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Morning Snapshot: UK Bond Market Bruised by Political Turbulence Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy. The UK bond market is bruised this morning after a day of political turbulence drove up Britain’s borrowing costs. Rising Yields: 10‑Year Gilt Above 5% – Highest Since 1998 UK long‑term bond yields hit their highest levels in 28 years on Tuesday, pushing the 10‑year gilt yield back above 5%, the highest level since 1998. Numbers at a Glance: Yield Spike and Borrowing Cost Implications 10‑year gilt yield: > 5% (first time above 5% since 1998) Yield rise triggered by fears of a left‑leaning Labour government and potential fiscal expansion. Higher yields mean investors demand greater compensation, increasing the cost of borrowing for the UK Treasury. Political Shockwaves: Labour Leadership Uncertainty and Reform’s Rise Investors are wary that a shift to the left under Keir Starmer could lead to higher spending and larger deficits. At the same time, the prospect of Nigel Farage entering Downing Street after Reform’s gains in the recent local elections adds another layer of uncertainty. Senior analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya of Swissquote notes that the market is "grappling with their own political shakeups" and that the combination of fiscal concerns and inflation outlook is driving yields up. Market strategist Bill Blain of Wind Shift Capital cautions that investors may not view Reform as a "safe pair of hands" for managing the bond market and public spending. Looking Ahead: What the King’s Speech Could Mean for Debt Markets The UK government will outline its legislative agenda in the King’s Speech later today, which could provide some respite for Keir Starmer amid ministerial resignations and calls for his departure. 10am BST: IEA monthly oil market report 10am BST: Eurozone GDP report (latest estimate for Q1 2026) 1.30pm BST: US producer prices inflation report for April 3pm BST: Bank of England policymaker Catherine L. Mann to release speech on “The UK’s international exposures and vulnerabilities”

Demi Moore warned at a Cannes press conference that the film industry “cannot fight” the rise of artificial intelligence, describing resistance as a losing battle and calling for collaborative approaches.The Cannes Jury’s Candid Take on AI’s Inevitable RoleDuring a Tuesday press conference, the actress – a member of the Cannes Film Festival jury – answered questions about AI’s impact on cinema. She said, “AI is here. To fight it is a battle we will lose,” and suggested that filmmakers should explore ways to work with the technology rather than oppose it.Absence of Quantitative Data Highlights Qualitative ConcernsThe discussion contained no specific financial figures or usage statistics, underscoring that the debate is currently driven by ethical and creative considerations rather than measurable market impacts.Implications for Filmmakers and the Regulatory LandscapeMoore expressed doubt that the industry is doing enough to protect creators, hinting at a need for stronger regulation.Fellow juror Park Chan-wook reinforced the idea that art and politics should not be divided, linking the AI conversation to broader questions of creative freedom.Screenwriter Paul Laverty warned of potential “blacklisting” in Hollywood, suggesting that AI‑driven content controls could exacerbate existing censorship pressures.Future Outlook: Collaboration Over ConflictMoore concluded that the “beautiful aspects” of AI can enhance filmmaking, but the “true art” will always come from the human soul. The prevailing view among the jury is that embracing AI as a tool, while safeguarding artistic integrity, will shape the next era of cinema.

The Unparalleled Experience of CannesNothing prepares you for the shock that is the Cannes film festival: the adrenaline, the fatigue, the elation and the emotion, but also the hunger, the anger, the magic and the ridicule. For young cinephiles, and for almost everybody who works in the film industry, it is the mecca of cinema and has been so for nearly eight decades. Anyone going for the first time this week, as I did 25 years ago, should not listen to the old grognards – Cannes' battle-worn veterans – who will lament that the festival has become an abominable circus and swear this year will be their last. It is a circus, and you can bet they will be back for as long as their knees can take it. For there is nothing quite like it.From Resistance to Global Cinema HubBorn to counteract Benito Mussolini's Venice film festival, its first edition was planned for September 1939, but Adolf Hitler had other plans. The previous year, under pressure from Berlin and Rome, the Venice film festival's top prize, the Coppa Mussolini, was handed to Leni Riefenstahl's propaganda film Olympia, prompting the French, British and American delegates to walk out. Hence Cannes, conceived as the festival of the "free world". More than 80 years later, for all its sins, it has remained faithful to that founding promise.The Expansive Scale of Modern CannesOver the decades, Cannes has mutated into an ever-hungrier mammoth, needing more space, and more venues, as it attracts an increasing number of journalists and professionals. A purpose-built Palais des Festivals had to be erected in the 1980s. "The bunker", as we have come to call it, is not exactly beautiful but brutally efficient at managing Cannes' mind-boggling crowds. This year, about 40,000 accredited festival-goers are descending on the French Riviera from 140 different countries, with dozens of films selected across all sidebars. At the same time, the Marché du Film, running alongside the festival since the late 1960s, is gathering about 16,000 participants, with thousands of films and projects up for sale. Cannes is both a summit for the cinema elite and a giant film bazaar.Three Worlds Colliding at La CroisetteFor 11 days in May, three different worlds lead parallel lives – critics, deal-makers and red-carpet royalty – colliding almost by accident on the seafront boulevard known as La Croisette. Hundreds of critics watch multiple films a day with monastic discipline. When they give in to parties, they bitterly regret it the next morning. You can spot some of us sleeping through entire screenings; how some colleagues manage to review films is a mystery. I remember a well-known French critic who had such vivid dreams in the darkness that he became convinced they were scenes in the films. His reviews were full of brilliant analysis of moments that did not exist.We critics rush between screenings, press conferences, interviews, our desks and the bunker's free espresso machines, often forgetting to eat or even pee. Downstairs, in the bunker's basement, and in hotel suites and rented apartments, the film market runs day and night: buyers juggle numbers, producers charm, directors and screenwriters fight for their vision. Above them floats Cannes' top layer – stars and "talent" spending hours in hair and makeup before climbing the 24 steps of the red carpet in borrowed couture and jewellery. When people in the industry groan, "oh God, it's Cannes again", it is this collision of financial anxiety, choreographed glamour and sheer exhaustion they are bracing themselves for.The Magic and Meaning Behind the GlamourThese worlds sometimes collide in the most poetic or grotesque ways. One morning, rushing to my first screening at 7.30am, I was walking along the Croisette when I saw, coming towards me, slightly dishevelled in a tuxedo, Jack Nicholson on his way back to his hotel after a long night. I smiled, he smiled back. He was alone, no bodyguards, no chaperones. Those were the days. I also shared a lift with Takeshi Kitano in full samurai attire, and I will never forget turning into a hotel corridor and finding myself nose to nose with Max von Sydow – Ingmar Bergman's medieval knight from The Seventh Seal. My cinephile heart skipped a beat.One of my favourite sidebars in Cannes, alongside the competition where you watch the year's best crop of films, is Cannes Classics, showing restored world masterpieces and documentaries about cinema. I always start the festival there: it is the best way to reset and begin afresh. Then I am ready for the 10-day onslaught of motion pictures, and for the magic moment that precedes each Cannes screening – the festival's own jingle, a palm ascending the red carpet from underwater and then into the sky, lifted by the ethereal arpeggios of Camille Saint-Saëns's Carnival of the Animals.Cannes: Enduring Symbol of Cinematic ResistanceIn 1955, Cannes gave its first official Palme d'Or to Delbert Mann's Marty; half a century later I found myself befriending its wonderful star, Betsy Blair, on the Croisette. I had the joy of seeing Ken Loach twice climbing those steps to collect the Palme, escorted by police outriders from Nice airport as if he were a head of state. I watched Iranian directors Jafar Panahi and Mohammad Rasoulof showing films at peril to their lives. For all the craziness of the red carpet and the samurai outfits, Cannes never forgets that it was founded as a gesture of resistance. That, as much as the glamour and the exhaustion, is why we keep going back.

Conan O’Brien has been officially announced as the host for the 99th Academy Awards, scheduled for 14 March 2027, extending his run as the ceremony’s comedic anchor for a third year in a row.Academy Confirms O’Brien as Host for the 99th AwardsThe Academy’s leaders, Bill Kramer and Lynette Howell Taylor, praised the “incredible team” behind the past two shows and highlighted O’Brien’s “brilliance and humor” as central to the celebration. Executive producers Raj Kapoor and Katy Mullan will return, ensuring continuity in the production’s tone and style.Viewership Trends and Social Engagement Under O’Brien’s Tenure2025 inaugural year: 19.7 million TV viewers tuned in.2026 ceremony: traditional broadcast ratings dipped (exact figure not disclosed), but social‑media interaction rose 42% compared to the previous year.2027 broadcast will air live on ABC from the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.What O’Brien’s Return Means for the Oscars’ Brand and Broadcast FutureIndustry analysts note that O’Brien’s comedic style has revitalized audience perception, offsetting the ratings slump with heightened online buzz. Craig Erwich, president of the Disney Television Group, emphasized that O’Brien “makes Hollywood’s biggest night one of the most entertaining celebrations of the year.” The continuity also buys the Academy time as it prepares for a major platform shift slated for 2029.Looking Ahead: Potential Shifts in Hosting and Platform StrategyThe 99th ceremony will be the penultimate event held at the Hollywood Dolby Theatre and the last on traditional broadcast TV. By 2029, the Oscars are set to move to YouTube and relocate to downtown Los Angeles for the 101st awards, suggesting a long‑term pivot toward digital distribution. O’Brien’s presence in 2027 serves as a bridge between the legacy broadcast era and the forthcoming streaming‑first model.

The Unlikely Entourage Member Brett Ratner, the director behind the Rush Hour movies and a documentary on Melania Trump, is accompanying Donald Trump to China for his summit with Xi Jinping. Ratner was among the group of CEOs and top executives from major US tech and finance firms, including Apple’s Tim Cook, Tesla’s Elon Musk and BlackRock’s Larry Fink, who boarded Air Force One. Scouting for Rush Hour 4 Locations Trump’s spokesperson, Victoria Palmer-Moore, said he would use the trip to scout for filming locations for the latest instalment of the Rush Hour franchise. She added that Ratner plans to shoot “a lot” of Rush Hour 4 in China. The Rush Hour Franchise Revival The original Rush Hour was an instant hit in 1998, topping the US box office charts upon its release. Its sequel Rush Hour 2 was also a huge commercial success in 2001, before Ratner’s critically and commercially disappointing Rush Hour 3 was released in 2007. Despite rumours of a fourth film circulating for almost two decades, with Chan suggesting in 2017 that he and Tucker had agreed upon a new script, development had stalled until Trump intervened in late 2025. Ratner's Comeback Trump’s support has allowed Ratner to make a comeback in Hollywood after being sidelined after accusations of sexual misconduct during the #MeToo movement in 2017. Ratner denies all of the allegations. In 2026, Ratner released Amazon-backed documentary Melania, which followed the first lady during the 20 days before Trump’s second inauguration. The China Connection The president is reportedly a huge fan of Rush Hour, which revolves around detectives James Carter and Yan Naing Lee – played by Chris Tucker and Jackie Chan respectively – as they navigate their cultural differences and investigate crimes in Hong Kong, Paris and Los Angeles. Last November, Trump encouraged billionaire Larry Ellison, the primary financial force behind Paramount Skydance, to bring back the franchise once Paramount went through with its controversial purchase of Warner Bros.

Trump’s Beijing Arrival Sets Stage for a High‑Stakes SummitDonald Trump is scheduled to land in Beijing on Wednesday evening, marking the first visit by a U.S. president to China in nearly ten years. The two‑day meeting with President Xi Jinping is framed as a chance to restore U.S. prestige after the protracted war in Iran.Diplomatic and Business Agenda of the VisitThe delegation will include more than a dozen American business leaders, notably Elon Musk of Tesla and Tim Cook of Apple. Trump has promised a “big, fat hug” from Xi and expects headline‑grabbing deals, including a new board of trade to coordinate bilateral purchases.Economic Stakes: 500 Boeing Jets and a Fragile Trade Truce500 Boeing 737 Max jets are slated for sale – one of the largest orders in the aircraft maker’s history.The U.S. and China remain under a “fragile tariff truce” established last autumn.China’s economy is under pressure from sluggish domestic demand and a prolonged property crisis.Geopolitical Ripple: Iran War, Taiwan, and Global EnergyThe Iran‑Israel conflict has entered its third month, with Tehran tightening control of the Strait of Hormuz, a route that carries roughly a fifth of the world’s oil supply.Washington has sanctioned several Chinese firms for allegedly supporting Iranian oil shipments.Trump’s willingness to discuss U.S. arms sales to Taiwan could signal a shift in the long‑standing U.S. policy of not consulting Beijing on Taiwan matters.Looking Ahead: Scenarios for the Trump‑Xi DialogueAnalysts see three possible outcomes: a breakthrough that eases sanctions on China and secures Iranian de‑escalation; a stalemate that leaves the tariff truce intact but no substantive progress on Iran; or a deterioration that could reignite trade tensions and complicate U.S. commitments to Taiwan.

The Case Against Yermak A former top aide to Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has appeared in court as prosecutors seek his arrest on charges of involvement in a multimillion-dollar money laundering scheme. Prosecutors allege that Yermak, 54, funnelled about 460 million Ukrainian hryvnias ($10.5m) into a high-end Dynasty housing complex in Kozyn, near Kyiv. Investigation and Allegations Investigators suspect that funds used in the development may have originated from corruption at Energoatom, Ukraine’s state nuclear energy company. The prosecution has asked the court to remand Yermak in custody, with bail set at 180 million Ukrainian hryvnias ($4m). Yermak denied the allegations. Broader Anticorruption Efforts The case is part of a broader anticorruption operation, dubbed “Midas”, led by the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) and the Specialised Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAPO). The operation was unveiled last November, when Timur Mindich, a former business associate of Zelenskyy, was accused of orchestrating a $100m kickback scheme at Energaotom. Implications and Reactions Some lawmakers, including members of ⁠Zelenskyy’s governing Servant of the People party, saw a silver lining in the case against Yermak, saying it served as an encouraging sign of Ukraine’s drive to fight corruption. “Partners see that Ukraine has an independent anticorruption system that is performing its function,” said Oleksandr Merezhko, head of the parliamentary foreign-affairs committee.

The Cooking Gas Crisis in AsiaIn the ramshackle lanes of a south Delhi slum, Afshana Khatoon crouched wearily on her haunches and began lighting a small pile of firewood. She had just returned from six hours spent trudging through the urban forests and dry parks of India's capital looking for kindling to turn into a makeshift stove. As the unforgiving summer heat soared above 40C, she had walked for miles, piling the sticks and fallen branches into a bundle on her head while sweat ran down her face.Just a few weeks ago, the 35-year-old had been preparing meals for her four children on a small gas stove with little fuss. But as the crisis in the Middle East has choked India's vital supplies of imported liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) – used by more than 60% of the country's population for cooking – refills have been scarce and prices have risen far beyond what is widely affordable.Return to Traditional FuelsKhatoon, like growing numbers of people in India and more widely across Asia, has been forced to cook with crude, dirty fuels such as firewood and coal in order to survive. "It already feels like hell," she said, as she bustled about, filling a pot with water. "I'm not eating properly, and I have to work much more than before. My whole day now is about collecting firewood and cooking."The return to fuels such as firewood and coal is not only deepening the economic strain of the war on ordinary civilians in countries across Asia, but raising concerns about public health, air pollution and the fragility of the energy transition.Supply Chain Disruption and Price SurgeIndia imports about 60% of its LPG needs, of which about 90% usually comes through the strait of Hormuz, the critical shipping route still blockaded amid the ongoing conflict between Iran and the US. Official data shows India's LPG consumption fell by 2.2m tonnes in April, the sharpest decline in years.As the war has dragged on, cooking gas prices in informal markets have surged. In Khatoon's dimly lit shanty, her 5kg gas canister sat empty and forlorn in the corner. She said LPG had become prohibitively expensive for her family, rising to more than four times what she used to pay. "My husband earns 400 to 500 rupees a day. We can't spend 1,000 rupees just on gas for a week," she said.While the Indian government insists there is no shortage, in a speech this week the prime minister, Narendra Modi, called on people to adopt austerity measures including limiting their use of fuel and petrol. According to the defence minister, India has petroleum gas reserves to last just 45 days.Health and Environmental ConsequencesOnce Khatoon's fire stove is lit, thick smoke rises from the flames. It stings the eyes and throat but she has no option but to breathe it in as she cooks. She put her head in her hands, admitting she felt utterly exhausted. "We just want to cook as quickly as possible," she said.The return to biomass is raising alarms about air quality in cities across the region. Solid fuels such as wood and charcoal come with a range of health and environmental risks. They emit a dangerous set of pollutants that have been linked to respiratory problems, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and lung cancer, strokes and heart disease.The combined effects of ambient air pollution and household air pollution are associated with 6.7 million premature deaths annually, according to the World Health Organization. Women and children, widely responsible for household chores such as cooking or collecting firewood, are the most vulnerable.Reversal of Environmental ProgressDelhi already ranks among the world's most polluted cities, and years of policy have focused on promoting cleaner fuels such as LPG and compressed natural gas to reduce emissions.Environmental activists fear years of progress toward widespread use of cleaner fuels is being reversed as the war in the Middle East drags on. With shortages deepening, authorities in Delhi have temporarily relaxed restrictions on the use of coal and firewood."When prices rise, it's the poorest who are forced to switch back to biomass," said Harjeet Singh, a climate activist and the founding director of the Satat Sampada Climate Foundation. "Biomass burning is a major source of fine particulate pollution."Future OutlookAs the conflict in the Middle East continues to disrupt global energy supplies, the health implications of reverting to traditional cooking methods across Asia are likely to worsen. Without immediate intervention to either increase LPG supplies or provide affordable alternatives, public health crises in major urban centers could escalate, potentially reversing years of progress in air quality improvement.The situation highlights the vulnerability of energy-dependent nations to geopolitical conflicts and underscores the urgent need for diversified energy sources and more resilient supply chains in the region.

Survey Reveals Strong Patriotic Sentiment Among UK Millionaires The research, commissioned by Patriotic Millionaires UK and carried out by Survation, asked 501 individuals with assets over £1 million (excluding their homes) about their attachment to the United Kingdom and their willingness to fund public services through higher taxation. Key Numbers: Pride, Concern, and Tax‑Paying Willingness 88% of respondents agreed with the statement “I am proud to live in the UK”. 75% said they would be willing to pay more tax to ensure social, cultural, and economic assets are properly funded. 64% support increasing taxes on capital and assets of the wealthiest to reduce the overall tax burden. 43% identified doctors and other qualified health staff as the group whose departure would hurt the country most. 9% were most worried about other millionaires leaving the UK. Other concerns included young people and business owners, each cited by 19% of respondents as potential losses to the nation. Implications for UK Fiscal Policy and Political Landscape The findings arrive as the Labour Party grapples with internal leadership questions following disappointing local election results. Proposals from candidates such as Andy Burnham and Wes Streeting include raising capital gains tax to fund a 2p cut in national insurance. The willingness of a sizable share of the ultra‑wealthy to back higher taxes could provide political cover for such measures. Critics have pointed to reports of a “millionaire exodus”, but the survey notes that the alleged 16,500‑person outflow cited by Henley & Partners represents only 0.5% of the UK’s three‑million millionaires. What This Means for Future Tax Debates and Migration Trends If policymakers take the survey at face value, future tax reforms may encounter less resistance from the very demographic they target. Moreover, the emphasis on retaining medical professionals—highlighted by the departure of over 4,000 doctors in 2024—suggests that addressing sector‑specific retention could become a fiscal priority alongside broader tax policy. Analysts will watch whether the Labour leadership leverages this data to counter narratives of a fleeing elite and to justify progressive tax proposals ahead of the next general election.