revive Burberry, was paid £4m in the year to March, up from £2.5m for his first nine months in the job. Details of the Bonus Scheme Schulman's basic pay will increase by 3% to £1.24m from July. He could earn a new long-term share bonus worth up to 300% of salary if he meets performance targets. The targets include increasing Burberry's annual revenues to £3.1bn by 2029. Financial Performance Burberry made pre-tax profits of £49m in the year to 28 March, compared with a loss of £66m in the previous 12 months. Sales were flat year on year at £2.4bn, once the effect of exchange rates was taken into account. Impact on Executive Pay The pay package of Kate Ferry, the finance director of Burberry, more than doubled to £2.5m, up from £904,000 the previous year. Ferry could earn £5.6m this year if she hits all targets and Burberry's share price increases by 50%. Future Outlook The new bonus scheme aims to incentivize Schulman to meet performance targets and retain him by improving his pay position relative to those who head the brand's luxury peers. The scheme is intended to be "reasonable" and subject to "the delivery of stretching performance targets".

The Postponement of a Cultural Event The British Museum has postponed a lecture for Jewish culture month over concerns that the event would be disrupted by protesters. The talk, on ancient Israel and Judah, was scheduled to take place on Thursday but will now be held at a later date yet to be decided. Event Details and Background The lecture was to be given by Dr Paul Collins, the keeper of the Middle East department, and was expected to examine the archaeology and history of the ancient kingdoms of Israel and Judah through artefacts held by the museum. It was part of the first ever Jewish culture month in the UK, which runs until 16 June and features over 100 events across the country. The Reason Behind the Postponement The museum announced the postponement less than 24 hours before the event, stating that a "significant proportion" of registered attendees were "individuals intending to deliberately disrupt the event, preventing others from participating in good faith and undermining the purpose of the programme." Reaction and Criticism The decision drew criticism from various quarters, including the Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch, Jewish commentators, and free speech advocates. They argued that publicly funded cultural institutions should not retreat from hosting historical or cultural conversations relating to Jewish identity in response to the threat of protest. The Future of Jewish Culture Month Despite the postponement, the British Museum stated it would continue to support Jewish culture month, ensuring that history, culture, and scholarship could be explored "without disruption." The museum aims to reschedule the event for a later date when it can take place in a secure environment.

The Lead: Iran's World Cup Visa DilemmaIran's football federation has demanded multiple-entry US visas for its World Cup squad, which will play matches across the United States. The team has relocated its base camp from the US to Mexico due to ongoing visa complications and heightened geopolitical tensions between the two nations.The Event Details: Visa Requirements and Base Camp RelocationFFIRI president Mehdi Taj stated that the US should issue multiple-entry visas for all players and support staff, as they would need to leave and re-enter the US multiple times during the tournament. The Iranian squad has not yet been issued US visas, with several members attending visa appointments in Turkiye where they have been training.The team has also applied for Canadian visas as a contingency plan in case they proceed to the knockout stages, which are allocated to venues in Canada. This preparation comes amid the ongoing regional conflict between the US and Iran that began in February.FIFA confirmed on Monday that Iran's World Cup training base camp had been relocated from the US to Mexico upon the team's request. Iran had originally selected a sports complex in Tucson, Arizona, but later sought a change. The team is now allocated Centro Xoloitzcuintle in Tijuana, Mexico, which is directly across the US-Mexico border from San Diego.The Impact Analysis: Geopolitics Meets International SportsThe visa complications highlight the intersection of sports and international relations. The US and Iran have been engaged in a regional conflict since February, with recent attacks occurring just days before the World Cup is set to begin. Despite a ceasefire being in place, the US carried out strikes on Iranian military sites, prompting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to launch an attack on what they described as an "American airbase" in the region.The relocation of Iran's base camp to Mexico demonstrates how geopolitical tensions can impact international sporting events. The proximity of Tijuana to the US border is expected to help with visa issues when the team needs to enter the country for their matches.The Prediction: Navigating World Cup Amid Regional TensionsAs the World Cup approaches, Iran's ability to participate fully will depend on the resolution of these visa issues. The team's preparation has been complicated by the need to apply for multiple visas and relocate their base camp at short notice. The situation underscores the challenges of hosting international sporting events in regions with geopolitical tensions.The World Cup, co-hosted by the US, Canada, and Mexico, runs from June 11 through July 19. Iran will open their campaign on June 15 against New Zealand in Los Angeles, face Belgium six days later, and conclude their Group G games against Egypt in Seattle on June 21.

The Red Carpet Incident Wicked star Cynthia Erivo has said that reactions to the incident at the Singapore premiere of Wicked: For Good, in which she stepped in to fend off a red-carpet invader who grabbed co-star Ariana Grande, revealed “the insidious nature of how we view Black women” and put her off campaigning for Oscars. Erivo's Account of the Incident In an interview with Variety, Erivo said that she and Grande were “terrified” when Johnson Wen jumped a barrier at Universal Studios Singapore and rushed towards them. “Nobody moved. Nobody moved. So I moved because my brain went, ‘Get him away! Get him out of here!’ … And what people couldn’t see is that he wouldn’t let go [of Grande]. He wouldn’t let go. So I just kept pushing at him to get him off.” The Data Analysis: Public Reaction The incident triggered a huge response on social media, including suggestions that Erivo was Grande’s “bodyguard” – something to which Erivo objects. Erivo added that she believes people made assumptions about her role in the incident based on her appearance, saying “it was my physique; it was my shape; it was the fact that I was bald; it was about what I looked like.” The Impact Analysis: Racism in the Spotlight Erivo said that she felt her humanity had been “bastardised” by the reactions to the incident, and that it had made her reluctant to campaign for Oscars for Wicked: For Good. “I just felt like my humanity had been bastardised,” she said. “I didn’t want to put myself through it. I didn’t feel like I deserved it.” The Prediction: Moving Forward Erivo's comments highlight the ongoing issue of racism in the entertainment industry and the need for greater understanding and empathy. As the industry continues to evolve, it remains to be seen how stars like Erivo will be perceived and treated in the future.

The Lead Scotland's manager, Steve Clarke, has signed a four-year contract extension, meaning he will remain in place until the end of the country's 2030 World Cup campaign. Historic Contract Extension The fresh, improved terms are no surprise but the length of deal will raise eyebrows given Clarke has been in position since 2019. Should he complete the term, he will become Scotland men's longest-serving manager. Clarke's Transformation of Scottish Football Clarke had initially been publicly confident he would step away after this summer's World Cup. The 62-year-old has taken Scotland to three tournaments from a possible four, with this World Cup a first since 1998. More recently, Clarke spoke of remaining in post. Player and Leadership Support The Scottish Football Association has always been agreeable to Clarke as the manager, despite disappointing displays at the past two European Championships. Scotland's players, including Scott McTominay, have also backed Clarke to remain. Clarke's Vision for Scottish Football "I'm proud to continue as head coach," Clarke said. "I know the Scotland supporters appreciate the achievements of this group in qualifying for back-to-back Euros and equally sure the whole nation rejoiced in our qualification for World Cup 2026 after such a long time." Building for the Future "It's very important to look ahead and plan for the future and, while my squad will be doing everything in their power to compete and make the country proud in the America this summer, it also gives us certainty ahead of the tournament knowing that we can look to build on those foundations for the long-term and it is a privilege to continue in this role." Challenges Ahead Mulholland's task is not a straightforward one. With top clubs dominating the Scottish football scene and typically not giving regular game time to young players from the country, the future looks tricky. Scottish FA's Perspective Ian Maxwell, the Scottish FA's chief executive, said: "During our discussions about the future we were all agreed that we cannot rest on our achievements or ever take qualification for granted. The passion and enthusiasm with which he discussed that road map emphasises that this will not simply be a continuation but a renewed purpose and focus over the next four years." Upcoming Matches Scotland's World Cup preparations continue with the visit of Curaçao to Hampden Park on Saturday.

Immediate Fallout: Children Killed as Eid Joy Turns to FearOn the day of Eid al-Fitr, Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip led to the deaths of several children, according to local reports. The strikes, which coincided with the Muslim holiday, have transformed what should have been a time of celebration into a period of collective grief and heightened anxiety for families across the enclave.Details of the Recent Gaza StrikesThe attacks were part of a broader Israeli campaign aimed at targeting militant infrastructure. While the official Israeli statement emphasized the pursuit of security objectives, eyewitness accounts from Gaza describe residential areas being hit, resulting in civilian casualties, including minors.Available Data on Casualties and DamageCurrent public information confirms the loss of child lives but does not provide a comprehensive casualty count for the day's operations. Health officials in Gaza have called for independent verification of the figures, highlighting the difficulty of obtaining accurate data amid ongoing hostilities.Broader Implications for the Gaza Humanitarian SituationThe incident underscores the fragile humanitarian environment in Gaza, where civilian populations already face severe shortages of water, electricity, and medical supplies. The timing of the strikes during a major religious holiday amplifies the psychological trauma and may influence international diplomatic pressure on the parties involved.Potential Trajectory: International Response and Future Ceasefire ProspectsIn the wake of the child fatalities, calls for an immediate de‑escalation have intensified from United Nations bodies, regional actors, and human‑rights organizations. The incident could serve as a catalyst for renewed ceasefire negotiations, though the path forward remains uncertain given the entrenched positions on both sides.

Unpacking America's Defining Speeches Ben Rhodes, a former speechwriter and deputy national security adviser to Barack Obama, has written a book titled 'All We Say: The Battle for American Identity: A History in 15 Speeches'. The book examines 15 significant speeches that have shaped American history and identity. The Event Details Rhodes' book starts with speeches from 250 years ago, including those by Benjamin Franklin and Sagoyewatha or Red Jacket. It covers great speeches by figures such as Frederick Douglass, Abraham Lincoln, Franklin D Roosevelt, Martin Luther King Jr, and John F Kennedy. The book also includes reactionary voices like Alexander H Stephens, Ronald Reagan, and Donald Trump. The Data Analysis Rhodes notes that it was challenging to find speeches by women, particularly before World War II. He highlights the speeches of lesser-known 19th-century campaigners like Maria Stewart and Anna Dickinson, as well as Dolores Huerta, the champion of Hispanic workers. The Impact Analysis The book aims to show how American identity has evolved over time. Rhodes discusses how Obama's speeches, such as 'A More Perfect Union', addressed issues of race and identity. He also analyzes speeches by other significant figures, including Frederick Douglass and his 'Composite Nation' speech, which advocated for mixed-race democracy. The Prediction Rhodes' work offers insights into the complexities of American identity and the power of speeches to shape the national conversation. His book provides a nuanced understanding of the country's history and the ongoing struggle to define what it means to be American.