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The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc), a critical component of the global climate system, is at risk of collapse, with new research indicating a significantly higher likelihood than previously thought. This current system plays a vital role in regulating global climate patterns, and its collapse would have catastrophic consequences for Europe, Africa, and the Americas.Scientists have long been monitoring the Amoc's decline, which is primarily caused by rising air temperatures in the Arctic due to global heating. The Amoc's slowdown allows more rainfall to accumulate in the salty surface waters, making it less dense and further slowing the sinking, creating a feedback loop.The research, published in Science Advances, combined real-world ocean observations with climate models to determine the most reliable predictions. The findings suggest an estimated slowdown of 42% to 58% by 2100, a level almost certain to end in collapse. This is a concerning development, as a collapse would shift the tropical rainfall belt, plunge western Europe into extreme cold winters and summer droughts, and add 50-100cm to already rising sea levels around the Atlantic.Experts, including Dr. Valentin Portmann and Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf, emphasize the gravity of the situation, with Rahmstorf warning that the 'pessimistic' models, which show a strong weakening of the Amoc by 2100, are unfortunately the realistic ones. He added that he is increasingly worried that the Amoc shutdown tipping point may be passed in the middle of this century, which is quite close.The Amoc's collapse would have severe impacts on global climate patterns, and scientists stress that it must be avoided at all costs. The research highlights the need for urgent action to mitigate the effects of climate change and prevent such a catastrophic event.

The ongoing conflict in Iran has led to a significant increase in oil prices, with the world's top 100 oil and gas companies reaping enormous profits. In the first month of the war, these companies banked more than $30m every hour in unearned profit, according to exclusive analysis for the Guardian. This translates to estimated windfall profits of $23bn for the month of March, with Saudi Aramco, Gazprom, and ExxonMobil among the biggest beneficiaries.The surge in oil prices to an average of $100 (£74) a barrel has resulted in a substantial increase in profits for these companies. If the oil price continues to average $100, the companies are expected to make $234bn by the end of the year. The analysis uses data from a leading intelligence provider, Rystad Energy, analysed by Global Witness.The excess profits come from the pockets of ordinary people as they pay high prices to fill up their vehicles and power their homes, as well as from businesses incurring higher energy bills. Dozens of countries have cut fuel taxes to help struggling consumers, but this has resulted in reduced revenue for public services.Pressure is growing for windfall taxes on the war profits of oil and gas companies, with the European Commission considering a request from the finance ministers of Germany, Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Austria. The ministers argue that this would help ease the burden on the general public and finance temporary relief measures.Aramco is expected to make a war profit of $25.5bn in 2026 if the oil price averages $100. This is on top of the huge profits habitually made by the majority state-owned Saudi company – $250m a day between 2016 to 2023. ExxonMobil, which has a long record of denying climate change, will take in $11bn in unearned war profits in 2026 if the $100 price endures.The impact of the Iran war is likely to be long lasting, with the head of the International Energy Agency, Fatih Birol, describing it as the biggest shock ever to the global energy market. The UN's climate chief, Simon Stiell, warned that fossil fuel dependency is ripping away national security and sovereignty, and replacing it with subservience and rising costs.

The American Great Plains, typically greening up in spring, are instead scarred by record-breaking wildfires that have devastated the region, leaving over a million acres of land blackened and barren.In Nebraska, where most of the nation's beef producers graze their herds, multiple blazes raged across the state, shattering records for annual acreage burned. The Morrill fire, which spread across more than 642,000 acres, was the largest blaze ever recorded in the state.Fire is not uncommon in this region in early spring, when precipitation is low, grasses are dry and dormant, and strong winds blow through the open flats. However, the risks have sharply risen in recent years, driven by climate change and land management practices.Experts warn that a changing wildfire dynamic in the region is creating more catastrophes. 'There is a changing wildfire dynamic in this region,' Dr Dirac Twidwell, a rangeland ecologist at the University of Nebraska, said. 'Stronger summer storms seed the grasses that cure by winter. If there's no protective snow cover, that browned vegetation ramps up fire risks – especially when the winds begin to blow.'This year's conditions converged to create the perfect storm in Nebraska. A warm and dry winter, with the second warmest and fourth driest conditions on record, set the stage for the devastating fires.The Morrill fire claimed the life of 86-year-old Rose White, a great-grandmother, as she tried to flee her home. It reduced parts of the Nebraska Sandhills – one of the largest temperate grasslands still intact across earth – to ash and sand.Thousands of livestock were killed or severely burned, and miles of fencing and forage are gone. The fires have also had a significant impact on the cattle industry's feeding operation, which is concentrated on the Great Plains.While experts are assured that the lands will rebound, they also stress that fires will happen in a grassland system. 'The idea that we can completely remove fire from these systems isn't really feasible,' Dr Victoria Donovan, assistant professor of forest management at the University of Florida, said.

Nelson Mandela once claimed sport could spark hope where despair prevailed – a sentiment that now feels overly optimistic as climate change threatens every arena, from football pitches to alpine slopes.Extreme weather events are already cancelling competitions and rendering venues unplayable through floods, wildfires and storms. Rising heat and air‑pollution expose athletes to heat‑related illnesses, asthma and cardiovascular strain, while also increasing injury risk and diminishing performance for officials and spectators alike.Countries most vulnerable to climate impacts face the harshest sporting challenges. As Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley warned, athletes must compete on the conditions that exist, not on idealised pitches, while wealthier nations and governing bodies often look the other way.Historian David Goldblatt estimates sport’s carbon footprint rivals that of a small‑ to medium‑sized nation – roughly the emissions of Cuba to Poland. Yet the industry continues to chase growth, attracting sponsorship from fossil‑fuel giants and even entities reminiscent of the tobacco era.A 2024 “Dirty Money” report by the New Weather Institute revealed that state‑owned and private fossil‑fuel companies have poured at least $5.6 billion (£4.2 billion) into global sport across 205 active deals. The recent Milan‑Cortina Winter Olympics relied on oil major Eni to fund artificial snow, while the upcoming men’s football World Cup – labelled the “most polluting ever” by Scientists for Global Responsibility – will be plastered with ads from Aramco, the world’s largest corporate greenhouse‑gas emitter, with emissions projected to be 92 % higher than typical tournaments between 2010‑2022.Fans and grassroots organisations are pushing back. Groups such as Surfers Against Sewage, Fossil Free Football, FrontRunners and Protect Our Winters are mobilising, while clubs like Forest Green Rovers and athletes such as Australian cricket captain Pat Cummins are publicly denouncing fossil‑fuel ties.Alternative sponsorships are emerging: Northern Rail backs the Rugby Super League, Metrobank partners with cricket, and Oxford United’s limited‑edition shirt celebrates John Ruskin’s “Study of a Wild Rose,” linking sport to environmental heritage.“The Hotspot” aims to surface the most compelling stories, analyse data, and chart a path forward for sport in a warming world. As the planet races toward a climatic finish line, sport must deliver its own last‑second victory.This excerpt is from the inaugural issue of The Hotspot newsletter. To subscribe, visit this page and follow the instructions.

Scientists have confirmed that March 2026 was the hottest March on record in the United States, underscoring the urgency of the climate crisis. Yet, a weekend gathering in a hotel basement near the White House, organized by the climate‑denying Heartland Institute, celebrated a very different narrative.The audience—predominantly middle‑aged men in suits—cheered the claim that the world is finally “waking up” to the idea that there is no climate crisis. Heartland Institute president James Taylor described the atmosphere as “wonderful” and declared that “the truth is winning out.”The event’s headline speaker was Lee Zeldin, the EPA administrator—a figure also rumored to be under consideration for the role of attorney general. Zeldin framed the conference as a day of “vindication,” accusing a “cabal of elites” of using climate science to push a political agenda.Booths and banners, sponsored by groups such as the CO2 Coalition, displayed slogans like “CO2 is a lifesaver” and “There is no climate crisis.” Pamphlets touted fossil fuels as the “greenest energy source” and dismissed net‑zero targets as unfounded.While some attendees denied the existence of global warming outright, others conceded that temperatures were rising but insisted it was not a human‑caused emergency. Taylor later clarified that “humans have played a role in climate change, but that is not the same as a ‘climate crisis.’”Harvard historian Naomi Oreskes noted that think tanks like Heartland portray themselves as underdogs, even though they receive substantial backing from powerful interests. The institute has historically been funded by major oil companies—including Shell and ExxonMobil—and by the Mercers, a prominent Republican donor family.When asked about current funding sources, Taylor dismissed the inquiry as “curious and disappointing,” insisting that the organization is supported by individuals who value “freedom and affordable energy.” He added that the institute has not received oil money for nearly two decades, though he would “gladly accept” it again.Under the Trump administration, groups such as the Heartland Institute, the CO2 Coalition, and the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT) have secured unprecedented policy influence. Their agenda includes the repeal of the EPA’s “endangerment finding,” a legal basis for most U.S. climate regulations. During Zeldin’s introduction, CFACT president Craig Rucker announced the rollback to a cheering crowd.CFACT’s lobbying helped cancel a California offshore‑wind project, while the CO2 Coalition’s founder helped establish a White House committee that questioned climate science during Trump’s first term. Most recently, the coalition succeeded in placing an ophthalmologist with no air‑pollution expertise on a key EPA advisory panel.Despite the deniers’ confidence, polling consistently shows that a **vast majority of Americans**—including 42 % of young Republicans—acknowledge climate change and view it as a pressing issue. Taylor countered by citing a 2019 survey indicating limited willingness to pay higher electricity bills for climate action, but the broader data suggest strong public concern.Younger activists disrupted a youth‑focused panel, arguing that the conference’s “geriatric white‑male” audience was out of touch with the climate realities that will affect their generation. One protester shouted, “There’s no such thing as fossil‑fuel‑caused climate change!” before being removed.The clash highlighted a growing divide: while right‑wing think tanks are consolidating power within the federal government, public opinion and scientific consensus continue to affirm the reality and urgency of global warming.

A recent study has confirmed what many people can already feel: summers are getting longer, and the trend is particularly pronounced in Sydney. The research, published in the journal Environmental Research Letters, found that summer conditions are arriving earlier, lasting longer, and feeling more intense due to human-induced global heating.The study, conducted by PhD candidate Ted Scott from the University of British Columbia, analyzed data from 10 global cities and found that the length of summer is increasing on average by six days every decade. However, in Sydney, Australia, the summer period is growing at a rate of about 15 days every decade.In Minneapolis, Minnesota, the summer length is increasing by nine days every decade, while Toronto in Canada is adding a little over eight days to its summer every decade. Paris and Reykjavik are adding 7.2 days to their summer periods.The research also found that the shift from one season to another is becoming more abrupt, with summer-like conditions arriving more suddenly rather than gradually warming up. Sydney's summer period has grown from 65 days in the 1960s to 125-130 days in recent years, with the summer starting almost a full month earlier on November 27 and ending on March 28.The study's findings have significant implications for various aspects of life, including school terms, sporting seasons, and crop planting. The researchers emphasize that the trend is driven by human-induced global heating and that reducing fossil fuel usage is crucial to mitigating the effects of climate change.

The humanitarian situation in Sudan has reached a critical point, with millions of people struggling to access adequate food. A report by a group of nongovernmental organisations (NGOs), including Action Against Hunger, CARE International, and the Norwegian Refugee Council, highlights the dire situation.The conflict, which began in April 2023, has caused widespread hunger and displaced millions of people, creating one of the world's largest humanitarian crises. The report notes that nearly three years of conflict have systematically eroded Sudan's food system, leading to mass hunger.In the two states worst hit by the conflict – North Darfur and South Kordofan – millions of families can only access one meal a day. Often, they miss meals for entire days, and many have resorted to eating leaves and animal feed to survive.The NGOs also report that communal kitchens set up to collectively prepare and share meals are struggling to stretch the scarce food available as resources dwindle. The crisis is being compounded by a worsening economic crisis and climate change.The Sudanese government has denied the existence of famine, while the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) denies responsibility for such conditions in areas under its control. However, the UN has reported widespread atrocities and waves of ethnically charged violence.According to the 2026 Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan, 61.7 percent of Sudan's population – 28.9 million people – is facing acute food shortages. The UN-backed Integrated Food Security Phase Classification has confirmed famine conditions in several areas, including el-Fasher and Kadugli.

King Charles's upcoming visit to the White House to meet with Donald Trump is poised to be a delicate diplomatic situation. The king will have to navigate a complex web of potential insults and controversies, including Trump's past comments about the UK's military assets, his criticism of British politicians, and his unconventional social media posts.Historically, Charles has had his share of awkward encounters with US presidents. During his visit to President Nixon in 1970, officials awkwardly presented Nixon's daughter Tricia as a potential match for the then-young prince. Later, during a visit to Ronald Reagan, Charles was handed a cup of tea with the bag still in it, leaving him unsure of how to proceed.In contrast, Charles's meetings with the Clintons and Bushes were uneventful, and his 2015 meeting with Obama was notable for his frank discussion on climate change, which, although not necessarily polite, was a significant moment.However, the current situation with Trump is particularly challenging. Trump has publicly criticized the UK's military assets, including the HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales, bearing the names of members of the royal family. Additionally, Trump has made derogatory comments about Pope Francis, which could complicate relations between the US and the Vatican.The king will also have to address Trump's recent social media post featuring an AI-generated image of himself as Jesus, which could be seen as blasphemous or insensitive. Given Trump's unpredictable nature, it's uncertain what he might say or do during the visit.While it would be unprecedented for the king to cancel the visit, the situation is already out of the ordinary. It remains to be seen how Charles will navigate this complex diplomatic situation and maintain the dignity of his office.

The ongoing global finance talks between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) have taken a contentious turn. Governments are being urged not to mention climate change, despite its growing impacts and the pressing need for climate finance.The climate crisis has significant implications for developing countries, which are already paying billions to repair damage from droughts, floods, and storms. The World Bank Group aims to devote 35% of its funding to climate-related activities, but US pressure may hinder these efforts.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has demanded the removal of some climate finance targets from the World Bank's aims, insisting on an 'all-of-the-above approach to energy' that includes financing for gas, oil, and coal. This move has sparked alarm among other countries, including large developed economies.Experts warn that sidelining climate change discussions would be disastrous for the developing world. Mohamed Adow, director of the Power Shift Africa thinktank, described the situation as 'beyond absurd', emphasizing that fossil fuels and the climate emergency are inextricably linked.The World Bank is the biggest single source of climate funding, and many donor countries channel their climate finance largely through the multilateral development banks. At the Cop29 UN climate summit in Azerbaijan in 2024, countries agreed that at least $1.3tn a year should flow to the developing world by 2035 to help countries cut greenhouse gas emissions and cope with the impacts of extreme weather.Lord Stern, a former World Bank chief economist, suggested that much could still be achieved without formally labelling projects as climate-related, emphasizing that investing in low-carbon infrastructure and energy systems is crucial for sustainable development.