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Executive Summary: A Deal Remains ElusiveIran’s leadership has not ruled out a settlement with the United States, but competing hawkish voices on both sides are raising demands that keep any understanding out of reach. The war‑driven environment, disputes over the Strait of Hormuz and lingering distrust make the path to a durable agreement uncertain.Divergent Stances Within Iran’s Power StructureKey figures and institutions express markedly different thresholds for negotiation:Mojtaba Khamenei – son of the late Supreme Leader, author of written messages that stress a “resistance economy” and a future without U.S. presence.IRGC commanders – Ahmad Vahidi, Ali Abdollahi, Majid Mousavi and Mohammad Ali Jafari demand no major concessions, emphasizing deterrence, control of the Strait of Hormuz and a set of five pre‑conditions for talks.Saeed Jalili and the Paydari Front – hard‑line parliamentarians who view any compromise as a loss, insisting on guarantees that do not rely on “trusting” the United States.Government pragmatists – parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi signal openness to a pragmatic deal that ends hostilities.Financial Stakes and Strategic DemandsNegotiations are anchored by concrete economic and security requests:Control and classification of vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including the right to levy transit fees.Access to at least 12 bn USD in frozen Iranian assets abroad.Removal of U.S. and United Nations sanctions linked to Iran’s nuclear programme.Release of frozen assets, war reparations and recognition of Iranian sovereignty over Hormuz as outlined by Mohammad Ali Jafari.Regional and Diplomatic ImplicationsThe internal split influences broader dynamics:Continued military exchanges between the U.S. and the IRGC raise the risk of accidental escalation.State‑run media and IRGC‑linked outlets amplify maximalist rhetoric, shaping public opinion against compromise.Hard‑line pressure could force the United States to offer stricter guarantees, potentially prolonging the stalemate.Any concession on Hormuz could alter global oil shipping routes and affect energy markets worldwide.Outlook: Scenarios for a US‑Iran AgreementAnalysts see three plausible trajectories:Stalemate – hard‑liners block a deal, extending the conflict and deepening sanctions.Limited Interim Accord – pragmatic leaders secure a cease‑fire and limited economic relief while broader issues remain unresolved.Comprehensive Settlement – a breakthrough that meets most of Tehran’s demands (asset release, Hormuz control, sanction lift) and includes security guarantees for the United States, leading to a gradual de‑escalation.The direction Iran ultimately takes will hinge on the balance of power between its hard‑line factions and the more moderate elements seeking an end to the war.

The Lead: Swift's Return to Toy Story UniverseAfter days of online speculation, Taylor Swift has officially announced her new single "I Knew It, I Knew You" for Disney and Pixar's Toy Story 5. The announcement comes just weeks before the film's release and marks Swift's first new music since her 2025 album "The Life of a Showgirl."The Event Details: Single Release and FormatsTitled "I Knew It, I Knew You," the single will be released on June 5, 2026, with CD singles available for preorder on Swift's website. Three variants will be available, each containing different versions of the song: a piano version, an acoustic version, and the original. The announcement follows a mysterious campaign featuring billboards with "TS" initials in the Toy Story font that appeared in major cities worldwide.The Creative Process: Collaboration and InspirationSwift wrote the song with her longtime collaborator Jack Antonoff, marking her return to the country music genre. The track was inspired by Jessie, the film's cowgirl character, after Swift viewed an early cut of Toy Story 5. "I've always dreamed of getting to write for these characters who I've adored since I was a 5 year old kid watching the first Toy Story movie," Swift shared on Instagram.The Industry Impact: Music-Film SynergyThe collaboration represents a significant moment in the intersection of music and film marketing. Director Andrew Stanton praised Swift's connection to the character, noting "Her connection to Jessie and the immediate way she understood what the character was going through was undeniable." The song's release strategy aligns with Disney's marketing approach for the film, which introduces a new tech foe called Lilypad.The Future Outlook: Anticipation for Film and MusicWith the single release on June 5 and the film's worldwide premiere on June 19, 2026, fans have a packed schedule of Swift-related content to anticipate. The announcement comes amid Swift's continued dominance in the music industry following her record-breaking album releases. The song's placement in the highly anticipated Toy Story franchise ensures massive exposure and potentially introduces Swift's music to a younger generation of fans.

A Critical Portrait of George MichaelIn 1998, George Michael was arrested for public lewdness in an LA lavatory, an incident that finally led the singer to publicly come out. The following day, Sathnam Sanghera found himself unable to leave his room at university: the doorway had been mockingly plastered with tabloid newspaper headlines – "ZIP ME UP BEFORE YOU GO-GO!" – by fellow students aware of his longstanding fandom. As a writer, Sanghera is best known for a series of award-winning books on the British empire, which he calls his "specialist subject". Judging by Tonight the Music Seems So Loud – not a biography so much as a miscellany, a set of themed essays that tend to digress in all kinds of intriguing directions – the life and work of one Georgios Panayiotou runs imperialism and its legacy a very close second.The Complex Legacy of a Pop IconIt is an unashamedly partisan book, although not an uncritical one. Sanghera is as alive to Michael's personal and professional failings (whether the naffness of some of his early work as one half of Wham! or his high-handed treatment of the duo's other half, Andrew Ridgeley) as he is in love with his artistic triumphs. These, of course, range from Careless Whisper and Wham!'s annually inescapable Last Christmas to the 1996 solo masterpiece Older, a peculiar and peculiarly effective cocktail of raw grief at the Aids-related death of his lover Anselmo Feleppa and unrepentant horniness.The Evolution of Critical ReceptionSanghera's love for his subject is evidently sharpened by the opprobrium of others. Indeed if the book has a flaw, it's that the author is old enough to remember an era when George Michael was deemed insufferably uncool by some arbiters of taste (incredibly, when Wham! performed at a 1984 benefit show for striking miners, the only mainstream pop act to show support for the cause, they were received stone-faced by the audience and savaged by the music press for their trouble), and thus has a tendency to underestimate how much both he and his music have been critically re-evaluated in the 21st century.The Artistic Journey of George MichaelHe says one of the spurs to write the book was his belief that "most truly popular music is not generally deemed worthy of serious analysis and George Michael's music most certainly is not". That might have been true once, but certainly not of late: when he died, this newspaper alone ran six features by critics analysing different aspects of his music. "He sang so exquisitely about the marrow of life, about the vital, corporeal things", wrote one, which definitely doesn't amount to taking George Michael insufficiently seriously.double quotation markEven as he skinned up in front of journalists and discussed his drug use and sex life, he was concealing the extent of the addictions that eventually killed himFamily Background and Cultural IdentitySanghera is very good on the climate of homophobia in the 80s, which might have given any gay public figure serious qualms about coming out, and fascinating on Michael's family background: how growing up embedded in north London's Greek Cypriot community impacted on everything from Wham!'s image – not camp, Sanghera suggests, but "the vision of two children of immigrants imagining a kind of glamour they had not actually experienced before" – to his work ethic and control freakery. His dad made good in England by working exceptionally hard, running such a tight ship at his restaurant that he summarily fired his only son for messing up the drinks orders. The fact that the same son went on to hire 12 different saxophonists before finding one that could play the solo on Careless Whisper to his satisfaction doesn't come as a huge surprise.The Perfectionist and Contradictory ArtistThis my-way-or-the-highway perfectionism could yield hugely impressive results – Careless Whisper's sax hook may well be the most famous in pop history – but it could equally lead to intransigence and self-sabotage. Michael worked incredibly hard to transform himself from a member of a teen pop band into a more adult-facing solo artist, but having sold a staggering 25m copies of his 1987 solo debut Faith, he refused to promote its follow-up Listen Without Prejudice Vol. 1, or even make videos for its singles: a better album than its predecessor, it achieved only a fraction of its sales as a result. It was evidence of a deeply contradictory nature that occasionally has Sanghera throwing up his hands in bewilderment.The Public and Private Faces of George MichaelMichael was a polymath, keen to be duly credited as the sole singer, writer, producer and musician on a succession of tracks, but also had a weird habit of talking down his abilities, claiming he couldn't play instruments he was perfectly capable of playing. He was a Stakhanovite who increasingly worked at an agonisingly glacial pace, endlessly fussing over details, a state of affairs not much helped by his gargantuan appetite for marijuana: coupled with bouts of writers' block, it meant he released only six albums of original material in a career that lasted 34 years. He was a Labour voter, booster of the NHS and famously generous philanthropist who also engaged in tax avoidance. After being publicly outed, he became a notoriously frank interviewee ("as if nothing can embarrass him anymore" the Guardian's Simon Hattenstone suggested when he met him in 2009). But even as he skinned up in front of journalists and freely discussed his drug use and sex life, he was concealing the extent of the addictions that eventually killed him.The Decline and Final YearsMichael emerges as a messy, unpredictable but ultimately hugely likable figure, which makes the essay about his demise particularly tough reading. Listed starkly on the page, the facts of his final 10 years make it obvious that he was a deeply unwell man whose life had spun wildly out of control: drug busts, medical emergencies, visits to rehab, rumours of breakdowns and suicide bids and seven incidents in which he either crashed his car or was found comatose at the wheel.The Professional Mask of Personal StruggleThat it somehow didn't appear obvious at the time – that his death at 53 felt like a shock rather than a grim inevitability – seems remarkable, but as Sanghera points out, Michael's professionalism did a lot to paper over the cracks. He was always available to the media and always smart, funny and self-effacing: to use a modern turn of phrase, he controlled the narrative. He was punctilious about his appearance – the star certainly never looked like an ailing drug addict – and unfailingly superb onstage.The Hidden Realities Behind the FameBehind the scenes, it was a different story. He struggled to make new music: at one juncture he booked six months of recording sessions but never turned up to the studio once. His once-acute commercial instincts seemed to desert him: even Sanghera can't muster much enthusiasm for the handful of still-unreleased songs he completed in his final years. He cut off close friends and family who tried to intervene. No one who knew him seems to have been particularly surprised by his death: the list of adjectives used to describe him on his official website now includes not just "icon" "legend" "soul singer" and "philanthropist" but "addict" "repeat offender" and "depressive".An Imagined Alternative LegacyAs the book draws to a close, Sanghera offers a heartbreaking alternative history. He imagines Michael conquering his addictions, coming to a complete accommodation with his musical past (to the end of his life, he was dismissive of Wham!, describing their oeuvre as an exercise in "ignoring my own intelligence" and declining to play most of their hits live) and headlining Glastonbury, "getting pleasure from the audience reaction to Club Tropicana".The Enduring Power of George Michael's MusicIt's affecting because you can imagine it so vividly: the endless succession of hits that anyone with even a passing interest in pop music knows, the pandemonium in the crowd when he breaks out Careless Whisper, the encore of Freedom '90. You don't have to be a fan on Sanghera's level to understand what a triumph it would have been. Tonight the Music Seems So Loud: The Meaning of George Michael by Sathnam Sanghera is published by Picador (£22). To support the Guardian, buy a copy at guardianbookshop.com. Delivery charges may apply.

The Ancient Art of Altamira The aurochs, the mammoth, and the steppe bison are long extinct, but their painted likenesses still look relatively fresh across the walls and roofs of Altamira. Or so said Diego Garate Maidagan, who is one of the very few humans allowed to enter that exalted cave in northern Spain. The Technique of Prehistoric Painters Garate's specialism requires close attention to the etching or “pecking” technique whereby the artists used flint blades to outline figures on the rock before applying their ochre and charcoal. Altamira is rare and precious, he told me, because those reds and blacks are still so solid and vivid. The colours were preserved in the near-quarantine conditions imposed by that long-ago landslide. The Impact of Human Presence on Cave Art The site was opened to the public in 1917, partly closed in the 1970s, then shut for good in 2002, as a century or so of gaping admiration revealed the paint-stripping effects of moisture and carbon monoxide from the breath of too many beholders. A replica cave, with replica artwork, was created on an adjacent site. Today, only Garate and other select scholars have access to the original sanctuary. The Future of Cave Art Research In the far north of the Basque Country, the recent search for such apparitions has stirred “a little revolution”, by Garate’s reckoning. He and his colleagues in Santander planned a campaign to test a working theory: that the caves of northern Spain and south-western France were once lavishly decorated with pictograms and petroglyphs, now barely visible to the untrained eye. Unlocking the Secrets of Prehistoric Image-Making The general idea, Garate told me, was to reverse-engineer the processes of prehistoric image-making: to unpack the practical, mechanical decisions of the artists, and thus to better understand their skill set, their knowledge base, their means and modes of communication. One project gauged the “luminous intensity” and “radius of action” achieved by burning different woods and fats to light the cave.

Rafael Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), told reporters on June 2, 2026 that the next nuclear agreement with Iran will look "very different" from the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). He highlighted Tehran’s increased uranium enrichment capacity, the erosion of trust among negotiating parties, and the broader shifts in global non‑proliferation politics. Grossi Signals a New Framework for Iran's Nuclear Accord The IAEA chief emphasized that any renewed deal must address the reality that Iran now possesses a larger stockpile of low‑enriched uranium and has advanced its centrifuge technology beyond the limits set by the original JCPOA. Grossi called for "a more robust verification regime and clearer enforcement mechanisms" to ensure compliance. Quantifying the Stakes: Sanctions, Enrichment Levels, and Economic Costs Iran’s enrichment capacity has risen to 60% purity, compared with the 3.67% ceiling under the JCPOA. U.S. and EU sanctions re‑imposed in 2024 have cost Iran an estimated $30 billion in oil revenue losses. The IAEA reports a 30% increase in the number of operating centrifuges since 2022. Regional Ripple Effects: Middle East Security and Global Non‑Proliferation Grossi warned that a weaker or ambiguous agreement could embolden other regional actors to pursue nuclear capabilities, destabilising the already volatile Middle East. He also noted that European allies are wary of re‑engaging without stronger guarantees, while Russia and China may push for a more lenient framework. What a Re‑imagined Deal Could Mean for Future Diplomacy Analysts suggest that the next deal may incorporate: Real‑time satellite monitoring of enrichment sites. Automatic sanctions triggers tied to specific enrichment thresholds. Expanded role for the IAEA in on‑site inspections and data sharing. If such measures are adopted, Grossi believes they could restore some confidence among the P5+1 nations and provide a more durable pathway to limiting Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

The Funding Pivot: Trump's $1.8bn Settlement FundUnited States President Donald Trump is reportedly pausing a $1.8bn settlement fund intended to compensate victims of 'lawfare' and government 'weaponisation,' marking a significant retreat from a key component of his recent executive agenda. The fund, part of a settlement with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), was announced last month as a mechanism to address grievances against what the administration describes as unfair prosecution.The Origins of the 'Lawfare' Compensation PackageThe 'anti-weaponisation' fund was not a standalone initiative but a specific deliverable within a broader settlement agreement. According to documents released by the Department of Justice, the $1.8bn was earmarked to serve as restitution for individuals and allies who claim to have been targeted by the federal government's legal apparatus. This initiative was framed by the White House as a necessary step to rectify perceived systemic bias, though it has faced scrutiny regarding its implementation.The $1.8bn vs. $72bn: A Strategic Reallocation of ResourcesThe decision to halt the fund appears to be driven by a high-stakes political calculus involving the allocation of federal resources. Senate Majority Leader Mike Thune has explicitly linked the fate of the 'anti-weaponisation' fund to the passage of a $72bn immigration enforcement funding bill. By withdrawing the $1.8bn, the administration signals a willingness to prioritize border security and immigration enforcement over compensating political allies for past legal battles.Trump's Stance: Repeatedly framed himself and allies as victims of unfair government prosecution.Republican Leadership: House Speaker Mike Johnson and Thune argue the fund is a distraction from critical immigration legislation.Democratic Response: Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer claims the pause is insufficient and demands a legislative ban.Bipartisan Fracture: Why the Fund is DivisiveThe reported pause has exposed a deep fracture within the Republican Party. While the fund was a pet project of the President, it faced significant internal resistance from leadership who view the $72bn immigration package as a more urgent legislative priority. Conversely, Democrats have seized on the move, arguing that the administration's commitment to the victims of 'lawfare' is merely a political ploy. Senator Schumer characterized the reported pause as a failure to go far enough, insisting that a promise from the President is 'worthless' without a binding legislative ban.The Future of 'Lawfare' Compensation: From Executive Order to Legislative Ban?The White House's silence on the Axios report suggests the 'anti-weaponisation' fund is effectively dead for the immediate future. However, the underlying tension regarding how to address grievances against the federal government remains unresolved. As the administration pivots toward the $72bn immigration bill, the question remains whether the 'lawfare' compensation mechanism will be resurrected in a different form or permanently shelved in favor of hardline enforcement policies.

The LeadAn Israeli airstrike has reportedly damaged a hospital in southern Lebanon, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing tensions between Israel and Lebanon-based groups. The incident has drawn international attention and condemnation, with concerns raised about the potential violation of international humanitarian law that protects medical facilities during armed conflicts.The Event DetailsThe strike occurred in southern Lebanon, targeting what Israeli authorities may have identified as a military objective near or within the hospital complex. According to reports from Al Jazeera, the hospital suffered significant structural damage, though full details about the extent of destruction are still emerging. The incident comes amid heightened military activity along the Israel-Lebanon border, with both sides exchanging increasingly frequent fire in recent weeks.The Data AnalysisCasualty figures remain unclear, with conflicting reports from different sourcesThe hospital served a critical healthcare access point for southern Lebanon's populationRegional tensions have been rising, with cross-border incidents increasing by approximately 40% in the past monthInternational aid organizations have suspended operations in the affected area due to security concernsThe Impact AnalysisThis strike significantly complicates an already fragile security situation in the Middle East. The targeting of a hospital, even if unintentional, represents a serious potential violation of international humanitarian law and could further inflame regional tensions. The incident may prompt stronger international intervention and could lead to increased diplomatic pressure on Israel. For Lebanon, this attack exacerbates an already strained healthcare system, particularly in regions with limited medical infrastructure.The PredictionIn the coming days, we can expect increased diplomatic activity, likely with calls for an independent investigation into the incident. The United Nations and other international bodies may issue statements condemning the attack if investigations confirm the hospital was intentionally targeted or if proper precautions were not taken. The incident could potentially trigger a broader escalation in hostilities between Israel and Lebanon-based groups, or conversely, serve as a catalyst for renewed diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions along the volatile border.

The Birth of a Classic The Bluetones' lead singer Mark Morriss and guitarist Adam Devlin share the story of their hit song 'Slight Return', from its humble beginnings to its massive success in the 90s. Mark Morriss' Vocals and the Song's Early Days We were still a three piece: Adam Devlin, my brother Scott and myself. We hadn’t met Eds Chesters yet, so we didn’t have a drummer. We were spending a lot of time writing songs, trying to hone this west coast, mid-60s, Crosby, Stills & Nash sound – even though it was the 90s and we were from Hounslow in London. Slight Return was the fourth or fifth song we wrote. Scott wrote the chord progressions and structure, but didn’t have any words or melody. He recorded guitar into a cassette player, then played that back on a second cassette player so he could record himself playing along to what he’d just recorded, in a very rudimentary way of four-tracking. We liked it, but we weren’t skipping around the room going: “My God, we’re going to be millionaires.” That came later. The Song's Rise to Fame It went down well at our early shows. It was catchy and memorable. We recorded a demo version and sold it on blue 7-inch vinyl at our gigs. When we got signed to A&M, they were keen for it to be a single, but we felt like it would be short-changing our fanbase, which was about 200 people, who had already bought it. We had to be talked around by the label, who said: “We can hear it being played on the radio.” But they wanted us to change the song’s name because Slight Return isn’t actually in the lyrics. The title in part refers to the last line of the song: “I’m coming home but just for a short while.” It’s also a kind of sideways tribute to Jimi Hendrix’s Voodoo Child (Slight Return). When we finally succumbed and let them release it as a single, lo and behold, it went ballistic. Adam Devlin's Perspective on the Band's Journey We thought we could write half-decent songs, so we cobbled together a set that would get us on the London circuit. I remember Scott bringing in a faster, simpler version of Slight Return. I fleshed out the guitar parts and put in a guitar solo. Mark worked out the vocal melodies, and we added a coda – the instrumental that fades out at the end, which originally had a sample from Tom Courtenay in Billy Liar, which was all very 60s. We had very different ideas from the record label and thought Can’t Be Trusted should have been the single. By then, I was living in another shared house in Wimbledon that didn’t have a washing machine. I was in the launderette when our manager phoned and said: “You’ve gone in at No 2.” I don’t think we were ready for it being so successful. The Legacy of Slight Return We've been playing it for 30 years. One tour, we’d got so bored with it, we didn’t even play it, which was a mistake because people thought we’d gone up our own arses. We learned our lesson: it’s the song everyone wants to hear. People get confused because Slight Return isn’t actually in the lyrics. I was at a farmers’ market recently when one of the stallholders said: “You were in that band who sang Where Did You Go?” I said: “Yes, but that’s not what it’s called.”

The LeadWhen Keir Starmer won a landslide Labour majority promising to pursue five governing "missions", the high-profile leftwing economist Mariana Mazzucato was credited as an inspiration. Two years on, her bracing new book helps shed light on why Labour in power has struggled to project the sense of direction that "mission-led government", as Mazzucato calls it, requires.A New Framework for Economic PolicySynthesising and extending her earlier work, here she proposes "a new economics of collective action around the common good". From this perspective, the economy is not a concatenation of rapacious independent forces, to be contained and offset by public policy, but a project – or rather a series of projects – with direction and purpose.The Five Principles of Common Good EconomicsThe "compass" in the title is really a set of five principles, all of which Mazzucato says such an economy should have: purpose and "directionality"; co-creation by citizens; collective learning; reward sharing; and accountability. Each of these principles is set out in detail. Co-creation implies grassroots participation in designing and redesigning government programmes, for example – because, "when people help define a problem and develop and implement solutions, they see them as theirs rather than something imposed on them".Reward Sharing and PredistributionReward sharing means ensuring the creators or rightful owners of economic value stand to benefit: from Indigenous people whose homes lie near raw material deposits, to social media users whose data fuels Big Tech's profits. That implies radical tax reform – including greater use of wealth taxes – and the robust use of conditions in public contracts, to make sure workers and taxpayers get their fair share: an approach she calls "predistribution".Critique of Labour's Economic ApproachAccording to Mazzucato's definition, Labour's attempt at mission-led government badly missed the mark. Its first and overriding goal – "kickstart economic growth" – cannot be a "mission" at all, because it lacks the necessary purpose. What, in other words, is that economic growth meant to be for? While her scope in this ambitious book is global, the analysis also dismantles Starmer's claim to be pursuing national "missions", by setting out just how radical – and radically different – that would look in practice.Practical Examples and Global Applications"The seeds of transformation are everywhere," she says, citing inspiring projects that range from delivering healthy and sustainable school meals in Sweden to the EU's mission to support cities to become climate-neutral, to the international Nagoya Protocol on sharing the benefits of genetic resources and traditional knowledge. Echoes of Mazzucato's mindset are detectable in some Labour policies – from using the threat of legislation to cajole pension funds to invest more in UK assets, to writing conditions on youth training into clean energy contracts.The Future of Economic DirectionEconomies work best, she believes, when they pursue grand collective goals – developing and distributing a vaccine for a pandemic; or confronting the climate emergency (or, though she doesn't lean on the example here, tooling up for a new and more frightening geopolitical era). We should ask, she says, "not which market failure do we want to be fixed, but what direction do we want the economy to sail in".