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Ed Miliband's stock is rising in the Labour Party as he fills a void left by Morgan McSweeney's departure, becoming a key figure in shaping the party's thinking. His influence has grown significantly in recent weeks, with some suggesting he is the real prime minister, calling the shots on key issues. Miliband's popularity among Labour members has increased, with him leapfrogging Angela Rayner as the membership's favourite cabinet minister. This surge in popularity has led to speculation that he could potentially win a leadership contest if one were to happen. The Labour Party's shift to the left, partly due to the Greens' victory in Gorton and Denton, has contributed to Miliband's rise. His reputation as a deep thinker and intellectual heavyweight has become increasingly valuable in a time when the party needs to address complex global challenges. Miliband's background in intellectual pursuits has prepared him for this role. Having cut his teeth in Gordon Brown's court, which was known for its intellectual voraciousness, Miliband has developed a unique ability to think through complex arguments from first principles. The current political landscape, marked by an energy crisis, potential recession, and rising populism, has highlighted the need for big ideas. Miliband's approach, which emphasizes thoughtful consideration and intellectual rigor, is seen as a welcome change from the party's previous focus on small, practical solutions. While Miliband is not infallible, his tendency to think years ahead of his time has been noted by those who have worked with him. His ideas, though not always successful, have the potential to sharpen the party's mental blades for the challenges ahead. In conclusion, Ed Miliband's rise to prominence is a reflection of the Labour Party's need for intellectual heavyweights who can provide big ideas and thoughtful leadership in a rapidly changing world.

Following Donald Trump's recent claims that the US is engaged in 'strong talks' to end the war with Iran, Qatar took the unusual step of publicly distancing itself from any alleged diplomatic negotiations. The Gulf state's government spokesperson Majed al-Ansari explicitly stated, 'Qatar was not involved in any mediation efforts,' adding pointedly, 'If they exist.'This represents a significant departure from Qatar's traditional role as a chief mediator in Middle East conflicts, having previously facilitated negotiations between Israel and Hamas, the US and the Taliban, and peace deals in Lebanon and Sudan.Over the past three weeks, Gulf states have found themselves on the frontlines of the conflict after their mediation efforts to prevent war were ultimately rejected by the US. The pattern of broken negotiations is particularly telling: the US attacked Iran twice during talks aimed at halting the Iranian nuclear program, which were championed by Oman. Discussions last June were halted as the US and Israel conducted strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, and revived talks in February were similarly undermined when Trump began bombing Tehran before the final round of meetings.Since the war began, Gulf states have been forced to spend billions defending against daily Iranian missile and drone attacks, with their economies and sovereignty suffering substantial damage. Analysts suggest their reluctance to engage with the alleged ceasefire efforts reflects both the heavy toll of continued warfare and lingering suspicion about whether Trump's peace initiatives are genuine or merely a pretext for further escalation.As Bilal Saab, senior managing director of advisory group Trends US and former Pentagon official in the first Trump administration, explained: 'They've been burned by their previous experience. They previously thought they played a useful mediating role – until they realised that it was all for naught. Not to mention that they have been directly implicated in the war and are still being attacked by the Iranians. So there's a lot of pent-up frustration and disappointment.'By Wednesday night, the Iranian regime had outright rejected Trump's 15-point plan to end the war, submitted to Tehran via Pakistani generals, as 'extremely unreasonable' and presented their own substantially different proposal.The concern among Gulf states is that any negotiations could become a front for military escalation or even the assassination of additional Iranian leaders. This anxiety is compounded by the simultaneous deployment of thousands of US troops to the region and the persistent fear of being used as pawns in the US and Israel's Middle East strategy.Professor Bader al-Saif of Kuwait University noted: 'Whenever the word negotiation was used by the Trump administration, we unfortunately ended up under the rubric of war.' He emphasized that while Gulf states are reluctant to engage with what they perceive as a potential Trumpian charade, they recognize the critical importance of shaping any realistic peace negotiations that could affect their future.The existential threat to Gulf economic ambitions is particularly concerning. The prospect of Trump ending the war with the current Iranian regime still in place—potentially more vengeful than before and acutely aware of the damage its missiles can inflict on multi-billion-dollar infrastructure—poses significant risks. Additionally, there remains no clear solution to Iran's effective control over the Strait of Hormuz, through which most of the region's oil and gas exports flow.Analysts suggest that beyond relying on US-led negotiations, Gulf states should pursue their own separate dialogue with Iran. As al-Saif stated: 'They shouldn't only count on the US to do the negotiation. They should go and strike a deal with Iran for themselves. This was not our war, and if we can shield ourselves from being impacted any further, we should do it to protect our own national interests.'

The deadly conflict in Iran has precipitated what the International Energy Agency describes as the worst oil crisis in history, creating a complex situation for global clean energy efforts. While climate advocates are calling for accelerated transition away from fossil fuels, the war simultaneously presents both opportunities and significant challenges for renewable energy development.US-Israeli strikes on Iran have critically disrupted supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz, a maritime channel through which 20% of global oil flows. The conflict has also seen direct attacks on fossil fuel infrastructure by all parties involved, creating additional market shocks and uncertainty.Interestingly, reduced reliance on oil and gas is proving beneficial for some regions navigating the ongoing fuel crisis. As Jan Rosenow, a professor of energy at Oxford University, explains: Electricity generated from wind and solar is largely insulated from fossil fuel price volatility – once built, the fuel is free.Countries with substantial renewable energy investments are demonstrating greater resilience. Spain and Portugal have witnessed electricity prices decline in recent weeks, while Pakistan has experienced a surge in rooftop solar installations over the past five years, helping the nation weather oil and gas market disruptions.The electric vehicle revolution is also providing some economies with protection against gasoline price increases. In China, more than 50% of all new cars sold are electric, while in Nepal, that figure reaches an impressive 70%.However, the war is creating near-term challenges that could impede clean energy growth. The conflict has disrupted transport routes for metals essential in solar panel construction, particularly aluminum. The Middle East accounts for approximately 9% of global aluminum production, and regional producers have begun scaling back operations amid the hostilities.Furthermore, the inflationary pressures stemming from the conflict pose significant hurdles for renewable energy projects, which require substantial upfront investment for construction, equipment, and installation.Paradoxically, the war and resulting energy shocks have provided a short-term boon for fossil fuels, including coal. Many Asian countries heavily reliant on imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) are burning more coal to meet energy demand as LNG supplies through the Strait of Hormuz become constrained.The conflict has also incentivized increased oil and gas drilling and exploration, as countries scramble to replace disrupted LNG supplies and higher prices make previously unviable projects economically viable. US company Venture Global recently announced a new five-year contract to supply LNG, while Canadian energy company TC Energy indicated that Iran war disruptions are increasing the likelihood of expanding a massive LNG export facility.The Trump administration has further incentivized oil expansion, recently announcing plans to pay a French company $1 billion to abandon offshore wind farm projects in favor of fossil fuel initiatives.Experts propose various policy responses to encourage the green transition during this crisis. Rosenow advocates for tax reform to reduce the disproportionate burden on electricity compared to gas. Professor Gregor Semieniuk suggests imposing windfall taxes on oil and gas companies during the war, while Lauren Pagel of Earthworks calls for ending fossil fuel subsidies and making polluters pay for their environmental impact.Despite the current challenges, Kingsmill Bond, a strategist for the energy thinktank Ember, maintains that this crisis could ultimately accelerate the clean energy transition: This is the first oil shock in history where oil faces a superior alternative. Solar, wind and EV are cheaper, local, faster to deploy, and huge.

British athlete Keely Hodgkinson has poked fun at West Ham over their reluctance to give up the London Stadium for the 2029 World Athletics Championships. Hodgkinson, who recently won the World Indoor Championship 800m, took to social media to express her thoughts on the matter.In a lighthearted post, Hodgkinson suggested that the GB team would bring back more medals to the London Stadium than West Ham has seen in its entire history. This comment came in response to reports that West Ham's stance could jeopardize London's bid to host the championships.Sebastian Coe, the World Athletics president, has expressed his desire to hold the 2029 championships in September as a finale to the athletics season. However, West Ham is hesitant to give up the London Stadium for approximately three weeks, citing their football season commitments.The dispute has garnered attention from athletics fans, with many supporting Hodgkinson's comments. West Ham fans, on the other hand, have expressed mixed reactions, with some finding Hodgkinson's remarks disrespectful.The London Stadium, which hosted the London Olympics in 2012, has been West Ham's home since 2013. The club has a contractual right to prioritize their games during the football season. Lord Coe has commented on the matter, stating that he believes West Ham's deal is favorable.Other cities, including Rome, Munich, Nairobi, and an Indian city, are also interested in hosting the 2029 World Athletics Championships. The final submissions from bidding cities are due in early August, with a decision expected in September.

A 60-year-old man has received a suspended prison sentence after pleading guilty to sending offensive messages about England international Jess Carter during the European Championship last summer.Nigel Dewale, of Great Harwood in Lancashire, was sentenced to six weeks, suspended for 12 months, after a hearing at Blackburn magistrates court. He also received a four-year football banning order and a requirement to engage in a 10-day rehabilitation programme.Dewale had admitted to sending 'malicious communications' on TikTok and was identified as the author of two posts that used both racist and misogynist language.The deputy director of the UK Football Policing Unit, Mike Ankers, welcomed the verdict and praised the determination of Carter and the rest of the Lionesses to stand up to online abuse.Ankers said he believed there continued to be substantial underreporting of the online abuse directed at athletes and called for social media companies to be held accountable for sharing identifying information of account holders suspected of hate speech.

Photographer Peter van Agtmael captured a striking image during his first trip to Iraq 20 years ago, which has become a defining moment in his career. The photograph shows a dejected soldier sitting in a domestic living room, highlighting the incongruity of war in everyday life.Van Agtmael, who was 25 at the time, had been embedded with the US military for six weeks. He wanted to move beyond traditional war photography, which often focuses on violence and horror, and explore the human side of conflict. This image, he says, crystallized his understanding of the US military's role in the Middle East and the absurdity of war.The photograph shows a soldier in a mundane setting, which could be anywhere in the world. Van Agtmael notes that this juxtaposition of war and domesticity reveals the complexity of human nature and the proximity of war to everyday life. He believes that war is part of the human soul and that it's essential to acknowledge this reality.Van Agtmael's experience in Iraq was formative, and he reflects on the failures of the war in Iraq and Afghanistan. He questions the effectiveness of externally created regime change and the long-term impact of military interventions.As a war photographer, van Agtmael has grappled with the moral complexities of his work. He believes that thoughtful documentation of human violence can have a moral impact, but also acknowledges the challenges of being a witness to extreme violence.Now a father, van Agtmael has shifted his focus away from war photography. He reflects on the changing nature of his work and the importance of finding new purpose in life.

The modern cricket calendar has been likened to a game of Tetris that has gone awry, with players facing an intense schedule that leaves little room for recovery or emotional processing. This has significant implications for their mental wellbeing and performance. Elite cricketers, such as New Zealand's Mitchell Santner, are expected to bounce back quickly from defeats, often playing matches just days apart. Santner's team, the Black Caps, suffered a 96-run loss to India in the T20 World Cup final on March 8, and Santner was back in action just seven days later against South Africa. Mental skills coach Maurice Duffy notes that recovery from emotional trauma can take weeks or months, but cricketers are often given only days to process their emotions. Duffy emphasizes the importance of balance and 'reset' for players to maintain their performance and mental health. The issue is not just the volume of cricket, but also the emotional demands of the game. Players are expected to process failure, challenge, and disappointment quickly and then perform at a high level. This can lead to burnout, which is not just about playing too much cricket, but also about playing without meaning. The Indian Premier League (IPL) is set to start just three weeks after the T20 World Cup, which is a relatively generous turnaround compared to previous years. The IPL's rapid start highlights the packed schedule and the challenges it poses for player wellbeing and fan engagement. Experts argue that the constant grind of the modern calendar takes a toll on players and fans alike. With so many matches and competitions, it can be difficult for fans to keep up and invest in bilateral series that often seem inconsequential. Ultimately, finding a balance between competition and recovery is crucial. As Duffy points out, athletes need to find their 'why' – their purpose and motivation – to maintain their effort and engagement in the face of a demanding schedule.

The recent escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel has sent shockwaves through the global energy market, leading to a significant increase in oil and gas prices. The conflict has raised concerns about the potential disruption of oil supplies from the region, which could have a lasting impact on prices.Despite expectations that the price shock will be temporary, experts believe that the effects of the conflict will be felt for some time. The Iran war has already led to a significant increase in oil prices, with many analysts predicting that prices will continue to rise in the coming weeks and months.The conflict has also raised concerns about the potential for further escalation, which could lead to even higher prices. As the situation continues to unfold, it is clear that the oil and gas price shock sparked by the Iran war is unlikely to fade away anytime soon.

A second set of mountain gorilla twins has been born in Virunga National Park in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), marking what conservationists are calling an extraordinary event for these endangered primates.Just two months after twin mountain gorillas were discovered by rangers in the Virunga massif in eastern DRC, another rare twin birth has been found by park wardens. This time, an infant male and female have been spotted in the Baraka family, a troop of 19 mountain gorillas that roam the region's high-altitude rainforests.Park rangers have placed the young primates under additional monitoring to help them through the critical initial months, as the infants face significant challenges to becoming fully grown adults. Twins are extremely rare in mountain gorillas, accounting for less than 1% of births, and place extra demands on the mother.The gorilla subspecies, found in only two isolated pockets of the Virunga massif and the Bwindi Impenetrable National Park in southwest Uganda, has high rates of infant mortality, with about a quarter falling victim to disease, trauma or infanticide.In January, Virunga National Park announced that a female mountain gorilla called Mafuko had given birth to twins. The infant males are now 11 weeks old and said to be thriving, with other gorillas in the troop taking extra care of the mother to support her caregiving, according to rangers. Park authorities believe that twin births are more likely when females are in particularly good physical condition.Jacques Katutu, the head of gorilla monitoring at Virunga, said: "Two instances of twin births within three months is an extraordinary event and provides another vital indicator that dedicated conservation efforts, which have continued despite the current instability in eastern Congo, continue to support the growth of the endangered mountain gorilla population within Virunga National Park."Specialist veterinary care has played a leading role in the revival of the subspecies. In Rwanda, Uganda and the DRC, organizations such as the Gorilla Doctors have prevented dozens of deaths by helping animals affected by human behavior, such as by releasing gorillas accidentally caught in poachers' traps. One study attributes half of the mountain gorillas' population increase to the vets.Barely 250 mountain gorillas were left in the 1970s, and many thought the animals faced extinction. Decades of intense conservation work helped population numbers surpass 1,000 in 2018, and conservation authorities have since downgraded the subspecies' status from critically endangered to endangered.The DRC section of the Virunga mountain range remains one of the most dangerous places in the world for wildlife rangers. Over the past 20 years, more than 220 rangers have been killed in the park, where rebel groups such as M23 and other militias, as well as bandits, operate with impunity.