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Only 16% of Americans now view the U.S. economy as "good" or "excellent," and the Gallup Economic Confidence Index has fallen to -45, the lowest reading since 2022. The decline follows a sharp rise in inflation and gasoline prices triggered by the ongoing war on Iran, adding fresh pressure to President Donald Trump's re‑election prospects.Gallup Survey Reveals Record‑Low Economic ConfidenceThe Gallup poll, released on May 24, 2026, asked respondents to rate current economic conditions and outlook. Findings include:49% say conditions are "poor"34% rate them as "fair"76% believe the economy is getting worse20% think it is improvingThe index combines two sub‑scores: economic conditions (-33) and economic outlook (-56).Key Numbers: Inflation, Gasoline Prices, and the Energy ShockEnergy costs have surged since the conflict began in late February:Average gasoline price: $4.55 per gallon, up from under $3.00 pre‑warConsumer‑price inflation rose in March and April, driven primarily by higher energy pricesIran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. naval blockades have constrained global oil supplies, amplifying domestic price pressures.War on Iran Drives Sentiment and Shapes the 2026 MidtermsThe deteriorating confidence adds to President Trump's political woes. A concurrent New York Times/Sienna poll shows only 31% approval of his handling of the Iran war. Critics argue the administration’s focus on foreign intervention distracts from domestic economic concerns, while the president maintains the campaign is essential to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.Outlook: Recovery Paths or Continued Decline?Analysts warn that unless the energy blockade eases, gasoline prices could remain elevated, keeping consumer sentiment low. Potential scenarios include:Ceasefire and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz – could lower oil prices and improve confidence.Prolonged conflict – may entrench high energy costs, further eroding the index.Policy interventions such as targeted subsidies or tax relief to offset inflationary pressures.The next few months will be pivotal for both the economy and the upcoming midterm elections, as voters weigh the cost of war against domestic economic performance.

The Lead: A New Era for EnglandThomas Tuchel has unveiled his England World Cup squad, marking a significant departure from previous selection approaches. The German coach has prioritized tactical logic over sentiment, making several controversial but reasoned decisions that reflect his analytical approach to team management.The Announcement Chaos: Technology FailsThe Football Association's ambitious plan to unveil the squad exclusively through their new app ended in technical failure. At the scheduled 9:45am launch time, the app crashed for many users, offering only upbeat music, a presenter saying "We're breaking the news!" and a video of dogs. This digital mishap followed the FA's marketing approach that emphasized monetizing content and "owning the moment" through their platform.The Maguire Controversy: Social Media LeaksThe squad announcement was preempted by social media leaks, most notably by Harry Maguire himself, who expressed his disappointment at not being selected. His mother amplified the controversy with public comments about the "disgusting nature" of her son's omission. This pre-announcement drama highlighted the changing media landscape where players and their families can bypass traditional channels to express their views.The Tuchel Philosophy: Tactical Over EmotionalTuchel's selections reflect a clear tactical philosophy that values form, fitness, and specific roles over reputation or past achievements. The coach, unburdened by English football culture and loyalties, has made evidence-based decisions that prioritize what he believes gives England the best chance of success in the tournament.The Media Reaction: Instant OutcryThe immediate media response to Tuchel's squad was characterized by outrage and criticism, reflecting how modern sports coverage prioritizes perceived injustices over tactical analysis. Sky Sports even cut from the live press conference to breaking news about Manchester City's managerial changes, highlighting how club football often overshadows national team announcements. The scrolling comments on social media and television coverage demonstrated the public's preference for discussing player snubs rather than squad rationale.The Player Analysis: Key Selections and OmissionsSeveral notable decisions defined Tuchel's squad:Harry Maguire: Omitted due to pace concerns and his pre-announcement behavior, which suggested he wouldn't be a positive squad influenceCole Palmer: Left out after inconsistent form and fitness issues despite his summer 2025 promisePhil Foden: Not selected due to lack of club form and only one England goal in 29 gamesTrent Alexander-Arnold: Despite his potential as an unconventional game-breaker, his tournament performance hasn't warranted selectionIvan Toney: Included for his "pure killer" mentality and ability to impact games as a substituteJordan Henderson: Selected as a veteran presence and mentor for younger players like Jude BellinghamThe Tournament Outlook: A Different ApproachAs England prepares for what promises to be a "gruelling, episodic World Cup," Tuchel's squad represents a significant shift from previous selections. While his Champions League success with Chelsea was somewhat of a one-off, his attention to detail and tactical acumen could serve England well in the tournament's unique format. The squad reflects a meritocracy based on current form and specific roles rather than reputation, marking a potentially refreshing approach for English football.

Lead: On May 14, 2026 a Madhya Pradesh high court declared the historic Kamal Maula mosque in Dhar a Hindu temple, prompting saffron‑flag displays by far‑right groups and reviving scrutiny of Hindutva—the nationalist ideology driving Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The episode underscores how a century‑old movement has moved from pamphlets to courtroom battles and national policy. The Madhya Pradesh Verdict and Its Immediate Symbolic Fallout The court’s decision sparked a rapid on‑ground response: supporters unfurled saffron flags, filmed rituals, and celebrated the reclassification as a triumph of Hindu heritage over perceived Islamic encroachment. This mirrors a pattern where legal rulings become flashpoints for Hindutva activism. Chronology of Hindutva’s Evolution and Electoral Milestones 1923: Vinayak Savarkar publishes *Essentials of Hindutva*, defining a Hindu cultural nation. 1925: Keshav Baliram Hedgewar founds the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), the movement’s organisational hub. 1948: Assassination of Mahatma Gandhi by a former RSS member intensifies scrutiny of the ideology. 1951: RSS‑linked political party formed, later becoming the BJP in 1980. 1992: Demolition of the Babri Mosque triggers nationwide sectarian violence. 1996‑2004: BJP cycles through short‑lived governments before losing to the Congress. 2014: Modi leads BJP to a historic mandate, the largest since 1984. 2019: Abrogation of Article 370 and passage of the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) reflect Hindutva‑inspired policy shifts. 2024: CAA implementation accompanied by the National Register of Citizens (NRC). 2026: Court ruling in Madhya Pradesh reignites public debate. Policy Shifts Attributed to Hindutva Governance Since 2014, Hindutva‑aligned legislation has targeted three main areas: Territorial sovereignty: Removal of Jammu & Kashmir’s special status (Article 370, 2019). Citizenship criteria: CAA granting fast‑track citizenship to non‑Muslim migrants, followed by the NRC framework. Cultural protectionism: State‑level bans on cow slaughter, anti‑conversion laws, and pushes for a Uniform Civil Code. Societal and Communal Repercussions Across India The legal and policy agenda has deepened communal fault lines. High‑profile incidents—such as the 1999 burning of missionary Graham Staines and the 2002 Gujarat riots—remain cited by critics as evidence of Hindutva‑fuelled violence. Recent lynchings of alleged cow‑carriers since 2014 illustrate ongoing tensions, with few convictions recorded. Outlook: Hindutva’s Trajectory Ahead of the 2026 Elections Looking forward, analysts anticipate that the BJP will leverage the court ruling to reinforce its narrative of reclaiming Hindu heritage, potentially mobilising voters in upcoming state elections. However, heightened legal challenges and growing domestic and international criticism could force the party to balance hard‑line rhetoric with broader electoral appeal. The evolution of Hindutva will likely hinge on how effectively it can translate cultural symbolism into sustainable policy without alienating India’s pluralistic electorate.

The Lead: Tuchel's Bold World Cup Squad SelectionThomas Tuchel has announced England's 2026 World Cup squad with several high-profile exclusions and surprising inclusions, marking a significant shift in the national team's approach as they aim to end their 60-year wait for a major international trophy.The Event Details: Shock Omissions and Surprise InclusionsIn a squad announcement that has sent shockwaves through English football, manager Thomas Tuchel has left out star players Phil Foden and Cole Palmer despite their crucial roles in England's run to the Euro 2024 final. The decision appears to be based on the players' underwhelming club seasons, with Foden and Palmer failing to maintain the form that propelled them to international prominence.Real Madrid's Trent Alexander-Arnold was another notable exclusion, while Saudi-based Al Ahli striker Ivan Toney emerged as the surprise inclusion. Toney, who has played only two minutes of international football since his impact off the bench at the Euros two years ago, has been rewarded for his club performances despite playing in Saudi Arabia.Other significant omissions include Manchester United's Harry Maguire and Luke Shaw, who expressed his shock at not being selected. Maguire stated he was "gutted" by the decision despite believing he could have played a major part after his season with Manchester United.The Tactical Shift: Tuchel's Risk Selection StrategyTuchel's squad selection reflects a clear tactical philosophy that prioritizes current form over reputation and past achievements. The former Chelsea and Bayern Munich boss has taken significant risks, including center-back John Stones despite his limited involvement at Manchester City due to an injury-hit season.Conversely, veteran midfielder Jordan Henderson has been included at the expense of Crystal Palace's Adam Wharton, suggesting Tuchel values experience and leadership in certain positions. Nottingham Forest's Morgan Gibbs-White and Leeds striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin, despite being among the highest-scoring Englishmen in the Premier League this season, were overlooked.The Impact Analysis: Changing Dynamics in English FootballTuchel's selections signal a potential changing of the guard in English football, with established stars making way for newer faces and those performing consistently at club level. The exclusion of Foden and Palmer, who were instrumental in England's recent success, indicates a ruthless approach from Tuchel as he seeks to break the 60-year trophy drought.The inclusion of Toney, despite his limited international minutes and move to Saudi Arabia, demonstrates Tuchel's willingness to look beyond traditional football metrics and consider intangible factors like mentality and adaptability. This approach could either revolutionize England's chances or backfire spectacularly if the team underperforms.The squad also shows a balance between youth and experience, with established leaders like Harry Kane and Jordan Henderson complemented by emerging talents like Kobbie Mainoo and Nico O'Reilly. This blend suggests Tuchel is building for both the immediate World Cup campaign and future tournaments.The Prediction: England's World Cup Prospects Under TuchelWith Tuchel's appointment and now this bold squad selection, England enters the 2026 World Cup with a clear mandate: deliver silverware after decades of near misses. The manager's Champions League pedigree and tactical acumen could be the missing piece in England's quest for international glory.The team's World Cup campaign begins against Croatia in Dallas on June 17, followed by matches against Ghana and Panama. While the group stage appears manageable, England's true test will come in the knockout rounds, where Tuchel's selections will face intense scrutiny.Should this squad succeed, it could mark a new era for English football, with Tuchel's ruthless approach becoming the blueprint for future selections. However, if the team falls short, the manager's bold decisions—particularly the exclusion of Foden and Palmer—will be heavily criticized, potentially setting back England's progress in international tournaments.

Thomas Tuchel unveiled England’s final 26‑man roster for the 2026 World Cup, delivering a mix of familiar faces and unexpected inclusions that signal a new tactical direction under the German coach.Tuchel’s Surprise Selections Shake Up England’s AttackIvan Toney (Al‑Ahli) returns after a year‑long absence, providing a second striker alongside Harry Kane.Djed Spence (Tottenham) replaces Trent Alexander‑Arnold at right‑back, despite a recent broken jaw.Midfield slots go to Jude Bellingham, Morgan Rogers and Eberechi Eze, leaving out Cole Palmer and Phil Foden.Defensive Re‑Prioritisation and the Exclusion of High‑Profile PlayersTrent Alexander‑Arnold omitted – Tuchel cites defensive reliability concerns.Harry Maguire left out, describing his reaction as “shocked and gutted”.Back‑line now features Reece James, Tino Livramento, John Stones, Marc Guéhi, Ezri Konsa, Dan Burn and Jarell Quansah.Financial Implications of Dropping Marketable StarsExcluding marquee names such as Alexander‑Arnold, Maguire, Palmer and Foden may affect commercial revenue streams tied to player image rights and sponsorships, though the impact is mitigated by the presence of globally recognised figures like Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane.Strategic Impact on England’s World Cup ProspectsThe dual‑striker option gives Tuchel tactical flexibility, while the defensive reshuffle emphasizes a more disciplined back‑line. However, the loss of creative midfield talent from Palmer and Foden could limit attacking variety, placing greater responsibility on Bellingham and the wing‑backs.Outlook: What to Watch as England Prepares for North AmericaKey indicators will be how quickly Toney regains international sharpness, Spence’s recovery from injury, and whether the midfield trio can blend effectively. If the squad gels, England retains a strong chance to contend for the title; if the gaps in creativity persist, the team may struggle against technically adept opponents.

The Squad Revelation Thomas Tuchel is set to announce England's 2026 World Cup squad. The big announcement comes at 9:45 am UK time. The Probable Squad David Hytner and Jacob Steinberg have done their analysis and made their predictions on the final 26. Here's their probable squad: Goalkeepers: Jordan Pickford Everton, Dean Henderson Crystal Palace, James Trafford Manchester City Defenders: Reece James Chelsea, Tino Livramento Newcastle, John Stones Manchester City, Marc Guéhi Manchester City, Ezri Konsa Aston Villa, Dan Burn Newcastle, Jarell Quansah Bayer Leverkusen, Nico O'Reilly Manchester City Midfielders: Jordan Henderson Brentford, Elliot Anderson Nottingham Forest, Declan Rice Arsenal, Kobbie Mainoo Manchester United, James Garner Everton, Jude Bellingham Real Madrid, Morgan Rogers Aston Villa Forwards: Bukayo Saka Arsenal, Noni Madueke Arsenal, Eberechi Eze Arsenal, Marcus Rashford Barcelona, Anthony Gordon Newcastle, Harry Kane Bayern Munich, Ollie Watkins Aston Villa, Ivan Toney Al-Ahli The Omissions Trent Alexander-Arnold has been omitted from the squad. Djed Spence has been included but reportedly broke his jaw after a collision with Liam Delap of Chelsea on Tuesday. Maguire was the first to go public about being left out, with the defender taking to social media to express disappointment over failing to make the cut. The most eye-catching omissions came in the attacking areas, with Foden and Palmer left out due to underwhelming seasons. The Surprising Inclusions Tuchel has been bold with his selections, notably turning to Toney for the first time in 12 months. The former Brentford striker, who now plays for Al-Ahli in Saudi Arabia, was part of England's squad at Euro 2024 but has not made an international appearance since coming on as a substitute in the friendly defeat by Senegal last June.

The LeadThe Guardian's Politics Weekly podcast has brought attention to allegations of a new financial arrangement involving former President Donald Trump, which critics are calling a "slush fund" designed to benefit his associates and allies.The Financial Arrangement DetailsThe podcast examines the structure and purpose of this fund, which has emerged as a subject of political controversy. While specific details about the fund's operations remain limited, the discussion centers on how such arrangements might influence political processes and donor relationships.The Political Impact AnalysisThis development comes at a time when political financing and ethics are under increased scrutiny. The alleged slush fund could potentially reshape perceptions of Trump's political operation and influence fundraising strategies for upcoming elections.The Future OutlookPolitical observers are watching closely to see how this story develops and whether it will have any lasting impact on Trump's political standing or the broader conversation about campaign finance reform in the United States.Listen to the full episode on Politics Weekly YouTube channelCheck out The Guardian's US podcast: Stateside with Kai and CarterSend questions and feedback to [email protected] The Guardian at theguardian.com/politicspodus

Executive Summary: Leader Ousted but Not DefeatedThe Turkish judiciary has removed the head of the main opposition party from his leadership role, prompting him to declare his intention to continue fighting for his political agenda. Court Ruling and Immediate AftermathThe court's decision formally terminated the leader's tenure as party chair, citing procedural violations. Within hours, the ousted figure addressed supporters, emphasizing his commitment to remain a political actor and to challenge the ruling establishment. Political Stakes and Electoral ContextNational elections are scheduled for 2027, making the leadership vacuum a critical factor for opposition strategy.The ruling party, led by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, stands to benefit from a fragmented opposition.Opposition parties are scrambling to reorganize and present a unified front. Implications for Turkey's Democratic InstitutionsThe ruling illustrates growing tensions between the judiciary and political opposition, raising concerns among international observers about the independence of Turkey's courts and the health of its democratic processes. Outlook: Potential Paths for the OppositionAnalysts anticipate two main scenarios: a rapid reconstitution of opposition leadership that could rally voters, or prolonged internal disputes that may weaken the coalition ahead of the 2027 elections. The leader's vow to stay active suggests he may pursue a role outside formal party structures, potentially influencing public discourse and mobilizing grassroots support.

The Democratic Autopsy Report: Incomplete and InconclusiveThe Democratic Party in the United States has released its long-awaited report examining why former Vice President Kamala Harris failed to beat Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election. However, the so-called autopsy document was incomplete and inconclusive – riddled with factual mistakes and annotations questioning its assertions. DNC Chair Ken Martin acknowledged the report's shortcomings, stating that transparency was paramount and releasing it in its current state was better than withholding it entirely.The Omission of Gaza: A Critical OversightLeading up to the 2024 vote, Israel's genocidal war on Gaza was one of the most contentious and divisive issues for the Democrats and Harris. The Biden-Harris administration provided nearly $18bn to fund Israel's assault on Gaza and vetoed several UN Security Council resolutions calling for a ceasefire. This uncompromising pro-Israel policy caused some segments of the Democratic base to turn against Harris. Yet, there are zero mentions of Gaza and Israel in the 192 pages of the autopsy report, despite polls suggesting it was a top issue for voters who abandoned Harris.The Report's Flaws: Missing Sections and Factual ErrorsThe DNC released the report in its unvarnished format, revealing significant problems. Several sections – including the executive summary and conclusion – were entirely missing, replaced with the word 'pending' and the annotation 'this section was not provided by author.' The document also makes numerous questionable and false assertions, with annotations such as 'claim contradicts public reporting' and 'data appears to be inaccurate and contradicts public reporting.' Basic facts were wrong, including the number of gubernatorial races Democrats won in 2024.Campaign Strategy Failures: Insufficient Support and Negative MessagingThe report highlighted several strategic failures in the Harris campaign. It criticized the Biden administration for not adequately supporting Harris, noting that polling was done for how Jill Biden could support Joe Biden, but no similar research was done for Harris. The audit also faulted the White House for assigning Harris immigration responsibilities without adequate political training. Additionally, the campaign's 'not Trump' approach failed to effectively define Harris beyond her opposition to Trump, and when negative messaging was used against Trump, it did not highlight his flaws effectively.The Transgender Ad: A Campaign-Defining MomentOne of the most memorable commercials of the campaign season – an ad featuring Harris saying she supports access to sex change surgeries for 'every transgender inmate' – proved particularly damaging. The commercial played video of Harris making that statement and concluded with a narrator saying, 'Kamala is for they/them'; President Trump is for you.' Pollsters recognized the attack as very effective, leaving the campaign 'boxed' with no effective response. The report noted that given the stakes and timing, the focus needed to be on attacking Trump rather than defending on this issue.Future Implications for Democrats: Lessons from a Flawed AnalysisDespite its flaws, the autopsy report offers some insights for the Democratic Party as it looks ahead to future elections. The DNC chair acknowledged that the report did not meet his standards and that actionable takeaways were lacking. The absence of a substantive analysis on key issues like Gaza suggests the party may still be grappling with how to address divisive topics within its base. Moving forward, Democrats will need to develop more positive messaging, better support for candidates, and more effective strategies for addressing controversial issues that alienate key segments of their potential voting coalition.