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The Failed Dealmaker: Trump's Iran Dilemma For weeks, Donald Trump has tried to find a way to end the war he started with Iran – a deal that would allow him to declare victory and move past the conflict before it causes severe damage to the global economy and sinks Republican chances in the US midterm elections. But the self-proclaimed master dealmaker can't seem to stop sabotaging his own negotiations or to acknowledge that Iran is now in a better position to demand concessions than it was before the war. Strategic Missteps: From Military Action to Negotiation Deadlock Over the Memorial Day holiday, Trump skipped his eldest son's wedding in the Bahamas and canceled plans to spend the weekend at his New Jersey golf club. The last-minute changes heightened speculation that Trump was ready to unveil a deal to end the war. Trump then announced that he would hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David, the presidential compound in Maryland that has been the site of historic diplomatic summits. But that meeting was moved back to the White House, as it became clear that Trump had not been able to close a deal he could announce with great fanfare. The Art of the Deal: Trump's Negotiation Paradox Why has an agreement eluded the business titan who wrote the bestselling 1987 book The Art of the Deal? Trump admires strongman leaders and is loth to project any sign of weakness – and he's afraid of reaching a deal with Iran that makes him look weak. The president is also sensitive to criticism that any agreement he negotiates will be worse for the US than the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, which was brokered by Barack Obama's administration. Leverage Reversed: How Iran Gained the Upper Hand Trump's main problem is that Iran has more leverage than he does – and Iranian leaders are well aware of that advantage. On 28 February, Trump launched a joint US-Israeli war against Iran, killing the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top military and political officials. But Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes against US military bases across the Middle East, and it targeted the energy infrastructure of its Gulf neighbors. Iran also deployed its most effective economic weapon: it closed the strait of Hormuz, through which more than a fifth of the world's oil supply passed each day. Economic Fallout: Global Disruption and Rising Oil Prices The closure of the Strait of Hormuz – along with Iranian attacks on pipelines and gas fields in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates – disrupted the global economy and increased oil prices. In the US, average gas prices have jumped by 50%, up to nearly $4.50 per gallon, since Trump launched the war. Trump and his ally, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, could not topple the Islamic regime that rose to power after Iran's 1979 revolution. Instead, they ended up strengthening it – by allowing Tehran to deploy its geographic control of the strait of Hormuz into a weapon that could instigate a global energy crisis and a worldwide recession. The Emerging Deal: Limited Concessions and Unresolved Issues The emerging deal is focused on solving a problem that didn't exist before Trump started this war: fully reopening the strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping so that oil prices can stabilize. Under a draft agreement being circulated to US allies, Washington would also lift its blockade of Iranian ports and allow Tehran to access about $12bn in frozen assets. Once again, Trump seems to be aiming for a limited deal with Iran that defers the most difficult questions to future talks, which could drag out for months or even years. Iran's Resilience: Military Strength Preserved In some ways, Iran has emerged stronger after a war intended to decimate its military capabilities. A CIA report sent to Trump earlier this month found that Tehran had managed to retain a significant part of its missile capabilities. The analysis said Iran preserved about 70% of its prewar stockpile of missiles and about 75% of its mobile launchers. The report also concluded that Iran was more resilient than US officials had claimed, and it could survive a naval blockade for months. Political Calculations: Midterm Elections and Trump's Dilemma At his cabinet meeting, Trump said he didn't care about the midterm elections and wasn't in a rush to reach a deal. "It's got to be perfect," Trump told reporters, adding: "I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement." Despite his weak position, Trump insists that he will strike a better deal with Iran than the one negotiated by the Obama administration in 2015. That agreement provided Tehran with relief from international sanctions in exchange for limits on its nuclear enrichment. The Unintended Consequences: Strengthening the Adversary Trump could have avoided starting a regime-change war that failed, leaving the world to deal with its consequences. Instead, the master negotiator handed Iran a new economic weapon – and more leverage to extract a favorable deal. The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you're dead. Trump wrote in his famous book. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have.

The LeadArsenal manager Mikel Arteta is on the cusp of leading the team to their second Champions League final, 20 years after their heartbreaking loss to Barcelona in 2006. The Event DetailsThey left London in their thousands, full of hope and devotion, heading for Paris in the springtime, yet romantic anticipation lasted all of 18 minutes, which was when Arsenal’s goalkeeper, Jens Lehmann, was sent off in the 2006 Champions League final against Barcelona at the Stade de France. The Data AnalysisThe club's financial struggles began with the construction of the Emirates Stadium, which was funded by a £47m deal with Granada for 10% of the club and 50% of the “internet rights”. The club also took out a £120m loan from Barclays and secured a £140m shirt deal with Nike and a £100m naming rights and shirt sponsorship deal with Emirates. The Impact AnalysisThe loss to Barcelona marked a turning point for Arsenal, as the team began to break up and key players left for other clubs. The club's financial struggles continued, and they were unable to compete with the likes of Chelsea and Manchester City, who were backed by wealthy owners. The PredictionAs Arteta prepares to lead Arsenal into their second Champions League final, he will be hoping to avoid a repeat of the heartbreak of 2006 and bring a trophy to the club. The team's journey to redemption has been long and arduous, but with a talented young squad and a experienced manager, they have a good chance of success.

The 1994 World Cup in the United States was a turning point – a commercialised yet surprisingly raucous tournament that left a lasting impression on the author, who attended as a 23‑year‑old on a modest £9,000 salary.The 1994 World Cup’s Commercial Turn and Fan AtmosphereHosted on American soil for the first time, USA 1994 introduced a more expansive, commercialised model that contrasted sharply with the “couch‑potato” stereotypes of the era. Despite media fears of hooliganism and low‑brow audiences, the event delivered a lively, sometimes chaotic, but ultimately joyous experience for fans, from the tepid crowds in Boston to the electric Irish diaspora celebration in New York.Two matches attended were goalless draws, yet the atmosphere felt “occasionally raucous, often tepid”.British neutral supporters, such as Cardiff fans, helped spark a trend of curious, non‑partisan spectatorship.Ticket prices ranged from $25 (equivalent to $55 today) for a decent seat to $120 for premium access at Giants Stadium.Numbers That Shaped the Tournament: Attendance and Ticket PricesThe tournament set an enduring record for average attendance, with 68,991 spectators per match – a figure that still stands. The relatively low cost of entry allowed a broad cross‑section of fans, from immigrant communities to college students, to experience the World Cup live.Average crowd: 68,991 (World Cup finals record).Typical ticket price: $25 in 1994 ($55 adjusted for inflation).Premium Giants Stadium ticket: $120 each.How USA ’94 Redefined Global Football CultureBeyond the numbers, the tournament fostered a counter‑cultural vibe in the United States. Football was embraced by “convivial geeks and obsessives” and bolstered by immigrant enthusiasm. The Irish community’s celebration in New York turned a simple match into a diasporic festival, while the presence of British fans hinted at a future where World Cups would attract a more diverse, curious audience.These cultural shifts laid groundwork for later developments, such as the creation of Major League Soccer two years later and the massive commercial growth of subsequent tournaments.What the Legacy Means for Future World CupsThe author warns that soaring ticket prices and heightened security may erode the affordable, party‑like atmosphere that defined USA 1994. As future tournaments become more politically charged and financially demanding, the chance for “melting‑pot merriment” could diminish, making the 1994 experience a nostalgic benchmark for fans and organisers alike.

The Day After Djokovic: A New Era Opens at Roland Garros Bonjour et bienvenue au jour sept de notre couverture de Roland Garros 2026! After Novak Djokovic's departure in the match of the tournament against the 19-year-old Brazilian sensation João Fonseca last night, opportunity knocks louder than ever before for the remaining men, with a first-time grand slam champion guaranteed next Sunday. The Men's Draw: Shattered Hopes and Rising Stars Today the players in the top half of the draw get the chance to underline their credentials, and with a huge Jannik Sinner-sized hole in that section, along with the exits of Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik, the highest-ranked man in action is Félix Auger-Aliassime, and the fourth seed doesn't play until tonight. It means Sinner's conqueror Juan Manuel Cerundolo gets another day in the sun, as does his brother Francisco, but a bigger buzz surrounds the 17-year-old overnight, hometown hero Moise Kouame, who will have Roland Garros rocking when he takes on Chile's Alejandro Tabilo. The 10th seed Flavio Cobolli against the rising American Learner Tien could be tasty too, while Frances Tiafoe and the resurgent Matteo Berrettini are also in third-round action. Women's Powerhouse: Champions and Challengers The leading names today are undoubtedly on the women's side, which is still stacked with slam champions past and present: Coco Gauff continues her title defence, Aryna Sabalenka plays the former semi-finalist Daria Kasatkina, while Naomi Osaka and Madison Keys will be hoping to avoid the same fate as Djokovic when they take on the stupendously talented teens Iva Jovic and Victoria Mboko respectively. Amanda Anisimova plays too. Tournament Turning Point: What Happens Next With Djokovic's unexpected exit, the path to the title has been dramatically reshaped. The French Open has historically been unpredictable, but this year's tournament is on track to crown a first-time grand slam champion, adding to the tournament's legacy of creating new tennis legends. L'action commence: 11h à Paris/10am BST. Allons-y!

The Hurricanes End a Two‑Decade Wait for a Stanley Cup FinalRod Brind’Amour and his squad celebrated on the ice after capturing the Prince of Wales Trophy, marking the franchise’s first trip to the Stanley Cup final since 2006. The emotional scene underscored a long‑awaited breakthrough after eight years of Eastern Conference final setbacks. Dominant Game 5 Performance Overpowers Montreal CanadiensA 6‑1 rout in Game 5 saw Taylor Hall, Logan Stankoven and Eric Robinson each score in the opening period, establishing a 3‑0 lead. Subsequent goals from Jackson Blake, Shayne Gostisbehere, and an empty‑net tally by Seth Jarvis sealed the win, while goaltender Frederik Andersen held a shutout until midway through the third. Series result: Hurricanes win 4‑1. Key turning point: Rebound from a 6‑2 loss in Game 1 to win four straight. Historic run: First team since 1983 to reach the final with only one loss. Statistical Milestones: One Loss En Route to the FinalAccording to SportRadar, the Hurricanes are the only team since the league adopted best‑of‑seven series in all four postseason rounds (1987) to advance with a single defeat. Their 10‑straight‑goal stretch, beginning with Andrei Svechnikov’s overtime winner in Game 3, highlighted offensive firepower. What This Means for Carolina’s Franchise and the Eastern ConferenceThe victory reshapes the Hurricanes’ narrative from perennial contender to genuine championship threat. It also signals a shift in the Eastern Conference hierarchy, with the once‑dominant Canadiens exiting earlier than expected and the Hurricanes poised to challenge the West’s powerhouse, the Vegas Golden Knights. Looking Ahead: The Vegas Showdown and Future ProspectsNext up is a best‑of‑seven series against the Golden Knights, where Carolina’s depth and resilience will be tested. Analysts predict a tightly contested matchup, with the Hurricanes’ balanced scoring and defensive upgrades offering a realistic chance to capture their first Stanley Cup since the franchise’s relocation in 1997.

Lead: Socceroos' final warm‑up against Mexico could decide World Cup rosterThe Socceroos travel to Los Angeles’ historic Rose Bowl to face co‑hosts Mexico in what is being billed as the last opportunity for several players to secure a spot in Australia’s 2026 World Cup squad.Mexico friendly as Popovic's selection crucibleCoach Tony Popovic has framed the match as a practical test against elite opposition and a chance to observe players before the final squad is submitted on 1 June. The game also offers a glimpse of how the team will adapt to conditions ahead of their opening World Cup fixture against Turkey on 14 June.Numbers shaping the squad race29 players are currently in the training camp, competing for 26 roster spots.The 2026 World Cup features an expanded field of 48 teams.The friendly takes place on 30 May 2026 at the Rose Bowl, Los Angeles.Australia’s first World Cup match is scheduled for 14 June 2026 against Turkey.Impact on Australian football and player futuresThe outcome will directly affect the fate of several fringe players, including goalkeepers Patrick Beach, Joe Gauci and Paul Izzo, as well as outfielders such as Milos Degenek, Kye Rowles, Kai Trewin and Jason Geria. The late inclusion of Cristian Volpato, a former Italy youth international, adds further uncertainty, potentially pushing a defender out of the final list. A strong performance could also cement the roles of emerging talents like Brandon Borello and Nishan Velupillay.What to expect after the Mexico testIf Popovic sees the desired qualities in his selections, the final 26‑man squad will be announced shortly after the match, with limited scope for changes before the tournament, except for injury replacements. Success in the friendly could boost team cohesion and confidence heading into the group stage, while any disappointment may force last‑minute adjustments that could influence Australia’s chances in the expanded World Cup.

The Shocking Upset Alex de Minaur was blown out of the French Open just when opportunity had knocked deafeningly for all the would-be contenders. With Jannik Sinner's sensational exit having made everyone believe their chance could be at hand, de Minaur's enduring dream was this time dynamited by young Czech powerhouse Jakub Mensik 0-6 6-2 6-2 6-3 in the third round. Mensik's Remarkable Comeback Mensik, who had collapsed on court and had to be ferried to the medical centre in a wheelchair after his four-hour 41-minute epic win over Mariano Navone on Wednesday, was outrageously good, and rebounded from a horror opening set to utterly dominate. De Minaur's Disappointing Performance De Minaur, who had been nearly flawless in the opening exchanges, was suddenly being hurried into errors – 17 in the second set – as he lost seven games in a row across the second and third stanzas, looking increasingly bereft at the number of mistakes he was making. The Match in Numbers Mensik won 16 straight points in the first set, 'bagelling' de Minaur 6-0. De Minaur made 17 errors in the second set. Mensik won 5 games in a row to take the second and third sets. The Impact on Australian Interest De Minaur's loss leaves Daria Kasatkina as the only Australian left in the singles draws. She will have her work seriously cut out to ensure there's any Australian interest as she faces world No 1 Aryna Sabalenka on Court Suzanne Lenglen.

The Road to the World CupScotland qualified for the World Cup in dramatic circumstances that absorbed almost three decades of frustration. This marks a first appearance in the event since 1998 and it was achieved on a spine-tingling Hampden Park occasion when Denmark were eventually vanquished 4-2.The Team's ChancesNow for the trickier part. Clarke has an ageing squad which is light on goal threat if midfielders – primarily John McGinn and Scott McTominay – do not contribute. The goalkeeping position has been a problem for a concerted spell now. At centre-back, the Scots are adequate rather than strong, having operated with a back three or four.Key PlayersScott McTominay has evolved from bit-part player at Manchester United to a hero in Naples. He has grown in stature and significance for Scotland while reviving his club career and his overhead kick in the Denmark win is etched in history as one of the finest goals ever witnessed at Hampden Park.The CoachScotland were in the doldrums, with tournament participation supposedly an unattainable dream, when Steve Clarke took on the position in 2019. History will look very favourably upon the former Chelsea player, given he has taken his nation to three out of four finals.Group Stage Fixtures13 June v Haiti, New York (9pm local, 14 June 2am BST, 14 June 11am AEST)19 June v Morocco, Boston (6pm local, 11pm BST, 20 June 8am AEST)24 June v Brazil, Boston (6pm local, 11pm BST, 25 June 8am AEST)

The British Solving Championship: An Opportunity for Chess Enthusiasts This week’s puzzle is a chance to enter an annual national competition in which Guardian readers ­traditionally perform well and in ­considerable numbers. White in the diagram, ­playing as usual up the board, is to play and checkmate in two moves, against any black defence. The Event Details The puzzle is the first stage of the annual Winton British Solving Championship, organised by the British Chess Problem Society and sponsored by the investment ­managers ­Winton. This competition is only open to ­British ­residents and entry is free. To take part, simply send White’s first move by post to Nigel Dennis, Boundary House, 230 Greys Road, Henley-on-Thames, Oxon RG9 1QY, or by email to [email protected]. Entry Requirements and Deadline All entries must be postmarked or emailed no later than 31 July 2026. Entrants must provide their name and home address. Juniors under 18 on 31 August 2025 must also give their date of birth. The Competition Structure The best 15-20 players from the postal round, plus the best juniors, will be invited to the final at Harrow school on Saturday 13 February 2027, where the prize money is expected to be at least £1,600. The winner of the final will have the right to represent Great Britain at the 2027 world ­solving championships, an event where GB are often medal contenders. A Note on Chess and Professionals Back in the 1950s most top English players were amateurs, often civil servants or teachers, who competed in tournaments during their vacations. After the 1970s Fischer boom and English successes brought an influx of sponsors, chess professionals could earn a decent living, but the tide turned again during the 1990s. The breakup of the Soviet Union brought harder international competition, while Nigel Short’s world title defeat and the move to screen rather than print marketing drove sponsors away. A New Grandmaster: Harry Grieve Harry Grieve became England’s latest grandmaster on Tuesday when the 25-year-old, who was British champion in 2022 and helped CSC/Kingston finish second in this season’s UK 4NCL League, won first prize in Budapest with a 7/9 total.