Politics
Jun 14, 2026
As the Makerfield by-election approaches, Andy Burnham faces significant challenges despite being t…
The Stakes in MakerfieldKeir Starmer teeters on the edge of leadership as the Labour party faces a critical moment in the upcoming Makerfield by-election. With the defense secretary's exit seemingly confirming the prime minister's demise, Andy Burnham scents a breakthrough opportunity in this pivotal constituency that could determine the fate of the current government and the country's political direction.A Community at the CrossroadsIn Platt Bridge, a neighborhood at the heart of the Makerfield constituency, life appears locked into an endlessly familiar pattern. Amid redbrick terrace houses, too many shops are shuttered and empty, with the latest casualty being a proudly independent baker replaced by another tanning lounge. The main roads are clogged with traffic while other streets tend to be eerily quiet. Residents speak of closed-down pubs, impossible private rents, and that ubiquitous British complaint: "There's nothing for the kids to do."Despite community spirit and optimism about a £20m "pride in place" grant, there's a palpable sense of somewhere stoically waiting for something better. This sentiment captures the mood of many in this corner of Greater Manchester as they approach the crucial by-election.The Political LandscapeThe political divide in Makerfield is stark. While bookies make Burnham the favorite (William Hill had him at 1/5, with Reform at 4/1), Reform UK posters and placards seem to outnumber Burnham's by a ratio of two to one. At Wigan's town-centre Premier Inn, pundits, journalists and pollsters agree that Burnham will almost certainly win, but some suggest it might be closer than predictions suggest.The contrast in voter sentiment is telling. Billy, a twentysomething mechanical worker who has never voted before, declares: "Labour's had their chance. They had 14 years to come up with a plan, and they've just … flopped." Meanwhile, Meah, who returned to her hometown after living in London, expresses enthusiasm for Burnham: "I like Andy Burnham. Years ago, I started watching him. I just think he'd make a really good PM."The Working-Class DilemmaAt Tudor House community center, a dozen women from Craft Hive articulate a common left-liberal blind spot: an awful anxiety about crime and personal safety. "I never, ever go out in the evenings … It's just not safe … you look over your shoulder all the time … where are the police?"One woman, who recently ran a cafe in Wigan and is now homeless after splitting from her partner, reveals she is drawn to Reform despite knowing about precarity: "I just think we need to give someone else a chance, and I like what they say about keeping the streets safe … there needs to be a change."Recent crime figures show local knife crime fell by 16% in 2025, with burglaries down 24%, but this doesn't address the underlying fear that permeates daily life. Much of this anxiety is bound up with the eerily silent streets and closed-down pubs, reflecting the stress that comes from believing no one in power has your back.The Future of Labour's AppealTwo days spent in Makerfield reveals the defining challenge facing Burnham: convincing communities like this that the future can feel rosier and that some of their fears can recede. If he makes it to Downing Street, his job will be to address the economic gaps and social vacuums that have created fertile ground for parties like Reform UK.With potentially only three years if everything works out, the coming Thursday represents a moment of frightening urgency. For all the local quiet, the outcome in Makerfield could signal whether Labour can reconnect with working-class voters or continue to lose ground to parties offering simplistic solutions to complex problems.