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The Failed Dealmaker: Trump's Iran Dilemma For weeks, Donald Trump has tried to find a way to end the war he started with Iran – a deal that would allow him to declare victory and move past the conflict before it causes severe damage to the global economy and sinks Republican chances in the US midterm elections. But the self-proclaimed master dealmaker can't seem to stop sabotaging his own negotiations or to acknowledge that Iran is now in a better position to demand concessions than it was before the war. Strategic Missteps: From Military Action to Negotiation Deadlock Over the Memorial Day holiday, Trump skipped his eldest son's wedding in the Bahamas and canceled plans to spend the weekend at his New Jersey golf club. The last-minute changes heightened speculation that Trump was ready to unveil a deal to end the war. Trump then announced that he would hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David, the presidential compound in Maryland that has been the site of historic diplomatic summits. But that meeting was moved back to the White House, as it became clear that Trump had not been able to close a deal he could announce with great fanfare. The Art of the Deal: Trump's Negotiation Paradox Why has an agreement eluded the business titan who wrote the bestselling 1987 book The Art of the Deal? Trump admires strongman leaders and is loth to project any sign of weakness – and he's afraid of reaching a deal with Iran that makes him look weak. The president is also sensitive to criticism that any agreement he negotiates will be worse for the US than the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers, which was brokered by Barack Obama's administration. Leverage Reversed: How Iran Gained the Upper Hand Trump's main problem is that Iran has more leverage than he does – and Iranian leaders are well aware of that advantage. On 28 February, Trump launched a joint US-Israeli war against Iran, killing the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top military and political officials. But Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes against US military bases across the Middle East, and it targeted the energy infrastructure of its Gulf neighbors. Iran also deployed its most effective economic weapon: it closed the strait of Hormuz, through which more than a fifth of the world's oil supply passed each day. Economic Fallout: Global Disruption and Rising Oil Prices The closure of the Strait of Hormuz – along with Iranian attacks on pipelines and gas fields in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates – disrupted the global economy and increased oil prices. In the US, average gas prices have jumped by 50%, up to nearly $4.50 per gallon, since Trump launched the war. Trump and his ally, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, could not topple the Islamic regime that rose to power after Iran's 1979 revolution. Instead, they ended up strengthening it – by allowing Tehran to deploy its geographic control of the strait of Hormuz into a weapon that could instigate a global energy crisis and a worldwide recession. The Emerging Deal: Limited Concessions and Unresolved Issues The emerging deal is focused on solving a problem that didn't exist before Trump started this war: fully reopening the strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping so that oil prices can stabilize. Under a draft agreement being circulated to US allies, Washington would also lift its blockade of Iranian ports and allow Tehran to access about $12bn in frozen assets. Once again, Trump seems to be aiming for a limited deal with Iran that defers the most difficult questions to future talks, which could drag out for months or even years. Iran's Resilience: Military Strength Preserved In some ways, Iran has emerged stronger after a war intended to decimate its military capabilities. A CIA report sent to Trump earlier this month found that Tehran had managed to retain a significant part of its missile capabilities. The analysis said Iran preserved about 70% of its prewar stockpile of missiles and about 75% of its mobile launchers. The report also concluded that Iran was more resilient than US officials had claimed, and it could survive a naval blockade for months. Political Calculations: Midterm Elections and Trump's Dilemma At his cabinet meeting, Trump said he didn't care about the midterm elections and wasn't in a rush to reach a deal. "It's got to be perfect," Trump told reporters, adding: "I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement." Despite his weak position, Trump insists that he will strike a better deal with Iran than the one negotiated by the Obama administration in 2015. That agreement provided Tehran with relief from international sanctions in exchange for limits on its nuclear enrichment. The Unintended Consequences: Strengthening the Adversary Trump could have avoided starting a regime-change war that failed, leaving the world to deal with its consequences. Instead, the master negotiator handed Iran a new economic weapon – and more leverage to extract a favorable deal. The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you're dead. Trump wrote in his famous book. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have.

Rising rates of youth unemployment have created a split at the top of government over how fast it should meet its promise to give young people the full minimum wage.The Manifesto Promise vs. The Reality CheckPeter Kyle, the business secretary, is understood to believe now is not the time to give 18- to 20-year-olds the full minimum wage, which Labour promised to do in its manifesto. Others believe there is little evidence to show that recent pay rises for low-paid workers have had any effect on unemployment.Torsten Bell, a Treasury minister, told the BBC on Friday morning: “If you look at what the Low Pay Commission said in their annual report, they didn’t find evidence that previous increases in the minimum wage for young people had had an effect on their employment.”The £125bn Cost of InactionThe splits have emerged following a landmark government-backed report this week by the former Labour minister Alan Milburn, who found that youth unemployment was costing Britain more than £125bn a year. Milburn’s report revealed the number of young people not working or studying had surpassed a million for the first time in more than a decade, prompting calls to reduce the pace of youth minimum wage increases.Current Youth Rate: £10.85 (up 8.5% this year)Main Minimum Wage: £12.71 (up 4.1% this year)NEETs (Not in Education, Employment, or Training): Over 1 millionThe Hospitality Sector DilemmaMilburn himself told the News Agents podcast this week: “To get the jobs there for them, you’ve got to make sure the employers are willing to take the risk. If you’re in, say, the hospitality sector or the retail sector, margins tend to be very low. These tend to be sectors that were really badly hit by the cost of living, hospitality in particular.”Tony Blair, the former prime minister, warned in an essay this week that policies such as increasing the minimum wage – which he brought in – had created “headwinds, not tailwinds, for businesses.”The October Low Pay Commission VerdictLabour promised in its manifesto to equalise the rates of the minimum wage for 18- to 20-year-olds with those of workers who are 21 and over but did not say how quickly this would be achieved. Bell said on Friday: “We’re committed to our manifesto that we stood on and we will deliver it. But that manifesto did not set out the timeline.”While he and others in the government believe they should slow down the pace of rises in youth rates of the national minimum wage if there is evidence that it has an impact on employment, they do not yet believe that evidence exists.The commission will tell the government in October what it is recommending for the financial year starting on 1 April 2027; some in government privately hope it will give a recommendation significantly lower than this year’s. Earlier this year ministers even changed their guidance to the LPC to reflect the concerns in government over unemployment among young people, telling it to prioritise employment rates instead.

The Lead Voting has begun in Malta's snap parliamentary election, which will determine who governs the Mediterranean island nation for the next five years. Malta's Snap Election Underway Polling stations opened on Saturday in a contest widely viewed as a two-horse race between the governing Labour Party and the centrist Nationalist Party. Prime Minister Robert Abela, who leads the Labour Party, called the election a year ahead of schedule against the backdrop of the Iran war, which is impacting markets globally. Economic Concerns Dominate the Election The economy is set to dominate this year's election, with rising rents and ailing infrastructure at the forefront of many voters' minds. Malta's public health service is also under increasing pressure following a population surge in what is already the European Union's smallest and most densely populated country. The Impact of Past Events The election takes place under the shadow of the assassination of investigative journalist Daphne Caruana Galizia, who was killed by a car bomb in 2017. Caruana Galizia exposed corruption in Malta, with her death ultimately leading to the resignation of former Prime Minister Joseph Muscat. The Future Outlook Opinion polls suggest Abela's party is on course to win the snap election, with Labour dominating Malta's political landscape during the past decade. However, the Nationalist Party's new leader, Alex Borg, hopes to unseat Labour and become Malta's youngest-ever prime minister at the age of 30. Election results are expected to be announced at about midday on Sunday.

The Lead: This Week's Entertainment HighlightsThis week's entertainment landscape offers a diverse array of critically acclaimed shows and films, from hilarious comedies to chilling horror. Channel 4's "Make That Movie" stands out as one of the funniest shows of the year, while Netflix's "The Four Seasons" returns with a brilliant second season. Horror fans can explore the disturbing world of "Backrooms," while Marvel offers a stylish take with "Spider-Noir."TV Comedy Gold: Make That MovieChannel 4Summed up in a sentence Last One Laughing finalist delivers one of the funniest shows of the year, with this mockumentary about a director who makes awful films.What our reviewer said "So ostentatiously silly that it deserves to be paraded around the streets." Stuart HeritageRead the full reviewFurther reading "People are like: you're a crackpot": how Sam Campbell became comedy's oddball superstarNetflix Triumph: The Four Seasons ReturnsNetflixSummed up in a sentence Tina Fey triumphs again with the return of this comedy about a group of middle-aged friends who reunite during holidays throughout the year.What our reviewer said "Even more perspicacious, poignant and hilarious than the first." Chitra RamaswamyRead the full reviewMarvel's Stylish Take: Spider-NoirPrime VideoSummed up in a sentence In Marvel's witty homage to the hard-boiled films and fictions of the 40s – which can be watched in colour or black-and-white – Nicolas Cage plays Ben Reilly, who gave up being superhero "the Spider" five years ago.What our reviewer said "Everything is shot with style and confidence." Lucy ManganRead the full reviewFurther reading The life of PIs: the strange case of 2026's resurgence of hard-boiled detectivesHidden Gem: PoniesNow/Sky AtlanticSummed up in a sentence Emilia Clarke and Haley Lu Richardson have heaps of fun as two widows who become cold war spies in this espionage comedy-drama.What our reviewer said "It's a mashup of genres and tropes, but it is its own thing too – and an unexpected treat at that." Lucy ManganRead the full reviewHorror Innovation: BackroomsIn cinemas nowSummed up in a sentence A debut from 20-year-old director Kane Parsons that examines memory, reality and fear in an icily disturbing horror, in which Chiwetel Ejiofor accesses an infinite series of hidden rooms that all feel creepily askew.What our reviewer said "Backrooms progressively raises its game towards the big finish with jump scares, squirm scares and tiny shiver scares. There is real fascination in exploring this vast, invisible city state of fear." Peter BradshawRead the full reviewFurther reading Are you sitting uncomfortably? How Backrooms upended the horror movieMusic and Bromance: Power BalladIn cinemas nowSummed up in a sentence Nick Jonas and Paul Rudd star in a comedy of bromance and betrayal from Irish writer-director John Carney that brilliantly brings together Rudd's washed-up wedding singer and Jonas's insecure ex-boyband superstar.What our reviewer said "Power Ballad is about making it and dreaming big, about every busker never giving up on hopes of one day being mega. But as so often with Carney, it's about something else, usually left unacknowledged in movies about music or any sort of show business: the terrible binary of success and failure." Peter BradshawRead the full reviewUnexpected Pairing: TunerIn cinemas nowSummed up in a sentence Playing a piano tuner with super-sensitive hearing, Leo Woodall's relationship with Dustin Hoffman is a tender highlight in this safe-cracking thriller.What our reviewer said "What a pair they are; they are a real pleasure to watch in an easy, unforced drama that mixes romcom moments with a relaxed crime thriller. It's like the Safdie brothers in chill-out mode." Cath Clarke

The Countdown to Trump’s Final Determination on a US‑Iran DealPresident Donald Trump signalled on May 30, 2026 that he would make a “final determination” on a potential agreement to end the Iran‑U.S. conflict, while Iranian chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned Tehran would only act after Washington takes concrete steps.Financial Stakes: $1.5 Trillion Defence Investment and 3.5 % GDP TargetsUS Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced a $1.5 trillion defence spending boost, urging allies to allocate at least 3.5 % of GDP to defence.The pledge underscores the economic dimension of the Iran negotiations, linking security commitments to massive fiscal outlays.Regional Flashpoints: Israeli Advances in Lebanon and Ongoing Air AlertsIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu confirmed troops have crossed the Litani River, expanding operations northward in southern Lebanon.The Israeli military reported intercepting projectiles from Lebanon and a near‑miss in northern Israel, though no casualties were reported.US Central Command (CENTCOM) displayed an F‑16 patrol over the Middle East, signalling continued US presence.Strategic Implications for US‑Iran Relations and Middle‑East StabilityThe divergent statements from Washington and Tehran highlight a stalemate: the US demands concrete Iranian concessions, while Iran insists on reciprocal US actions. Simultaneously, heightened Israeli‑Lebanese hostilities risk drawing additional regional actors into the conflict.What Comes Next: Scenarios for the Next 30 DaysBest‑case: A limited agreement is reached, easing naval restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz and reducing immediate combat operations.Mid‑case: Negotiations stall, leading to a continuation of proxy clashes and increased US defence spending.Worst‑case: Escalation in Lebanon triggers broader regional involvement, potentially expanding the war beyond current borders.

The Lead Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has denounced the US decision to designate two Brazilian criminal networks as 'terrorists', warning that the label could hinder local law enforcement efforts. Pushback against 'terrorist' label The condemnation came in a message posted to Lula's social media platforms on Friday, in response to an announcement by the administration of US President Donald Trump. On Thursday, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio revealed that he had designated Brazil's two largest criminal groups — the Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and the Comando Vermelho (CV) — 'specially designated global terrorists'. He also outlined plans to add the two groups to the list of 'foreign terrorist organisations', effective June 5. The Data Analysis The 'terrorist' designations freeze all US-based assets connected to the targeted groups, but they can also be used to penalise anyone who offers 'material support or resources' to them. Experts warn that such restrictions could potentially affect financial institutions and even the victims of such groups, including businesses and individuals who might be forced to pay extortion. The Impact Analysis Lula has also expressed concern that the 'terrorist' label could pave the way for US military intervention, a fear he reiterated in Friday's statement. 'We remain fully prepared to develop joint solutions that yield mutual benefits for all nations involved,' Lula wrote. 'However, we will not tolerate the imposition of arbitrary measures from abroad, nor will we accept their use as a pretext to undermine our sovereignty or our economy. Unilateral, non-negotiated measures can undermine the fight against criminals and trigger actions that endanger the lives of people who have absolutely no connection to crime.' The Prediction Security is expected to be a dominant issue in October's presidential race, and this week's 'terrorist' designations are likely to put Lula in an awkward position, forcing him to condemn the label without downplaying the extent of the violence. Lula has attempted to brush off right-wing criticism that he has been lax on crime, pointing to his government's recent $11bn investment in the 'Brazil Against Organized Crime' programme.

The Diplomatic Row Poland's president, Karol Nawrocki, has proposed stripping Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Poland's top honour, the Order of the White Eagle, following Zelenskyy's decree naming a military special forces unit 'Heroes of the UPA', after the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA). The Controversy Surrounding UPA The UPA is regarded by some Ukrainian nationalists as heroes for their resistance against the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany. However, UPA fighters were also involved in the Volhynia massacres in western Ukraine from 1943 to 1945, resulting in the deaths of around 100,000 Poles. The Polish Reaction Polish President Karol Nawrocki expressed outrage and proposed the withdrawal of the Order of the White Eagle from President Zelenskyy. The Chapter of the Order of the White Eagle will meet on June 8 to discuss the matter. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated that Zelenskyy's move 'wounds our historical sensitivity' and is 'worrying from the point of view of our relations'. The Impact on Relations Poland has been a major ally to Kyiv since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. However, the recent developments have strained relations between the two countries. Polish Nobel Peace Prize-winner Lech Walesa announced that he had stopped wearing a Ukrainian flag pin, stating that Zelenskyy had insulted him and all their massacred compatriots by honouring the UPA. The Future Outlook The diplomatic row between Poland and Ukraine may have implications for the ongoing war in Ukraine and the support provided by Poland to Kyiv. The situation highlights the complexities of historical narratives and their impact on contemporary international relations.

The Development Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has confirmed that Israeli forces have crossed into Lebanon, specifically crossing the Litani River. This move has significant implications for the region, potentially escalating tensions between Israel and Lebanon. Background and Implications The Litani River is a significant geographical and political boundary in southern Lebanon. Israeli military actions in this area could lead to increased conflict and instability in the region. The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with potential diplomatic repercussions. Regional Impact This development could have far-reaching consequences for Middle East peace dynamics. The situation remains fluid, with ongoing concerns about military escalation and humanitarian impacts on local populations. Future Outlook As the situation continues to unfold, diplomatic efforts are likely to intensify to prevent further escalation. The international community will be watching closely for any signs of de-escalation or additional military actions.

Nicolas Cage's Stylish Take on the Superhero Genre Prime Video's new series, Spider-Noir, requires viewers to set aside some Marvel lore while retaining other bits. The show stars Nicolas Cage as Ben Reilly, a character with superhuman abilities, in a 1940s-style detective story. The Event Details The series is an homage to hard-boiled films and fictions of the 1940s, with a black and white aesthetic that has been digitally colorized. The show follows Reilly, a former superhero turned private investigator, as he navigates a complex web of intrigue and danger in 1940s New York. The Data Analysis No specific data was provided in the article. The Impact Analysis The show's use of a 1940s setting and film noir aesthetic sets it apart from other superhero stories. Nicolas Cage's performance as Ben Reilly brings a level of intensity and unpredictability to the role, making the show a fun and stylish take on the superhero genre. The Prediction Given the show's positive reception, it is likely that Spider-Noir will appeal to fans of Nicolas Cage and those looking for a unique take on the superhero genre. The show's blend of action, style, and wit makes it a compelling watch for audiences looking for something new and exciting.