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After Tehran announced a two‑week ceasefire in the Iran war, financial markets breathed a noticeable sigh of relief. Oil prices tumbled by more than 10% on Wednesday, stock indices rallied, and optimism about the global economic outlook resurfaced. However, the reprieve is far from complete.For six weeks the world’s economy has been under pressure as Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint that handles roughly one‑fifth of global oil and gas shipments. The closure sparked what analysts have called the worst energy crisis of the modern era, driving oil to historic highs.Any progress toward re‑opening Hormuz would ease fears of a supply crunch that could otherwise trigger a cascade of recession risks. Yet the situation remains volatile: Tehran and Washington continue to send mixed signals about the waterway’s status, and Israel’s ongoing strikes in Lebanon add further uncertainty.Consumers already feel the strain. Despite the recent price dip, Brent crude remains above $90 a barrel, a sharp contrast to the sub‑$73 levels recorded before the conflict began. While this is an improvement from the period when prices hovered above $100, it still represents a significant premium over pre‑war benchmarks.Most economists expect oil to stay above its pre‑war price throughout 2026. In its baseline forecast, consultancy Capital Economics projects Brent to settle around $80 per barrel by year‑end. Under that scenario, headline inflation in the United States and Europe would hover between 3% and 4% year‑on‑year, while GDP growth is likely to decelerate across major economies.The lingering uncertainty is amplified by the unpredictable stances of both Iran and the United States, as well as the broader geopolitical turbulence involving Israel. Prior to the conflict, few analysts believed Tehran would actually close Hormuz, a threat it has floated intermittently since the 1979 revolution.Given the strait’s pivotal role in the world economy, any prolonged disruption could add a costly premium to global business operations. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned in a recent report that wars since 1946 have left “economic scars” lasting more than a decade. The IMF cautioned that even after a ceasefire, persistent political and economic uncertainty can depress investment returns, fuel capital outflows, and constrain both investment and labor supply.In short, while the ceasefire has delivered a short‑term boost to markets, the underlying energy‑price pressures and geopolitical risks mean that the relief is far from absolute.

Footage captured on the streets of Tehran shows small groups of citizens gathering around Enghelab Square – a historic rally point for pro‑regime supporters – some waving Iranian flags, others draped over their backs. The atmosphere is far from uniform; debates and arguments erupted shortly after the ceasefire announcement, reflecting a spectrum of emotions from shock to tentative hope.The video, posted by Majid Nouri – son of former prison official Hamid Nouri – includes his running commentary. He notes that the discussions began around 3 a.m. and continued into the morning, with participants expressing both anger and disbelief. "In no way do we trust America," Nouri declared, echoing a sentiment he says is shared by virtually every Iranian.Pro‑government demonstrators were heard chanting "Death to America, death to Israel, death to compromisers!" and burning U.S. and Israeli flags, according to the Associated Press. The chants persisted despite attempts by organizers to calm the crowd, underscoring the depth of anti‑Western feeling among hardliners.While the ceasefire halted active hostilities, the war has already claimed at least 1,900 lives in Iran. With internet services largely blacked out, gauging the broader public mood is challenging, but pockets of Tehran reported subdued celebrations in the early hours of Wednesday.Local resident Ali, a 31‑year‑old, summed up the prevailing uncertainty: "Most people here don’t trust the US and still don’t know exactly what is going to happen, so they are unsure whether they should be happy or worried." He warned that the ceasefire’s two‑week duration offers no guarantee of lasting peace.Business owners are beginning to test the waters. Hamid, a 43‑year‑old shopkeeper whose grocery and cleaning‑supplies store closed after the February bombings, said, "Today feels like there is no war," and he has reopened his shop, hoping to recover lost income for his family.Iranian officials are framing the pause as a diplomatic victory. Former foreign minister Ali Akbar Velayati posted on X that the conflict has reshaped the global power balance, positioning Iran within a new multipolar order. President Masoud Pezeshkian praised the ceasefire as the fruit of the blood of Iran’s “great martyred leader” and the collective will of the people.Strategically, the ceasefire highlights Tehran’s ability to disrupt the vital Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for global oil shipments. Analysts note that this leverage could bolster Iran’s negotiating stance, even as former U.S. President Donald Trump previously warned that a full‑scale clash would threaten "a whole civilisation." As sunrise illuminated the capital, daily life resumed with shops reopening and traffic returning to the streets, yet the prevailing mood remains a blend of exhaustion, cautious optimism, and lingering mistrust of the United States.

The planet is in the grip of an unprecedented climate emergency. The past three years rank as the hottest on record, emissions remain at historic highs and the world is edging ever closer to the critical 1.5°C threshold that scientists warned must not be crossed. In response, a trio of creators – actor Megan Prescott, filmmaker Bree Essrig and self‑described “climate narrative strategist” Jessica Riches – have launched Headline Newds, a series of bite‑size videos released through the non‑profit arm of Adam McKay’s Yellow Dot Studios. The series pairs climate data with the visual style of OnlyFans models, aiming to capture attention where traditional messaging has struggled. The concept echoes McKay’s own gamble with The Big Short (2015), where he hired Margot Robbie to explain complex mortgage‑backed securities while bathing. By swapping finance for climate, the creators hope to avoid the “long, boring explanation” that often alienates viewers. The debut episode, titled The Sun is Daddy, features Prescott gradually disrobing while arguing that solar power could satisfy global energy demand using less land than the fossil‑fuel sector. She frames the argument with the line “Daddy is a giver,” blending sensuality with a factual claim. Provocation is intentional. The Yellow Dot website admits the clips are likely to be taken down on Instagram and YouTube for breaching content policies, but they will remain accessible on OnlyFans, a platform perceived as more tolerant of adult‑oriented material. That platform may also be where the series makes its biggest splash. While mainstream users might approach the videos with a pre‑formed understanding, OnlyFans subscribers are less likely to expect in‑depth climate analysis, potentially making the stark facts about “impending global collapse” more memorable. Only the first episode is currently live, and critics note that the solar‑energy message is already widely accepted, questioning whether the series is reaching beyond basic awareness. Future installments promise sharper focus. An upcoming episode, Spank Banks, will see dominatrix Eva Oh name the banks that profit most from fossil‑fuel projects while delivering a literal spanking. Another short clip features model Sabrina Jade outlining the oil industry’s tactics to downplay its environmental impact, all within a two‑minute runtime that includes more “pelvic grinding” than typical educational content. Whether Headline Newds proves a catalyst for change remains uncertain. It has already generated the media buzz it sought, but its capacity to translate provocation into concrete climate action will likely be judged by any follow‑up series and measurable shifts in audience behaviour. Headline Newds can be watched on YouTube, Instagram and OnlyFans.

János Bődey's photograph of two elderly ladies dressed as bride and groom in a Hungarian retirement home has captured the essence of joy and love in old age. The image is part of his series Carnival at the Retirement Home, which showcases the fulfilling lives of pensioners who have overcome difficulties.In Hungary, the average pension is approximately £500 a month, making it challenging for retirees to afford leisure, culture, or travel. Additionally, the health of Hungarian pensioners often falls short of Western standards, and securing a spot in a retirement home can be a lengthy process.Bődey's subjects, Magdolna, 87, and Irén, 86, have lived with their husbands for over 50 and 62 years, respectively, until their spouses passed away. They attribute their long and happy lives to a combination of good genes, an active lifestyle, and a healthy marriage.The photographer's series aims to serve as a role model for both peers and the middle generation, demonstrating that it's possible to lead a fulfilling life in old age. The elderly ladies recommend a healthy, active life with plenty of walking and traveling, as well as avoiding debt.Bődey's work is a departure from his usual coverage of conflicts and social issues. He finds inspiration in the happiness and playfulness of the carnival celebrations, which begin in February to mark the end of winter.The photographer's experience has taught him the importance of preparing for retirement by gathering emotional and financial resources, setting goals, and being creative. His series has been shortlisted for the Sony World Photography Awards 2026 and will be exhibited at Somerset House in London from April 17 to May 4.

Britain’s unusually sunny spring has propelled the national grid to unprecedented levels of solar generation, with 14.1 GW of low‑carbon electricity recorded at midday on Monday and a new high of 14.4 GW on Tuesday afternoon.The surge coincided with the electricity system operator’s confirmation that the government has approved the Springwell solar farm in Lincolnshire, the country’s largest solar project to date. When operating at full capacity, the farm is expected to supply enough power for roughly 180,000 homes each year.Springwell marks the 25th large‑scale clean‑energy scheme approved by the Labour administration since it took office in 2024. Collectively, these projects could generate electricity equivalent to powering up to 12.5 million homes, dramatically expanding the UK’s renewable portfolio.Solar’s record run follows a recent wind‑power milestone, when wind farms delivered a peak of 23.9 GW, enough for about 23 million homes. At that moment, gas‑fired generation fell to just 2.3 % of total output, underscoring the government’s ambition to operate a virtually carbon‑free grid by 2030. Operators are reportedly preparing for short‑term periods this summer when the grid could run entirely without gas.Energy Minister Michael Shanks emphasized the strategic importance of the shift: “Solar is one of the cheapest forms of power and the key to breaking free from volatile fossil‑fuel markets, securing energy independence and lowering bills for the British people.”In parallel with the Springwell approval, the government has streamlined the “plug‑in solar” initiative and will amend building regulations to require solar panels on all new homes from 2028, further cementing the nation’s transition to domestically generated clean energy.

The ceasefire announcement between the US and Iran has brought relief, but it should not be mistaken for a resolution. The conflict has caused significant damage to both countries, with Iran's military capabilities and economy suffering greatly.Despite claims of success from all sides, the reality is that no party was winning the war. President Donald Trump has framed the conflict as a military victory and a step towards regime change in Iran, but the war has proven costly and damaging to US credibility.Iran's nuclear program remains a core issue in these negotiations. Tehran will need to show a willingness to compromise, whether through downblending enriched uranium or allowing international inspectors back into the country.The wider regional dimension risks being sidelined, with Israel and Gulf states seeking assurances that they will not remain exposed to repeated pressure on their infrastructure and shipping routes.The ceasefire should be understood not as the end of the crisis but as the start of a new and uncertain phase. What emerges from Islamabad may still fall short of a durable peace, but the alternative – a return to escalation – is far worse.

Evelyn Araluen has been named among the six finalists for the 2026 Stella Prize with her second poetry collection, The Rot. This marks her second appearance on the shortlist, four years after becoming the first poet to win the award as an Australian woman and non‑binary writer. The $60,000 prize will be contested alongside five diverse titles: Geraldine Brooks’ memoir Memorial Days, Miranda Darling’s novel Fireweather, Lee Lai’s graphic novel Cannon, Marika Sosnowski’s hybrid nonfiction 58 Facets: On Violence and the Law, and Tasma Walton’s novel I Am Nannertgarrook. Each shortlisted author receives a $5,000 advance. Earlier this year, Araluen’s The Rot captured the top prize and a $125,000 award at the Victorian Premier’s Literary Awards, praised for its exploration of grief and collective anxiety amid the global coverage of the Gaza conflict. The collection was sparked by an incident at Adelaide Writers’ Week in 2024, where Araluen was heckled for describing the Israeli bombardment of Gaza as genocide. She told Guardian Australia that the poems aim to document a "panicked, distressed window of time" that future readers might view with horror and regret. "I wanted the book to clearly record what we knew and did not stop," Araluen said. "If it reads as naive, let it still serve as a record of an uncomfortable truth we all must face." Araluen, a Goorie and Koori poet, first won the Stella Prize in 2022 for her debut collection Dropbear. This year’s shortlist was selected from 212 submissions, underscoring the depth of contemporary Australian women’s and non‑binary writing. Chair of judges Sophie Gee praised the list, noting that the books “move us to the core through language, the truth of their emotion, and the honesty of what it means to be human, across time and space.” The winner will be announced on 13 May 2026. Last year’s prize went to Michelle de Kretser for her novel Theory and Practice.

Shares of Close Brothers, a UK-based specialist lender, jumped 17% on Wednesday following the bank's announcement that it can easily absorb the cost of a £320m compensation bill related to the car finance scandal. The Financial Conduct Authority's (FCA) compensation scheme, finalized last week, aims to address the issue of drivers being overcharged for loans due to commission payments between lenders and car dealers.The bank expects to pay out approximately £320m in compensation, which is 'broadly similar' to previous estimates and only £26m more than the £294m already set aside. Close Brothers stated that this additional amount can be 'comfortably absorbed by existing capital resources,' ensuring the group remains well-positioned to continue its strategy.The FCA's compensation scheme estimates that victims will receive an average payout of £830. This development has provided relief to investors, especially after concerns were raised by short seller Viceroy Research, which suggested that Close Brothers might need to significantly increase its provision for car finance losses.In contrast, Close Brothers' rival, FirstRand, announced hours earlier that it would sell its UK operations, citing frustration with the FCA's compensation scheme, which it described as 'deeply flawed.' FirstRand stated it would need to raise an extra £510m to cover compensation costs, taking its total provisions to £750m, and potentially slash its earnings forecast and offload its UK business.

The US and Iran have agreed to a two-week ceasefire, leading to a decrease in UK interest rate hike expectations. City traders now predict only one rate rise by December, taking the Bank of England's base rate back to 4%. Previously, markets had priced in two rate hikes as tensions escalated, with Donald Trump warning of severe consequences if Iran did not comply with his demands. However, with the ceasefire in place, rate expectations have fallen, and only 32 basis points of hikes are now expected for the year, down from 62 basis points the previous day. The decline in rate expectations is linked to the significant drop in oil prices, with Brent crude down 13.3% to $94.71 a barrel. This decrease in oil prices could bring relief to UK consumers, potentially leading to lower petrol prices and easing inflationary pressures. Despite the current relief, experts caution that mortgage rates may not fall quickly. The average two-year fixed-rate mortgage has risen to 5.90%, the highest since July 2024. Analysts suggest that while the ceasefire may slow or pause mortgage rate increases, it is unlikely to trigger sharp falls. Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, notes that the ceasefire brings relief for UK consumers but emphasizes that the chances of a rate hike by the Bank of England have been reduced. He adds that the 'heady days' of sustained rate cuts are unlikely to return in the short term. Adam French, head of consumer finance at Moneyfacts, advises that while easing tensions have pushed down expectations for future interest rate rises, mortgage rates are likely to remain higher for some time yet, with lenders cautious about making sudden moves due to market volatility.